Purdue at Northwestern - 2023 Matchup Preview
Purdue logo Purdue Boilermakers at Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Northwestern -2.5 (47.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Northwestern 23 - Purdue: 15  (Big Ten)

 
Boilermakers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ryan Walters (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 16 - 40 (16 - 46 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 12.7 MPH
NW is playing their 5th straight game
PUR is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Northwestern -6.5   (SP+ NW -6)
Projected Score: PUR: 21 - NW: 28 (50)
NW Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
PUR Travel: 120 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wildcats (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach David Braun (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 18 - 26 (18 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 6.9 (#73)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Purdue's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Purdue vs Fresno State-4.047.0L 35 - 39ON
Sat 9/9 Purdue at Virginia Tech+1.549.0W 24 - 17UY
Sat 9/16 Purdue vs Syracuse+1.056.5L 20 - 35UN
Fri 9/22 Purdue vs Wisconsin+5.554.0L 17 - 38ON
Sat 9/30 Purdue vs Illinois-1.054.0W 44 - 19OY
Sat 10/7 Purdue at Iowa+2.538.5L 14 - 20UN
Sat 10/14 Purdue vs Ohio State+17.553.0L 7 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Purdue at Nebraska-1.039.5L 14 - 31ON
Sat 11/4 Purdue at Michigan+32.552.5L 13 - 41OY
Sat 11/11 Purdue vs Minnesota+1.548.5W 49 - 30OY
Sat 11/18 Purdue at Northwestern+2.547.5L 15 - 23UN
Sat 11/25 Purdue vs Indiana-2.555.5W 35 - 31OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Northwestern's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/3 Northwestern at Rutgers+5.039.0L 7 - 24UN
Sat 9/9 Northwestern vs UTEP-1.040.0W 38 - 7OY
Sat 9/16 Northwestern at Duke+17.048.0L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/23 Northwestern vs Minnesota+11.539.5W 37 - 34OY
Sat 9/30 Northwestern vs Penn State+27.048.0L 13 - 41ON
Sat 10/7 Northwestern vs Howard-23.051.0W 23 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Northwestern at Nebraska+10.540.0L 9 - 17UY
Sat 10/28 Northwestern vs Maryland+14.048.5W 33 - 27OY
Sat 11/4 Northwestern vs Iowa+4.530.5L 7 - 10UY
Sat 11/11 Northwestern at Wisconsin+9.543.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 11/18 Northwestern vs Purdue-2.547.5W 23 - 15UY
Sat 11/25 Northwestern at Illinois+5.046.5W 45 - 43OY
Sat 12/23 Northwestern vs Utah+6.544.5W 14 - 7UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR.1544%15.847%312143%2783.52.1641%39.942%41%4.3853.41.61.7
NW.0137%17.838%2.6312538%2102.67.1745%26.346%44%4.0340.82.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Offense1415.815.543.7%3.521.6233991212783.641%58%47%43%13%.15
NW Defense1226.326.345.1%4.031.5 - - - - - 59%41%46%44%13%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Defense1439.945.840.8%4.381.7 - - - - - 50%49%42%41%16%.16
NW Offense1217.817.837.2%2.672.5193351252103.251%47%38%38%18%.01

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Purdue1431:512338%55%5.353.41.61.74.31.9328.5
Northwestern1229:011937%49%4.640.82.51.54.51.9026.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Offense1441%47%33.4121.13.617.09379%6%0.76
NW Defense1259%46% - - - - .163.1674%8%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Defense1450%42% - - - - .123.0471%9%0.93
NW Offense1251%38%39.1125.13.211-.042.6367%9%0.86

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Offense1458%43%26.341.5278.26.710.62617.241.430%28%.187%1.8
NW Defense1241%44% - - - - - - 6.221.329%29%.164%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Defense1449%41% - - - - - - 15.281.630%23%.097%2.1
NW Offense1247%38%20.434.8210.36.110.31017.151.433%21%.049%1.9

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -2.72 #81
Purdue's Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Purdue's Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
2023 Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 16% #37
Purdue's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Purdue's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -2.72   Northwestern: 1.52

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -7.4   Northwestern: -1.4




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: 1.52 #66
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 15.21 #79
Northwestern's Defense Rating: 9.49 #66
2023 Talent Rating: 682.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #49
Northwestern's 2023 Expected Record: 6.10 - 6.90
Northwestern's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #104
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #30

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Purdue Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 39.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.8

Purdue's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Northwestern 28
Purdue 21

Projected Total Points: 50
Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.8
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.3

Northwestern's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Purdue20Northwestern26NorthwesternPurdue -3Northwestern44.5Over
202311/18Northwestern23Purdue15NorthwesternNorthwestern -2.5Northwestern47.5Under
202211/19Purdue17Northwestern9PurduePurdue -17.5Northwestern44.5Under
202111/20Northwestern14Purdue32PurduePurdue -11Purdue47.5Under
202011/14Purdue20Northwestern27NorthwesternNorthwestern -3.5Northwestern48.5Under
201911/09Northwestern22Purdue24PurduePurdue -0.0Purdue38.5Over
201808/30Purdue27Northwestern31NorthwesternPurdue -1Northwestern52.5Over
201711/11Northwestern23Purdue13NorthwesternNorthwestern -6Northwestern49.5Under
201611/12Purdue17Northwestern45NorthwesternNorthwestern -10.5Northwestern58.0Over
201511/14Northwestern21Purdue14NorthwesternNorthwestern -13Purdue48.0Under
201411/22Purdue14Northwestern38NorthwesternNorthwestern -2Northwestern0
201010/09Northwestern17Purdue20Purdue
200910/03Purdue21Northwestern27Northwestern
200810/18Northwestern48Purdue26Northwestern
200710/27Purdue35Northwestern17Purdue
200610/14Northwestern10Purdue31Purdue
200510/15Purdue29Northwestern34Northwestern
200410/30Northwestern13Purdue10Northwestern
200311/01Purdue34Northwestern14Purdue
200210/26Northwestern13Purdue42Purdue
200110/27Purdue32Northwestern27Purdue
200010/13Northwestern28Purdue41Purdue
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern1284 Overs
Purdue1036 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 132 - 92 - 50 - 4
Road Teams13 - 99 - 24 - 05 - 2

(#81) Purdue Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.72 #81
Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 16% #37
Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30

Team Profile






,
,







Purdue     Ratings Matchup     Northwestern
Power #81
#66
Off #90
#79
Def #83
#66
Talent #65
#54
SP+ #90
#71
SP+ Off #89
#104
SP+ Def #72
#30

Rematch from Week 12
Northwestern -2.5 (47.5)
Northwestern won vs Purdue this year (23-15)

Previous Matchups
Northwestern beat Purdue last year (26-20)
Northwestern beat Purdue in 2023 (23-15)
Purdue beat Northwestern in 2022 (17-9)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ryan Field
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 51° - Wind: 13 mph


Team Information
Injuries: PUR | NW
Depth Chart: PUR | NW
Rosters: PUR | NW
(#66) Northwestern Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.52 #66
Offense Rating: 15.21 #79
Defense Rating: 9.49 #66
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #104
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #30
Talent Rating: 682.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #49
Expected Record: 6.10 - 6.90

Team Profile






,
,









  
Purdue's OC Graham Harrell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hudson Card (Tr)14424858%1641976.6
Christian Gelov1333%26008.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Downing4415213.515
Deion Burks53206.411
Christian Gelov112012.012
Ben Furtney1-50-5.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
TJ Sheffield5450539.458
Elijah Canion25354314.250
Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen21254012.151
Deion Burks3124537.920

View Purdue's Full Roster
Purdue's DC Kevin Kane
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kydran Jenkins8313751
O.C. Brothers473021
Nic Caraway3714442
Clyde Washington363010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kydran Jenkins8313751
Nic Caraway3714442
Khordae Sydnor147422
Prince Boyd Jr.31101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Markevious Brown (Tr)90003
Nic Caraway3714442
Braxton Myers (Tr)312002

Northwestern's OC Mike Bajakian
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendan Sullivan385372%474338.9
Ryan Hilinski91560%121018.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Tyus III237121595.146
Brendan Sullivan4715143.230
Jacob Gill51302.69
A.J. Henning (Tr)5801.69
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
A.J. Henning (Tr)59603410.246
Bryce Kirtz39598015.355
Jacob Gill35411211.759
Thomas Gordon2725219.326

View Northwestern's Full Roster
Northwestern's DC Vacant
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xander Mueller575114
Nigel Williams530002
Garnett Hollis Jr.461006
Jaheem Joseph421112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reginald Pearson214200
Xander Mueller575114
Rod Heard372114
Grayson Metz322101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Garnett Hollis Jr.461006
Xander Mueller575114
Rod Heard372114