Northwestern at Wisconsin Game Matchup
Northwestern logo Northwestern Wildcats at Wisconsin BadgersWisconsin logo
Saturday, November 11th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Wisconsin -9.5 (43.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Northwestern 24 - Wisconsin: 10  (Big Ten)

 
Wildcats (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach David Braun (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 18 - 26 (18 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 6.9 (#73)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WIS is playing their 6th straight game
NW is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Wisconsin -12.5   (SP+ WIS -11)
Projected Score: NW: 16 - WIS: 28 (46)
WIS Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
NW Travel: 112 miles
Badgers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (21 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 4.1 (#29)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Northwestern's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/3 Northwestern at Rutgers+5.039.0L 7 - 24UN
Sat 9/9 Northwestern vs UTEP-1.040.0W 38 - 7OY
Sat 9/16 Northwestern at Duke+17.048.0L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/23 Northwestern vs Minnesota+11.539.5W 37 - 34OY
Sat 9/30 Northwestern vs Penn State+27.048.0L 13 - 41ON
Sat 10/7 Northwestern vs Howard-23.051.0W 23 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Northwestern at Nebraska+10.540.0L 9 - 17UY
Sat 10/28 Northwestern vs Maryland+14.048.5W 33 - 27OY
Sat 11/4 Northwestern vs Iowa+4.530.5L 7 - 10UY
Sat 11/11 Northwestern at Wisconsin+9.543.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 11/18 Northwestern vs Purdue-2.547.5W 23 - 15UY
Sat 11/25 Northwestern at Illinois+5.046.5W 45 - 43OY
Sat 12/23 Northwestern vs Utah+6.544.5W 14 - 7UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Wisconsin's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Wisconsin vs Buffalo-29.052.5W 38 - 17ON
Sat 9/9 Wisconsin at Washington State-5.058.0L 22 - 31UN
Sat 9/16 Wisconsin vs Georgia Southern-20.565.5W 35 - 14UY
Fri 9/22 Wisconsin at Purdue-5.554.0W 38 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Wisconsin vs Rutgers-12.544.0W 24 - 13UN
Sat 10/14 Wisconsin vs Iowa-8.033.5L 6 - 15UN
Sat 10/21 Wisconsin at Illinois-3.040.5W 25 - 21OY
Sat 10/28 Wisconsin vs Ohio State+14.548.0L 10 - 24UY
Sat 11/4 Wisconsin at Indiana-9.545.0L 14 - 20UN
Sat 11/11 Wisconsin vs Northwestern-9.543.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/18 Wisconsin vs Nebraska-7.536.5W 24 - 17ON
Sat 11/25 Wisconsin at Minnesota-1.542.0W 28 - 14UY
Mon 1/1 Wisconsin vs LSU+9.559.5L 31 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NW.0137%17.838%2.6312538%2102.67.1745%26.346%44%4.0340.82.51.5
WIS.1642%22.645%3.0718038%1844.33.0736%23.135%39%3.6157.81.41.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WIS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NW Offense1217.817.637.2%2.672.5193351252103.251%47%38%38%18%.01
WIS Defense1323.120.436.4%3.611.6 - - - - - 49%49%35%39%19%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NW Defense1226.328.845.1%4.031.5 - - - - - 59%41%46%44%13%.17
WIS Offense1322.621.442.2%4.331.4183641801844.759%40%45%38%15%.16

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northwestern1229:011937%49%4.640.82.51.54.51.9026.9
Wisconsin1331:0817.940%47%6.257.81.41.66.22.5230.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NW Offense1251%38%39.1125.13.211-.042.6367%9%0.86
WIS Defense1349%35% - - - - -.022.5765%11%0.86
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NW Defense1259%46% - - - - .163.1674%8%0.92
WIS Offense1359%45%38.5179.84.721.173.0776%10%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NW Offense1247%38%20.434.8210.36.110.31017.151.433%21%.049%1.9
WIS Defense1349%39% - - - - - - 17.191.636%27%.217%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NW Defense1241%44% - - - - - - 6.221.329%29%.164%1.7
WIS Offense1340%38%14.525.1183.87.312.72111.181.730%27%.216%2.2

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: -0.56 #66
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 15.21 #79
Northwestern's Defense Rating: 9.49 #66
2023 Talent Rating: 682.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #49
Northwestern's 2023 Expected Record: 6.10 - 6.90
Northwestern's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #104
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #30

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: -0.56   Wisconsin: 11.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: -1.4   Wisconsin: 9.9




Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 11.27 #28
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 16.47 #67
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 4.78 #26
2023 Talent Rating: 804.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #31
Wisconsin's 2023 Expected Record: 8.90 - 4.10
Wisconsin's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.6
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Northwestern's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Wisconsin 28
Northwestern 16

Projected Total Points: 46
Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.4
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.4

Wisconsin's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Northwestern3Wisconsin23WisconsinWisconsin -9.5Wisconsin42.5Under
202311/11Wisconsin10Northwestern24NorthwesternWisconsin -9.5Northwestern43.5Under
202210/08Northwestern7Wisconsin42WisconsinWisconsin -10Wisconsin44.5Over
202111/13Wisconsin35Northwestern7WisconsinWisconsin -26.0Wisconsin41.5Over
202011/21Northwestern17Wisconsin7NorthwesternWisconsin -7.5Northwestern43.0Under
201909/28Wisconsin24Northwestern15WisconsinWisconsin -23Northwestern46.0Under
201810/27Northwestern31Wisconsin17NorthwesternWisconsin -4.5Northwestern50.0Under
201709/30Wisconsin33Northwestern24WisconsinWisconsin -16.5Northwestern50.5Over
201611/05Northwestern7Wisconsin21WisconsinWisconsin -6.5Wisconsin41.5Under
201511/21Wisconsin7Northwestern13NorthwesternWisconsin -10.5Northwestern41.5Under
201410/04Northwestern20Wisconsin14NorthwesternWisconsin -9.5Northwestern0
201310/12Wisconsin35Northwestern6WisconsinWisconsin -10Wisconsin0
201011/27Wisconsin70Northwestern23Wisconsin
200911/21Northwestern33Wisconsin31Northwestern
200610/07Wisconsin41Northwestern9Wisconsin
200510/08Northwestern51Wisconsin48Northwestern
200410/23Wisconsin24Northwestern12Wisconsin
200310/25Northwestern16Wisconsin7Northwestern
200009/22Wisconsin44Northwestern47Northwestern
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wisconsin1053 Overs
Northwestern977 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 65 - 72 - 43 - 3
Road Teams6 - 137 - 53 - 34 - 2

(#66) Northwestern Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.56 #66
Offense Rating: 15.21 #79
Defense Rating: 9.49 #66
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #104
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #30
Talent Rating: 682.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #49
Expected Record: 6.10 - 6.90

Team Profile






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Northwestern     Ratings Matchup     Wisconsin
Power #66
#28
Off #79
#67
Def #66
#26
Talent #54
#29
SP+ #71
#28
SP+ Off #104
#90
SP+ Def #30
#6

Rematch from Week 11
Wisconsin -9.5 (43.5)
Northwestern won at Wisconsin this year (24-10)

Previous Matchups
Wisconsin beat Northwestern last year (23-3)
Northwestern beat Wisconsin in 2023 (24-10)
Wisconsin beat Northwestern in 2022 (42-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 44° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: NW | WIS
Depth Chart: NW | WIS
Rosters: NW | WIS
(#28) Wisconsin Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.27 #28
Offense Rating: 16.47 #67
Defense Rating: 4.78 #26
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #6
Talent Rating: 804.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #31
Expected Record: 8.90 - 4.10

Team Profile






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Northwestern's OC Mike Bajakian
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendan Sullivan385372%474338.9
Ryan Hilinski91560%121018.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Tyus III237121595.146
Brendan Sullivan4715143.230
Jacob Gill51302.69
A.J. Henning (Tr)5801.69
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
A.J. Henning (Tr)59603410.246
Bryce Kirtz39598015.355
Jacob Gill35411211.759
Thomas Gordon2725219.326

View Northwestern's Full Roster
Northwestern's DC Vacant
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xander Mueller575114
Nigel Williams530002
Garnett Hollis Jr.461006
Jaheem Joseph421112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reginald Pearson214200
Xander Mueller575114
Rod Heard372114
Grayson Metz322101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Garnett Hollis Jr.461006
Xander Mueller575114
Rod Heard372114

Wisconsin's OC Phil Longo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nick Evers (Tr)9718054%918555.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Evers (Tr)8024533.123
Chez Mellusi5623234.121
Keontez Lewis10121112.157
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keontez Lewis49790516.165
Chimere Dike42783218.644
Bryson Green (Tr)17219212.935
Chez Mellusi61702.810

View Wisconsin's Full Roster
Wisconsin's DC Colin Hitschler
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hunter Wohler711006
Jordan Turner6611341
Jake Chaney554120
Nyzier Fourqurean (Tr)512015
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Kirschke4110682
Jordan Turner6611341
Jordan Mayer22200
Jake Chaney554120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hunter Wohler711006
Nyzier Fourqurean (Tr)512015
Gabe Kirschke4110682