Wisconsin at Purdue - 2023 Matchup Preview
Wisconsin logo Wisconsin Badgers at Purdue BoilermakersPurdue logo
Friday, September 22nd 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Wisconsin -5.5 (54.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Wisconsin 38 - Purdue: 17  (Big Ten)

 
Badgers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (25 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 4.1 (#29)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PUR 2nd straight Home Game
PUR is playing their 4th straight game
WIS is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Wisconsin -11.5   (SP+ WIS -17.5)
Projected Score: WIS: 32 - PUR: 21 (51)
WIS Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
WIS Travel: 223 miles, 1 hrs behind
Boilermakers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ryan Walters (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 16 - 40 (16 - 34 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Wisconsin's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Wisconsin vs Buffalo-29.052.5W 38 - 17ON
Sat 9/9 Wisconsin at Washington State-5.058.0L 22 - 31UN
Sat 9/16 Wisconsin vs Georgia Southern-20.565.5W 35 - 14UY
Fri 9/22 Wisconsin at Purdue-5.554.0W 38 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Wisconsin vs Rutgers-12.544.0W 24 - 13UN
Sat 10/14 Wisconsin vs Iowa-8.033.5L 6 - 15UN
Sat 10/21 Wisconsin at Illinois-3.040.5W 25 - 21OY
Sat 10/28 Wisconsin vs Ohio State+14.548.0L 10 - 24UY
Sat 11/4 Wisconsin at Indiana-9.545.0L 14 - 20UN
Sat 11/11 Wisconsin vs Northwestern-9.543.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/18 Wisconsin vs Nebraska-7.536.5W 24 - 17ON
Sat 11/25 Wisconsin at Minnesota-1.542.0W 28 - 14UY
Mon 1/1 Wisconsin vs LSU+9.559.5L 31 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule
Purdue's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Purdue vs Fresno State-4.047.0L 35 - 39ON
Sat 9/9 Purdue at Virginia Tech+1.549.0W 24 - 17UY
Sat 9/16 Purdue vs Syracuse+1.056.5L 20 - 35UN
Fri 9/22 Purdue vs Wisconsin+5.554.0L 17 - 38ON
Sat 9/30 Purdue vs Illinois-1.054.0W 44 - 19OY
Sat 10/7 Purdue at Iowa+2.538.5L 14 - 20UN
Sat 10/14 Purdue vs Ohio State+17.553.0L 7 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Purdue at Nebraska-1.039.5L 14 - 31ON
Sat 11/4 Purdue at Michigan+32.552.5L 13 - 41OY
Sat 11/11 Purdue vs Minnesota+1.548.5W 49 - 30OY
Sat 11/18 Purdue at Northwestern+2.547.5L 15 - 23UN
Sat 11/25 Purdue vs Indiana-2.555.5W 35 - 31OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIS.1642%22.645%3.0718038%1844.33.0736%23.135%39%3.6157.81.41.6
PUR.1544%15.847%312143%2783.52.1641%39.942%41%4.3853.41.61.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIS Offense1322.624.542.2%4.331.4183641801844.759%40%45%38%15%.16
PUR Defense1439.93440.8%4.381.7 - - - - - 50%49%42%41%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIS Defense1323.132.836.4%3.611.6 - - - - - 49%49%35%39%19%.07
PUR Offense1415.81643.7%3.521.6233991212783.641%58%47%43%13%.15

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wisconsin1331:0817.940%47%6.257.81.41.66.22.5230.1
Purdue1431:512338%55%5.353.41.61.74.31.9328.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIS Offense1359%45%38.5179.84.721.173.0776%10%0.96
PUR Defense1450%42% - - - - .123.0471%9%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIS Defense1349%35% - - - - -.022.5765%11%0.86
PUR Offense1441%47%33.4121.13.617.09379%6%0.76

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIS Offense1340%38%14.525.1183.87.312.72111.181.730%27%.216%2.2
PUR Defense1449%41% - - - - - - 15.281.630%23%.097%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIS Defense1349%39% - - - - - - 17.191.636%27%.217%2
PUR Offense1458%43%26.341.5278.26.710.62617.241.430%28%.187%1.8

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 7.64 #28
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 16.47 #67
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 4.78 #26
2023 Talent Rating: 804.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 22% #31
Wisconsin's 2023 Expected Record: 8.90 - 4.10
Wisconsin's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 7.64   Purdue: -2.56

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 9.9   Purdue: -7.4




Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -2.56 #81
Purdue's Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Purdue's Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
2023 Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #37
Purdue's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Purdue's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.5
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Wisconsin's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Wisconsin 32
Purdue 21

Projected Total Points: 51
Purdue Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 16
Defense: 39.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 34

Purdue's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Wisconsin52Purdue6WisconsinWisconsin -12Wisconsin44.5Over
202309/22Purdue17Wisconsin38WisconsinWisconsin -5.5Wisconsin54.0Over
202210/22Wisconsin35Purdue24WisconsinWisconsin -1.5Wisconsin51.5Over
202110/23Purdue13Wisconsin30WisconsinWisconsin -3.5Wisconsin41.0Over
201911/23Wisconsin45Purdue24WisconsinWisconsin -24.5Purdue49.0Over
201811/17Purdue44Wisconsin47WisconsinPurdue -3.5Wisconsin56.0Over
201710/14Wisconsin17Purdue9WisconsinWisconsin -17Purdue49.5Under
201611/19Purdue20Wisconsin49WisconsinWisconsin -26.5Wisconsin48.5Over
201510/17Wisconsin24Purdue7WisconsinWisconsin -20.5Purdue51.5Under
201411/08Purdue16Wisconsin34WisconsinWisconsin -15.5Wisconsin0
201309/21Wisconsin41Purdue10WisconsinWisconsin -23Wisconsin0
201210/13Purdue14Wisconsin38Wisconsin
201111/05Wisconsin62Purdue17Wisconsin
201011/06Purdue13Wisconsin34Wisconsin
200910/31Wisconsin37Purdue0Wisconsin
200610/21Purdue3Wisconsin24Wisconsin
200510/22Wisconsin31Purdue20Wisconsin
200410/16Purdue17Wisconsin20Wisconsin
200310/18Wisconsin23Purdue26Purdue
200010/20Wisconsin24Purdue30Purdue
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Purdue237 Overs
Wisconsin1882 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 113 - 83 - 40 - 4
Road Teams11 - 98 - 34 - 04 - 3

(#28) Wisconsin Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.64 #28
Offense Rating: 16.47 #67
Defense Rating: 4.78 #26
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #6
Talent Rating: 804.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 22% #31
Expected Record: 8.90 - 4.10

Team Profile






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Wisconsin     Ratings Matchup     Purdue
Power #28
#81
Off #67
#90
Def #26
#83
Talent #29
#65
SP+ #28
#90
SP+ Off #90
#89
SP+ Def #6
#72

Rematch from Week 4
Wisconsin 5.5 (54.0)
Wisconsin won at Purdue this year (38-17)

Previous Matchups
Wisconsin beat Purdue last year (52-6)
Wisconsin beat Purdue in 2023 (38-17)
Wisconsin beat Purdue in 2022 (35-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 74°

Team Information
Injuries: WIS | PUR
Depth Chart: WIS | PUR
Rosters: WIS | PUR
(#81) Purdue Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.56 #81
Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #37
Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30

Team Profile






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Wisconsin's OC Phil Longo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nick Evers (Tr)9718054%918555.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Evers (Tr)8024533.123
Chez Mellusi5623234.121
Keontez Lewis10121112.157
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keontez Lewis49790516.165
Chimere Dike42783218.644
Bryson Green (Tr)17219212.935
Chez Mellusi61702.810

View Wisconsin's Full Roster
Wisconsin's DC Colin Hitschler
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hunter Wohler711006
Jordan Turner6611341
Jake Chaney554120
Nyzier Fourqurean (Tr)512015
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Kirschke4110682
Jordan Turner6611341
Jordan Mayer22200
Jake Chaney554120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hunter Wohler711006
Nyzier Fourqurean (Tr)512015
Gabe Kirschke4110682

Purdue's OC Graham Harrell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hudson Card (Tr)14424858%1641976.6
Christian Gelov1333%26008.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Downing4415213.515
Deion Burks53206.411
Christian Gelov112012.012
Ben Furtney1-50-5.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
TJ Sheffield5450539.458
Elijah Canion25354314.250
Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen21254012.151
Deion Burks3124537.920

View Purdue's Full Roster
Purdue's DC Kevin Kane
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kydran Jenkins8313751
O.C. Brothers473021
Nic Caraway3714442
Clyde Washington363010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kydran Jenkins8313751
Nic Caraway3714442
Khordae Sydnor147422
Prince Boyd Jr.31101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Markevious Brown (Tr)90003
Nic Caraway3714442
Braxton Myers (Tr)312002