Purdue at Iowa - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Iowa -2.5 (38.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Iowa 20 - Purdue: 14 (Big Ten)

Boilermakers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ryan Walters (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 16 - 40 (16 - 46 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 13.2 MPH
IOWA 2nd straight Home Game
IOWA is playing their 6th straight game
PUR is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Iowa -11.5 (SP+ IOWA -16)
Projected Score: PUR: 17 - IOWA: 29 (51)
IOWA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
PUR Travel: 256 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Hawkeyes (10 - 4) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (189 - 115)
Avg Score : 28 - 18 (33 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 7.4 (#66)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PUR Players
IOWA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Purdue's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Purdue vs Fresno State	-4.0	47.0	L 35 - 39	O	N
Sat 9/9	Purdue at Virginia Tech	+1.5	49.0	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Purdue vs Syracuse	+1.0	56.5	L 20 - 35	U	N
Fri 9/22	Purdue vs Wisconsin	+5.5	54.0	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/30	Purdue vs Illinois	-1.0	54.0	W 44 - 19	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Purdue at Iowa	+2.5	38.5	L 14 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/14	Purdue vs Ohio State	+17.5	53.0	L 7 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Purdue at Nebraska	-1.0	39.5	L 14 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/4	Purdue at Michigan	+32.5	52.5	L 13 - 41	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Purdue vs Minnesota	+1.5	48.5	W 49 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Purdue at Northwestern	+2.5	47.5	L 15 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/25	Purdue vs Indiana	-2.5	55.5	W 35 - 31	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule

Iowa's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Iowa vs Utah State	-24.0	43.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/9	Iowa at Iowa State	-3.5	35.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Iowa vs Western Michigan	-28.5	43.5	W 41 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Iowa at Penn State	+14.0	38.5	L 0 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/30	Iowa vs Michigan State	-10.0	36.5	W 26 - 16	O	N
Sat 10/7	Iowa vs Purdue	-2.5	38.5	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Iowa at Wisconsin	+8.0	33.5	W 15 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Iowa vs Minnesota	-3.0	30.5	L 10 - 12	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Iowa vs Northwestern	-4.5	30.5	W 10 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/11	Iowa vs Rutgers	+2.5	27.5	W 22 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Iowa vs Illinois	-2.5	33.5	W 15 - 13	U	N
Fri 11/24	Iowa at Nebraska	+3.0	25.5	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/2	Iowa vs Michigan	+23.5	35.0	L 0 - 26	U	N
Mon 1/1	Iowa vs Tennessee	+4.5	37.0	L 0 - 35	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PUR	.15	44%	15.8	47%	3	121	43%	278	3.52	.16	41%	39.9	42%	41%	4.38	53.4	1.6	1.7
IOWA		36%	27.7	38%	2.45	95	35%	157	2.76	-.05	34%	17.8	38%	32%	2.75	32.3	1.3	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PUR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
IOWA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PUR Offense	14	15.8	15.5	43.7%	3.52	1.6	23	399	121	278	3.6	41%	58%	47%	43%	13%	.15
IOWA Defense	13	17.8	13	34.4%	2.75	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	38%	32%	17%	-.05

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PUR Defense	14	39.9	45.8	40.8%	4.38	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	42%	41%	16%	.16
IOWA Offense	13	27.7	33.1	35.8%	2.76	1.3	14	252	95	157	2.9	49%	51%	38%	35%	18%

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Purdue	14	31:51	23	38%	55%	5.3	53.4	1.6	1.7	4.3	1.9	3	28.5
Iowa	13	28:16	13.8	28%	33%	4.1	32.3	1.3	2.2	6.1	2.6	4	31.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PUR Offense	14	41%	47%	33.4	121.1	3.6	17	.09	3	79%	6%	0.76
IOWA Defense	13	49%	38%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.57	74%	11%	0.76

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PUR Defense	14	50%	42%	-	-	-	-	.12	3.04	71%	9%	0.93
IOWA Offense	13	49%	38%	32.5	94.9	2.9	12	-.05	2.45	63%	13%	0.84

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PUR Offense	14	58%	43%	26.3	41.5	278.2	6.7	10.6	26	17	.24	1.4	30%	28%	.18	7%	1.8
IOWA Defense	13	49%	32%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	-.01	1.4	34%	22%	-.02	6%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PUR Defense	14	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.28	1.6	30%	23%	.09	7%	2.1
IOWA Offense	13	51%	35%	14.8	26.8	156.7	5.8	10.6	7	7	.06	1.5	36%	22%	.08	5%	2

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -2.72 #81
Purdue's Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Purdue's Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
2023 Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 16% #37
Purdue's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Purdue's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -2.72 Iowa: 6.51

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -7.4 Iowa: 8.1

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 6.51 #61
Iowa's Offense Rating: 3.02 #133
Iowa's Defense Rating: -2.19 #3
2023 Talent Rating: 838.00 #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #38
Iowa's 2023 Expected Record: 6.60 - 7.40
Iowa's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.0 #127
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Purdue Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 39.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.8

Purdue's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa 29
Purdue 17

Projected Total Points: 51

Iowa Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.1
Defense: 17.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Iowa's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/07	Iowa	20	Purdue	14	Iowa	Iowa -2.5	Iowa	38.5	Under
2022	11/05	Purdue	3	Iowa	24	Iowa	Purdue -3.5	Iowa	39.5	Under
2021	10/16	Iowa	7	Purdue	24	Purdue	Iowa -11	Purdue	42.5	Under
2020	10/24	Purdue	24	Iowa	20	Purdue	Iowa -3.5	Purdue	52.0	Under
2019	10/19	Iowa	26	Purdue	20	Iowa	Iowa -17.5	Purdue	47.5	Under
2018	11/03	Purdue	38	Iowa	36	Purdue	Purdue -1.5	Purdue	51.5	Over
2017	11/18	Iowa	15	Purdue	24	Purdue	Iowa -6	Purdue	42.5	Under
2016	10/15	Purdue	35	Iowa	49	Iowa	Iowa -13	Iowa	52.5	Over
2015	11/21	Iowa	40	Purdue	20	Iowa	Iowa -24	Purdue	54.5	Over
2014	09/27	Purdue	10	Iowa	24	Iowa	Iowa -13.5	Iowa	0
2013	11/09	Purdue	14	Iowa	38	Iowa	Iowa -14	Iowa	0
2012	11/10	Iowa	24	Purdue	27	Purdue
2011	11/19	Purdue	21	Iowa	31	Iowa
2008	11/15	Iowa	22	Purdue	17	Iowa
2007	10/20	Purdue	31	Iowa	6	Purdue
2006	10/07	Iowa	47	Purdue	17	Iowa
2005	10/08	Purdue	17	Iowa	34	Iowa
2004	11/06	Iowa	23	Purdue	21	Iowa
2003	11/08	Purdue	27	Iowa	14	Purdue
2002	10/05	Iowa	31	Purdue	28	Iowa
2001	10/06	Purdue	23	Iowa	14	Purdue

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Iowa	13	5	3 Overs
Purdue	8	6	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 9	3 - 8	2 - 5	1 - 3
Road Teams	9 - 12	8 - 3	3 - 1	5 - 2

(#81) Purdue Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.72 #81
Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 16% #37
Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30

Team Profile

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Purdue Ratings Matchup Iowa

Power #81

#61

Off #90

#133

Def #83

Talent #65

#22

SP+ #90

#36

SP+ Off #89

#127

SP+ Def #72

Rematch from Week 6
Iowa -2.5 (38.5)
Iowa won vs Purdue this year (20-14)

Previous Matchups
Iowa beat Purdue in 2023 (20-14)
Iowa beat Purdue in 2022 (24-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kinnick Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 59° - Wind: 13 mph

Team Information
Injuries: PUR | IOWA
Depth Chart: PUR | IOWA
Rosters: PUR | IOWA

(#61) Iowa Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.51 #61
Offense Rating: 3.02 #133
Defense Rating: -2.19 #3
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.0 #127
Defense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #2
Talent Rating: 838.00 #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #38
Expected Record: 6.60 - 7.40

Team Profile

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Purdue's OC Graham Harrell

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hudson Card (Tr)	144	248	58%	1641	9	7	6.6
Christian Gelov	1	3	33%	26	0	0	8.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dylan Downing	44	152	1	3.5	15
Deion Burks	5	32	0	6.4	11
Christian Gelov	1	12	0	12.0	12
Ben Furtney	1	-5	0	-5.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
TJ Sheffield	54	505	3	9.4	58
Elijah Canion	25	354	3	14.2	50
Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen	21	254	0	12.1	51
Deion Burks	31	245	3	7.9	20

View Purdue's Full Roster

Purdue's DC Kevin Kane

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kydran Jenkins	83	13	7	5	1
O.C. Brothers	47	3	0	2	1
Nic Caraway	37	14	4	4	2
Clyde Washington	36	3	0	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kydran Jenkins	83	13	7	5	1
Nic Caraway	37	14	4	4	2
Khordae Sydnor	14	7	4	2	2
Prince Boyd Jr.	3	1	1	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Markevious Brown (Tr)	9	0	0	0	3
Nic Caraway	37	14	4	4	2
Braxton Myers (Tr)	31	2	0	0	2

Iowa's OC Brian Ferentz

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaleb Johnson	240	1537	21	6.4	75
Hayden Large	2	2	0	1.0	2

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Diante Vines	36	393	2	10.9	40
Luke Lachey	28	231	0	8.3	28
Kaleb Johnson	22	188	2	8.5	72
Hayden Large	3	18	0	6.0	10

View Iowa's Full Roster

Iowa's DC Phil Parker

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jay Higgins	124	3	1	6	5
Nick Jackson (Tr)	91	5	3	5	7
Quinn Schulte	62	0	0	0	3
Sebastian Castro	57	3	0	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deontae Craig	43	7	3	6	1
Nick Jackson (Tr)	91	5	3	5	7
Jay Higgins	124	3	1	6	5
Anterio Thompson	34	2	1	5	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nick Jackson (Tr)	91	5	3	5	7
Jermari Harris	27	1	0	0	7
Jay Higgins	124	3	1	6	5