Northwestern at Rutgers - 2023 Matchup Preview

Northwestern Wildcats at Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Sunday, September 3rd 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Rutgers -5 (39.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Rutgers 24 - Northwestern: 7 (Big Ten)

Wildcats (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach David Braun (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (15 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 6.9 (#73)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Rutgers -4.5 (SP+ RUTG -4)
Projected Score: NW: 21 - RUTG: 25 (46)
RUTG Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
NW Travel: 6621 miles, 1 hrs behind

Scarlet Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 4 - 2)
Coach Greg Schiano (15 - 22)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (35 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 7.2 (#81)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NW Players
RUTG Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Northwestern's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	Northwestern at Rutgers	+5.0	39.0	L 7 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/9	Northwestern vs UTEP	-1.0	40.0	W 38 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Northwestern at Duke	+17.0	48.0	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/23	Northwestern vs Minnesota	+11.5	39.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Northwestern vs Penn State	+27.0	48.0	L 13 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/7	Northwestern vs Howard	-23.0	51.0	W 23 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Northwestern at Nebraska	+10.5	40.0	L 9 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Northwestern vs Maryland	+14.0	48.5	W 33 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Northwestern vs Iowa	+4.5	30.5	L 7 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Northwestern at Wisconsin	+9.5	43.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Northwestern vs Purdue	-2.5	47.5	W 23 - 15	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Northwestern at Illinois	+5.0	46.5	W 45 - 43	O	Y
Sat 12/23	Northwestern vs Utah	+6.5	44.5	W 14 - 7	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule

Rutgers's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	Rutgers vs Northwestern	-5.0	39.0	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Rutgers vs Temple	-7.5	43.5	W 36 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Rutgers vs Virginia Tech	-6.5	37.5	W 35 - 16	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Rutgers at Michigan	+24.0	44.5	L 7 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Rutgers vs Wagner	-46.0	52.5	W 52 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Rutgers at Wisconsin	+12.5	44.0	L 13 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Rutgers vs Michigan State	-4.0	38.5	W 27 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/21	Rutgers at Indiana	-6.0	39.5	W 31 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Rutgers vs Ohio State	+19.0	42.5	L 16 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Rutgers at Iowa	-2.5	27.5	L 0 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/18	Rutgers at Penn State	+19.5	39.5	L 6 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/25	Rutgers vs Maryland	+2.0	45.5	L 24 - 42	O	N
Thu 12/28	Rutgers vs Miami	-3.0	41.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NW	.01	37%	23.4	38%	2.63	125	38%	210	2.67	.17	45%	19.8	46%	44%	4.03	40.8	2.5	1.5
RUTG	.05	37%	28.7	41%	3.01	127	34%	154	3.32	.14	42%	31.8	45%	39%	3.86	64.2	1.7	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NW		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
RUTG		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NW Offense	12	23.4	15.2	37.2%	2.67	2.5	19	335	125	210	3.2	51%	47%	38%	38%	18%	.01
RUTG Defense	12	31.8	30.3	41.7%	3.86	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	45%	39%	20%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NW Defense	12	19.8	26	45.1%	4.03	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	59%	41%	46%	44%	13%	.17
RUTG Offense	12	28.7	35.4	37.4%	3.32	1.7	15	281	127	154	3.5	53%	47%	41%	34%	19%	.05

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Northwestern	12	29:01	19	37%	49%	4.6	40.8	2.5	1.5	4.5	1.9	0	26.9
Rutgers	12	29:11	14.8	28%	53%	7.8	64.2	1.7	1.4	5.5	1.7	3	27.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NW Offense	12	51%	38%	39.1	125.1	3.2	11	-.04	2.63	67%	9%	0.86
RUTG Defense	12	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.14	2.8	69%	11%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NW Defense	12	59%	46%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.16	74%	8%	0.92
RUTG Offense	12	53%	41%	36	126.9	3.5	11	-.01	3.01	74%	13%	0.71

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NW Offense	12	47%	38%	20.4	34.8	210.3	6.1	10.3	10	17	.15	1.4	33%	21%	.04	9%	1.9
RUTG Defense	12	51%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.17	1.5	33%	26%	.12	9%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NW Defense	12	41%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.22	1.3	29%	29%	.16	4%	1.7
RUTG Offense	12	47%	34%	14	27.7	154.3	5.6	11	11	14	.12	1.7	34%	21%	.11	7%	2.3

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: -0.56 #66
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 15.21 #79
Northwestern's Defense Rating: 9.49 #66
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #49
Northwestern's 2023 Expected Record: 6.10 - 6.90
Northwestern's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #104
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #30

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: -0.56 Rutgers: 3.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: -1.4 Rutgers: 2.3

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: 3.5 #64
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 13.71 #92
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Rutgers's 2023 Expected Record: 5.80 - 7.20
Rutgers's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #59
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #98
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.2
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Northwestern's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Rutgers 25
Northwestern 21

Projected Total Points: 46

Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.4
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Rutgers's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 2
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/03	Rutgers	24	Northwestern	7	Rutgers -5	Rutgers	39.0	Under
2021	10/16	Northwestern	21	Rutgers	7	Rutgers -2.5	Northwestern	45.0	Under
2018	10/20	Rutgers	15	Northwestern	18	Northwestern -20	Rutgers	48.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Rutgers	1	2	0 Overs
Northwestern	2	1	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	3 - 0	1 - 0	2 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 2	0 - 3	0 - 2	0 - 1

(#66) NW at (#64) RUTG

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NW	RUTG
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#66	#64
SP+SP+	#71	#59
Perf GradeGrade	#82	#50
OffenseOff	#109	#61
DefenseDef	#34	#37
Spec TeamsST	#71	#115
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#49	#53

Northwestern Injury Report

Rutgers Injury Report

Northwestern on Offense


CategoryCat	NW Off	RUTG Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#109	#37
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#79	#59
SP+SP+	#104	#21
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Northwestern Run Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	RUTG Def
Run GameRun	#126	#65
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#92	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#4

Northwestern Pass Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	RUTG Def
Pass GamePass	#86	#29
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#101	#55
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Rutgers on Offense


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	NW Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#61	#34
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#92	#66
SP+SP+	#98	#30
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Rutgers Run Game


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	NW Def
Run GameRun	#33	#32
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#52	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#40

Rutgers Pass Game


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	NW Def
Pass GamePass	#94	#31
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#108	#122
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
RUTG 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

NW 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in SHI Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 86° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Rutgers -5.0 (39.0)
Rutgers won vs Northwestern this year (24-7)

Previous Matchups
Rutgers beat Northwestern in 2023 (24-7)

NW's OC Mike Bajakian (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ben Bryant	173	277	63%	1807	13	6	6.5
Brendan Sullivan	63	99	64%	714	6	2	7.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Porter	166	651	4	3.9	34
Anthony Tyus III	50	238	1	4.8	39
Brendan Sullivan	75	160	2	2.1	35
Joseph Himon II	35	136	0	3.9	32

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Johnson (Tr)	54	715	6	13.2	52
Bryce Kirtz	49	701	5	14.3	80
A.J. Henning (Tr)	45	418	4	9.3	41
Joseph Himon II	18	219	1	12.2	85

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC Vacant (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Bryce Gallagher	113	4	1	2
Xander Mueller	103	10	5	2
Rod Heard	82	4	1	4
Devin Turner	75	1	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aidan Hubbard	26	9	6	2	1
Anto Saka	13	6	6	1	0
Xander Mueller	103	10	5	0	2
Jaylen Pate	22	3	3	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Theran Johnson	35	2	0	0	5
Sean McLaughlin	18	2	1	3	5
Rod Heard	82	4	1	0	4

RUTG's OC Kirk Ciarrocca (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Gavin Wimsatt	138	289	48%	1735	9	8	6.0
Evan Simon	2	3	67%	30	1	0	10.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kyle Monangai	242	1262	8	5.2	55
Gavin Wimsatt	131	497	11	3.8	80
Samuel Brown V	63	217	2	3.4	11
Ja'shon Benjamin	45	172	1	3.8	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Christian Dremel	35	463	3	13.2	69
JaQuae Jackson (Tr)	22	361	1	16.4	61
Isaiah Washington	26	326	1	12.5	42
Ian Strong	16	230	2	14.4	29

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC Joe Harasymiak (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deion Jennings	94	5	0	0	4
Mohamed Toure	92	10	5	4	2
Michael Dixon (Tr)	76	2	0	1	5
Desmond Igbinosun	64	7	1	3	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mohamed Toure	92	10	5	4	2
Wesley Bailey	25	5	4	5	3
Tyreem Powell	52	3	3	2	2
Aaron Lewis	49	5	3	10	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Robert Longerbeam	39	1	1	8
Eric Rogers (Tr)	18	0	0	6
Max Melton	32	4	1	6