Maryland at Northwestern - 2023 Matchup Preview
Maryland logo Maryland Terrapins at Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern logo
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Maryland -14 (48.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Northwestern 33 - Maryland: 27  (Big Ten)

 
Terrapins (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (24 - 28)
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (26 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.9 - 5.1 (#46)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MD coming off BYE
Our Line: Maryland -6.5   (SP+ MD -10.5)

Projected Score: MD: 28 - NW: 21 (49)
MD Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
MD Travel: 602 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wildcats (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach David Braun (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 22 - 23 (28 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 6.9 (#73)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Maryland's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Maryland vs Towson-38.555.5W 38 - 6UN
Sat 9/9 Maryland vs Charlotte-24.550.0W 38 - 20ON
Fri 9/15 Maryland vs Virginia-16.548.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 9/23 Maryland at Michigan State-7.052.5W 31 - 9UY
Sat 9/30 Maryland vs Indiana-14.550.0W 44 - 17OY
Sat 10/7 Maryland at Ohio State+17.056.5L 17 - 37UN
Sat 10/14 Maryland vs Illinois-13.552.0L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Maryland at Northwestern-14.048.5L 27 - 33ON
Sat 11/4 Maryland vs Penn State+8.550.5L 15 - 51ON
Sat 11/11 Maryland at Nebraska-1.541.5W 13 - 10UY
Sat 11/18 Maryland vs Michigan+17.550.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/25 Maryland at Rutgers-2.045.5W 42 - 24OY
Sat 12/30 Maryland vs Auburn+4.047.5W 31 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule
Northwestern's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/3 Northwestern at Rutgers+5.039.0L 7 - 24UN
Sat 9/9 Northwestern vs UTEP-1.040.0W 38 - 7OY
Sat 9/16 Northwestern at Duke+17.048.0L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/23 Northwestern vs Minnesota+11.539.5W 37 - 34OY
Sat 9/30 Northwestern vs Penn State+27.048.0L 13 - 41ON
Sat 10/7 Northwestern vs Howard-23.051.0W 23 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Northwestern at Nebraska+10.540.0L 9 - 17UY
Sat 10/28 Northwestern vs Maryland+14.048.5W 33 - 27OY
Sat 11/4 Northwestern vs Iowa+4.530.5L 7 - 10UY
Sat 11/11 Northwestern at Wisconsin+9.543.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 11/18 Northwestern vs Purdue-2.547.5W 23 - 15UY
Sat 11/25 Northwestern at Illinois+5.046.5W 45 - 43OY
Sat 12/23 Northwestern vs Utah+6.544.5W 14 - 7UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MD#43 (.24)44% (45)29.742% (76)3.07 (79)10845% (30)2794.15 (43)#24 (.11)41% (53)22.544% (81)39% (32)3.62 (53)56.51.61.8
NW#113 (.1)38% (110)22.139% (109)2.63 (129)10238% (102)2024.11 (48)#33 (.14)43% (83)22.543% (73)44% (94)3.65 (56)42.60.71.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MD#106 (.13)41% (92)41% (97)2.89 (94)11141% (74)2763.62 (95)#84 (.19)43% (86)42% (65)44% (107)4.34 (116)58.61.71.4
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)39% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)44% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MD Offense1329.72644%4.151.6213871082793.741%58%42%45%17%.24
NW Defense1322.52443.1%3.651.8 - - - - - 54%45%43%44%14%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MD Defense1322.522.640.7%3.621.8 - - - - - 50%49%44%39%14%.11
NW Offense1322.127.838.3%4.110.7173041022022.949%51%39%38%16%.1

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Maryland1327:5620.842%68%5.556.51.61.84.72.4230.9
Northwestern1328:3416.840%21%5.342.60.71.84.21.9029.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MD Offense1341% (121)42% (76)29.4108.43.720 (61).17 (54)3.07 (79)69% (101)10% (77)1.07 (32)
NW Defense1354% (115)43% (73) - - - - .09 (36)3.12 (73)69% (43)9% (105)0.92 (31)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MD Defense1350% (60)44% (81) - - - - .12 (57)3.17 (87)73% (72)8% (116)0.84 (8)
NW Offense1349% (79)39% (109)35.2101.92.913 (108).05 (120)2.63 (129)70% (97)11% (88)0.83 (128)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MD Offense1358% (11)45% (30)23.636.7278.97.611.827 (25)13 (97).31 (56)1.5 (98)32% (65)35% (28).32 (73)6% (75)2 (94)
NW Defense1345% (20)44% (94) - - - - - - 13 (26).22 (39)1.4 (9)29% (123)32% (102).31 (68)5% (101)1.8 (9)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MD Defense1349% (57)39% (32) - - - - - - 17 (3).19 (22)1.5 (31)29% (118)30% (58).27 (45)6% (65)1.8 (12)
NW Offense1351% (51)38% (102)18.529.92026.810.920 (70)8 (30).18 (100)1.6 (62)35% (116)29% (84).36 (59)5% (23)2.2 (25)

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 6.66 #31
Maryland's Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Maryland's Defense Rating: 7.24 #40
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 19% #33
Maryland's 2023 Expected Record: 7.90 - 5.10
Maryland's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.7 #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Maryland: 6.66   Northwestern: 1.52

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Maryland: 9.2   Northwestern: -1.4




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: 1.52 #66
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 15.21 #79
Northwestern's Defense Rating: 9.49 #66
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #49
Northwestern's 2023 Expected Record: 6.10 - 6.90
Northwestern's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #104
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #30

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Maryland Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 22.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Maryland's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Maryland 28
Northwestern 21


Total Points: 49

Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 22.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.8
Defense: 22.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24

Northwestern's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/11Maryland10Northwestern37NorthwesternMaryland -11Northwestern45.0Over
202310/28Northwestern33Maryland27NorthwesternMaryland -14Northwestern48.5Over
202210/22Maryland31Northwestern24MarylandMaryland -14Northwestern51.0Over
202010/24Northwestern43Maryland3NorthwesternNorthwestern -14Northwestern51.0Under
201710/14Maryland21Northwestern37NorthwesternNorthwestern -2.5Northwestern50.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern454 Overs
Maryland101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 22 - 31 - 21 - 1
Road Teams2 - 33 - 21 - 12 - 1

(#31) Maryland Info
Power Rating: 6.66 #31
Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Defense Rating: 7.24 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.7 #20
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 19% #33
Expected Record: 7.90 - 5.10


Maryland has lost 2 straight
Maryland has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Maryland Highlights
Maryland defense does not give up big plays (#115)
Maryland defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#1)

Maryland Deficiencies
Maryland Can Not Run the Ball (#110)
Maryland Does Not Stuff Runs (#62)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatNWMD
OverallOver#67#53
OffenseOff#92#58
DefenseDef#28#49
Special TeamsST#57#52
PassingPass#72#35
RushingRush#92#49
Run BlockRBLK#69#58
Pass BlockPBLK#85#47
Route RunningWR Rt#79#47
TacklingTkl#35#30
Run DefenseR Def#28#82
Pass Rush DefPRush#90#60
Coverage DefCov#26#17

Rematch from Week 9
Maryland 14.0 (48.5)
Northwestern won vs Maryland this year (33-27)

Previous Matchups
Northwestern beat Maryland last year (37-10)
Northwestern beat Maryland in 2023 (33-27)
Maryland beat Northwestern in 2022 (31-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ryan Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MD | NW
Depth Chart: MD | NW
Rosters: MD | NW
(#66) Northwestern Info
Power Rating: 1.52 #66
Offense Rating: 15.21 #79
Defense Rating: 9.49 #66
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #104
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #30
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #49
Expected Record: 6.10 - 6.90


Northwestern has lost 1 straight
Northwestern has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Northwestern Highlights
Northwestern defense does not give up big plays (#66)
Northwestern has a great TO Margin (#131)
Northwestern defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)

Northwestern Deficiencies
Northwestern Can Not Run the Ball (#51)
Northwestern offense is really bad (#69)
Northwestern offense is not Explosive (#115)
Northwestern Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#61)
Northwestern run game is really bad (#53)
Northwestern pass game is really bad (#70)


  
Maryland's OC Josh Gattis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taulia Tagovailoa29043766%337725117.7
Billy Edwards103033%128114.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Roman Hemby14368044.840
Colby McDonald5330625.835
Antwain Littleton II6925523.732
Billy Edwards299173.117
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeshaun Jones56790414.164
Tai Felton48723615.157
Kaden Prather (Tr)42666515.957
Corey Dyches49491210.044

View Maryland's Full Roster
Maryland's DC Brian Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beau Brade754006
Ruben Hyppolite II663101
Dante Trader Jr.531007
Tarheeb Still452002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kellan Wyatt347531
Caleb Wheatland416421
Tre Colbert273300
Jaishawn Barham373331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaquan Sheppard313108
Dante Trader Jr.531007
Beau Brade754006

Northwestern's OC Mike Bajakian
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Bryant17327763%18071366.5
Brendan Sullivan639964%714627.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Porter16665143.934
Anthony Tyus III5023814.839
Brendan Sullivan7516022.135
Joseph Himon II3513603.932
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Johnson (Tr)54715613.252
Bryce Kirtz49701514.380
A.J. Henning (Tr)4541849.341
Joseph Himon II18219112.285

View Northwestern's Full Roster
Northwestern's DC Vacant
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Gallagher1134102
Xander Mueller10310502
Rod Heard824104
Devin Turner751004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aidan Hubbard269621
Anto Saka136610
Xander Mueller10310502
Jaylen Pate223300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Theran Johnson352005
Sean McLaughlin182135
Rod Heard824104