Minnesota at Purdue Game Matchup

Minnesota Golden Gophers at Purdue Boilermakers

Saturday, November 11th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Minnesota -1.5 (48.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Purdue 49 - Minnesota: 30 (Big Ten)

Golden Gophers (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (46 - 28)
Avg Score : 26 - 17 (23 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 8.2 (#102)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MINN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Purdue -0 (SP+ MINN -6)
Projected Score: MINN: 24 - PUR: 24 (49)
MINN Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
MINN Travel: 448 miles, 1 hrs behind

Boilermakers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ryan Walters (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 16 - 40 (16 - 34 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MINN Players
PUR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Minnesota's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Minnesota vs Nebraska	-7.5	43.0	W 13 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/9	Minnesota vs Eastern Michigan	-19.5	48.0	W 25 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/16	Minnesota at North Carolina	+7.0	51.0	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/23	Minnesota at Northwestern	-11.5	39.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/30	Minnesota vs Louisiana	-9.5	49.0	W 35 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Minnesota vs Michigan	+18.5	46.0	L 10 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Minnesota at Iowa	+3.0	30.5	W 12 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Minnesota vs Michigan State	-6.5	41.5	W 27 - 12	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Minnesota vs Illinois	-1.5	43.0	L 26 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/11	Minnesota at Purdue	-1.5	48.5	L 30 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/18	Minnesota at Ohio State	+27.5	51.5	L 3 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/25	Minnesota vs Wisconsin	+1.5	42.0	L 14 - 28	U	N
Tue 12/26	Minnesota vs Bowling Green	-2.5	45.0	W 30 - 24	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule

Purdue's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Purdue vs Fresno State	-4.0	47.0	L 35 - 39	O	N
Sat 9/9	Purdue at Virginia Tech	+1.5	49.0	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Purdue vs Syracuse	+1.0	56.5	L 20 - 35	U	N
Fri 9/22	Purdue vs Wisconsin	+5.5	54.0	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/30	Purdue vs Illinois	-1.0	54.0	W 44 - 19	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Purdue at Iowa	+2.5	38.5	L 14 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/14	Purdue vs Ohio State	+17.5	53.0	L 7 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Purdue at Nebraska	-1.0	39.5	L 14 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/4	Purdue at Michigan	+32.5	52.5	L 13 - 41	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Purdue vs Minnesota	+1.5	48.5	W 49 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Purdue at Northwestern	+2.5	47.5	L 15 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/25	Purdue vs Indiana	-2.5	55.5	W 35 - 31	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MINN	.24	48%	26.2	49%	3.3	207	48%	182	4.36	.12	37%	16.9	38%	36%	2.84	31.8	1	1.6
PUR	.15	44%	15.8	47%	3	121	43%	278	3.52	.16	41%	39.9	42%	41%	4.38	53.4	1.6	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MINN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
PUR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MINN Offense	13	26.2	22.6	47.8%	4.36	1	22	390	207	182	4.6	64%	35%	49%	48%	12%	.24
PUR Defense	14	39.9	34	40.8%	4.38	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	42%	41%	16%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MINN Defense	13	16.9	18.8	36.7%	2.84	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	38%	36%	13%	.12
PUR Offense	14	15.8	16	43.7%	3.52	1.6	23	399	121	278	3.6	41%	58%	47%	43%	13%	.15

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Minnesota	13	34:28	21.5	52%	55%	3.5	31.8	1	1.6	3.3	1.5	1	29.6
Purdue	14	31:51	23	38%	55%	5.3	53.4	1.6	1.7	4.3	1.9	3	28.5

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MINN Offense	13	64%	49%	44.8	207.4	4.6	33	.22	3.3	85%	7%	0.9
PUR Defense	14	50%	42%	-	-	-	-	.12	3.04	71%	9%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MINN Defense	13	47%	38%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.99	76%	7%	0.99
PUR Offense	14	41%	47%	33.4	121.1	3.6	17	.09	3	79%	6%	0.76

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MINN Offense	13	35%	48%	13.2	21.6	182.2	8.4	13.8	12	9	.37	1.5	28%	40%	.45	5%	1.7
PUR Defense	14	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.28	1.6	30%	23%	.09	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MINN Defense	13	52%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.17	1.5	37%	25%	.21	6%	1.8
PUR Offense	14	58%	43%	26.3	41.5	278.2	6.7	10.6	26	17	.24	1.4	30%	28%	.18	7%	1.8

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: -4.18 #88
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 12.36 #108
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 12.35 #99
2023 Talent Rating: 800.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Minnesota's 2023 Expected Record: 4.80 - 8.20
Minnesota's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #105
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: -4.18 Purdue: -2.56

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: -1.3 Purdue: -7.4

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -2.56 #81
Purdue's Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Purdue's Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
2023 Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #37
Purdue's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Purdue's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 16.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.8

Minnesota's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Minnesota 24
Purdue 24

Projected Total Points: 49

Purdue Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 16
Defense: 39.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 34

Purdue's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/11	Purdue	49	Minnesota	30	Purdue	Minnesota -1.5	Purdue	48.5	Over
2022	10/01	Minnesota	10	Purdue	20	Purdue	Minnesota -9.0	Purdue	53.0	Under
2021	10/02	Purdue	13	Minnesota	20	Minnesota	Purdue -2	Minnesota	46.0	Under
2020	11/20	Minnesota	34	Purdue	31	Minnesota	Purdue -2.5	Minnesota	60.5	Over
2019	09/28	Purdue	31	Minnesota	38	Minnesota	Purdue -2	Minnesota	57.0	Over
2018	11/10	Minnesota	41	Purdue	10	Minnesota	Purdue -10.5	Minnesota	58.0	Under
2017	10/07	Purdue	31	Minnesota	17	Purdue	Purdue -3.5	Purdue	45.5	Over
2016	11/05	Minnesota	44	Purdue	31	Minnesota	Minnesota -16.5	Purdue	54.0	Over
2015	10/10	Purdue	13	Minnesota	41	Minnesota	Minnesota -2.5	Minnesota	47.5	Over
2014	10/18	Minnesota	39	Purdue	38	Minnesota	Minnesota -14.5	Purdue	0
2012	10/27	Minnesota	44	Purdue	28	Minnesota
2011	10/08	Purdue	45	Minnesota	17	Purdue
2010	10/16	Purdue	28	Minnesota	17	Purdue
2009	10/10	Minnesota	35	Purdue	20	Minnesota
2008	10/25	Purdue	6	Minnesota	17	Minnesota
2007	09/22	Minnesota	31	Purdue	45	Purdue
2006	09/23	Purdue	27	Minnesota	21	Purdue
2005	09/24	Minnesota	42	Purdue	35	Minnesota
2002	09/28	Purdue	28	Minnesota	15	Purdue
2001	09/29	Minnesota	28	Purdue	35	Purdue
2000	09/22	Purdue	38	Minnesota	24	Purdue

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Purdue	10	5	6 Overs
Minnesota	11	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 7	4 - 6	1 - 5	3 - 1
Road Teams	7 - 14	6 - 4	1 - 3	5 - 1

(#88) Minnesota Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.18 #88
Offense Rating: 12.36 #108
Defense Rating: 12.35 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #105
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37
Talent Rating: 800.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Expected Record: 4.80 - 8.20

Team Profile

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Minnesota Ratings Matchup Purdue

Power #88

#81

Off #108

#90

Def #99

#83

Talent #30

#65

SP+ #69

#90

SP+ Off #105

#89

SP+ Def #37

#72

Rematch from Week 11
Minnesota 1.5 (48.5)
Purdue won vs Minnesota this year (49-30)

Previous Matchups
Purdue beat Minnesota in 2023 (49-30)
Purdue beat Minnesota in 2022 (20-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 48° - Wind: 8 mph

Team Information
Injuries: MINN | PUR
Depth Chart: MINN | PUR
Rosters: MINN | PUR

(#81) Purdue Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.56 #81
Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #37
Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30

Team Profile

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Minnesota's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr.

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Athan Kaliakmanis	213	395	54%	2696	18	7	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Athan Kaliakmanis	92	251	3	2.7	20
Zach Evans	9	58	0	6.4	40
Marquese Williams	6	13	0	2.2	7
Daniel Jackson	3	13	0	4.3	5

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daniel Jackson	75	863	4	11.5	39
Elijah Spencer (Tr)	52	685	6	13.2	29
Nick Kallerup	9	117	0	13.0	44
Frank Bierman	1	13	0	13.0	13

View Minnesota's Full Roster

Minnesota's DC Nick Monroe

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cody Lindenberg	94	5	1	3	6
Danny Striggow	52	6	5	6	1
Jack Henderson (Tr)	44	9	6	1	1
Justin Walley	42	2	1	1	10

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Henderson (Tr)	44	9	6	1	1
Danny Striggow	52	6	5	6	1
Jah Joyner	32	6	5	9	7
Cody Lindenberg	94	5	1	3	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Justin Walley	42	2	1	1	10
Jah Joyner	32	6	5	9	7
Cody Lindenberg	94	5	1	3	6

Purdue's OC Graham Harrell

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hudson Card (Tr)	144	248	58%	1641	9	7	6.6
Christian Gelov	1	3	33%	26	0	0	8.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dylan Downing	44	152	1	3.5	15
Deion Burks	5	32	0	6.4	11
Christian Gelov	1	12	0	12.0	12
Ben Furtney	1	-5	0	-5.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
TJ Sheffield	54	505	3	9.4	58
Elijah Canion	25	354	3	14.2	50
Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen	21	254	0	12.1	51
Deion Burks	31	245	3	7.9	20

View Purdue's Full Roster

Purdue's DC Kevin Kane

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kydran Jenkins	83	13	7	5	1
O.C. Brothers	47	3	0	2	1
Nic Caraway	37	14	4	4	2
Clyde Washington	36	3	0	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kydran Jenkins	83	13	7	5	1
Nic Caraway	37	14	4	4	2
Khordae Sydnor	14	7	4	2	2
Prince Boyd Jr.	3	1	1	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Markevious Brown (Tr)	9	0	0	0	3
Nic Caraway	37	14	4	4	2
Braxton Myers (Tr)	31	2	0	0	2