UTEP at Northwestern Game Matchup
UTEP logo UTEP Miners at Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Northwestern -1 (40.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Northwestern 38 - UTEP: 7

 
Miners (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Dimel (18 - 43)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (15 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Northwestern -15   (SP+ NW -15)
Projected Score: UTEP: 15 - NW: 30 (48)
NW Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
UTEP Travel: 1255 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wildcats (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach David Braun (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 18 - 26 (18 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 6.9 (#73)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UTEP's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 UTEP at Jacksonville State-1.554.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 9/2 UTEP vs Incarnate Word-7.557.5W 28 - 14UY
Sat 9/9 UTEP at Northwestern+1.040.0L 7 - 38ON
Sat 9/16 UTEP at Arizona+18.057.0L 10 - 31UN
Sat 9/23 UTEP vs UNLV-1.049.5L 28 - 45ON
Fri 9/29 UTEP vs Louisiana Tech+2.049.5L 10 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/11 UTEP at Florida International-1.544.0W 27 - 14UY
Wed 10/18 UTEP vs New Mexico State+3.048.5L 7 - 28UN
Wed 10/25 UTEP at Sam Houston+4.038.5W 37 - 34OY
Sat 11/4 UTEP vs Western Kentucky+9.554.5L 13 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 UTEP at Middle Tennessee+8.548.5L 30 - 34OY
Sat 11/25 UTEP vs Liberty+18.054.5L 28 - 42OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule
Northwestern's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/3 Northwestern at Rutgers+5.039.0L 7 - 24UN
Sat 9/9 Northwestern vs UTEP-1.040.0W 38 - 7OY
Sat 9/16 Northwestern at Duke+17.048.0L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/23 Northwestern vs Minnesota+11.539.5W 37 - 34OY
Sat 9/30 Northwestern vs Penn State+27.048.0L 13 - 41ON
Sat 10/7 Northwestern vs Howard-23.051.0W 23 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Northwestern at Nebraska+10.540.0L 9 - 17UY
Sat 10/28 Northwestern vs Maryland+14.048.5W 33 - 27OY
Sat 11/4 Northwestern vs Iowa+4.530.5L 7 - 10UY
Sat 11/11 Northwestern at Wisconsin+9.543.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 11/18 Northwestern vs Purdue-2.547.5W 23 - 15UY
Sat 11/25 Northwestern at Illinois+5.046.5W 45 - 43OY
Sat 12/23 Northwestern vs Utah+6.544.5W 14 - 7UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTEP.1541%19.544%3.3916740%2192.9.2243%32.343%43%4.0355.81.81.9
NW.0137%17.838%2.6312538%2102.67.1745%26.346%44%4.0340.82.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTEP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTEP Offense1219.514.741.4%2.91.8213861672194.351%48%44%40%15%.15
NW Defense1226.326.345.1%4.031.5 - - - - - 59%41%46%44%13%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTEP Defense1232.334.942.8%4.031.9 - - - - - 52%47%43%43%19%.22
NW Offense1217.817.837.2%2.672.5193351252103.251%47%38%38%18%.01

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTEP1233:462139%57%6.555.81.81.95.82.3127.1
Northwestern1229:011937%49%4.640.82.51.54.51.9026.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTEP Offense1251%44%38.6167.24.314.173.3973%9%0.94
NW Defense1259%46% - - - - .163.1674%8%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTEP Defense1252%43% - - - - .083.1264%13%0.95
NW Offense1251%38%39.1125.13.211-.042.6367%9%0.86

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTEP Offense1248%40%16.931.7218.86.912.91512.171.734%29%.187%2.2
NW Defense1241%44% - - - - - - 6.221.329%29%.164%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTEP Defense1247%43% - - - - - - 5.421.932%34%.426%2.1
NW Offense1247%38%20.434.8210.36.110.31017.151.433%21%.049%1.9

UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -11.53 #123
UTEP's Offense Rating: 15.53 #77
UTEP's Defense Rating: 14.62 #116
2023 Talent Rating: 182.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UTEP's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
UTEP's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #116
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #100

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -11.53   Northwestern: 1.52

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -15.9   Northwestern: -1.4




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: 1.52 #66
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 15.21 #79
Northwestern's Defense Rating: 9.49 #66
2023 Talent Rating: 682.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #49
Northwestern's 2023 Expected Record: 6.10 - 6.90
Northwestern's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #104
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #30

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


UTEP Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.7
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.9

UTEP's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Northwestern 30
UTEP 15

Projected Total Points: 48
Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.8
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.3

Northwestern's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09Northwestern38UTEP7NorthwesternNorthwestern -1Northwestern40.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern111 Overs
UTEP000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#123) UTEP Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.53 #123
Offense Rating: 15.53 #77
Defense Rating: 14.62 #116
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #116
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #100
Talent Rating: 182.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10

Team Profile






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UTEP     Ratings Matchup     Northwestern
Power #123
#66
Off #77
#79
Def #116
#66
Talent #130
#54
SP+ #120
#71
SP+ Off #116
#104
SP+ Def #100
#30

Rematch from Week 2
Northwestern -1.0 (40.0)
Northwestern won vs UTEP this year (38-7)

Previous Matchups
Northwestern beat UTEP in 2023 (38-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ryan Field
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 71° - Wind: 9 mph


Team Information
Injuries: UTEP | NW
Depth Chart: UTEP | NW
Rosters: UTEP | NW
(#66) Northwestern Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.52 #66
Offense Rating: 15.21 #79
Defense Rating: 9.49 #66
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #104
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #30
Talent Rating: 682.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #49
Expected Record: 6.10 - 6.90

Team Profile






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UTEP's OC Scotty Ohara
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Marcus Bellon1250%441022.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Torrance Burgess Jr.6036726.157
Deion Hankins6227224.447
Marcus Bellon93704.19
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Marcus Bellon39522413.463
Kelly Akharaiyi25391215.649
Marcus Vinson1211329.452
Torrance Burgess Jr.10111011.122

View UTEP's Full Roster
UTEP's DC Bradley Dale Peveto
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
James Neal502011
Bryton Thompson396210
Trez Moore263024
Torey Richardson231003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryton Thompson396210
Sione Tonga'Uiha204200
RaQuan Thompson203120
Tevita Tafuna162100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trez Moore263024
Torey Richardson231003
James Neal502011

Northwestern's OC Mike Bajakian
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendan Sullivan385372%474338.9
Ryan Hilinski91560%121018.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Tyus III237121595.146
Brendan Sullivan4715143.230
Jacob Gill51302.69
A.J. Henning (Tr)5801.69
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
A.J. Henning (Tr)59603410.246
Bryce Kirtz39598015.355
Jacob Gill35411211.759
Thomas Gordon2725219.326

View Northwestern's Full Roster
Northwestern's DC Vacant
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xander Mueller575114
Nigel Williams530002
Garnett Hollis Jr.461006
Jaheem Joseph421112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reginald Pearson214200
Xander Mueller575114
Rod Heard372114
Grayson Metz322101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Garnett Hollis Jr.461006
Xander Mueller575114
Rod Heard372114