Northwestern at Nebraska - 2023 Matchup Preview

Northwestern Wildcats at Nebraska Cornhuskers

Saturday, October 21st 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Nebraska -10.5 (40.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Nebraska 17 - Northwestern: 9 (Big Ten)

Wildcats (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach David Braun (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 18 - 26 (18 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 6.9 (#73)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 13.9 MPH
NW coming off BYE
NEB coming off BYE
Our Line: Nebraska -4.5 (SP+ NEB -2)
Projected Score: NW: 19 - NEB: 24 (44)
NEB Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
NW Travel: 474 miles

Cornhuskers (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Matt Rhule (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 24 - 20 (29 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#68)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NW Players
NEB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Northwestern's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	Northwestern at Rutgers	+5.0	39.0	L 7 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/9	Northwestern vs UTEP	-1.0	40.0	W 38 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Northwestern at Duke	+17.0	48.0	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/23	Northwestern vs Minnesota	+11.5	39.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Northwestern vs Penn State	+27.0	48.0	L 13 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/7	Northwestern vs Howard	-23.0	51.0	W 23 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Northwestern at Nebraska	+10.5	40.0	L 9 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Northwestern vs Maryland	+14.0	48.5	W 33 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Northwestern vs Iowa	+4.5	30.5	L 7 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Northwestern at Wisconsin	+9.5	43.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Northwestern vs Purdue	-2.5	47.5	W 23 - 15	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Northwestern at Illinois	+5.0	46.5	W 45 - 43	O	Y
Sat 12/23	Northwestern vs Utah	+6.5	44.5	W 14 - 7	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule

Nebraska's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Nebraska at Minnesota	+7.5	43.0	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Nebraska at Colorado	+2.5	56.5	L 14 - 36	U	N
Sat 9/16	Nebraska vs Northern Illinois	-11.5	42.5	W 35 - 11	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Nebraska vs Louisiana Tech	-20.5	44.5	W 28 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/30	Nebraska vs Michigan	+17.0	39.5	L 7 - 45	O	N
Fri 10/6	Nebraska at Illinois	+3.5	43.0	W 20 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Nebraska vs Northwestern	-10.5	40.0	W 17 - 9	U	N
Sat 10/28	Nebraska vs Purdue	+1.0	39.5	W 31 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Nebraska at Michigan State	-3.0	34.5	L 17 - 20	O	N
Sat 11/11	Nebraska vs Maryland	+1.5	41.5	L 10 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/18	Nebraska at Wisconsin	+7.5	36.5	L 17 - 24	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Nebraska vs Iowa	-3.0	25.5	L 10 - 13	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NW	.01	37%	17.8	38%	2.63	125	38%	210	2.67	.17	45%	26.3	46%	44%	4.03	40.8	2.5	1.5
NEB	.2	41%	23.5	40%	2.97	123	42%	221	3.84	.2	47%	19.5	52%	43%	4.11	42.5	1.6	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NW		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NEB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NW Offense	12	17.8	17.6	37.2%	2.67	2.5	19	335	125	210	3.2	51%	47%	38%	38%	18%	.01
NEB Defense	12	19.5	15.7	47.3%	4.11	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	52%	43%	14%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NW Defense	12	26.3	28.8	45.1%	4.03	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	59%	41%	46%	44%	13%	.17
NEB Offense	12	23.5	29.1	41%	3.84	1.6	18	344	123	221	3.5	51%	49%	40%	42%	17%	.2

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Northwestern	12	29:01	19	37%	49%	4.6	40.8	2.5	1.5	4.5	1.9	0	26.9
Nebraska	12	26:48	18.1	40%	43%	5.4	42.5	1.6	1.6	5	1.8	1	26.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NW Offense	12	51%	38%	39.1	125.1	3.2	11	-.04	2.63	67%	9%	0.86
NEB Defense	12	51%	52%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.33	80%	8%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NW Defense	12	59%	46%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.16	74%	8%	0.92
NEB Offense	12	51%	40%	35	123.3	3.5	17	.08	2.97	76%	11%	0.86

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NW Offense	12	47%	38%	20.4	34.8	210.3	6.1	10.3	10	17	.15	1.4	33%	21%	.04	9%	1.9
NEB Defense	12	48%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.25	1.4	30%	31%	.22	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NW Defense	12	41%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.22	1.3	29%	29%	.16	4%	1.7
NEB Offense	12	49%	42%	17.1	28.3	220.8	7.8	12.9	17	13	.35	1.7	34%	29%	.28	6%	1.8

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: -0.56 #66
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 15.21 #79
Northwestern's Defense Rating: 9.49 #66
2023 Talent Rating: 682.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #49
Northwestern's 2023 Expected Record: 6.10 - 6.90
Northwestern's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #104
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #30

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: -0.56 Nebraska: 3.355

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: -1.4 Nebraska: 0.1

Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 3.355 #53
Nebraska's Offense Rating: 10.32 #121
Nebraska's Defense Rating: 5.24 #28
2023 Talent Rating: 842.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Nebraska's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50
Nebraska's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #65
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #123
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #8

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.6
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Northwestern's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Nebraska 24
Northwestern 19

Projected Total Points: 44

Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.1
Defense: 19.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

Nebraska's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/21	Nebraska	17	Northwestern	9	Nebraska	Nebraska -10.5	Northwestern	40.0	Under
2022	08/27	Northwestern	31	Nebraska	28	Northwestern	Nebraska -12	Northwestern	52.5	Over
2021	10/02	Nebraska	56	Northwestern	7	Nebraska	Nebraska -11	Nebraska	51.5	Over
2020	11/07	Northwestern	21	Nebraska	13	Northwestern	Northwestern -4	Northwestern	53.0	Under
2019	10/05	Nebraska	13	Northwestern	10	Nebraska	Nebraska -7.5	Northwestern	48.5	Under
2018	10/13	Northwestern	34	Nebraska	31	Northwestern	Northwestern -3	Push	59.0	Over
2017	11/04	Nebraska	24	Northwestern	31	Northwestern	Nebraska -1	Northwestern	55.5	Under
2016	09/24	Northwestern	13	Nebraska	24	Nebraska	Nebraska -6.5	Nebraska	48.0	Under
2015	10/24	Nebraska	28	Northwestern	30	Northwestern	Nebraska -6.5	Northwestern	50.0	Over
2014	10/18	Northwestern	17	Nebraska	38	Nebraska	Nebraska -6.5	Nebraska	0
2013	11/02	Nebraska	27	Northwestern	24	Nebraska	Nebraska -7	Northwestern	0
2012	10/20	Northwestern	28	Nebraska	29	Nebraska
2011	11/05	Nebraska	25	Northwestern	28	Northwestern
2000	12/29	Nebraska	66	Northwestern	17	Nebraska

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Nebraska	8	3	4 Overs
Northwestern	6	7	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 6	3 - 7	2 - 5	1 - 2
Road Teams	6 - 8	7 - 3	2 - 1	5 - 2

(#66) Northwestern Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.56 #66
Offense Rating: 15.21 #79
Defense Rating: 9.49 #66
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #104
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #30
Talent Rating: 682.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #49
Expected Record: 6.10 - 6.90

Team Profile

,
,

Northwestern Ratings Matchup Nebraska

Power #66

#53

Off #79

#121

Def #66

#28

Talent #54

#21

SP+ #71

#65

SP+ Off #104

#123

SP+ Def #30

Rematch from Week 8
Nebraska -10.5 (40.0)
Nebraska won vs Northwestern this year (17-9)

Previous Matchups
Nebraska beat Northwestern in 2023 (17-9)
Northwestern beat Nebraska in 2022 (31-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 73° - Wind: 14 mph

Team Information
Injuries: NW | NEB
Depth Chart: NW | NEB
Rosters: NW | NEB

(#53) Nebraska Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.355 #53
Offense Rating: 10.32 #121
Defense Rating: 5.24 #28
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #65
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #123
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #8
Talent Rating: 842.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50

Team Profile

,
,

Northwestern's OC Mike Bajakian

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brendan Sullivan	38	53	72%	474	3	3	8.9
Ryan Hilinski	9	15	60%	121	0	1	8.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Tyus III	237	1215	9	5.1	46
Brendan Sullivan	47	151	4	3.2	30
Jacob Gill	5	13	0	2.6	9
A.J. Henning (Tr)	5	8	0	1.6	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
A.J. Henning (Tr)	59	603	4	10.2	46
Bryce Kirtz	39	598	0	15.3	55
Jacob Gill	35	411	2	11.7	59
Thomas Gordon	27	252	1	9.3	26

View Northwestern's Full Roster

Northwestern's DC Vacant

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xander Mueller	57	5	1	1	4
Nigel Williams	53	0	0	0	2
Garnett Hollis Jr.	46	1	0	0	6
Jaheem Joseph	42	1	1	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Reginald Pearson	21	4	2	0	0
Xander Mueller	57	5	1	1	4
Rod Heard	37	2	1	1	4
Grayson Metz	32	2	1	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Garnett Hollis Jr.	46	1	0	0	6
Xander Mueller	57	5	1	1	4
Rod Heard	37	2	1	1	4

Nebraska's OC Marcus Satterfield

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jeff Sims (Tr)	13	25	52%	168	0	0	6.7
Brian Buschini	2	2	100%	38	0	0	19.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rahmir Johnson	54	260	1	4.8	22
Jeff Sims (Tr)	24	101	1	4.2	12
Maurice Mazzccua	5	8	0	1.6	5
Isaiah Neyor	2	6	0	3.0	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Isaiah Neyor	34	455	5	13.4	59
Thomas Fidone Jr.	36	373	0	10.4	33
Rahmir Johnson	21	179	1	8.5	36
Jake Appleget	4	45	0	11.3	20

View Nebraska's Full Roster

Nebraska's DC Tony White

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Randolph Kpai	80	5	1	5	3
Isaac Gifford	73	4	0	1	1
John Bullock	70	10	4	3	5
Javier Morton	48	0	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ty Robinson	37	13	6	7	4
John Bullock	70	10	4	3	5
MJ Sherman (Tr)	29	5	4	4	0
Nash Hutmacher	24	4	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tamon Lynum	37	2	1	0	6
John Bullock	70	10	4	3	5
Ty Robinson	37	13	6	7	4