Indiana at Purdue - 2023 Matchup Preview
Indiana logo (#19)Indiana Hoosiers at Purdue BoilermakersPurdue logo
Saturday, November 25th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Purdue -2.5 (55.5) (-225)  Open: -2.5
Purdue 35 - Indiana: 31  (Big Ten)

 
Hoosiers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tom Allen (31 - 42)
Avg Score : 22 - 30 (25 - 42 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PUR is playing their 5th straight game
IND is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Purdue -4.5   (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: IND: 27 - PUR: 31 (58)
PUR Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
IND Travel: 89 miles
Boilermakers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ryan Walters (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (30 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Indiana's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Indiana vs Ohio State+30.059.0L 3 - 23UY
Fri 9/8 Indiana vs Indiana State-31.044.0W 41 - 7OY
Sat 9/16 Indiana vs Louisville+10.051.0L 14 - 21UY
Sat 9/23 Indiana vs Akron-16.545.5W 29 - 27ON
Sat 9/30 Indiana at Maryland+14.550.0L 17 - 44ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Indiana at Michigan+33.545.5L 7 - 52ON
Sat 10/21 Indiana vs Rutgers+6.039.5L 14 - 31ON
Sat 10/28 Indiana at Penn State+31.045.0L 24 - 33OY
Sat 11/4 Indiana vs Wisconsin+9.545.0W 20 - 14UY
Sat 11/11 Indiana at Illinois+4.543.5L 45 - 48OY
Sat 11/18 Indiana vs Michigan State-3.547.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 11/25 Indiana at Purdue+2.555.5L 31 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule
Purdue's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Purdue vs Fresno State-4.047.0L 35 - 39ON
Sat 9/9 Purdue at Virginia Tech+1.549.0W 24 - 17UY
Sat 9/16 Purdue vs Syracuse+1.056.5L 20 - 35UN
Fri 9/22 Purdue vs Wisconsin+5.554.0L 17 - 38ON
Sat 9/30 Purdue vs Illinois-1.054.0W 44 - 19OY
Sat 10/7 Purdue at Iowa+2.538.5L 14 - 20UN
Sat 10/14 Purdue vs Ohio State+17.553.0L 7 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Purdue at Nebraska-1.039.5L 14 - 31ON
Sat 11/4 Purdue at Michigan+32.552.5L 13 - 41OY
Sat 11/11 Purdue vs Minnesota+1.548.5W 49 - 30OY
Sat 11/18 Purdue at Northwestern+2.547.5L 15 - 23UN
Sat 11/25 Purdue vs Indiana-2.555.5W 35 - 31OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IND#106 (.12)41% (85)22.239% (117)3.26 (38)12144% (48)2123.11 (119)#103 (.24)46% (120)29.947% (109)45% (118)4.08 (95)511.51
PUR#86 (.16)42% (60)23.945% (51)3.16 (60)16941% (78)2113.21 (112)#74 (.19)40% (44)30.441% (45)40% (52)4.28 (112)57.61.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IND#6 (.33)52% (2)50% (13)3.09 (55)16656% (2)2615.03 (1)#19 (.09)38% (24)35% (7)40% (70)3.66 (55)43.90.71.8
PUR#112 (.11)41% (96)42% (90)3.04 (65)11640% (93)1843.34 (115)#134 (.39)49% (129)49% (120)50% (129)4.82 (134)51.81.60.4



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IND Offense1222.224.840.9%3.111.5203341212123.450%49%39%44%17%.12
PUR Defense1230.433.340.2%4.281.5 - - - - - 51%49%41%40%17%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IND Defense1229.942.445.8%4.081 - - - - - 52%47%47%45%17%.24
PUR Offense1223.929.642.5%3.211.5203801692114.451%48%45%41%18%.16

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Indiana1229:2519.737%35%5.5511.516.11.8226.5
Purdue1230:2520.436%39%657.61.51.55.82.8129.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IND Offense1250% (68)39% (117)36.2121.33.413 (108).07 (112)3.26 (38)69% (105)11% (83)0.91 (108)
PUR Defense1251% (80)41% (45) - - - - .08 (31)3 (48)68% (41)11% (38)0.97 (53)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IND Defense1252% (96)47% (109) - - - - .14 (65)3.24 (100)75% (80)10% (58)0.85 (14)
PUR Offense1251% (55)45% (51)38.5168.84.420 (61).15 (69)3.16 (60)54% (133)12% (118)0.98 (76)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IND Offense1249% (70)44% (48)17.930.5212.3711.918 (81)10 (56).26 (76)1.5 (119)30% (43)28% (91).16 (118)6% (82)1.9 (107)
PUR Defense1249% (56)40% (52) - - - - - - 10 (67).33 (102)1.8 (121)33% (50)32% (93).38 (101)6% (73)2.2 (96)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IND Defense1247% (36)45% (118) - - - - - - 10 (67).39 (117)1.6 (77)29% (115)33% (104).41 (110)6% (69)2.2 (103)
PUR Offense1248% (81)41% (78)19.532.7211.26.510.815 (96)10 (56).22 (89)1.5 (111)31% (56)30% (75).31 (75)6% (71)2.1 (58)

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: -6.74 #98
Indiana's Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Indiana's Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #41
Indiana's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Indiana's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #103
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Indiana: -6.74   Purdue: -2.56

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Indiana: -7.4   Purdue: -7.4




Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -2.56 #81
Purdue's Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Purdue's Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #37
Purdue's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Purdue's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Indiana Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.4

Indiana's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Purdue 31
Indiana 27


Total Points: 58

Purdue Scoring
Offense: 23.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.3

Purdue's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Indiana66Purdue0IndianaIndiana -28.5Indiana56.5Over
202311/25Purdue35Indiana31PurduePurdue -2.5Purdue55.5Over
202211/26Indiana16Purdue30PurduePurdue -10Purdue52.5Under
202111/27Purdue44Indiana7PurduePurdue -18Purdue50.5Over
201911/30Purdue41Indiana44IndianaIndiana -7Purdue56.5Over
201811/24Indiana21Purdue28PurduePurdue -3.5Purdue65.0Under
201711/25Purdue31Indiana24PurduePurdue -1.5Purdue51.0Over
201611/26Indiana26Purdue24IndianaIndiana -16Purdue66.5Under
201511/28Purdue36Indiana54IndianaIndiana -5Indiana68.5Over
201411/29Indiana23Purdue16IndianaIndiana -2.5Indiana0
201311/30Indiana56Purdue36IndianaIndiana -20.5Purdue0
201211/24Purdue56Indiana35Purdue
201111/26Indiana25Purdue33Purdue
201011/27Purdue31Indiana34Indiana
200911/21Indiana21Purdue38Purdue
200811/22Purdue62Indiana10Purdue
200711/17Indiana27Purdue24Indiana
200611/18Purdue28Indiana19Purdue
200511/19Indiana14Purdue41Purdue
200411/20Purdue63Indiana24Purdue
200311/22Indiana16Purdue24Purdue
200111/24Indiana13Purdue7Indiana
200011/17Purdue41Indiana13Purdue
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Purdue1486 Overs
Indiana933 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 96 - 55 - 21 - 3
Road Teams9 - 145 - 63 - 12 - 5

(#98) Indiana Info
Power Rating: -6.74 #98
Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #41
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10


Indiana has lost 2 straight
Indiana has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 5 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Indiana Highlights
Indiana does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#22)

Indiana defense does not give up big plays (#135)

Indiana Deficiencies
Indiana Can Not Run the Ball (#2)
Indiana offense is not Explosive (#124)
Indiana offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#36)
Indiana run game is really bad (#8)
Indiana has a bad defense (#7)
Indiana has a bad defensive line (#8)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatPURIND
OverallOver#96#83
OffenseOff#89#82
DefenseDef#87#80
Special TeamsST#46#66
PassingPass#58#66
RushingRush#51#95
Run BlockRBLK#73#51
Pass BlockPBLK#73#88
Route RunningWR Rt#92#53
TacklingTkl#38#55
Run DefenseR Def#65#30
Pass Rush DefPRush#45#99
Coverage DefCov#113#97

Rematch from Week 13
Purdue -2.5 (55.5)
Purdue won vs Indiana this year (35-31)

Previous Matchups
Indiana beat Purdue last year (66-0)
Purdue beat Indiana in 2023 (35-31)
Purdue beat Indiana in 2022 (30-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: IND | PUR
Depth Chart: IND | PUR
Rosters: IND | PUR
(#81) Purdue Info
Power Rating: -2.56 #81
Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #37
Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30


Purdue has lost 1 straight
Purdue has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 4 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Purdue Highlights
Purdue Defense Sacks the QB a lot


Purdue Deficiencies
Purdue offense is not Explosive (#69)
Purdue Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#117)
Purdue offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#90)
Purdue Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Purdue gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#59)
Purdue has a bad red zone defense (#60)


  
Indiana's OC Walt Bell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendan Sorsby13523657%15821556.7
Tayven Jackson (Tr)7812861%914257.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Trenten Howland7635424.719
Josh Henderson8133724.229
Brendan Sorsby11329142.625
Jaylin Lucas6727524.125
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Donaven McCulley48644613.469
Dequece Carter (Tr)27395314.690
Cam Camper17285116.841
E.J. Williams (Tr)23276012.027

View Indiana's Full Roster
Indiana's DC Matt Guerrieri
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aaron Casey10820713
Louis Moore841001
Jacob Mangum-Farrar (Tr)624034
Phillip Dunnam531006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aaron Casey10820713
Lanell Carr (Tr)339522
Andre Carter (Tr)4911233
Myles Jackson252100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Phillip Dunnam531006
Jacob Mangum-Farrar (Tr)624034
Kobee Minor (Tr)290004

Purdue's OC Graham Harrell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hudson Card (Tr)21536559%23871586.5
Ryan Browne121675%104026.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mockobee17280764.765
Tyrone Tracy Jr.11371686.362
Dylan Downing4821114.425
Hudson Card (Tr)9320352.225
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Deion Burks47629713.484
TJ Sheffield32381211.943
Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen25329013.230
Garrett Miller3024328.128

View Purdue's Full Roster
Purdue's DC Kevin Kane
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dillon Thieneman1062012
Sanoussi Kane796127
Kydran Jenkins5615881
Yanni Karlaftis553300
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nic Caraway4915933
Kydran Jenkins5615881
O.C. Brothers206313
Yanni Karlaftis553300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sanoussi Kane796127
Marquis Wilson (Tr)200006
Cam Allen301006