Indiana at Purdue - 2023 Matchup Preview

(#2)Indiana Hoosiers at Purdue Boilermakers

Saturday, November 25th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Purdue -2.5 (55.5) (-225) Open: -2.5
Purdue 35 - Indiana: 31 (Big Ten)

Hoosiers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tom Allen (31 - 42)
Avg Score : 22 - 30 (25 - 42 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

PUR is playing their 5th straight game
IND is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Purdue -4.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: IND: 27 - PUR: 32 (59)
PUR Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
IND Travel: 89 miles

Boilermakers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ryan Walters (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (30 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
IND Players
PUR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Indiana's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Indiana vs Ohio State	+30.0	59.0	L 3 - 23	U	Y
Fri 9/8	Indiana vs Indiana State	-31.0	44.0	W 41 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Indiana vs Louisville	+10.0	51.0	L 14 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Indiana vs Akron	-16.5	45.5	W 29 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/30	Indiana at Maryland	+14.5	50.0	L 17 - 44	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Indiana at Michigan	+33.5	45.5	L 7 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/21	Indiana vs Rutgers	+6.0	39.5	L 14 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/28	Indiana at Penn State	+31.0	45.0	L 24 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Indiana vs Wisconsin	+9.5	45.0	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Indiana at Illinois	+4.5	43.5	L 45 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Indiana vs Michigan State	-3.5	47.5	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/25	Indiana at Purdue	+2.5	55.5	L 31 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule

Purdue's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Purdue vs Fresno State	-4.0	47.0	L 35 - 39	O	N
Sat 9/9	Purdue at Virginia Tech	+1.5	49.0	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Purdue vs Syracuse	+1.0	56.5	L 20 - 35	U	N
Fri 9/22	Purdue vs Wisconsin	+5.5	54.0	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/30	Purdue vs Illinois	-1.0	54.0	W 44 - 19	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Purdue at Iowa	+2.5	38.5	L 14 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/14	Purdue vs Ohio State	+17.5	53.0	L 7 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Purdue at Nebraska	-1.0	39.5	L 14 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/4	Purdue at Michigan	+32.5	52.5	L 13 - 41	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Purdue vs Minnesota	+1.5	48.5	W 49 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Purdue at Northwestern	+2.5	47.5	L 15 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/25	Purdue vs Indiana	-2.5	55.5	W 35 - 31	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IND	#106 (.12)	41% (85)	22.2	39% (117)	3.26 (38)	121	44% (48)	212	3.11 (119)	#103 (.24)	46% (120)	29.9	47% (109)	45% (118)	4.08 (95)	51	1.5	1
PUR	#86 (.16)	42% (60)	23.9	45% (51)	3.16 (60)	169	41% (78)	211	3.21 (112)	#74 (.19)	40% (44)	30.4	41% (45)	40% (52)	4.28 (112)	57.6	1.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IND	#6 (.33)	52% (2)		50% (13)	3.09 (55)	166	56% (2)	261	5.03 (1)	#19 (.09)	38% (24)		35% (7)	40% (70)	3.66 (55)	43.9	0.7	1.8
PUR	#112 (.11)	41% (96)		42% (90)	3.04 (65)	116	40% (93)	184	3.34 (115)	#134 (.39)	49% (129)		49% (120)	50% (129)	4.82 (134)	51.8	1.6	0.4

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IND Offense	12	22.2	24.8	40.9%	3.11	1.5	20	334	121	212	3.4	50%	49%	39%	44%	17%	.12
PUR Defense	12	30.4	33.3	40.2%	4.28	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	41%	40%	17%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IND Defense	12	29.9	42.4	45.8%	4.08	1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	47%	45%	17%	.24
PUR Offense	12	23.9	29.6	42.5%	3.21	1.5	20	380	169	211	4.4	51%	48%	45%	41%	18%	.16

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Indiana	12	29:25	19.7	37%	35%	5.5	51	1.5	1	6.1	1.8	2	26.5
Purdue	12	30:25	20.4	36%	39%	6	57.6	1.5	1.5	5.8	2.8	1	29.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IND Offense	12	50% (68)	39% (117)	36.2	121.3	3.4	13 (108)	.07 (112)	3.26 (38)	69% (105)	11% (83)	0.91 (108)
PUR Defense	12	51% (80)	41% (45)	-	-	-	-	.08 (31)	3 (48)	68% (41)	11% (38)	0.97 (53)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IND Defense	12	52% (96)	47% (109)	-	-	-	-	.14 (65)	3.24 (100)	75% (80)	10% (58)	0.85 (14)
PUR Offense	12	51% (55)	45% (51)	38.5	168.8	4.4	20 (61)	.15 (69)	3.16 (60)	54% (133)	12% (118)	0.98 (76)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IND Offense	12	49% (70)	44% (48)	17.9	30.5	212.3	7	11.9	18 (81)	10 (56)	.26 (76)	1.5 (119)	30% (43)	28% (91)	.16 (118)	6% (82)	1.9 (107)
PUR Defense	12	49% (56)	40% (52)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.33 (102)	1.8 (121)	33% (50)	32% (93)	.38 (101)	6% (73)	2.2 (96)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IND Defense	12	47% (36)	45% (118)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.39 (117)	1.6 (77)	29% (115)	33% (104)	.41 (110)	6% (69)	2.2 (103)
PUR Offense	12	48% (81)	41% (78)	19.5	32.7	211.2	6.5	10.8	15 (96)	10 (56)	.22 (89)	1.5 (111)	31% (56)	30% (75)	.31 (75)	6% (71)	2.1 (58)

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: -6.74 #98
Indiana's Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Indiana's Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #41
Indiana's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Indiana's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #103
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Indiana: -6.74 Purdue: -2.56

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Indiana: -7.4 Purdue: -7.4

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -2.56 #81
Purdue's Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Purdue's Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #37
Purdue's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Purdue's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Indiana Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.4

Indiana's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Purdue 32
Indiana 27

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Purdue 36
Indiana 31

Total Points: 66

Based on Entire Season
Purdue 32
Indiana 28

Total Points: 60

Purdue Scoring
Offense: 23.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.3

Purdue's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/28	Purdue	3	Indiana	56	Indiana -28.5	Indiana	53.5	Over
2024	11/30	Indiana	66	Purdue	0	Indiana -28.5	Indiana	56.5	Over
2023	11/25	Purdue	35	Indiana	31	Purdue -2.5	Purdue	55.5	Over
2022	11/26	Indiana	16	Purdue	30	Purdue -10	Purdue	52.5	Under
2021	11/27	Purdue	44	Indiana	7	Purdue -18	Purdue	50.5	Over
2019	11/30	Purdue	41	Indiana	44	Indiana -7	Purdue	56.5	Over
2018	11/24	Indiana	21	Purdue	28	Purdue -3.5	Purdue	65.0	Under
2017	11/25	Purdue	31	Indiana	24	Purdue -1.5	Purdue	51.0	Over
2016	11/26	Indiana	26	Purdue	24	Indiana -16	Purdue	66.5	Under
2015	11/28	Purdue	36	Indiana	54	Indiana -5	Indiana	68.5	Over
2014	11/29	Indiana	23	Purdue	16	Indiana -2.5	Indiana	0
2013	11/30	Indiana	56	Purdue	36	Indiana -20.5	Purdue	0
2012	11/24	Purdue	56	Indiana	35
2011	11/26	Indiana	25	Purdue	33
2010	11/27	Purdue	31	Indiana	34
2009	11/21	Indiana	21	Purdue	38
2008	11/22	Purdue	62	Indiana	10
2007	11/17	Indiana	27	Purdue	24
2006	11/18	Purdue	28	Indiana	19
2005	11/19	Indiana	14	Purdue	41
2004	11/20	Purdue	63	Indiana	24
2003	11/22	Indiana	16	Purdue	24
2001	11/24	Indiana	13	Purdue	7
2000	11/17	Purdue	41	Indiana	13

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Purdue	14	8	7 Overs
Indiana	10	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 10	6 - 6	5 - 2	1 - 4
Road Teams	10 - 14	6 - 6	4 - 1	2 - 5

(#98) IND at (#81) PUR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	IND	PUR
Power RatePwr	#98	#81
SP+SP+	#90	#90
Perf GradeGrade	#101	#115
OffenseOff	#96	#105
DefenseDef	#104	#114
Spec TeamsST	#83	#56
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#41	#37

Indiana Injury Report

Purdue Injury Report

Indiana on Offense


CategoryCat	IND Off	PUR Def
Perf GradePerf	#96	#114
SuccessSuc	#85	#44
ExplosiveExp	#114	#103
PPAPPA	#106	#74
PowerPwr	#95	#83
SP+SP+	#103	#72
Pts POPPO	#119	#112
HavocHav	#88	#48

Indiana Run Game


CategoryCat	IND Off	PUR Def
Run GameRun	#130	#75
Run SuccessRSuc	#117	#45
Run ExplRExp	#108	#53
PPAExp	#112	#31
Run BlockR Blk	#64	-
OL YdsOLY	#38	#48
Stuff RateStuff	#9	#50
TackleTak	-	#43

Indiana Pass Game


CategoryCat	IND Off	PUR Def
Pass GamePass	#80	#134
Pass SuccessPSuc	#48	#52
Pass ExplPExl	#119	#121
PPAExp	#76	#102
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#104	#53
F7 HavocF7	#83	#38
DB HavocDB	#82	#73

Purdue on Offense


CategoryCat	PUR Off	IND Def
Perf GradePerf	#105	#104
SuccessSuc	#60	#120
ExplosiveExp	#109	#26
PPAPPA	#86	#103
PowerPwr	#90	#114
SP+SP+	#89	#72
Pts POPPO	#112	#95
HavocHav	#106	#59

Purdue Run Game


CategoryCat	PUR Off	IND Def
Run GameRun	#74	#34
Run SuccessRSuc	#51	#109
Run ExplRExp	#76	#14
PPAExp	#69	#65
Run BlockR Blk	#96	-
OL YdsOLY	#60	#100
Stuff RateStuff	#107	#81
TackleTak	-	#64

Purdue Pass Game


CategoryCat	PUR Off	IND Def
Pass GamePass	#72	#118
Pass SuccessPSuc	#78	#118
Pass ExplPExl	#111	#77
PPAExp	#89	#117
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#85	#132
F7 HavocF7	#118	#58
DB HavocDB	#71	#69

Program Comparison
PUR 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

IND 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 35°

Rematch from Week 13
Purdue -2.5 (55.5)
Purdue won vs Indiana this year (35-31)

Previous Matchups
Indiana beat Purdue last year (66-0)
Purdue beat Indiana in 2023 (35-31)
Purdue beat Indiana in 2022 (30-16)

IND's OC Walt Bell (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brendan Sorsby	135	236	57%	1582	15	5	6.7
Tayven Jackson (Tr)	78	128	61%	914	2	5	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Trenten Howland	76	354	2	4.7	19
Josh Henderson	81	337	2	4.2	29
Brendan Sorsby	113	291	4	2.6	25
Jaylin Lucas	67	275	2	4.1	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Donaven McCulley	48	644	6	13.4	69
Dequece Carter (Tr)	27	395	3	14.6	90
Cam Camper	17	285	1	16.8	41
E.J. Williams (Tr)	23	276	0	12.0	27

View Indiana's Full Roster

IND's DC Matt Guerrieri (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aaron Casey	108	20	7	1	3
Louis Moore	84	1	0	0	1
Jacob Mangum-Farrar (Tr)	62	4	0	3	4
Phillip Dunnam	53	1	0	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aaron Casey	108	20	7	1	3
Lanell Carr (Tr)	33	9	5	2	2
Andre Carter (Tr)	49	11	2	3	3
Myles Jackson	25	2	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Phillip Dunnam	53	1	0	6
Jacob Mangum-Farrar (Tr)	62	4	3	4
Kobee Minor (Tr)	29	0	0	4

PUR's OC Graham Harrell (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hudson Card (Tr)	215	365	59%	2387	15	8	6.5
Ryan Browne	12	16	75%	104	0	2	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devin Mockobee	172	807	6	4.7	65
Tyrone Tracy Jr.	113	716	8	6.3	62
Dylan Downing	48	211	1	4.4	25
Hudson Card (Tr)	93	203	5	2.2	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Deion Burks	47	629	7	13.4	84
TJ Sheffield	32	381	2	11.9	43
Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen	25	329	0	13.2	30
Garrett Miller	30	243	2	8.1	28

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Kevin Kane (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dillon Thieneman	106	2	0	1	2
Sanoussi Kane	79	6	1	2	7
Kydran Jenkins	56	15	8	8	1
Yanni Karlaftis	55	3	3	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nic Caraway	49	15	9	3	3
Kydran Jenkins	56	15	8	8	1
O.C. Brothers	20	6	3	1	3
Yanni Karlaftis	55	3	3	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sanoussi Kane	79	6	1	2	7
Marquis Wilson (Tr)	20	0	0	0	6
Cam Allen	30	1	0	0	6