Indiana at Purdue Game Matchup

Saturday, November 25th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Purdue -2.5 (55.5) (-225) Open: -2.5
Purdue 35 - Indiana: 31 (Big Ten)

Hoosiers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tom Allen (31 - 42)
Avg Score : 41 - 16 (30 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

PUR is playing their 5th straight game
IND is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Purdue -4.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: IND: 25 - PUR: 30 (57)
PUR Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
IND Travel: 89 miles

Boilermakers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ryan Walters (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 16 - 40 (16 - 34 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
IND Players
PUR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Indiana's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Indiana vs Ohio State	+30.0	59.0	L 3 - 23	U	Y
Fri 9/8	Indiana vs Indiana State	-31.0	44.0	W 41 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Indiana vs Louisville	+10.0	51.0	L 14 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Indiana vs Akron	-16.5	45.5	W 29 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/30	Indiana at Maryland	+14.5	50.0	L 17 - 44	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Indiana at Michigan	+33.5	45.5	L 7 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/21	Indiana vs Rutgers	+6.0	39.5	L 14 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/28	Indiana at Penn State	+31.0	45.0	L 24 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Indiana vs Wisconsin	+9.5	45.0	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Indiana at Illinois	+4.5	43.5	L 45 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Indiana vs Michigan State	-3.5	47.5	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/25	Indiana at Purdue	+2.5	55.5	L 31 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule

Purdue's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Purdue vs Fresno State	-4.0	47.0	L 35 - 39	O	N
Sat 9/9	Purdue at Virginia Tech	+1.5	49.0	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Purdue vs Syracuse	+1.0	56.5	L 20 - 35	U	N
Fri 9/22	Purdue vs Wisconsin	+5.5	54.0	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/30	Purdue vs Illinois	-1.0	54.0	W 44 - 19	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Purdue at Iowa	+2.5	38.5	L 14 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/14	Purdue vs Ohio State	+17.5	53.0	L 7 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Purdue at Nebraska	-1.0	39.5	L 14 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/4	Purdue at Michigan	+32.5	52.5	L 13 - 41	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Purdue vs Minnesota	+1.5	48.5	W 49 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Purdue at Northwestern	+2.5	47.5	L 15 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/25	Purdue vs Indiana	-2.5	55.5	W 35 - 31	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IND	.08	37%	41.3	40%	2.91	111	35%	217	3.39	.19	44%	15.6	39%	50%	3.94	45.6	1.5	1.2
PUR	.15	44%	15.8	47%	3	121	43%	278	3.52	.16	41%	39.9	42%	41%	4.38	53.4	1.6	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IND		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
PUR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IND Offense	12	41.3	30.3	37%	3.39	1.5	19	328	111	217	3.4	40%	60%	40%	35%	20%	.08
PUR Defense	14	39.9	34	40.8%	4.38	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	42%	41%	16%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IND Defense	12	15.6	22	43.5%	3.94	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	39%	50%	14%	.19
PUR Offense	14	15.8	16	43.7%	3.52	1.6	23	399	121	278	3.6	41%	58%	47%	43%	13%	.15

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Indiana	12	25:38	19.2	34%	39%	5	45.6	1.5	1.2	5.3	1.7	2	27.1
Purdue	14	31:51	23	38%	55%	5.3	53.4	1.6	1.7	4.3	1.9	3	28.5

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IND Offense	12	40%	40%	33	110.8	3.4	15	.13	2.91	85%	12%	1.05
PUR Defense	14	50%	42%	-	-	-	-	.12	3.04	71%	9%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IND Defense	12	54%	39%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.93	62%	9%	0.86
PUR Offense	14	41%	47%	33.4	121.1	3.6	17	.09	3	79%	6%	0.76

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IND Offense	12	60%	35%	21.7	40.2	217.4	5.4	10	16	13	.07	1.3	35%	21%	.08	8%	2
PUR Defense	14	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.28	1.6	30%	23%	.09	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IND Defense	12	46%	50%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.41	1.5	29%	34%	.31	5%	2
PUR Offense	14	58%	43%	26.3	41.5	278.2	6.7	10.6	26	17	.24	1.4	30%	28%	.18	7%	1.8

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: -6.74 #98
Indiana's Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Indiana's Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
2023 Talent Rating: 674.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #41
Indiana's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Indiana's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #103
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Indiana: -6.74 Purdue: -2.56

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Indiana: -7.4 Purdue: -7.4

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -2.56 #81
Purdue's Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Purdue's Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
2023 Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #37
Purdue's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Purdue's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Indiana Scoring
Offense: 41.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.3
Defense: 15.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Indiana's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Purdue 30
Indiana 25

Projected Total Points: 57

Purdue Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 16
Defense: 39.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 34

Purdue's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	Indiana	66	Purdue	0	Indiana	Indiana -28.5	Indiana	56.5	Over
2023	11/25	Purdue	35	Indiana	31	Purdue	Purdue -2.5	Purdue	55.5	Over
2022	11/26	Indiana	16	Purdue	30	Purdue	Purdue -10	Purdue	52.5	Under
2021	11/27	Purdue	44	Indiana	7	Purdue	Purdue -18	Purdue	50.5	Over
2019	11/30	Purdue	41	Indiana	44	Indiana	Indiana -7	Purdue	56.5	Over
2018	11/24	Indiana	21	Purdue	28	Purdue	Purdue -3.5	Purdue	65.0	Under
2017	11/25	Purdue	31	Indiana	24	Purdue	Purdue -1.5	Purdue	51.0	Over
2016	11/26	Indiana	26	Purdue	24	Indiana	Indiana -16	Purdue	66.5	Under
2015	11/28	Purdue	36	Indiana	54	Indiana	Indiana -5	Indiana	68.5	Over
2014	11/29	Indiana	23	Purdue	16	Indiana	Indiana -2.5	Indiana	0
2013	11/30	Indiana	56	Purdue	36	Indiana	Indiana -20.5	Purdue	0
2012	11/24	Purdue	56	Indiana	35	Purdue
2011	11/26	Indiana	25	Purdue	33	Purdue
2010	11/27	Purdue	31	Indiana	34	Indiana
2009	11/21	Indiana	21	Purdue	38	Purdue
2008	11/22	Purdue	62	Indiana	10	Purdue
2007	11/17	Indiana	27	Purdue	24	Indiana
2006	11/18	Purdue	28	Indiana	19	Purdue
2005	11/19	Indiana	14	Purdue	41	Purdue
2004	11/20	Purdue	63	Indiana	24	Purdue
2003	11/22	Indiana	16	Purdue	24	Purdue
2001	11/24	Indiana	13	Purdue	7	Indiana
2000	11/17	Purdue	41	Indiana	13	Purdue

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Purdue	14	8	6 Overs
Indiana	9	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 9	6 - 5	5 - 2	1 - 3
Road Teams	9 - 14	5 - 6	3 - 1	2 - 5

(#98) Indiana Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.74 #98
Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Talent Rating: 674.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #41
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10

Team Profile

,
,

Indiana Ratings Matchup Purdue

Power #98

#81

Off #95

#90

Def #114

#83

Talent #55

#65

SP+ #90

#90

SP+ Off #103

#89

SP+ Def #72

#72

Rematch from Week 13
Purdue -2.5 (55.5)
Purdue won vs Indiana this year (35-31)

Previous Matchups
Indiana beat Purdue last year (66-0)
Purdue beat Indiana in 2023 (35-31)
Purdue beat Indiana in 2022 (30-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 35°

Team Information
Injuries: IND | PUR
Depth Chart: IND | PUR
Rosters: IND | PUR

(#81) Purdue Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.56 #81
Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #37
Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30

Team Profile

,
,

Indiana's OC Walt Bell

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brendan Sorsby	249	389	64%	2813	18	7	7.2
Dexter Williams II	19	30	63%	248	3	0	8.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brendan Sorsby	106	445	9	4.2	41
Trenten Howland	41	230	1	5.6	23
Broc Lowry	22	123	3	5.6	40
Dexter Williams II	12	45	1	3.8	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Camper	58	903	4	15.6	53
Kamryn Perry	10	166	0	16.6	40
Andison Coby	3	70	1	23.3	38
Jaylin Lucas	3	39	0	13.0	25

View Indiana's Full Roster

Indiana's DC Matt Guerrieri

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Phillip Dunnam	48	3	0	1	4
Lanell Carr (Tr)	39	5	3	3	2
Kobee Minor (Tr)	37	7	2	0	6
Jordan Shaw	37	4	0	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Laing (Tr)	21	6	3	2	1
Lanell Carr (Tr)	39	5	3	3	2
Kobee Minor (Tr)	37	7	2	0	6
Anthony Jones (Tr)	25	4	2	5	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kobee Minor (Tr)	37	7	2	0	6
Jordan Shaw	37	4	0	1	6
Phillip Dunnam	48	3	0	1	4

Purdue's OC Graham Harrell

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hudson Card (Tr)	144	248	58%	1641	9	7	6.6
Christian Gelov	1	3	33%	26	0	0	8.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dylan Downing	44	152	1	3.5	15
Deion Burks	5	32	0	6.4	11
Christian Gelov	1	12	0	12.0	12
Ben Furtney	1	-5	0	-5.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
TJ Sheffield	54	505	3	9.4	58
Elijah Canion	25	354	3	14.2	50
Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen	21	254	0	12.1	51
Deion Burks	31	245	3	7.9	20

View Purdue's Full Roster

Purdue's DC Kevin Kane

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kydran Jenkins	83	13	7	5	1
O.C. Brothers	47	3	0	2	1
Nic Caraway	37	14	4	4	2
Clyde Washington	36	3	0	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kydran Jenkins	83	13	7	5	1
Nic Caraway	37	14	4	4	2
Khordae Sydnor	14	7	4	2	2
Prince Boyd Jr.	3	1	1	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Markevious Brown (Tr)	9	0	0	0	3
Nic Caraway	37	14	4	4	2
Braxton Myers (Tr)	31	2	0	0	2