Purdue at Nebraska - 2023 Matchup Preview
Purdue logo Purdue Boilermakers at Nebraska CornhuskersNebraska logo
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Purdue -1 (39.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Nebraska 31 - Purdue: 14  (Big Ten)

 
Boilermakers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ryan Walters (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (16 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NEB 2nd straight Home Game
PUR coming off BYE
Our Line: Nebraska -8.5   (SP+ NEB -8)

Projected Score: PUR: 16 - NEB: 25 (41)
PUR Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
PUR Travel: 514 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Cornhuskers (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Matt Rhule (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 18 - 18 (20 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#68)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Purdue's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Purdue vs Fresno State-4.047.0L 35 - 39ON
Sat 9/9 Purdue at Virginia Tech+1.549.0W 24 - 17UY
Sat 9/16 Purdue vs Syracuse+1.056.5L 20 - 35UN
Fri 9/22 Purdue vs Wisconsin+5.554.0L 17 - 38ON
Sat 9/30 Purdue vs Illinois-1.054.0W 44 - 19OY
Sat 10/7 Purdue at Iowa+2.538.5L 14 - 20UN
Sat 10/14 Purdue vs Ohio State+17.553.0L 7 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Purdue at Nebraska-1.039.5L 14 - 31ON
Sat 11/4 Purdue at Michigan+32.552.5L 13 - 41OY
Sat 11/11 Purdue vs Minnesota+1.548.5W 49 - 30OY
Sat 11/18 Purdue at Northwestern+2.547.5L 15 - 23UN
Sat 11/25 Purdue vs Indiana-2.555.5W 35 - 31OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Nebraska's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Nebraska at Minnesota+7.543.0L 10 - 13UY
Sat 9/9 Nebraska at Colorado+2.556.5L 14 - 36UN
Sat 9/16 Nebraska vs Northern Illinois-11.542.5W 35 - 11OY
Sat 9/23 Nebraska vs Louisiana Tech-20.544.5W 28 - 14UN
Sat 9/30 Nebraska vs Michigan+17.039.5L 7 - 45ON
Fri 10/6 Nebraska at Illinois+3.543.0W 20 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Nebraska vs Northwestern-10.540.0W 17 - 9UN
Sat 10/28 Nebraska vs Purdue+1.039.5W 31 - 14OY
Sat 11/4 Nebraska at Michigan State-3.034.5L 17 - 20ON
Sat 11/11 Nebraska vs Maryland+1.541.5L 10 - 13UN
Sat 11/18 Nebraska at Wisconsin+7.536.5L 17 - 24OY
Fri 11/24 Nebraska vs Iowa-3.025.5L 10 - 13UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nebraska's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR#86 (.16)42% (60)23.945% (51)3.16 (60)16941% (78)2113.21 (112)#74 (.19)40% (44)30.441% (45)40% (52)4.28 (112)57.61.51.5
NEB#105 (.13)38% (111)1842% (84)3.31 (33)17734% (125)1363.33 (104)#18 (.1)38% (22)18.337% (18)39% (31)3.09 (16)42.32.61.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR#112 (.11)41% (96)42% (90)3.04 (65)11640% (93)1843.34 (115)#134 (.39)49% (129)49% (120)50% (129)4.82 (134)51.81.60.4
NEB#74 (.18)45% (37)48% (22)3.21 (40)12143% (55)2103.38 (114)#44 (.13)40% (50)39% (24)42% (82)3.06 (11)48.91.31.2



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Offense1223.91642.5%3.211.5203801692114.451%48%45%41%18%.16
NEB Defense1218.31737.6%3.091.2 - - - - - 43%56%37%39%20%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Defense1230.426.440.2%4.281.5 - - - - - 51%49%41%40%17%.19
NEB Offense121819.738.1%3.332.6163131771364.462%36%42%34%22%.13

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Purdue1230:2520.436%39%657.61.51.55.82.8129.4
Nebraska1230:5316.438%50%542.32.61.26.32.7029
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Offense1251% (55)45% (51)38.5168.84.420 (61).15 (69)3.16 (60)54% (133)12% (118)0.98 (76)
NEB Defense1243% (8)37% (18) - - - - .03 (16)3.15 (81)73% (70)12% (22)0.77 (3)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Defense1251% (80)41% (45) - - - - .08 (31)3 (48)68% (41)11% (38)0.97 (53)
NEB Offense1262% (5)42% (84)39.8176.84.416 (89).12 (84)3.31 (33)76% (51)14% (129)0.99 (72)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Offense1248% (81)41% (78)19.532.7211.26.510.815 (96)10 (56).22 (89)1.5 (111)31% (56)30% (75).31 (75)6% (71)2.1 (58)
NEB Defense1256% (126)39% (31) - - - - - - 9 (87).2 (31)1.5 (35)35% (25)26% (20).27 (44)8% (17)2.1 (83)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Defense1249% (56)40% (52) - - - - - - 10 (67).33 (102)1.8 (121)33% (50)32% (93).38 (101)6% (73)2.2 (96)
NEB Offense1236% (129)34% (125)11.321.8135.96.31210 (120)16 (121).24 (85)1.9 (7)34% (100)25% (118).28 (84)7% (110)2.4 (5)

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -2.72 #81
Purdue's Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Purdue's Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 16% #37
Purdue's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Purdue's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -2.72   Nebraska: 3.355

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -7.4   Nebraska: 0.1




Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 3.355 #53
Nebraska's Offense Rating: 10.32 #121
Nebraska's Defense Rating: 5.24 #28
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Nebraska's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50
Nebraska's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #65
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #123
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #8

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Purdue Scoring
Offense: 23.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 16
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.4

Purdue's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Nebraska 25
Purdue 16


Total Points: 41

Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 18 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 18.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Nebraska's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Purdue10Nebraska28NebraskaNebraska -10Nebraska47.5Under
202310/28Nebraska31Purdue14NebraskaPurdue -1Nebraska39.5Over
202210/15Purdue43Nebraska37PurduePurdue -14Nebraska56.0Over
202110/30Nebraska23Purdue28PurdueNebraska -7.5Purdue54.0Under
202012/05Purdue27Nebraska37NebraskaPurdue -1.0Nebraska64.0Push
201911/02Purdue31Nebraska27PurdueNebraska -4Purdue57.0Over
201809/29Nebraska28Purdue42PurduePurdue -3.5Purdue58.5Over
201710/28Purdue24Nebraska25NebraskaPurdue -4Nebraska53.0Under
201610/22Nebraska27Purdue14NebraskaNebraska -23.5Purdue59.0Under
201510/31Purdue55Nebraska45PurdueNebraska -10Purdue54.5Over
201411/01Nebraska35Purdue14NebraskaNebraska -24.5Purdue0
201310/12Purdue7Nebraska44NebraskaNebraska -14Nebraska0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nebraska765 Overs
Purdue564 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 63 - 90 - 63 - 3
Road Teams6 - 69 - 33 - 36 - 0

(#81) Purdue Info
Power Rating: -2.72 #81
Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 16% #37
Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30


Purdue has lost 2 straight
Purdue has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Purdue Highlights
Purdue Defense Sacks the QB a lot


Purdue Deficiencies
Purdue offense is not Explosive (#69)
Purdue Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#117)
Purdue offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#90)
Purdue gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#59)
Purdue has a bad red zone defense (#60)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatNEBPUR
OverallOver#80#96
OffenseOff#107#89
DefenseDef#33#87
Special TeamsST#9#46
PassingPass#114#58
RushingRush#93#51
Run BlockRBLK#39#73
Pass BlockPBLK#66#73
Route RunningWR Rt#108#92
TacklingTkl#13#38
Run DefenseR Def#45#65
Pass Rush DefPRush#71#45
Coverage DefCov#28#113

Rematch from Week 9
Purdue 1.0 (39.5)
Nebraska won vs Purdue this year (31-14)

Previous Matchups
Nebraska beat Purdue last year (28-10)
Nebraska beat Purdue in 2023 (31-14)
Purdue beat Nebraska in 2022 (43-37)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: PUR | NEB
Depth Chart: PUR | NEB
Rosters: PUR | NEB
(#53) Nebraska Info
Power Rating: 3.355 #53
Offense Rating: 10.32 #121
Defense Rating: 5.24 #28
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #65
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #123
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #8
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50


Nebraska has won 2 straight
Nebraska has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (2 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

Nebraska Highlights
Nebraska does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#87)

Nebraska has a really good defense (#99)
Nebraska defense does not give up big plays (#7)
Nebraska defense is really good in red zone (#8)
Nebraska has a good run defense (#135)
Nebraska Front 7 is disruptive (#129)
Nebraska Secondary is very good (#5)
Nebraska commits very few Penalties (#6)

Nebraska Deficiencies
Nebraska has a really bad Offense
Nebraska has a really bad Offense at Home
Nebraska has a bad TO Margin (#1)
Nebraska Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Nebraska throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Nebraska offense is really bad (#28)
Nebraska offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#111)
Nebraska pass game is really bad (#20)
Nebraska Does Not Stuff Runs (#88)


  
Purdue's OC Graham Harrell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hudson Card (Tr)21536559%23871586.5
Ryan Browne121675%104026.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mockobee17280764.765
Tyrone Tracy Jr.11371686.362
Dylan Downing4821114.425
Hudson Card (Tr)9320352.225
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Deion Burks47629713.484
TJ Sheffield32381211.943
Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen25329013.230
Garrett Miller3024328.128

View Purdue's Full Roster
Purdue's DC Kevin Kane
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dillon Thieneman1062012
Sanoussi Kane796127
Kydran Jenkins5615881
Yanni Karlaftis553300
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nic Caraway4915933
Kydran Jenkins5615881
O.C. Brothers206313
Yanni Karlaftis553300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sanoussi Kane796127
Marquis Wilson (Tr)200006
Cam Allen301006

Nebraska's OC Marcus Satterfield
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Heinrich Haarberg7715749%967776.2
Chubba Purdy315754%382236.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Heinrich Haarberg12047754.072
Anthony Grant10441334.034
Emmett Johnson9041124.629
Gabe Ervin3819615.227
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Billy Kemp (Tr)3531018.934
Thomas Fidone Jr.25260410.429
Jaylen Lloyd6237339.573
Alex Bullock15221114.734

View Nebraska's Full Roster
Nebraska's DC Tony White
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Gifford867108
Javin Wright512102
Omar Brown513003
John Bullock503212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jimari Butler349612
Luke Reimer488550
Nash Hutmacher408542
Cameron Lenhardt165310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tommi Hill261009
Isaac Gifford867108
Malcolm Hartzog402006