Purdue at Nebraska - 2023 Matchup Preview
Purdue logo Purdue Boilermakers at Nebraska CornhuskersNebraska logo
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Purdue -1 (39.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Nebraska 31 - Purdue: 14  (Big Ten)

 
Boilermakers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ryan Walters (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 16 - 40 (16 - 46 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 18.6 MPH
NEB 2nd straight Home Game
PUR coming off BYE
Our Line: Nebraska -8.5   (SP+ NEB -8)

Projected Score: PUR: 19 - NEB: 27 (50)
PUR Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
PUR Travel: 514 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Cornhuskers (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Matt Rhule (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 24 - 20 (29 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#68)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Purdue's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Purdue vs Fresno State-4.047.0L 35 - 39ON
Sat 9/9 Purdue at Virginia Tech+1.549.0W 24 - 17UY
Sat 9/16 Purdue vs Syracuse+1.056.5L 20 - 35UN
Fri 9/22 Purdue vs Wisconsin+5.554.0L 17 - 38ON
Sat 9/30 Purdue vs Illinois-1.054.0W 44 - 19OY
Sat 10/7 Purdue at Iowa+2.538.5L 14 - 20UN
Sat 10/14 Purdue vs Ohio State+17.553.0L 7 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Purdue at Nebraska-1.039.5L 14 - 31ON
Sat 11/4 Purdue at Michigan+32.552.5L 13 - 41OY
Sat 11/11 Purdue vs Minnesota+1.548.5W 49 - 30OY
Sat 11/18 Purdue at Northwestern+2.547.5L 15 - 23UN
Sat 11/25 Purdue vs Indiana-2.555.5W 35 - 31OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Nebraska's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Nebraska at Minnesota+7.543.0L 10 - 13UY
Sat 9/9 Nebraska at Colorado+2.556.5L 14 - 36UN
Sat 9/16 Nebraska vs Northern Illinois-11.542.5W 35 - 11OY
Sat 9/23 Nebraska vs Louisiana Tech-20.544.5W 28 - 14UN
Sat 9/30 Nebraska vs Michigan+17.039.5L 7 - 45ON
Fri 10/6 Nebraska at Illinois+3.543.0W 20 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Nebraska vs Northwestern-10.540.0W 17 - 9UN
Sat 10/28 Nebraska vs Purdue+1.039.5W 31 - 14OY
Sat 11/4 Nebraska at Michigan State-3.034.5L 17 - 20ON
Sat 11/11 Nebraska vs Maryland+1.541.5L 10 - 13UN
Sat 11/18 Nebraska at Wisconsin+7.536.5L 17 - 24OY
Fri 11/24 Nebraska vs Iowa-3.025.5L 10 - 13UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nebraska's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR.1544%15.847%312143%2783.52.1641%39.942%41%4.3853.41.61.7
NEB.241%23.540%2.9712342%2213.84.247%19.552%43%4.1142.51.61.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NEB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Offense1415.815.543.7%3.521.6233991212783.641%58%47%43%13%.15
NEB Defense1219.515.747.3%4.111.6 - - - - - 51%48%52%43%14%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Defense1439.945.840.8%4.381.7 - - - - - 50%49%42%41%16%.16
NEB Offense1223.529.141%3.841.6183441232213.551%49%40%42%17%.2

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Purdue1431:512338%55%5.353.41.61.74.31.9328.5
Nebraska1226:4818.140%43%5.442.51.61.651.8126.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Offense1441%47%33.4121.13.617.09379%6%0.76
NEB Defense1251%52% - - - - .23.3380%8%0.87
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Defense1450%42% - - - - .123.0471%9%0.93
NEB Offense1251%40%35123.33.517.082.9776%11%0.86

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Offense1458%43%26.341.5278.26.710.62617.241.430%28%.187%1.8
NEB Defense1248%43% - - - - - - 9.251.430%31%.226%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Defense1449%41% - - - - - - 15.281.630%23%.097%2.1
NEB Offense1249%42%17.128.3220.87.812.91713.351.734%29%.286%1.8

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -2.72 #81
Purdue's Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Purdue's Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
2023 Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 16% #37
Purdue's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Purdue's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -2.72   Nebraska: 3.355

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -7.4   Nebraska: 0.1




Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 3.355 #53
Nebraska's Offense Rating: 10.32 #121
Nebraska's Defense Rating: 5.24 #28
2023 Talent Rating: 842.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Nebraska's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50
Nebraska's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #65
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #123
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #8

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Purdue Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 39.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.8

Purdue's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Nebraska 27
Purdue 19


Projected Total Points: 50
Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.1
Defense: 19.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

Nebraska's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Purdue10Nebraska28NebraskaNebraska -10Nebraska47.5Under
202310/28Nebraska31Purdue14NebraskaPurdue -1Nebraska39.5Over
202210/15Purdue43Nebraska37PurduePurdue -14Nebraska56.0Over
202110/30Nebraska23Purdue28PurdueNebraska -7.5Purdue54.0Under
202012/05Purdue27Nebraska37NebraskaPurdue -1.0Nebraska64.0Push
201911/02Purdue31Nebraska27PurdueNebraska -4Purdue57.0Over
201809/29Nebraska28Purdue42PurduePurdue -3.5Purdue58.5Over
201710/28Purdue24Nebraska25NebraskaPurdue -4Nebraska53.0Under
201610/22Nebraska27Purdue14NebraskaNebraska -23.5Purdue59.0Under
201510/31Purdue55Nebraska45PurdueNebraska -10Purdue54.5Over
201411/01Nebraska35Purdue14NebraskaNebraska -24.5Purdue0
201310/12Purdue7Nebraska44NebraskaNebraska -14Nebraska0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nebraska765 Overs
Purdue564 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 63 - 90 - 63 - 3
Road Teams6 - 69 - 33 - 36 - 0

(#81) Purdue Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.72 #81
Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 16% #37
Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30

Team Profile






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Purdue     Ratings Matchup     Nebraska
Power #81
#53
Off #90
#121
Def #83
#28
Talent #65
#21
SP+ #90
#65
SP+ Off #89
#123
SP+ Def #72
#8

Rematch from Week 9
Purdue 1.0 (39.5)
Nebraska won vs Purdue this year (31-14)

Previous Matchups
Nebraska beat Purdue last year (28-10)
Nebraska beat Purdue in 2023 (31-14)
Purdue beat Nebraska in 2022 (43-37)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 34° - Wind: 19 mph


Team Information
Injuries: PUR | NEB
Depth Chart: PUR | NEB
Rosters: PUR | NEB
(#53) Nebraska Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.355 #53
Offense Rating: 10.32 #121
Defense Rating: 5.24 #28
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #65
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #123
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #8
Talent Rating: 842.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50

Team Profile






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Purdue's OC Graham Harrell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hudson Card (Tr)14424858%1641976.6
Christian Gelov1333%26008.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Downing4415213.515
Deion Burks53206.411
Christian Gelov112012.012
Ben Furtney1-50-5.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
TJ Sheffield5450539.458
Elijah Canion25354314.250
Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen21254012.151
Deion Burks3124537.920

View Purdue's Full Roster
Purdue's DC Kevin Kane
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kydran Jenkins8313751
O.C. Brothers473021
Nic Caraway3714442
Clyde Washington363010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kydran Jenkins8313751
Nic Caraway3714442
Khordae Sydnor147422
Prince Boyd Jr.31101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Markevious Brown (Tr)90003
Nic Caraway3714442
Braxton Myers (Tr)312002

Nebraska's OC Marcus Satterfield
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jeff Sims (Tr)132552%168006.7
Brian Buschini22100%380019.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rahmir Johnson5426014.822
Jeff Sims (Tr)2410114.212
Maurice Mazzccua5801.65
Isaiah Neyor2603.013
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Neyor34455513.459
Thomas Fidone Jr.36373010.433
Rahmir Johnson2117918.536
Jake Appleget445011.320

View Nebraska's Full Roster
Nebraska's DC Tony White
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Randolph Kpai805153
Isaac Gifford734011
John Bullock7010435
Javier Morton480001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Robinson3713674
John Bullock7010435
MJ Sherman (Tr)295440
Nash Hutmacher244210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tamon Lynum372106
John Bullock7010435
Ty Robinson3713674