Purdue at Virginia Tech - 2023 Matchup Preview
Purdue logo   Purdue Boilermakers at Virginia Tech Hokies  Virginia Tech logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Virginia Tech -1.5 (49.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Purdue 24 - Virginia Tech: 17

 
Boilermakers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ryan Walters (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (16 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
VT 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Virginia Tech -10.5  (SP+ VT -12)
Projected Score: PUR: 20 - VT: 31 (51)
VT Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
PUR Travel: 414 miles
Hokies (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (4 - 10)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (26 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 5.8 (#57)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Purdue's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Purdue vs Fresno State-4.047.0L 35 - 39ON
Sat 9/9 Purdue at Virginia Tech+1.549.0W 24 - 17UY
Sat 9/16 Purdue vs Syracuse+1.056.5L 20 - 35UN
Fri 9/22 Purdue vs Wisconsin+5.554.0L 17 - 38ON
Sat 9/30 Purdue vs Illinois-1.054.0W 44 - 19OY
Sat 10/7 Purdue at Iowa+2.538.5L 14 - 20UN
Sat 10/14 Purdue vs Ohio State+17.553.0L 7 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Purdue at Nebraska-1.039.5L 14 - 31ON
Sat 11/4 Purdue at Michigan+32.552.5L 13 - 41OY
Sat 11/11 Purdue vs Minnesota+1.548.5W 49 - 30OY
Sat 11/18 Purdue at Northwestern+2.547.5L 15 - 23UN
Sat 11/25 Purdue vs Indiana-2.555.5W 35 - 31OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Virginia Tech's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion-16.048.0W 36 - 17OY
Sat 9/9 Virginia Tech vs Purdue-1.549.0L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/16 Virginia Tech at Rutgers+6.537.5L 16 - 35ON
Sat 9/23 Virginia Tech at Marshall+5.541.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/30 Virginia Tech vs Pittsburgh+3.040.0W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/7 Virginia Tech at Florida State+23.552.5L 17 - 39OY
Sat 10/14 Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest-1.548.5W 30 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/26 Virginia Tech vs Syracuse-2.547.5W 38 - 10OY
Sat 11/4 Virginia Tech at Louisville+9.548.5L 3 - 34UN
Sat 11/11 Virginia Tech at Boston College-2.548.5W 48 - 22OY
Sat 11/18 Virginia Tech vs NC State-2.540.5L 28 - 35ON
Sat 11/25 Virginia Tech at Virginia-2.552.5W 55 - 17OY
Wed 12/27 Virginia Tech vs Tulane-13.543.5W 41 - 20OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR.1544%18.847%312143%2783.52.1641%31.842%41%4.3853.41.61.7
VT.138%21.440%2.9511236%2032.62.1738%30.241%36%3.8657.91.41.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
VT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Offense1418.815.843.7%3.521.6233991212783.641%58%47%43%13%.15
VT Defense1130.231.638%3.861.3 - - - - - 47%53%41%36%19%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Defense1431.834.440.8%4.381.7 - - - - - 50%49%42%41%16%.16
VT Offense1121.42637.6%2.621.4183151122033.249%50%40%36%16%.1

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Purdue1431:512338%55%5.353.41.61.74.31.9328.5
Virginia Tech1129:0917.531%43%7.357.91.41.36.72.1328.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Offense1441%47%33.4121.13.617.09379%6%0.76
VT Defense1147%41% - - - - .132.8368%12%1.08
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Defense1450%42% - - - - .123.0471%9%0.93
VT Offense1149%40%35.3111.83.215.082.9574%10%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Offense1458%43%26.341.5278.26.710.62617.241.430%28%.187%1.8
VT Defense1153%36% - - - - - - 4.251.736%27%.326%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Defense1449%41% - - - - - - 15.281.630%23%.097%2.1
VT Offense1150%36%18.531.5202.96.51199.151.535%27%.316%2.2

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -2.72  #81
Purdue's Offense Rating: 14.07  #90
Purdue's Defense Rating: 10.70  #83
2023 Talent Rating: 671.10  #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 16%  #37
Purdue's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Purdue's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4  #90
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2  #89
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7  #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -2.72   Virginia Tech: 5.605

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -7.4   Virginia Tech: 4.7




Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 5.605  #54
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 17.22  #58
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 9.01  #61
2023 Talent Rating: 638.89  #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 7  #57
Virginia Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80
Virginia Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7  #46
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7  #65
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7  #44

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

Purdue's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia Tech 31
Purdue 20

Projected Total Points: 51
Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.6

Virginia Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09Virginia Tech17Purdue24Virginia Tech -1.5Purdue49.0Under
201509/19Purdue24Virginia Tech51Virginia Tech -5.5Virginia Tech49.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia Tech111 Overs
Purdue111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams2 - 02 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#81) PUR at (#54) VT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPURVT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #81 #54
SP+SP+ #90 #46
Perf GradeGrade #115 #74
OffenseOff #105 #92
DefenseDef #114 #76
Spec TeamsST #56 #45
TalentTal #48 #59
Blue ChipsBC% #37 #57
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCat
PUR OffVT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #105 #76
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #90 #61
SP+SP+ #89 #44
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffVT Def
Run GameRun #74 #110
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #96 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #94
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffVT Def
Pass GamePass #72 #77
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #85 #9
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Virginia Tech on Offense
CategoryCatVT OffPUR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #92 #114
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #58 #83
SP+SP+ #65 #72
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Tech Run Game
CategoryCat
VT OffPUR Def
Run GameRun #49 #75
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #109 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #43
Virginia Tech Pass Game
CategoryCatVT OffPUR Def
Pass GamePass #89 #134
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #86 #53
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
VT 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'23 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

PUR 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'23 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Virginia Tech -1.5 (49.0)
Purdue won at Virginia Tech this year (24-17)

Previous Matchups
Purdue beat Virginia Tech in 2023 (24-17)

  
PUR's OC Graham Harrell (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hudson Card (Tr)21536559%23871586.5
Ryan Browne121675%104026.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mockobee17280764.765
Tyrone Tracy Jr.11371686.362
Dylan Downing4821114.425
Hudson Card (Tr)9320352.225
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Deion Burks47629713.484
TJ Sheffield32381211.943
Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen25329013.230
Garrett Miller3024328.128

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Kevin Kane (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dillon Thieneman1062012
Sanoussi Kane796127
Kydran Jenkins5615881
Yanni Karlaftis553300
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nic Caraway4915933
Kydran Jenkins5615881
O.C. Brothers206313
Yanni Karlaftis553300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sanoussi Kane796127
Marquis Wilson (Tr)200006
Cam Allen301006

VT's OC Tyler Bowen (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyron Drones (Tr)16628558%20841737.3
Grant Wells376854%519527.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bhayshul Tuten (Tr)173863105.049
Kyron Drones (Tr)16681854.959
Malachi Thomas8338124.635
Grant Wells177514.460
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Da'Quan Felton (Tr)38667817.684
Jaylin Lane (Tr)41538613.175
Dae'Quan Wright28366013.139
Stephen Gosnell22347315.844

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Chris Marve (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keli Lawson767346
Alan Tisdale714222
Jalen Stroman552012
Mansoor Delane523001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antwuan Powell38141060
Cole Nelson278510
Pheldarius Payne289451
Norell Pollard238410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dorian Strong241008
Keli Lawson767346
Derrick Canteen (Tr)342005