Howard at Northwestern - 2023 Matchup Preview
Howard logo Howard Bison at Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern logo
Saturday, October 7th 2023 (3:00 PM EDT)
Northwestern -23 (51.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Northwestern 23 - Howard: 20

 
Bison (0 - 2) (2 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (22 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 14.3 MPH
NW 3rd straight Home Game
HOW coming off BYE
NW is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Northwestern -1.5  (SP+ NW -1)
NW Win prob: 95% | Cover: 56%
Wildcats (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach David Braun (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 22 - 23 (28 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 6.9 (#73)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Howard's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Howard at Eastern Michigan+20.055.5L 23 - 33OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Howard at Northwestern+23.051.0L 20 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Howard's Schedule
Northwestern's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/3 Northwestern at Rutgers+5.039.0L 7 - 24UN
Sat 9/9 Northwestern vs UTEP-1.040.0W 38 - 7OY
Sat 9/16 Northwestern at Duke+17.048.0L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/23 Northwestern vs Minnesota+11.539.5W 37 - 34OY
Sat 9/30 Northwestern vs Penn State+27.048.0L 13 - 41ON
Sat 10/7 Northwestern vs Howard-23.051.0W 23 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Northwestern at Nebraska+10.540.0L 9 - 17UY
Sat 10/28 Northwestern vs Maryland+14.048.5W 33 - 27OY
Sat 11/4 Northwestern vs Iowa+4.530.5L 7 - 10UY
Sat 11/11 Northwestern at Wisconsin+9.543.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 11/18 Northwestern vs Purdue-2.547.5W 23 - 15UY
Sat 11/25 Northwestern at Illinois+5.046.5W 45 - 43OY
Sat 12/23 Northwestern vs Utah+6.544.5W 14 - 7UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOW0%21.50%000%000%280%0%0000
NW#113 (.1)38% (110)22.139% (109)2.63 (129)10238% (102)2024.11 (48)#33 (.14)43% (83)22.543% (73)44% (94)3.65 (56)42.60.71.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)39% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)44% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOW Offense221.521.50%00000000%0%0%0%0%
NW Defense1322.52443.1%3.651.8 - - - - - 54%45%43%44%14%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOW Defense228280%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
NW Offense1322.127.838.3%4.110.7173041022022.949%51%39%38%16%.1

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Howard20:000NAN%0%0000000100
Northwestern1328:3416.840%21%5.342.60.71.84.21.9029.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOW Offense20%0%000000%0%0
NW Defense1354% (115)43% (73) - - - - .09 (36)3.12 (73)69% (43)9% (105)0.92 (31)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOW Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
NW Offense1349% (79)39% (109)35.2101.92.913 (108).05 (120)2.63 (129)70% (97)11% (88)0.83 (128)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOW Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
NW Defense1345% (20)44% (94) - - - - - - 13 (26).22 (39)1.4 (9)29% (123)32% (102).31 (68)5% (101)1.8 (9)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOW Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
NW Offense1351% (51)38% (102)18.529.92026.810.920 (70)8 (30).18 (100)1.6 (62)35% (116)29% (84).36 (59)5% (23)2.2 (25)

Howard's Power Ratings
Howard's Power Rating: NR
Howard's Offense Rating: NR
Howard's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating:  #210
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Howard's 2023 Expected Record: -
Howard's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Howard's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Howard's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average MEAC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Howard:    Northwestern: 1.52

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Howard:    Northwestern: -1.4




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: 1.52  #66
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 15.21  #79
Northwestern's Defense Rating: 9.49  #66
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10  #49
Northwestern's 2023 Expected Record: 6.10 - 6.90
Northwestern's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4  #71
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0  #104
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9  #30

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Howard Scoring
Offense: 21.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.5
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Howard's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Northwestern 27
Howard 26

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Northwestern 41
Howard 20

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Northwestern 26
Howard 22

Total Points: 48
Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 22.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.8
Defense: 22.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24

Northwestern's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/07Northwestern23Howard20Northwestern -23Howard51.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern100 Overs
Howard011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#NR) HOW at (#66) NW
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatHOWNW
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #66
SP+SP+NR #71
Perf GradeGradeNR #82
OffenseOffNR #109
DefenseDefNR #34
Spec TeamsSTNR #71
TalentTal #210 #1
Blue ChipsBC%NR #49
Howard on Offense
CategoryCat
HOW OffNW Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #34
SuccessSucNR #83
ExplosiveExpNR #6
PPAPPANR #33
PowerPwrNR #66
SP+SP+NR #30
Pts POPPONR #56
HavocHavNR #115
Howard Run Game
CategoryCat
HOW OffNW Def
Run GameRunNR #32
Run SuccessRSucNR #73
Run ExplRExpNR #31
PPAExpNR #36
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #73
Stuff RateStuffNR #84
TackleTak -  #40
Howard Pass Game
CategoryCat
HOW OffNW Def
Pass GamePassNR #31
Pass SuccessPSucNR #94
Pass ExplPExlNR #9
PPAExpNR #39
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #122
F7 HavocF7NR #105
DB HavocDBNR #101
Northwestern on Offense
CategoryCatNW OffHOW Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #109NR
SuccessSuc #110NR
ExplosiveExp #108NR
PPAPPA #113NR
PowerPwr #79NR
SP+SP+ #104NR
Pts POPPO #48NR
HavocHav #67NR
Northwestern Run Game
CategoryCat
NW OffHOW Def
Run GameRun #126NR
Run SuccessRSuc #109NR
Run ExplRExp #128NR
PPAExp #120NR
Run BlockR Blk #92 -
OL YdsOLY #129NR
Stuff RateStuff #129NR
TackleTak - NR
Northwestern Pass Game
CategoryCatNW OffHOW Def
Pass GamePass #86NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #102NR
Pass ExplPExl #62NR
PPAExp #100NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #101NR
F7 HavocF7 #88NR
DB HavocDB #23NR
Program Comparison
NW 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Top G5

HOW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ryan Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 58° - Wind: 14 mph
Rematch from Week 6
Northwestern -23.0 (51.0)
Northwestern won vs Howard this year (23-20)

Previous Matchups
Northwestern beat Howard in 2023 (23-20)

  
HOW's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nah'Shawn Hezekiah63305.530
Gavin Harris113113.011
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nah'Shawn Hezekiah25398315.950
Gavin Harris11173115.760

View Howard's Full Roster

HOW's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenny Gallop141000
Ray Williams120002
Xavier Robiou90001
Cameron Dyson70000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenny Gallop141000
Gavin Harris30000
Breylin Smith10000
Nah'Shawn Hezekiah10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ray Williams120002
Robert Jones III30001
Xavier Robiou90001

NW's OC Mike Bajakian (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Bryant17327763%18071366.5
Brendan Sullivan639964%714627.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Porter16665143.934
Anthony Tyus III5023814.839
Brendan Sullivan7516022.135
Joseph Himon II3513603.932
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Johnson (Tr)54715613.252
Bryce Kirtz49701514.380
A.J. Henning (Tr)4541849.341
Joseph Himon II18219112.285

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC Vacant (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Gallagher1134102
Xander Mueller10310502
Rod Heard824104
Devin Turner751004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aidan Hubbard269621
Anto Saka136610
Xander Mueller10310502
Jaylen Pate223300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Theran Johnson352005
Sean McLaughlin182135
Rod Heard824104