Syracuse at Purdue - 2023 Matchup Preview
Syracuse logo   Syracuse Orange at Purdue Boilermakers  Purdue logo
Saturday, September 16th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Syracuse -1 (56.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Syracuse 35 - Purdue: 20

 
Orange (6 - 7) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Dino Babers (39 - 49)
Avg Score : 20 - 35 (17 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#59)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Syracuse -2  (SP+ SYR -6.5)
Projected Score: SYR: 29 - PUR: 27 (55)
SYR Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
SYR Travel: 584 miles
Boilermakers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ryan Walters (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (21 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Syracuse's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Syracuse vs Colgate-40.049.5W 65 - 0OY
Sat 9/9 Syracuse vs Western Michigan-24.556.5W 48 - 7UY
Sat 9/16 Syracuse at Purdue-1.056.5W 35 - 20UY
Sat 9/23 Syracuse vs Army-13.050.5W 29 - 16UN
Sat 9/30 Syracuse vs Clemson+7.052.0L 14 - 31UN
Sat 10/7 Syracuse at North Carolina+9.559.0L 7 - 40UN
Sat 10/14 Syracuse at Florida State+18.553.5L 3 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/26 Syracuse at Virginia Tech+2.547.5L 10 - 38ON
Fri 11/3 Syracuse vs Boston College-3.051.0L 10 - 17UN
Sat 11/11 Syracuse vs Pittsburgh+4.537.5W 28 - 13OY
Sat 11/18 Syracuse at Georgia Tech+6.551.5L 22 - 31ON
Sat 11/25 Syracuse vs Wake Forest-3.043.5W 35 - 31OY
Thu 12/21 Syracuse vs South Florida-3.056.0L 0 - 45UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule
Purdue's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Purdue vs Fresno State-4.047.0L 35 - 39ON
Sat 9/9 Purdue at Virginia Tech+1.549.0W 24 - 17UY
Sat 9/16 Purdue vs Syracuse+1.056.5L 20 - 35UN
Fri 9/22 Purdue vs Wisconsin+5.554.0L 17 - 38ON
Sat 9/30 Purdue vs Illinois-1.054.0W 44 - 19OY
Sat 10/7 Purdue at Iowa+2.538.5L 14 - 20UN
Sat 10/14 Purdue vs Ohio State+17.553.0L 7 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Purdue at Nebraska-1.039.5L 14 - 31ON
Sat 11/4 Purdue at Michigan+32.552.5L 13 - 41OY
Sat 11/11 Purdue vs Minnesota+1.548.5W 49 - 30OY
Sat 11/18 Purdue at Northwestern+2.547.5L 15 - 23UN
Sat 11/25 Purdue vs Indiana-2.555.5W 35 - 31OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SYR.1945%20.248%3.1714343%2323.83.1347%34.949%44%3.4263.311.7
PUR.1544%18.847%312143%2783.52.1641%31.842%41%4.3853.41.61.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SYR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SYR Offense1320.21745%3.831203751432324.246%53%48%43%19%.19
PUR Defense1431.83040.8%4.381.7 - - - - - 50%49%42%41%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SYR Defense1334.940.246.5%3.421.7 - - - - - 57%43%49%44%16%.13
PUR Offense1418.820.943.7%3.521.6233991212783.641%58%47%43%13%.15

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Syracuse1328:1420.237%42%8.663.311.75.82.5230.1
Purdue1431:512338%55%5.353.41.61.74.31.9328.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SYR Offense1346%48%34.1143.14.221.223.1770%12%0.98
PUR Defense1450%42% - - - - .123.0471%9%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SYR Defense1357%49% - - - - .123.2767%12%0.8
PUR Offense1441%47%33.4121.13.617.09379%6%0.76

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SYR Offense1353%43%17.528.5231.68.113.2199.161.533%32%.356%2
PUR Defense1449%41% - - - - - - 15.281.630%23%.097%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SYR Defense1343%44% - - - - - - 10.181.325%29%.215%1.7
PUR Offense1458%43%26.341.5278.26.710.62617.241.430%28%.187%1.8

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: -0.31  #65
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 14.09  #89
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 8.31  #49
2023 Talent Rating: 610.75  #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Syracuse's 2023 Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90
Syracuse's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0  #68
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6  #82
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7  #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: -0.31   Purdue: -2.56

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: -1.0   Purdue: -7.4




Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -2.56  #81
Purdue's Offense Rating: 14.07  #90
Purdue's Defense Rating: 10.70  #83
2023 Talent Rating: 671.10  #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 16  #37
Purdue's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Purdue's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4  #90
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2  #89
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7  #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 34.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.2

Syracuse's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Syracuse 29
Purdue 27

Projected Total Points: 55
Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.9
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30

Purdue's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/16Purdue20Syracuse35Syracuse -1Syracuse56.5Under
202209/17Syracuse32Purdue29Syracuse -1.5Syracuse59.5Over
200409/05Purdue51Syracuse0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Purdue101 Overs
Syracuse221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 21 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#65) SYR at (#81) PUR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSYRPUR
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #65 #81
SP+SP+ #68 #90
Perf GradeGrade #92 #115
OffenseOff #115 #105
DefenseDef #39 #114
Spec TeamsST #88 #56
TalentTal #69 #48
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #37
Syracuse on Offense
CategoryCat
SYR OffPUR Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #115 #114
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #89 #83
SP+SP+ #82 #72
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Syracuse Run Game
CategoryCat
SYR OffPUR Def
Run GameRun #84 #75
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #108 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #43
Syracuse Pass Game
CategoryCat
SYR OffPUR Def
Pass GamePass #126 #134
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #66 #53
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCatPUR OffSYR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #105 #39
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #90 #49
SP+SP+ #89 #50
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffSYR Def
Run GameRun #74 #37
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #96 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #20
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCatPUR OffSYR Def
Pass GamePass #72 #32
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #85 #101
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PUR 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'23 Profile: Down to Average G5

SYR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'23 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Syracuse 1.0 (56.5)
Syracuse won at Purdue this year (35-20)

Previous Matchups
Syracuse beat Purdue in 2023 (35-20)

  
SYR's OC Jason Beck (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Shrader13421463%16911367.9
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson265151%282365.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lequint Allen244106394.456
Garrett Shrader11446084.039
Dan Villari5532625.938
Juwuan Price4816603.522
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Damien Alford33610318.547
Umari Hatcher32482315.148
Donovan Brown27321111.986
Lequint Allen3821015.526

View Syracuse's Full Roster

SYR's DC Rocky Long (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marlowe Wax10512442
Justin Barron895118
Alijah Clark624023
Derek Mcdonald614341
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kevon Darton438530
Caleb Okechukwu368521
Marlowe Wax10512442
Leon Lowery458431
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Barron895118
Isaiah Johnson581005
Jason Simmons Jr.450015

PUR's OC Graham Harrell (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hudson Card (Tr)21536559%23871586.5
Ryan Browne121675%104026.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mockobee17280764.765
Tyrone Tracy Jr.11371686.362
Dylan Downing4821114.425
Hudson Card (Tr)9320352.225
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Deion Burks47629713.484
TJ Sheffield32381211.943
Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen25329013.230
Garrett Miller3024328.128

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Kevin Kane (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dillon Thieneman1062012
Sanoussi Kane796127
Kydran Jenkins5615881
Yanni Karlaftis553300
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nic Caraway4915933
Kydran Jenkins5615881
O.C. Brothers206313
Yanni Karlaftis553300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sanoussi Kane796127
Marquis Wilson (Tr)200006
Cam Allen301006