Minnesota at Northwestern Game Matchup
Minnesota logo Minnesota Golden Gophers at Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern logo
Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Minnesota -11.5 (39.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Northwestern 37 - Minnesota: 34  (Big Ten)

 
Golden Gophers (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (46 - 28)
Avg Score : 26 - 17 (23 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 8.2 (#102)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MINN 2nd straight Road Game
NW is playing their 4th straight game
MINN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Northwestern -4.5   (SP+ MINN -0)
Projected Score: MINN: 18 - NW: 23 (43)
MINN Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
MINN Travel: 342 miles
Wildcats (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach David Braun (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 18 - 26 (18 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 6.9 (#73)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Minnesota's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Minnesota vs Nebraska-7.543.0W 13 - 10UN
Sat 9/9 Minnesota vs Eastern Michigan-19.548.0W 25 - 6UN
Sat 9/16 Minnesota at North Carolina+7.051.0L 13 - 31UN
Sat 9/23 Minnesota at Northwestern-11.539.5L 34 - 37ON
Sat 9/30 Minnesota vs Louisiana-9.549.0W 35 - 24OY
Sat 10/7 Minnesota vs Michigan+18.546.0L 10 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Minnesota at Iowa+3.030.5W 12 - 10UY
Sat 10/28 Minnesota vs Michigan State-6.541.5W 27 - 12UY
Sat 11/4 Minnesota vs Illinois-1.543.0L 26 - 27ON
Sat 11/11 Minnesota at Purdue-1.548.5L 30 - 49ON
Sat 11/18 Minnesota at Ohio State+27.551.5L 3 - 37UN
Sat 11/25 Minnesota vs Wisconsin+1.542.0L 14 - 28UN
Tue 12/26 Minnesota vs Bowling Green-2.545.0W 30 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Northwestern's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/3 Northwestern at Rutgers+5.039.0L 7 - 24UN
Sat 9/9 Northwestern vs UTEP-1.040.0W 38 - 7OY
Sat 9/16 Northwestern at Duke+17.048.0L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/23 Northwestern vs Minnesota+11.539.5W 37 - 34OY
Sat 9/30 Northwestern vs Penn State+27.048.0L 13 - 41ON
Sat 10/7 Northwestern vs Howard-23.051.0W 23 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Northwestern at Nebraska+10.540.0L 9 - 17UY
Sat 10/28 Northwestern vs Maryland+14.048.5W 33 - 27OY
Sat 11/4 Northwestern vs Iowa+4.530.5L 7 - 10UY
Sat 11/11 Northwestern at Wisconsin+9.543.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 11/18 Northwestern vs Purdue-2.547.5W 23 - 15UY
Sat 11/25 Northwestern at Illinois+5.046.5W 45 - 43OY
Sat 12/23 Northwestern vs Utah+6.544.5W 14 - 7UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN.2448%26.249%3.320748%1824.36.1237%16.938%36%2.8431.811.6
NW.0137%17.838%2.6312538%2102.67.1745%26.346%44%4.0340.82.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Offense1326.222.647.8%4.361223902071824.664%35%49%48%12%.24
NW Defense1226.326.345.1%4.031.5 - - - - - 59%41%46%44%13%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Defense1316.918.836.7%2.841.6 - - - - - 47%52%38%36%13%.12
NW Offense1217.817.837.2%2.672.5193351252103.251%47%38%38%18%.01

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Minnesota1334:2821.552%55%3.531.811.63.31.5129.6
Northwestern1229:011937%49%4.640.82.51.54.51.9026.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Offense1364%49%44.8207.44.633.223.385%7%0.9
NW Defense1259%46% - - - - .163.1674%8%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Defense1347%38% - - - - .092.9976%7%0.99
NW Offense1251%38%39.1125.13.211-.042.6367%9%0.86

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Offense1335%48%13.221.6182.28.413.8129.371.528%40%.455%1.7
NW Defense1241%44% - - - - - - 6.221.329%29%.164%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Defense1352%36% - - - - - - 14.171.537%25%.216%1.8
NW Offense1247%38%20.434.8210.36.110.31017.151.433%21%.049%1.9

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: -4.18 #88
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 12.36 #108
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 12.35 #99
2023 Talent Rating: 800.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Minnesota's 2023 Expected Record: 4.80 - 8.20
Minnesota's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #105
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: -4.18   Northwestern: 1.52

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: -1.3   Northwestern: -1.4




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: 1.52 #66
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 15.21 #79
Northwestern's Defense Rating: 9.49 #66
2023 Talent Rating: 682.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #49
Northwestern's 2023 Expected Record: 6.10 - 6.90
Northwestern's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #104
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #30

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 16.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.8

Minnesota's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Northwestern 23
Minnesota 18

Projected Total Points: 43
Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.8
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.3

Northwestern's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Northwestern37Minnesota34NorthwesternMinnesota -11.5Northwestern39.5Over
202211/12Minnesota31Northwestern3MinnesotaMinnesota -17Minnesota40.5Under
202110/30Northwestern14Minnesota41MinnesotaMinnesota -7.5Minnesota43.5Over
201911/23Northwestern22Minnesota38MinnesotaMinnesota -15.5Minnesota41.0Over
201811/17Minnesota14Northwestern24NorthwesternMinnesota -3Northwestern48.5Under
201711/18Northwestern39Minnesota0NorthwesternNorthwestern -7Northwestern40.5Under
201611/19Minnesota29Northwestern12MinnesotaMinnesota -2Minnesota46.0Under
201510/03Northwestern27Minnesota0NorthwesternNorthwestern -6.5Northwestern40.5Under
201410/11Minnesota24Northwestern17MinnesotaMinnesota -3.5Minnesota45.0Under
201310/19Northwestern17Minnesota20MinnesotaNorthwestern -13Minnesota0
201210/13Minnesota13Northwestern21Northwestern
201111/19Northwestern28Minnesota13Northwestern
201010/02Minnesota28Northwestern29Northwestern
200909/26Northwestern24Minnesota35Minnesota
200811/01Minnesota17Northwestern24Northwestern
200710/13Northwestern49Minnesota48Northwestern
200409/25Minnesota43Northwestern17Minnesota
200310/04Northwestern17Minnesota42Minnesota
200210/10Minnesota45Northwestern42Minnesota
200110/13Northwestern23Minnesota17Northwestern
200010/27Minnesota35Northwestern41Northwestern
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern1143 Overs
Minnesota1066 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 106 - 45 - 21 - 2
Road Teams10 - 114 - 62 - 12 - 5

(#88) Minnesota Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.18 #88
Offense Rating: 12.36 #108
Defense Rating: 12.35 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #105
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37
Talent Rating: 800.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Expected Record: 4.80 - 8.20

Team Profile






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Minnesota     Ratings Matchup     Northwestern
Power #88
#66
Off #108
#79
Def #99
#66
Talent #30
#54
SP+ #69
#71
SP+ Off #105
#104
SP+ Def #37
#30

Rematch from Week 4
Minnesota 11.5 (39.5)
Northwestern won vs Minnesota this year (37-34)

Previous Matchups
Northwestern beat Minnesota in 2023 (37-34)
Minnesota beat Northwestern in 2022 (31-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ryan Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 68° - Wind: 6 mph


Team Information
Injuries: MINN | NW
Depth Chart: MINN | NW
Rosters: MINN | NW
(#66) Northwestern Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.52 #66
Offense Rating: 15.21 #79
Defense Rating: 9.49 #66
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #104
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #30
Talent Rating: 682.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #49
Expected Record: 6.10 - 6.90

Team Profile






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Minnesota's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Athan Kaliakmanis21339554%26961876.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Athan Kaliakmanis9225132.720
Zach Evans95806.440
Marquese Williams61302.27
Daniel Jackson31304.35
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Daniel Jackson75863411.539
Elijah Spencer (Tr)52685613.229
Nick Kallerup9117013.044
Frank Bierman113013.013

View Minnesota's Full Roster
Minnesota's DC Nick Monroe
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cody Lindenberg945136
Danny Striggow526561
Jack Henderson (Tr)449611
Justin Walley4221110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Henderson (Tr)449611
Danny Striggow526561
Jah Joyner326597
Cody Lindenberg945136
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Walley4221110
Jah Joyner326597
Cody Lindenberg945136

Northwestern's OC Mike Bajakian
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendan Sullivan385372%474338.9
Ryan Hilinski91560%121018.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Tyus III237121595.146
Brendan Sullivan4715143.230
Jacob Gill51302.69
A.J. Henning (Tr)5801.69
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
A.J. Henning (Tr)59603410.246
Bryce Kirtz39598015.355
Jacob Gill35411211.759
Thomas Gordon2725219.326

View Northwestern's Full Roster
Northwestern's DC Vacant
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xander Mueller575114
Nigel Williams530002
Garnett Hollis Jr.461006
Jaheem Joseph421112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reginald Pearson214200
Xander Mueller575114
Rod Heard372114
Grayson Metz322101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Garnett Hollis Jr.461006
Xander Mueller575114
Rod Heard372114