Rutgers at Wisconsin - 2023 Matchup Preview

Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Wisconsin Badgers

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Wisconsin -12.5 (44.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Wisconsin 24 - Rutgers: 13 (Big Ten)

Scarlet Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 4 - 2)
Coach Greg Schiano (15 - 22)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (19 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 7.2 (#81)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WIS coming off BYE
RUTG is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Wisconsin -10.5 (SP+ WIS -8)
Projected Score: RUTG: 17 - WIS: 28 (45)
WIS Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
RUTG Travel: 788 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Badgers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 13 - 22 (16 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 4.1 (#29)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
RUTG Players
WIS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Rutgers's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	Rutgers vs Northwestern	-5.0	39.0	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Rutgers vs Temple	-7.5	43.5	W 36 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Rutgers vs Virginia Tech	-6.5	37.5	W 35 - 16	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Rutgers at Michigan	+24.0	44.5	L 7 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Rutgers vs Wagner	-46.0	52.5	W 52 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Rutgers at Wisconsin	+12.5	44.0	L 13 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Rutgers vs Michigan State	-4.0	38.5	W 27 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/21	Rutgers at Indiana	-6.0	39.5	W 31 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Rutgers vs Ohio State	+19.0	42.5	L 16 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Rutgers at Iowa	-2.5	27.5	L 0 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/18	Rutgers at Penn State	+19.5	39.5	L 6 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/25	Rutgers vs Maryland	+2.0	45.5	L 24 - 42	O	N
Thu 12/28	Rutgers vs Miami	-3.0	41.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule

Wisconsin's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Wisconsin vs Buffalo	-29.0	52.5	W 38 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/9	Wisconsin at Washington State	-5.0	58.0	L 22 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/16	Wisconsin vs Georgia Southern	-20.5	65.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Fri 9/22	Wisconsin at Purdue	-5.5	54.0	W 38 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Wisconsin vs Rutgers	-12.5	44.0	W 24 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/14	Wisconsin vs Iowa	-8.0	33.5	L 6 - 15	U	N
Sat 10/21	Wisconsin at Illinois	-3.0	40.5	W 25 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Wisconsin vs Ohio State	+14.5	48.0	L 10 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Wisconsin at Indiana	-9.5	45.0	L 14 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/11	Wisconsin vs Northwestern	-9.5	43.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/18	Wisconsin vs Nebraska	-7.5	36.5	W 24 - 17	O	N
Sat 11/25	Wisconsin at Minnesota	-1.5	42.0	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Wisconsin vs LSU	+9.5	59.5	L 31 - 35	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RUTG	.05	37%	28.7	41%	3.01	127	34%	154	3.32	.14	42%	31.8	45%	39%	3.86	64.2	1.7	1.4
WIS	.16	42%	12.8	45%	3.07	180	38%	184	4.33	.07	36%	21.6	35%	39%	3.61	57.8	1.4	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RUTG		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WIS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RUTG Offense	12	28.7	19.2	37.4%	3.32	1.7	15	281	127	154	3.5	53%	47%	41%	34%	19%	.05
WIS Defense	13	21.6	18.3	36.4%	3.61	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	35%	39%	19%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RUTG Defense	12	31.8	34	41.7%	3.86	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	45%	39%	20%	.14
WIS Offense	13	12.8	15.6	42.2%	4.33	1.4	18	364	180	184	4.7	59%	40%	45%	38%	15%	.16

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Rutgers	12	29:11	14.8	28%	53%	7.8	64.2	1.7	1.4	5.5	1.7	3	27.7
Wisconsin	13	31:08	17.9	40%	47%	6.2	57.8	1.4	1.6	6.2	2.5	2	30.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RUTG Offense	12	53%	41%	36	126.9	3.5	11	-.01	3.01	74%	13%	0.71
WIS Defense	13	49%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.57	65%	11%	0.86

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RUTG Defense	12	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.14	2.8	69%	11%	0.9
WIS Offense	13	59%	45%	38.5	179.8	4.7	21	.17	3.07	76%	10%	0.96

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RUTG Offense	12	47%	34%	14	27.7	154.3	5.6	11	11	14	.12	1.7	34%	21%	.11	7%	2.3
WIS Defense	13	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.19	1.6	36%	27%	.21	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RUTG Defense	12	51%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.17	1.5	33%	26%	.12	9%	1.8
WIS Offense	13	40%	38%	14.5	25.1	183.8	7.3	12.7	21	11	.18	1.7	30%	27%	.21	6%	2.2

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: -0.30 #64
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 13.71 #92
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
2023 Talent Rating: 636.35 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Rutgers's 2023 Expected Record: 5.80 - 7.20
Rutgers's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #59
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #98
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: -0.30 Wisconsin: 11.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: 2.3 Wisconsin: 9.9

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 11.27 #28
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 16.47 #67
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 4.78 #26
2023 Talent Rating: 741.63 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #31
Wisconsin's 2023 Expected Record: 8.90 - 4.10
Wisconsin's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.2
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Rutgers's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 2
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 2
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Wisconsin 28
Rutgers 17

Projected Total Points: 45

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 12.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.6
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Wisconsin's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	Rutgers	7	Wisconsin	42	Rutgers -1.0	Wisconsin	43.5	Over
2023	10/07	Wisconsin	24	Rutgers	13	Wisconsin -12.5	Rutgers	44.0	Under
2021	11/06	Rutgers	3	Wisconsin	52	Wisconsin -13	Wisconsin	37.5	Over
2018	11/03	Wisconsin	31	Rutgers	17	Wisconsin -29	Rutgers	50.5	Under
2015	10/31	Wisconsin	48	Rutgers	10	Wisconsin -19	Wisconsin	50.5	Over
2014	11/01	Rutgers	0	Wisconsin	37	Wisconsin -11	Wisconsin	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wisconsin	6	4	3 Overs
Rutgers	0	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	1 - 5	1 - 3	0 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 3	5 - 1	2 - 0	3 - 1

(#64) RUTG at (#28) WIS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	RUTG	WIS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#64	#28
SP+SP+	#59	#28
Perf GradeGrade	#50	#55
OffenseOff	#61	#72
DefenseDef	#37	#29
Spec TeamsST	#115	#53
TalentTal	#61	#30
Blue ChipsBC%	#53	#31

Rutgers Injury Report

Wisconsin Injury Report

Rutgers on Offense


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	WIS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#61	#29
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#92	#26
SP+SP+	#98	#6
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Rutgers Run Game


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	WIS Def
Run GameRun	#33	#38
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#52	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#22

Rutgers Pass Game


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	WIS Def
Pass GamePass	#94	#50
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#108	#59
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Wisconsin on Offense


CategoryCat	WIS Off	RUTG Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#72	#37
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#67	#59
SP+SP+	#90	#21
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wisconsin Run Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	RUTG Def
Run GameRun	#97	#65
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#33	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#4

Wisconsin Pass Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	RUTG Def
Pass GamePass	#55	#29
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#24	#55
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WIS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Down to Average P4

RUTG 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
Wisconsin -12.5 (44.0)
Wisconsin won vs Rutgers this year (24-13)

Previous Matchups
Wisconsin beat Rutgers in 2024 (42-7)
Wisconsin beat Rutgers in 2023 (24-13)

RUTG's OC Kirk Ciarrocca (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Gavin Wimsatt	138	289	48%	1735	9	8	6.0
Evan Simon	2	3	67%	30	1	0	10.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kyle Monangai	242	1262	8	5.2	55
Gavin Wimsatt	131	497	11	3.8	80
Samuel Brown V	63	217	2	3.4	11
Ja'shon Benjamin	45	172	1	3.8	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Christian Dremel	35	463	3	13.2	69
JaQuae Jackson (Tr)	22	361	1	16.4	61
Isaiah Washington	26	326	1	12.5	42
Ian Strong	16	230	2	14.4	29

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC Joe Harasymiak (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deion Jennings	94	5	0	0	4
Mohamed Toure	92	10	5	4	2
Michael Dixon (Tr)	76	2	0	1	5
Desmond Igbinosun	64	7	1	3	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mohamed Toure	92	10	5	4	2
Wesley Bailey	25	5	4	5	3
Tyreem Powell	52	3	3	2	2
Aaron Lewis	49	5	3	10	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Robert Longerbeam	39	1	1	8
Eric Rogers (Tr)	18	0	0	6
Max Melton	32	4	1	6

WIS's OC Phil Longo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tanner Mordecai (Tr)	204	314	65%	2065	9	4	6.6
Braedyn Locke (Tr)	76	152	50%	778	5	1	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Braelon Allen	181	984	12	5.4	52
Jackson Acker	72	322	2	4.5	33
Chez Mellusi	51	307	4	6.0	89
Tanner Mordecai (Tr)	90	303	4	3.4	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Will Pauling (Tr)	74	837	6	11.3	53
Bryson Green (Tr)	32	480	2	15.0	54
Chimere Dike	19	328	1	17.3	41
Skyler Bell	38	297	1	7.8	30

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Colin Hitschler (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Hunter Wohler	120	6	1	4	6
Jake Chaney	80	7	3	1	0
Jordan Turner	61	7	3	3	2
Maema Njongmeta	59	9	3	5	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darryl Peterson	47	10	5	4	2
C.J. Goetz	59	11	4	5	2
James Thompson Jr.	29	6	3	1	2
Jordan Turner	61	7	3	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Hunter Wohler	120	6	1	4	6
Ricardo Hallman	34	3	0	0	5
Alexander Smith	27	3	1	0	5