Rutgers at Wisconsin - 2023 Matchup Preview
Rutgers logo Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Wisconsin BadgersWisconsin logo
Saturday, October 7th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Wisconsin -12.5 (44.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Wisconsin 24 - Rutgers: 13  (Big Ten)

 
Scarlet Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 4 - 2)
Coach Greg Schiano (15 - 22)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (25 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 7.2 (#81)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 12.3 MPH
WIS coming off BYE
RUTG is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Wisconsin -10.5   (SP+ WIS -8)

Projected Score: RUTG: 18 - WIS: 28 (50)
WIS Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
RUTG Travel: 788 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Badgers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (21 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 4.1 (#29)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Rutgers's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/3 Rutgers vs Northwestern-5.039.0W 24 - 7UY
Sat 9/9 Rutgers vs Temple-7.543.5W 36 - 7UY
Sat 9/16 Rutgers vs Virginia Tech-6.537.5W 35 - 16OY
Sat 9/23 Rutgers at Michigan+24.044.5L 7 - 31UY
Sat 9/30 Rutgers vs Wagner-46.052.5W 52 - 3OY
Sat 10/7 Rutgers at Wisconsin+12.544.0L 13 - 24UY
Sat 10/14 Rutgers vs Michigan State-4.038.5W 27 - 24ON
Sat 10/21 Rutgers at Indiana-6.039.5W 31 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Rutgers vs Ohio State+19.042.5L 16 - 35OY
Sat 11/11 Rutgers at Iowa-2.527.5L 0 - 22UN
Sat 11/18 Rutgers at Penn State+19.539.5L 6 - 27UN
Sat 11/25 Rutgers vs Maryland+2.045.5L 24 - 42ON
Thu 12/28 Rutgers vs Miami-3.041.0W 31 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule
Wisconsin's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Wisconsin vs Buffalo-29.052.5W 38 - 17ON
Sat 9/9 Wisconsin at Washington State-5.058.0L 22 - 31UN
Sat 9/16 Wisconsin vs Georgia Southern-20.565.5W 35 - 14UY
Fri 9/22 Wisconsin at Purdue-5.554.0W 38 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Wisconsin vs Rutgers-12.544.0W 24 - 13UN
Sat 10/14 Wisconsin vs Iowa-8.033.5L 6 - 15UN
Sat 10/21 Wisconsin at Illinois-3.040.5W 25 - 21OY
Sat 10/28 Wisconsin vs Ohio State+14.548.0L 10 - 24UY
Sat 11/4 Wisconsin at Indiana-9.545.0L 14 - 20UN
Sat 11/11 Wisconsin vs Northwestern-9.543.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/18 Wisconsin vs Nebraska-7.536.5W 24 - 17ON
Sat 11/25 Wisconsin at Minnesota-1.542.0W 28 - 14UY
Mon 1/1 Wisconsin vs LSU+9.559.5L 31 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RUTG.0537%28.941%3.0112734%1543.32.1442%25.445%39%3.8664.21.71.4
WIS.1642%22.645%3.0718038%1844.33.0736%23.135%39%3.6157.81.41.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RUTG0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WIS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RUTG Offense1228.92537.4%3.321.7152811271543.553%47%41%34%19%.05
WIS Defense1323.120.436.4%3.611.6 - - - - - 49%49%35%39%19%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RUTG Defense1225.42241.7%3.861.4 - - - - - 49%51%45%39%20%.14
WIS Offense1322.621.442.2%4.331.4183641801844.759%40%45%38%15%.16

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Rutgers1229:1114.828%53%7.864.21.71.45.51.7327.7
Wisconsin1331:0817.940%47%6.257.81.41.66.22.5230.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RUTG Offense1253%41%36126.93.511-.013.0174%13%0.71
WIS Defense1349%35% - - - - -.022.5765%11%0.86
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RUTG Defense1249%45% - - - - .142.869%11%0.9
WIS Offense1359%45%38.5179.84.721.173.0776%10%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RUTG Offense1247%34%1427.7154.35.6111114.121.734%21%.117%2.3
WIS Defense1349%39% - - - - - - 17.191.636%27%.217%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RUTG Defense1251%39% - - - - - - 9.171.533%26%.129%1.8
WIS Offense1340%38%14.525.1183.87.312.72111.181.730%27%.216%2.2

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: -0.30 #64
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 13.71 #92
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
2023 Talent Rating: 734.00 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Rutgers's 2023 Expected Record: 5.80 - 7.20
Rutgers's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #59
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #98
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: -0.30   Wisconsin: 11.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: 2.3   Wisconsin: 9.9




Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 11.27 #28
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 16.47 #67
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 4.78 #26
2023 Talent Rating: 804.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #31
Wisconsin's 2023 Expected Record: 8.90 - 4.10
Wisconsin's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Rutgers's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 2
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 2
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Wisconsin 28
Rutgers 18


Projected Total Points: 50
Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.4
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.4

Wisconsin's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Rutgers7Wisconsin42WisconsinRutgers -1.0Wisconsin43.5Over
202310/07Wisconsin24Rutgers13WisconsinWisconsin -12.5Rutgers44.0Under
202111/06Rutgers3Wisconsin52WisconsinWisconsin -13Wisconsin37.5Over
201811/03Wisconsin31Rutgers17WisconsinWisconsin -29Rutgers50.5Under
201510/31Wisconsin48Rutgers10WisconsinWisconsin -19Wisconsin50.5Over
201411/01Rutgers0Wisconsin37WisconsinWisconsin -11Wisconsin0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wisconsin643 Overs
Rutgers022 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 31 - 51 - 30 - 2
Road Teams3 - 35 - 12 - 03 - 1

(#64) Rutgers Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.30 #64
Offense Rating: 13.71 #92
Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #59
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21
Talent Rating: 734.00 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Expected Record: 5.80 - 7.20

Team Profile






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Rutgers     Ratings Matchup     Wisconsin
Power #64
#28
Off #92
#67
Def #59
#26
Talent #39
#29
SP+ #59
#28
SP+ Off #98
#90
SP+ Def #21
#6

Rematch from Week 6
Wisconsin -12.5 (44.0)
Wisconsin won vs Rutgers this year (24-13)

Previous Matchups
Wisconsin beat Rutgers last year (42-7)
Wisconsin beat Rutgers in 2023 (24-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 51° - Wind: 12 mph


Team Information
Injuries: RUTG | WIS
Depth Chart: RUTG | WIS
Rosters: RUTG | WIS
(#28) Wisconsin Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.27 #28
Offense Rating: 16.47 #67
Defense Rating: 4.78 #26
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #6
Talent Rating: 804.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #31
Expected Record: 8.90 - 4.10

Team Profile






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Rutgers's OC Kirk Ciarrocca
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Evan Simon18130859%20321596.6
Gavin Wimsatt163941%287347.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kyle Monangai2561279135.062
Gavin Wimsatt4918323.724
Aaron Young2311925.224
Evan Simon872030.216
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Max Patterson25286011.439
Christian Dremel12162113.536
Kyle Monangai147515.414
Aaron Young239019.537

View Rutgers's Full Roster
Rutgers's DC Joe Harasymiak
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shaquan Loyal755105
Michael Dixon (Tr)600004
Tyreem Powell564032
Desmond Igbinosun544022
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyonte Hamilton325431
Aaron Lewis274362
Rene Konga203320
Shaquan Loyal755105
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Robert Longerbeam4220011
Shaquan Loyal755105
Michael Dixon (Tr)600004

Wisconsin's OC Phil Longo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nick Evers (Tr)9718054%918555.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Evers (Tr)8024533.123
Chez Mellusi5623234.121
Keontez Lewis10121112.157
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keontez Lewis49790516.165
Chimere Dike42783218.644
Bryson Green (Tr)17219212.935
Chez Mellusi61702.810

View Wisconsin's Full Roster
Wisconsin's DC Colin Hitschler
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hunter Wohler711006
Jordan Turner6611341
Jake Chaney554120
Nyzier Fourqurean (Tr)512015
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Kirschke4110682
Jordan Turner6611341
Jordan Mayer22200
Jake Chaney554120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hunter Wohler711006
Nyzier Fourqurean (Tr)512015
Gabe Kirschke4110682