Rutgers at Wisconsin - 2023 Matchup Preview
Rutgers logo Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Wisconsin BadgersWisconsin logo
Saturday, October 7th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Wisconsin -12.5 (44.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Wisconsin 24 - Rutgers: 13  (Big Ten)

 
Scarlet Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 4 - 2)
Coach Greg Schiano (15 - 22)
Avg Score : 23 - 21 (11 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 7.2 (#81)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WIS coming off BYE
RUTG is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Wisconsin -10.5   (SP+ WIS -8)

Projected Score: RUTG: 16 - WIS: 26 (42)
WIS Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
RUTG Travel: 788 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Badgers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 24 - 20 (21 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 4.1 (#29)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Rutgers's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/3 Rutgers vs Northwestern-5.039.0W 24 - 7UY
Sat 9/9 Rutgers vs Temple-7.543.5W 36 - 7UY
Sat 9/16 Rutgers vs Virginia Tech-6.537.5W 35 - 16OY
Sat 9/23 Rutgers at Michigan+24.044.5L 7 - 31UY
Sat 9/30 Rutgers vs Wagner-46.052.5W 52 - 3OY
Sat 10/7 Rutgers at Wisconsin+12.544.0L 13 - 24UY
Sat 10/14 Rutgers vs Michigan State-4.038.5W 27 - 24ON
Sat 10/21 Rutgers at Indiana-6.039.5W 31 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Rutgers vs Ohio State+19.042.5L 16 - 35OY
Sat 11/11 Rutgers at Iowa-2.527.5L 0 - 22UN
Sat 11/18 Rutgers at Penn State+19.539.5L 6 - 27UN
Sat 11/25 Rutgers vs Maryland+2.045.5L 24 - 42ON
Thu 12/28 Rutgers vs Miami-3.041.0W 31 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule
Wisconsin's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Wisconsin vs Buffalo-29.052.5W 38 - 17ON
Sat 9/9 Wisconsin at Washington State-5.058.0L 22 - 31UN
Sat 9/16 Wisconsin vs Georgia Southern-20.565.5W 35 - 14UY
Fri 9/22 Wisconsin at Purdue-5.554.0W 38 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Wisconsin vs Rutgers-12.544.0W 24 - 13UN
Sat 10/14 Wisconsin vs Iowa-8.033.5L 6 - 15UN
Sat 10/21 Wisconsin at Illinois-3.040.5W 25 - 21OY
Sat 10/28 Wisconsin vs Ohio State+14.548.0L 10 - 24UY
Sat 11/4 Wisconsin at Indiana-9.545.0L 14 - 20UN
Sat 11/11 Wisconsin vs Northwestern-9.543.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/18 Wisconsin vs Nebraska-7.536.5W 24 - 17ON
Sat 11/25 Wisconsin at Minnesota-1.542.0W 28 - 14UY
Mon 1/1 Wisconsin vs LSU+9.559.5L 31 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RUTG#107 (.12)40% (91)23.243% (65)3.03 (84)16935% (118)1383.95 (62)#43 (.14)45% (104)21.248% (123)42% (69)3.48 (44)45.211.4
WIS#84 (.16)44% (50)23.550% (15)3.52 (7)15138% (100)1914.02 (55)#17 (.1)40% (47)20.240% (41)42% (72)2.98 (13)44.21.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RUTG#84 (.16)43% (67)44% (69)2.92 (88)16442% (63)1894.19 (44)#106 (.23)43% (85)48% (113)40% (59)4.03 (92)33.80.60.9
WIS#97 (.14)42% (73)46% (39)3.16 (46)15438% (107)1974.02 (57)#80 (.18)43% (88)45% (86)42% (81)4.17 (105)37.51.51



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RUTG Offense1323.211.440.1%3.951173061691384.262%38%43%35%12%.12
WIS Defense1320.217.740.4%2.981.2 - - - - - 51%48%40%42%17%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RUTG Defense1321.223.644.6%3.481.4 - - - - - 52%47%48%42%15%.14
WIS Offense1323.52143.6%4.021.2183421511914.747%52%50%38%15%.16

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Rutgers1331:4817.537%64%5.145.211.43.81.5130
Wisconsin1326:5318.345%28%5.144.21.21.25.82.2129.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RUTG Offense1362% (7)43% (65)39.8168.84.224 (41).16 (64)3.03 (84)77% (38)7% (11)0.95 (94)
WIS Defense1351% (78)40% (41) - - - - .09 (38)3.06 (57)64% (20)11% (42)0.96 (44)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RUTG Defense1352% (99)48% (123) - - - - .12 (54)3.2 (91)71% (53)8% (122)0.77 (4)
WIS Offense1347% (92)50% (15)32.3151.34.721 (54).22 (31)3.52 (7)74% (67)8% (26)0.89 (116)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RUTG Offense1338% (126)35% (118)10.922.6137.56.112.610 (120)8 (30).07 (126)1.7 (46)30% (42)33% (52).34 (64)5% (19)1.8 (127)
WIS Defense1348% (51)42% (72) - - - - - - 12 (37).19 (21)1.4 (15)32% (63)28% (36).27 (43)6% (61)2 (51)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RUTG Defense1347% (33)42% (69) - - - - - - 9 (87).22 (40)1.4 (5)30% (111)30% (65).17 (8)6% (55)1.7 (5)
WIS Offense1352% (41)38% (100)19.533191.15.89.811 (117)5 (6).13 (116)1.4 (132)30% (34)34% (42).28 (85)7% (106)1.7 (132)

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: -0.30 #64
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 13.71 #92
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Rutgers's 2023 Expected Record: 5.80 - 7.20
Rutgers's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #59
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #98
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: -0.30   Wisconsin: 11.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: 2.3   Wisconsin: 9.9




Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 11.27 #28
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 16.47 #67
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 4.78 #26
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #31
Wisconsin's 2023 Expected Record: 8.90 - 4.10
Wisconsin's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.4
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Rutgers's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 2
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 2
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Wisconsin 26
Rutgers 16


Total Points: 42

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Wisconsin's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Rutgers7Wisconsin42WisconsinRutgers -1.0Wisconsin43.5Over
202310/07Wisconsin24Rutgers13WisconsinWisconsin -12.5Rutgers44.0Under
202111/06Rutgers3Wisconsin52WisconsinWisconsin -13Wisconsin37.5Over
201811/03Wisconsin31Rutgers17WisconsinWisconsin -29Rutgers50.5Under
201510/31Wisconsin48Rutgers10WisconsinWisconsin -19Wisconsin50.5Over
201411/01Rutgers0Wisconsin37WisconsinWisconsin -11Wisconsin0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wisconsin643 Overs
Rutgers022 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 31 - 51 - 30 - 2
Road Teams3 - 35 - 12 - 03 - 1

(#64) Rutgers Info
Power Rating: -0.30 #64
Offense Rating: 13.71 #92
Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #59
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Expected Record: 5.80 - 7.20


Rutgers has won 1 straight
Rutgers has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (2 - 2 - 1 vs Spread )

Rutgers Highlights
Rutgers defense does not give up big plays (#117)
Rutgers has a great TO Margin (#1)

Rutgers Deficiencies
Rutgers offense is not Explosive (#94)
Rutgers pass game is really bad (#14)
Rutgers does not Sack the QB (#97)
Rutgers has a bad defense (#68)
Rutgers Does Not Stuff Runs (#70)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatWISRUTG
OverallOver#44#40
OffenseOff#65#57
DefenseDef#25#31
Special TeamsST#45#93
PassingPass#43#79
RushingRush#69#23
Run BlockRBLK#27#41
Pass BlockPBLK#22#92
Route RunningWR Rt#96#66
TacklingTkl#20#4
Run DefenseR Def#33#56
Pass Rush DefPRush#48#46
Coverage DefCov#40#24

Rematch from Week 6
Wisconsin -12.5 (44.0)
Wisconsin won vs Rutgers this year (24-13)

Previous Matchups
Wisconsin beat Rutgers last year (42-7)
Wisconsin beat Rutgers in 2023 (24-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: RUTG | WIS
Depth Chart: RUTG | WIS
Rosters: RUTG | WIS
(#28) Wisconsin Info
Power Rating: 11.27 #28
Offense Rating: 16.47 #67
Defense Rating: 4.78 #26
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #6
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #31
Expected Record: 8.90 - 4.10


Wisconsin has won 2 straight
Wisconsin has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (2 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

Wisconsin Highlights
Wisconsin has a top Offensive Line (#22)
Wisconsin does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#20)

Wisconsin defense does not give up big plays (#98)
Wisconsin defense is really good in red zone (#11)

Wisconsin Deficiencies
Wisconsin Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Wisconsin offense is not Explosive (#76)
Wisconsin pass game is really bad (#30)


  
Rutgers's OC Kirk Ciarrocca
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gavin Wimsatt13828948%1735986.0
Evan Simon2367%301010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kyle Monangai242126285.255
Gavin Wimsatt131497113.880
Samuel Brown V6321723.411
Ja'shon Benjamin4517213.826
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Christian Dremel35463313.269
JaQuae Jackson (Tr)22361116.461
Isaiah Washington26326112.542
Ian Strong16230214.429

View Rutgers's Full Roster
Rutgers's DC Joe Harasymiak
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deion Jennings945004
Mohamed Toure9210542
Michael Dixon (Tr)762015
Desmond Igbinosun647131
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mohamed Toure9210542
Wesley Bailey255453
Tyreem Powell523322
Aaron Lewis4953102
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Robert Longerbeam391108
Eric Rogers (Tr)180006
Max Melton324106

Wisconsin's OC Phil Longo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tanner Mordecai (Tr)20431465%2065946.6
Braedyn Locke (Tr)7615250%778515.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Braelon Allen181984125.452
Jackson Acker7232224.533
Chez Mellusi5130746.089
Tanner Mordecai (Tr)9030343.419
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Will Pauling (Tr)74837611.353
Bryson Green (Tr)32480215.054
Chimere Dike19328117.341
Skyler Bell3829717.830

View Wisconsin's Full Roster
Wisconsin's DC Colin Hitschler
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hunter Wohler1206146
Jake Chaney807310
Jordan Turner617332
Maema Njongmeta599351
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darryl Peterson4710542
C.J. Goetz5911452
James Thompson Jr.296312
Jordan Turner617332
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hunter Wohler1206146
Ricardo Hallman343005
Alexander Smith273105