Ohio State at Wisconsin - 2023 Matchup Preview
Ohio State logo   Ohio State Buckeyes at Wisconsin Badgers  Wisconsin logo
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Ohio State -14.5 (48.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Ohio State 24 - Wisconsin: 10  (Big Ten)

 
Buckeyes (11 - 2) (6 - 5 - 2)
Coach Ryan Day (48 - 6)
Avg Score : 33 - 9 (31 - 8 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WIS is playing their 4th straight game
OSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Ohio State -14  (SP+ OSU -17)
Projected Score: OSU: 28 - WIS: 14 (43)
OSU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
OSU Travel: 393 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Badgers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 13 - 22 (16 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 4.1 (#29)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ohio State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Ohio State at Indiana-30.059.0W 23 - 3UN
Sat 9/9 Ohio State vs Youngstown State-45.556.0W 35 - 7UN
Sat 9/16 Ohio State vs Western Kentucky-29.565.0W 63 - 10OY
Sat 9/23 Ohio State at Notre Dame-3.055.5W 17 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Ohio State vs Maryland-17.056.5W 37 - 17UY
Sat 10/14 Ohio State at Purdue-17.553.0W 41 - 7UY
Sat 10/21 Ohio State vs Penn State-4.047.0W 20 - 12UY
Sat 10/28 Ohio State at Wisconsin-14.548.0W 24 - 10UN
Sat 11/4 Ohio State at Rutgers-19.042.5W 35 - 16ON
Sat 11/11 Ohio State vs Michigan State-30.548.5W 38 - 3UY
Sat 11/18 Ohio State vs Minnesota-27.551.5W 37 - 3UY
Sat 11/25 Ohio State at Michigan+3.047.0L 24 - 30ON
Fri 12/29 Ohio State vs Missouri-4.051.0L 3 - 14UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule
Wisconsin's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Wisconsin vs Buffalo-29.052.5W 38 - 17ON
Sat 9/9 Wisconsin at Washington State-5.058.0L 22 - 31UN
Sat 9/16 Wisconsin vs Georgia Southern-20.565.5W 35 - 14UY
Fri 9/22 Wisconsin at Purdue-5.554.0W 38 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Wisconsin vs Rutgers-12.544.0W 24 - 13UN
Sat 10/14 Wisconsin vs Iowa-8.033.5L 6 - 15UN
Sat 10/21 Wisconsin at Illinois-3.040.5W 25 - 21OY
Sat 10/28 Wisconsin vs Ohio State+14.548.0L 10 - 24UY
Sat 11/4 Wisconsin at Indiana-9.545.0L 14 - 20UN
Sat 11/11 Wisconsin vs Northwestern-9.543.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/18 Wisconsin vs Nebraska-7.536.5W 24 - 17ON
Sat 11/25 Wisconsin at Minnesota-1.542.0W 28 - 14UY
Mon 1/1 Wisconsin vs LSU+9.559.5L 31 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU.3953%33.453%3.619253%2985.18.1136%9.335%37%4.02480.81.5
WIS.1642%12.845%3.0718038%1844.33.0736%21.635%39%3.6157.81.41.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WIS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Offense1333.430.652.8%5.180.8244911922985.450%50%53%53%12%.39
WIS Defense1321.618.336.4%3.611.6 - - - - - 49%49%35%39%19%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Defense139.38.235.7%4.021.5 - - - - - 50%50%35%37%19%.11
WIS Offense1312.815.642.2%4.331.4183641801844.759%40%45%38%15%.16

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio State1330:4523.845%71%5.6480.81.56.52.6231.2
Wisconsin1331:0817.940%47%6.257.81.41.66.22.5230.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Offense1350%53%35.8192.45.430.263.663%7%0.95
WIS Defense1349%35% - - - - -.022.5765%11%0.86
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Defense1350%35% - - - - .052.5258%12%1.1
WIS Offense1359%45%38.5179.84.721.173.0776%10%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Offense1350%53%21.131.5298.39.514.2426.511.624%34%.515%2.2
WIS Defense1349%39% - - - - - - 17.191.636%27%.217%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Defense1350%37% - - - - - - 11.181.733%24%.276%2.5
WIS Offense1340%38%14.525.1183.87.312.72111.181.730%27%.216%2.2

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 23.40  #3
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 25.07  #13
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -0.66  #6
2023 Talent Rating: 974.79  #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 85%  #2
Ohio State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Ohio State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.7  #3
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2  #25
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.8  #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 23.40   Wisconsin: 11.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 26.7   Wisconsin: 9.9




Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 11.27  #28
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 16.47  #67
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 4.78  #26
2023 Talent Rating: 741.63  #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 22  #31
Wisconsin's 2023 Expected Record: 8.90 - 4.10
Wisconsin's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9  #28
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1  #90
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7  #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.6
Defense: 9.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 8.2

Ohio State's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 2
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 2
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 2
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio State 28
Wisconsin 14

Projected Total Points: 43
Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 12.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.6
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Wisconsin's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Wisconsin0Ohio State34Ohio State -24.5Ohio State41.5Under
202310/28Wisconsin10Ohio State24Ohio State -14.5Wisconsin48.0Under
202209/24Ohio State52Wisconsin21Ohio State -19Ohio State56.5Over
201912/07Wisconsin21Ohio State34Ohio State -17Wisconsin58.0Under
201910/26Ohio State38Wisconsin7Ohio State -14.5Ohio State47.0Under
201712/02Wisconsin21Ohio State27Ohio State -3.5Ohio State51.5Under
201610/15Wisconsin23Ohio State30Ohio State -9.5Wisconsin46.0Over
201412/06Ohio State59Wisconsin0Wisconsin -3Ohio State0
201309/28Ohio State31Wisconsin24Ohio State -7Push0
201211/17Wisconsin14Ohio State21
201110/29Ohio State33Wisconsin29
201010/16Wisconsin31Ohio State18
200910/10Ohio State31Wisconsin13
200810/04Wisconsin17Ohio State20
200711/03Ohio State38Wisconsin17
200410/09Ohio State13Wisconsin24
200310/11Wisconsin17Ohio State10
200210/19Wisconsin14Ohio State19
200110/13Ohio State17Wisconsin20
200010/06Wisconsin7Ohio State23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wisconsin432 Overs
Ohio State1655 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 116 - 22 - 04 - 2
Road Teams11 - 92 - 62 - 40 - 2

(#3) OSU at (#28) WIS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOSUWIS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #3 #28
SP+SP+ #3 #28
Perf GradeGrade #7 #55
OffenseOff #19 #72
DefenseDef #7 #29
Spec TeamsST #14 #53
TalentTal #3 #30
Blue ChipsBC% #2 #31
Ohio State on Offense
CategoryCat
OSU OffWIS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #19 #29
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #13 #26
SP+SP+ #25 #6
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio State Run Game
CategoryCat
OSU OffWIS Def
Run GameRun #30 #38
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #48 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #22
Ohio State Pass Game
CategoryCat
OSU OffWIS Def
Pass GamePass #39 #50
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #64 #59
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Wisconsin on Offense
CategoryCatWIS OffOSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #72 #7
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #67 #6
SP+SP+ #90 #3
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Wisconsin Run Game
CategoryCat
WIS OffOSU Def
Run GameRun #97 #13
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #33 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #6
Wisconsin Pass Game
CategoryCatWIS OffOSU Def
Pass GamePass #55 #6
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #24 #12
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WIS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Down to Average P4

OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'23 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Ohio State 14.5 (48.0)
Ohio State won at Wisconsin this year (24-10)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Wisconsin last year (34-0)
Ohio State beat Wisconsin in 2023 (24-10)

  
OSU's OC Brian Hartline (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyle McCord22934866%31702469.1
Devin Brown162857%217217.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
TreVeyon Henderson156926115.975
DeaMonte Trayanum8537334.440
Xavier Johnson2819006.827
Miyan Williams4915833.212
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Marvin Harrison Jr.6712111418.175
Cade Stover41576514.049
Emeka Egbuka41514412.528
Julian Fleming26271010.437

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Jim Knowles (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Steele Chambers832011
Tommy Eichenberg803140
Davison Igbinosun (Tr)591005
Cody Simon572002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Sawyer4810732
J.T. Tuimoloau387562
Tyleik Williams5410315
Sonny Styles535201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Denzel Burke243008
Josh Proctor474018
Davison Igbinosun (Tr)591005

WIS's OC Phil Longo (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tanner Mordecai (Tr)20431465%2065946.6
Braedyn Locke (Tr)7615250%778515.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Braelon Allen181984125.452
Jackson Acker7232224.533
Chez Mellusi5130746.089
Tanner Mordecai (Tr)9030343.419
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Will Pauling (Tr)74837611.353
Bryson Green (Tr)32480215.054
Chimere Dike19328117.341
Skyler Bell3829717.830

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Colin Hitschler (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hunter Wohler1206146
Jake Chaney807310
Jordan Turner617332
Maema Njongmeta599351
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darryl Peterson4710542
C.J. Goetz5911452
James Thompson Jr.296312
Jordan Turner617332
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hunter Wohler1206146
Ricardo Hallman343005
Alexander Smith273105