Ohio State at Wisconsin - 2023 Matchup Preview

(#1)Ohio State Buckeyes at Wisconsin Badgers

Saturday, October 28th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Ohio State -14.5 (48.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Ohio State 24 - Wisconsin: 10 (Big Ten)

Buckeyes (11 - 2) (6 - 5 - 2)
Coach Ryan Day (48 - 6)
Avg Score : 31 - 11 (27 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WIS is playing their 4th straight game
OSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Ohio State -14 (SP+ OSU -17)
Projected Score: OSU: 29 - WIS: 15 (44)
OSU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
OSU Travel: 393 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Badgers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 24 - 20 (21 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 4.1 (#29)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OSU Players
WIS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ohio State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Ohio State at Indiana	-30.0	59.0	W 23 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/9	Ohio State vs Youngstown State	-45.5	56.0	W 35 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/16	Ohio State vs Western Kentucky	-29.5	65.0	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Ohio State at Notre Dame	-3.0	55.5	W 17 - 14	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Ohio State vs Maryland	-17.0	56.5	W 37 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Ohio State at Purdue	-17.5	53.0	W 41 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Ohio State vs Penn State	-4.0	47.0	W 20 - 12	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Ohio State at Wisconsin	-14.5	48.0	W 24 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/4	Ohio State at Rutgers	-19.0	42.5	W 35 - 16	O	N
Sat 11/11	Ohio State vs Michigan State	-30.5	48.5	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Ohio State vs Minnesota	-27.5	51.5	W 37 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Ohio State at Michigan	+3.0	47.0	L 24 - 30	O	N
Fri 12/29	Ohio State vs Missouri	-4.0	51.0	L 3 - 14	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule

Wisconsin's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Wisconsin vs Buffalo	-29.0	52.5	W 38 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/9	Wisconsin at Washington State	-5.0	58.0	L 22 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/16	Wisconsin vs Georgia Southern	-20.5	65.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Fri 9/22	Wisconsin at Purdue	-5.5	54.0	W 38 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Wisconsin vs Rutgers	-12.5	44.0	W 24 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/14	Wisconsin vs Iowa	-8.0	33.5	L 6 - 15	U	N
Sat 10/21	Wisconsin at Illinois	-3.0	40.5	W 25 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Wisconsin vs Ohio State	+14.5	48.0	L 10 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Wisconsin at Indiana	-9.5	45.0	L 14 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/11	Wisconsin vs Northwestern	-9.5	43.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/18	Wisconsin vs Nebraska	-7.5	36.5	W 24 - 17	O	N
Sat 11/25	Wisconsin at Minnesota	-1.5	42.0	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Wisconsin vs LSU	+9.5	59.5	L 31 - 35	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OSU	#14 (.31)	47% (22)	30.5	45% (49)	3.18 (57)	139	49% (12)	269	4.21 (36)	#5 (.03)	36% (11)	11.2	35% (12)	37% (17)	2.69 (5)	44.5	1	0.8
WIS	#84 (.16)	44% (50)	23.5	50% (15)	3.52 (7)	151	38% (100)	191	4.02 (55)	#17 (.1)	40% (47)	20.2	40% (41)	42% (72)	2.98 (13)	44.2	1.2	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OSU	#1 (.43)	52% (3)		48% (19)	3.37 (15)	137	56% (1)	211	4.6 (15)	#2 (-.01)	36% (7)		39% (26)	34% (8)	2.05 (1)	31.6	0.8	1.1
WIS	#97 (.14)	42% (73)		46% (39)	3.16 (46)	154	38% (107)	197	4.02 (57)	#80 (.18)	43% (88)		45% (86)	42% (81)	4.17 (105)	37.5	1.5	1

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OSU Offense	13	30.5	27.3	46.6%	4.21	1	21	408	139	269	4.2	48%	51%	45%	49%	14%	.31
WIS Defense	13	20.2	17.7	40.4%	2.98	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	40%	42%	17%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OSU Defense	13	11.2	13.3	35.8%	2.69	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	35%	37%	15%	.03
WIS Offense	13	23.5	21	43.6%	4.02	1.2	18	342	151	191	4.7	47%	52%	50%	38%	15%	.16

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ohio State	13	29:25	20.9	43%	56%	5.7	44.5	1	0.8	4.8	1.7	3	28.8
Wisconsin	13	26:53	18.3	45%	28%	5.1	44.2	1.2	1.2	5.8	2.2	1	29.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OSU Offense	13	48% (83)	45% (49)	33.2	138.8	4.2	20 (61)	.15 (72)	3.18 (57)	78% (34)	7% (14)	0.84 (126)
WIS Defense	13	51% (78)	40% (41)	-	-	-	-	.09 (38)	3.06 (57)	64% (20)	11% (42)	0.96 (44)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OSU Defense	13	51% (85)	35% (12)	-	-	-	-	.04 (18)	3.02 (52)	58% (7)	9% (103)	0.98 (56)
WIS Offense	13	47% (92)	50% (15)	32.3	151.3	4.7	21 (54)	.22 (31)	3.52 (7)	74% (67)	8% (26)	0.89 (116)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OSU Offense	13	51% (49)	49% (12)	19.6	30.8	269.1	8.8	13.7	26 (31)	7 (21)	.5 (10)	1.7 (44)	28% (12)	34% (33)	.48 (23)	7% (95)	2 (99)
WIS Defense	13	48% (51)	42% (72)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.19 (21)	1.4 (15)	32% (63)	28% (36)	.27 (43)	6% (61)	2 (51)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OSU Defense	13	49% (62)	37% (17)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.04 (1)	1.4 (2)	33% (51)	26% (21)	.15 (6)	7% (47)	1.8 (13)
WIS Offense	13	52% (41)	38% (100)	19.5	33	191.1	5.8	9.8	11 (117)	5 (6)	.13 (116)	1.4 (132)	30% (34)	34% (42)	.28 (85)	7% (106)	1.7 (132)

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 23.40 #3
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 25.07 #13
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -0.66 #6
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 85% #2
Ohio State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Ohio State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.7 #3
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #25
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.8 #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 23.40 Wisconsin: 11.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 26.7 Wisconsin: 9.9

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 11.27 #28
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 16.47 #67
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 4.78 #26
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #31
Wisconsin's 2023 Expected Record: 8.90 - 4.10
Wisconsin's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.3
Defense: 11.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.3

Ohio State's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 2
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 2
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 2
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio State 29
Wisconsin 15

Total Points: 44

Based on Last 4 Games
Ohio State 22
Wisconsin 15

Total Points: 37

Based on Entire Season
Ohio State 24
Wisconsin 17

Total Points: 41

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Wisconsin's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Wisconsin	0	Ohio State	34	Ohio State -24.5	Ohio State	41.5	Under
2023	10/28	Wisconsin	10	Ohio State	24	Ohio State -14.5	Wisconsin	48.0	Under
2022	09/24	Ohio State	52	Wisconsin	21	Ohio State -19	Ohio State	56.5	Over
2019	12/07	Wisconsin	21	Ohio State	34	Ohio State -17	Wisconsin	58.0	Under
2019	10/26	Ohio State	38	Wisconsin	7	Ohio State -14.5	Ohio State	47.0	Under
2017	12/02	Wisconsin	21	Ohio State	27	Ohio State -3.5	Ohio State	51.5	Under
2016	10/15	Wisconsin	23	Ohio State	30	Ohio State -9.5	Wisconsin	46.0	Over
2014	12/06	Ohio State	59	Wisconsin	0	Wisconsin -3	Ohio State	0
2013	09/28	Ohio State	31	Wisconsin	24	Ohio State -7	Push	0
2012	11/17	Wisconsin	14	Ohio State	21
2011	10/29	Ohio State	33	Wisconsin	29
2010	10/16	Wisconsin	31	Ohio State	18
2009	10/10	Ohio State	31	Wisconsin	13
2008	10/04	Wisconsin	17	Ohio State	20
2007	11/03	Ohio State	38	Wisconsin	17
2004	10/09	Ohio State	13	Wisconsin	24
2003	10/11	Wisconsin	17	Ohio State	10
2002	10/19	Wisconsin	14	Ohio State	19
2001	10/13	Ohio State	17	Wisconsin	20
2000	10/06	Wisconsin	7	Ohio State	23

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wisconsin	4	3	2 Overs
Ohio State	16	5	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 11	6 - 2	2 - 0	4 - 2
Road Teams	11 - 9	2 - 6	2 - 4	0 - 2

(#3) OSU at (#28) WIS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	OSU	WIS
Power RatePwr	#3	#28
SP+SP+	#3	#28
Perf GradeGrade	#7	#55
OffenseOff	#19	#72
DefenseDef	#7	#29
Spec TeamsST	#14	#53
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#2	#31

Ohio State Injury Report

Wisconsin Injury Report

Ohio State on Offense


CategoryCat	OSU Off	WIS Def
Perf GradePerf	#19	#29
SuccessSuc	#22	#47
ExplosiveExp	#78	#19
PPAPPA	#14	#17
PowerPwr	#13	#26
SP+SP+	#25	#6
Pts POPPO	#36	#13
HavocHav	#29	#44

Ohio State Run Game


CategoryCat	OSU Off	WIS Def
Run GameRun	#30	#38
Run SuccessRSuc	#49	#41
Run ExplRExp	#126	#44
PPAExp	#72	#38
Run BlockR Blk	#48	-
OL YdsOLY	#57	#57
Stuff RateStuff	#52	#54
TackleTak	-	#22

Ohio State Pass Game


CategoryCat	OSU Off	WIS Def
Pass GamePass	#39	#50
Pass SuccessPSuc	#12	#72
Pass ExplPExl	#44	#15
PPAExp	#10	#21
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#64	#59
F7 HavocF7	#14	#42
DB HavocDB	#95	#61

Wisconsin on Offense


CategoryCat	WIS Off	OSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#72	#7
SuccessSuc	#50	#11
ExplosiveExp	#131	#11
PPAPPA	#84	#5
PowerPwr	#67	#6
SP+SP+	#90	#3
Pts POPPO	#55	#5
HavocHav	#54	#85

Wisconsin Run Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	OSU Def
Run GameRun	#97	#13
Run SuccessRSuc	#15	#12
Run ExplRExp	#116	#56
PPAExp	#31	#18
Run BlockR Blk	#33	-
OL YdsOLY	#7	#52
Stuff RateStuff	#5	#86
TackleTak	-	#6

Wisconsin Pass Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	OSU Def
Pass GamePass	#55	#6
Pass SuccessPSuc	#100	#17
Pass ExplPExl	#132	#2
PPAExp	#116	#1
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#24	#12
F7 HavocF7	#26	#103
DB HavocDB	#106	#47

Program Comparison
WIS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to Average P4

OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'25 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 39° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 9
Ohio State 14.5 (48.0)
Ohio State won at Wisconsin this year (24-10)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Wisconsin in 2023 (24-10)
Ohio State beat Wisconsin in 2022 (52-21)

OSU's OC Brian Hartline (Int) (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kyle McCord	229	348	66%	3170	24	6	9.1
Devin Brown	16	28	57%	217	2	1	7.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
TreVeyon Henderson	156	926	11	5.9	75
DeaMonte Trayanum	85	373	3	4.4	40
Xavier Johnson	28	190	0	6.8	27
Miyan Williams	49	158	3	3.2	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marvin Harrison Jr.	67	1211	14	18.1	75
Cade Stover	41	576	5	14.0	49
Emeka Egbuka	41	514	4	12.5	28
Julian Fleming	26	271	0	10.4	37

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Jim Knowles (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Steele Chambers	83	2	0	1	1
Tommy Eichenberg	80	3	1	4	0
Davison Igbinosun (Tr)	59	1	0	0	5
Cody Simon	57	2	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Sawyer	48	10	7	3	2
J.T. Tuimoloau	38	7	5	6	2
Tyleik Williams	54	10	3	1	5
Sonny Styles	53	5	2	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Denzel Burke	24	3	0	8
Josh Proctor	47	4	1	8
Davison Igbinosun (Tr)	59	1	0	5

WIS's OC Phil Longo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tanner Mordecai (Tr)	204	314	65%	2065	9	4	6.6
Braedyn Locke (Tr)	76	152	50%	778	5	1	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Braelon Allen	181	984	12	5.4	52
Jackson Acker	72	322	2	4.5	33
Chez Mellusi	51	307	4	6.0	89
Tanner Mordecai (Tr)	90	303	4	3.4	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Will Pauling (Tr)	74	837	6	11.3	53
Bryson Green (Tr)	32	480	2	15.0	54
Chimere Dike	19	328	1	17.3	41
Skyler Bell	38	297	1	7.8	30

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Colin Hitschler (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Hunter Wohler	120	6	1	4	6
Jake Chaney	80	7	3	1	0
Jordan Turner	61	7	3	3	2
Maema Njongmeta	59	9	3	5	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darryl Peterson	47	10	5	4	2
C.J. Goetz	59	11	4	5	2
James Thompson Jr.	29	6	3	1	2
Jordan Turner	61	7	3	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Hunter Wohler	120	6	1	4	6
Ricardo Hallman	34	3	0	0	5
Alexander Smith	27	3	1	0	5