Ohio State at Wisconsin - 2023 Matchup Preview
Ohio State logo Ohio State Buckeyes at Wisconsin BadgersWisconsin logo
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Ohio State -14.5 (48.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Ohio State 24 - Wisconsin: 10  (Big Ten)

 
Buckeyes (11 - 2) (6 - 5 - 2)
Coach Ryan Day (48 - 6)
Avg Score : 36 - 13 (30 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WIS is playing their 4th straight game
OSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Ohio State -14   (SP+ OSU -17)

Projected Score: OSU: 31 - WIS: 17 (47)
OSU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
OSU Travel: 393 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Badgers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (21 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 4.1 (#29)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ohio State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Ohio State at Indiana-30.059.0W 23 - 3UN
Sat 9/9 Ohio State vs Youngstown State-45.556.0W 35 - 7UN
Sat 9/16 Ohio State vs Western Kentucky-29.565.0W 63 - 10OY
Sat 9/23 Ohio State at Notre Dame-3.055.5W 17 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Ohio State vs Maryland-17.056.5W 37 - 17UY
Sat 10/14 Ohio State at Purdue-17.553.0W 41 - 7UY
Sat 10/21 Ohio State vs Penn State-4.047.0W 20 - 12UY
Sat 10/28 Ohio State at Wisconsin-14.548.0W 24 - 10UN
Sat 11/4 Ohio State at Rutgers-19.042.5W 35 - 16ON
Sat 11/11 Ohio State vs Michigan State-30.548.5W 38 - 3UY
Sat 11/18 Ohio State vs Minnesota-27.551.5W 37 - 3UY
Sat 11/25 Ohio State at Michigan+3.047.0L 24 - 30ON
Fri 12/29 Ohio State vs Missouri-4.051.0L 3 - 14UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule
Wisconsin's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Wisconsin vs Buffalo-29.052.5W 38 - 17ON
Sat 9/9 Wisconsin at Washington State-5.058.0L 22 - 31UN
Sat 9/16 Wisconsin vs Georgia Southern-20.565.5W 35 - 14UY
Fri 9/22 Wisconsin at Purdue-5.554.0W 38 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Wisconsin vs Rutgers-12.544.0W 24 - 13UN
Sat 10/14 Wisconsin vs Iowa-8.033.5L 6 - 15UN
Sat 10/21 Wisconsin at Illinois-3.040.5W 25 - 21OY
Sat 10/28 Wisconsin vs Ohio State+14.548.0L 10 - 24UY
Sat 11/4 Wisconsin at Indiana-9.545.0L 14 - 20UN
Sat 11/11 Wisconsin vs Northwestern-9.543.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/18 Wisconsin vs Nebraska-7.536.5W 24 - 17ON
Sat 11/25 Wisconsin at Minnesota-1.542.0W 28 - 14UY
Mon 1/1 Wisconsin vs LSU+9.559.5L 31 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU.3953%35.753%3.619253%2985.18.1136%12.935%37%4.02480.81.5
WIS.1642%22.645%3.0718038%1844.33.0736%23.135%39%3.6157.81.41.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WIS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Offense1335.729.752.8%5.180.8244911922985.450%50%53%53%12%.39
WIS Defense1323.120.436.4%3.611.6 - - - - - 49%49%35%39%19%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Defense1312.917.335.7%4.021.5 - - - - - 50%50%35%37%19%.11
WIS Offense1322.621.442.2%4.331.4183641801844.759%40%45%38%15%.16

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio State1330:4523.845%71%5.6480.81.56.52.6231.2
Wisconsin1331:0817.940%47%6.257.81.41.66.22.5230.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Offense1350%53%35.8192.45.430.263.663%7%0.95
WIS Defense1349%35% - - - - -.022.5765%11%0.86
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Defense1350%35% - - - - .052.5258%12%1.1
WIS Offense1359%45%38.5179.84.721.173.0776%10%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Offense1350%53%21.131.5298.39.514.2426.511.624%34%.515%2.2
WIS Defense1349%39% - - - - - - 17.191.636%27%.217%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Defense1350%37% - - - - - - 11.181.733%24%.276%2.5
WIS Offense1340%38%14.525.1183.87.312.72111.181.730%27%.216%2.2

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 23.40 #3
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 25.07 #13
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -0.66 #6
2023 Talent Rating: 1152.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 85% #2
Ohio State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Ohio State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.7 #3
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #25
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.8 #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 23.40   Wisconsin: 11.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 26.7   Wisconsin: 9.9




Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 11.27 #28
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 16.47 #67
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 4.78 #26
2023 Talent Rating: 804.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #31
Wisconsin's 2023 Expected Record: 8.90 - 4.10
Wisconsin's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.7
Defense: 12.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.3

Ohio State's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 2
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 2
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 2
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio State 31
Wisconsin 17


Projected Total Points: 47
Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.4
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.4

Wisconsin's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28Wisconsin10Ohio State24Ohio StateOhio State -14.5Wisconsin48.0Under
202209/24Ohio State52Wisconsin21Ohio StateOhio State -19Ohio State56.5Over
201912/07Wisconsin21Ohio State34Ohio StateOhio State -17Wisconsin58.0Under
201910/26Ohio State38Wisconsin7Ohio StateOhio State -14.5Ohio State47.0Under
201712/02Wisconsin21Ohio State27Ohio StateOhio State -3.5Ohio State51.5Under
201610/15Wisconsin23Ohio State30Ohio StateOhio State -9.5Wisconsin46.0Over
201412/06Ohio State59Wisconsin0Ohio StateWisconsin -3Ohio State0
201309/28Ohio State31Wisconsin24Ohio StateOhio State -7Push0
201211/17Wisconsin14Ohio State21Ohio State
201110/29Ohio State33Wisconsin29Ohio State
201010/16Wisconsin31Ohio State18Wisconsin
200910/10Ohio State31Wisconsin13Ohio State
200810/04Wisconsin17Ohio State20Ohio State
200711/03Ohio State38Wisconsin17Ohio State
200410/09Ohio State13Wisconsin24Wisconsin
200310/11Wisconsin17Ohio State10Wisconsin
200210/19Wisconsin14Ohio State19Ohio State
200110/13Ohio State17Wisconsin20Wisconsin
200010/06Wisconsin7Ohio State23Ohio State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wisconsin432 Overs
Ohio State1544 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 106 - 12 - 04 - 1
Road Teams10 - 91 - 61 - 40 - 2

(#3) Ohio State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 23.40 #3
Offense Rating: 25.07 #13
Defense Rating: -0.66 #6
Overall SP+ Rating: 26.7 #3
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 8.8 #3
Talent Rating: 1152.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 85% #2
Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70

Team Profile






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Ohio State     Ratings Matchup     Wisconsin
Power #3
#28
Off #13
#67
Def #6
#26
Talent #4
#29
SP+ #3
#28
SP+ Off #25
#90
SP+ Def #3
#6

Rematch from Week 9
Ohio State 14.5 (48.0)
Ohio State won at Wisconsin this year (24-10)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Wisconsin in 2023 (24-10)
Ohio State beat Wisconsin in 2022 (52-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 39° - Wind: 9 mph


Team Information
Injuries: OSU | WIS
Depth Chart: OSU | WIS
Rosters: OSU | WIS
(#28) Wisconsin Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.27 #28
Offense Rating: 16.47 #67
Defense Rating: 4.78 #26
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #6
Talent Rating: 804.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #31
Expected Record: 8.90 - 4.10

Team Profile






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Ohio State's OC Brian Hartline (Int)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyle McCord39159266%477934128.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
TreVeyon Henderson1441016107.166
Evan Pryor5641867.565
Dallan Hayden6419613.127
DeaMonte Trayanum127506.317
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Emeka Egbuka8110111012.568
Joe Royer51532310.438
Noah Rogers35478113.775
TreVeyon Henderson27284110.575

View Ohio State's Full Roster
Ohio State's DC Jim Knowles
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cody Simon11213707
Lathan Ransom759112
J.T. Tuimoloau61221353
Jack Sawyer599986
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J.T. Tuimoloau61221353
Jack Sawyer599986
Cody Simon11213707
Ty Hamilton516410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Hancock482118
Cody Simon11213707
Jack Sawyer599986

Wisconsin's OC Phil Longo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nick Evers (Tr)9718054%918555.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Evers (Tr)8024533.123
Chez Mellusi5623234.121
Keontez Lewis10121112.157
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keontez Lewis49790516.165
Chimere Dike42783218.644
Bryson Green (Tr)17219212.935
Chez Mellusi61702.810

View Wisconsin's Full Roster
Wisconsin's DC Colin Hitschler
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hunter Wohler711006
Jordan Turner6611341
Jake Chaney554120
Nyzier Fourqurean (Tr)512015
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Kirschke4110682
Jordan Turner6611341
Jordan Mayer22200
Jake Chaney554120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hunter Wohler711006
Nyzier Fourqurean (Tr)512015
Gabe Kirschke4110682