Nebraska at Wisconsin - 2023 Matchup Preview

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Wisconsin Badgers

Saturday, November 18th 2023 (7:30 PM EST)
Wisconsin -7.5 (36.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Wisconsin 24 - Nebraska: 17 (Big Ten)

Cornhuskers (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Matt Rhule (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 18 - 18 (16 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#68)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WIS 2nd straight Home Game
WIS is playing their 7th straight game
NEB is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Wisconsin -10.5 (SP+ WIS -10)
Projected Score: NEB: 13 - WIS: 24 (37)
WIS Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
NEB Travel: 406 miles

Badgers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 24 - 20 (21 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 4.1 (#29)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NEB Players
WIS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Nebraska's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Nebraska at Minnesota	+7.5	43.0	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Nebraska at Colorado	+2.5	56.5	L 14 - 36	U	N
Sat 9/16	Nebraska vs Northern Illinois	-11.5	42.5	W 35 - 11	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Nebraska vs Louisiana Tech	-20.5	44.5	W 28 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/30	Nebraska vs Michigan	+17.0	39.5	L 7 - 45	O	N
Fri 10/6	Nebraska at Illinois	+3.5	43.0	W 20 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Nebraska vs Northwestern	-10.5	40.0	W 17 - 9	U	N
Sat 10/28	Nebraska vs Purdue	+1.0	39.5	W 31 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Nebraska at Michigan State	-3.0	34.5	L 17 - 20	O	N
Sat 11/11	Nebraska vs Maryland	+1.5	41.5	L 10 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/18	Nebraska at Wisconsin	+7.5	36.5	L 17 - 24	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Nebraska vs Iowa	-3.0	25.5	L 10 - 13	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nebraska's Schedule

Wisconsin's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Wisconsin vs Buffalo	-29.0	52.5	W 38 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/9	Wisconsin at Washington State	-5.0	58.0	L 22 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/16	Wisconsin vs Georgia Southern	-20.5	65.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Fri 9/22	Wisconsin at Purdue	-5.5	54.0	W 38 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Wisconsin vs Rutgers	-12.5	44.0	W 24 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/14	Wisconsin vs Iowa	-8.0	33.5	L 6 - 15	U	N
Sat 10/21	Wisconsin at Illinois	-3.0	40.5	W 25 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Wisconsin vs Ohio State	+14.5	48.0	L 10 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Wisconsin at Indiana	-9.5	45.0	L 14 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/11	Wisconsin vs Northwestern	-9.5	43.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/18	Wisconsin vs Nebraska	-7.5	36.5	W 24 - 17	O	N
Sat 11/25	Wisconsin at Minnesota	-1.5	42.0	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Wisconsin vs LSU	+9.5	59.5	L 31 - 35	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEB	#105 (.13)	38% (111)	18	42% (84)	3.31 (33)	177	34% (125)	136	3.33 (104)	#18 (.1)	38% (22)	18.3	37% (18)	39% (31)	3.09 (16)	42.3	2.6	1.2
WIS	#84 (.16)	44% (50)	23.5	50% (15)	3.52 (7)	151	38% (100)	191	4.02 (55)	#17 (.1)	40% (47)	20.2	40% (41)	42% (72)	2.98 (13)	44.2	1.2	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEB	#74 (.18)	45% (37)		48% (22)	3.21 (40)	121	43% (55)	210	3.38 (114)	#44 (.13)	40% (50)		39% (24)	42% (82)	3.06 (11)	48.9	1.3	1.2
WIS	#97 (.14)	42% (73)		46% (39)	3.16 (46)	154	38% (107)	197	4.02 (57)	#80 (.18)	43% (88)		45% (86)	42% (81)	4.17 (105)	37.5	1.5	1

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEB Offense	12	18	15.6	38.1%	3.33	2.6	16	313	177	136	4.4	62%	36%	42%	34%	22%	.13
WIS Defense	13	20.2	17.7	40.4%	2.98	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	40%	42%	17%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEB Defense	12	18.3	20	37.6%	3.09	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	37%	39%	20%	.1
WIS Offense	13	23.5	21	43.6%	4.02	1.2	18	342	151	191	4.7	47%	52%	50%	38%	15%	.16

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Nebraska	12	30:53	16.4	38%	50%	5	42.3	2.6	1.2	6.3	2.7	0	29
Wisconsin	13	26:53	18.3	45%	28%	5.1	44.2	1.2	1.2	5.8	2.2	1	29.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEB Offense	12	62% (5)	42% (84)	39.8	176.8	4.4	16 (89)	.12 (84)	3.31 (33)	76% (51)	14% (129)	0.99 (72)
WIS Defense	13	51% (78)	40% (41)	-	-	-	-	.09 (38)	3.06 (57)	64% (20)	11% (42)	0.96 (44)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEB Defense	12	43% (8)	37% (18)	-	-	-	-	.03 (16)	3.15 (81)	73% (70)	12% (22)	0.77 (3)
WIS Offense	13	47% (92)	50% (15)	32.3	151.3	4.7	21 (54)	.22 (31)	3.52 (7)	74% (67)	8% (26)	0.89 (116)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEB Offense	12	36% (129)	34% (125)	11.3	21.8	135.9	6.3	12	10 (120)	16 (121)	.24 (85)	1.9 (7)	34% (100)	25% (118)	.28 (84)	7% (110)	2.4 (5)
WIS Defense	13	48% (51)	42% (72)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.19 (21)	1.4 (15)	32% (63)	28% (36)	.27 (43)	6% (61)	2 (51)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEB Defense	12	56% (126)	39% (31)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.2 (31)	1.5 (35)	35% (25)	26% (20)	.27 (44)	8% (17)	2.1 (83)
WIS Offense	13	52% (41)	38% (100)	19.5	33	191.1	5.8	9.8	11 (117)	5 (6)	.13 (116)	1.4 (132)	30% (34)	34% (42)	.28 (85)	7% (106)	1.7 (132)

Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 1.61 #53
Nebraska's Offense Rating: 10.32 #121
Nebraska's Defense Rating: 5.24 #28
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 24% #27
Nebraska's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50
Nebraska's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #65
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #123
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #8

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: 1.61 Wisconsin: 11.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: 0.1 Wisconsin: 9.9

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 11.27 #28
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 16.47 #67
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 4.78 #26
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #31
Wisconsin's 2023 Expected Record: 8.90 - 4.10
Wisconsin's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 18 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.6
Defense: 18.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 20

Nebraska's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Wisconsin 24
Nebraska 13

Total Points: 37

Based on Last 4 Games
Nebraska 21
Wisconsin 15

Total Points: 35

Based on Entire Season
Wisconsin 21
Nebraska 18

Total Points: 39

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Wisconsin's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Nebraska	44	Wisconsin	25	Nebraska -1.5	Nebraska	40.5	Over
2023	11/18	Wisconsin	24	Nebraska	17	Wisconsin -7.5	Nebraska	36.5	Over
2022	11/19	Nebraska	14	Wisconsin	15	Wisconsin -10	Nebraska	40.5	Under
2021	11/20	Wisconsin	35	Nebraska	28	Wisconsin -10	Nebraska	43.5	Over
2019	11/16	Nebraska	21	Wisconsin	37	Wisconsin -14.5	Wisconsin	49.5	Over
2018	10/06	Wisconsin	41	Nebraska	24
2017	10/07	Nebraska	17	Wisconsin	38	Wisconsin -12.5	Wisconsin	47.0	Over
2016	10/29	Wisconsin	23	Nebraska	17	Wisconsin -7.5	Nebraska	44.0	Under
2015	10/10	Nebraska	21	Wisconsin	23	Nebraska -1	Wisconsin	52.0	Under
2014	11/15	Wisconsin	59	Nebraska	24	Wisconsin -4	Wisconsin	0
2012	12/01	Wisconsin	70	Nebraska	31
2012	09/29	Nebraska	30	Wisconsin	27
2011	10/01	Wisconsin	48	Nebraska	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wisconsin	11	4	5 Overs
Nebraska	2	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 4	3 - 6	2 - 4	1 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 9	6 - 3	2 - 1	4 - 2

(#53) NEB at (#28) WIS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NEB	WIS
Power RatePwr	#53	#28
SP+SP+	#65	#28
Perf GradeGrade	#98	#55
OffenseOff	#125	#72
DefenseDef	#40	#29
Spec TeamsST	#9	#53
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#27	#31

Nebraska Injury Report

Wisconsin Injury Report

Nebraska on Offense


CategoryCat	NEB Off	WIS Def
Perf GradePerf	#125	#29
SuccessSuc	#111	#47
ExplosiveExp	#70	#19
PPAPPA	#105	#17
PowerPwr	#121	#26
SP+SP+	#123	#6
Pts POPPO	#104	#13
HavocHav	#130	#44

Nebraska Run Game


CategoryCat	NEB Off	WIS Def
Run GameRun	#128	#38
Run SuccessRSuc	#84	#41
Run ExplRExp	#72	#44
PPAExp	#84	#38
Run BlockR Blk	#50	-
OL YdsOLY	#33	#57
Stuff RateStuff	#15	#54
TackleTak	-	#22

Nebraska Pass Game


CategoryCat	NEB Off	WIS Def
Pass GamePass	#134	#50
Pass SuccessPSuc	#125	#72
Pass ExplPExl	#7	#15
PPAExp	#85	#21
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#76	#59
F7 HavocF7	#129	#42
DB HavocDB	#110	#61

Wisconsin on Offense


CategoryCat	WIS Off	NEB Def
Perf GradePerf	#72	#40
SuccessSuc	#50	#22
ExplosiveExp	#131	#17
PPAPPA	#84	#18
PowerPwr	#67	#28
SP+SP+	#90	#8
Pts POPPO	#55	#16
HavocHav	#54	#12

Wisconsin Run Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	NEB Def
Run GameRun	#97	#51
Run SuccessRSuc	#15	#18
Run ExplRExp	#116	#3
PPAExp	#31	#16
Run BlockR Blk	#33	-
OL YdsOLY	#7	#81
Stuff RateStuff	#5	#122
TackleTak	-	#15

Wisconsin Pass Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	NEB Def
Pass GamePass	#55	#33
Pass SuccessPSuc	#100	#31
Pass ExplPExl	#132	#35
PPAExp	#116	#31
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#24	#91
F7 HavocF7	#26	#22
DB HavocDB	#106	#17

Program Comparison
WIS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to Average P4

NEB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 36°

Rematch from Week 12
Wisconsin -7.5 (36.5)
Wisconsin won vs Nebraska this year (24-17)

Previous Matchups
Nebraska beat Wisconsin last year (44-25)
Wisconsin beat Nebraska in 2023 (24-17)
Wisconsin beat Nebraska in 2022 (15-14)

NEB's OC Marcus Satterfield (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Heinrich Haarberg	77	157	49%	967	7	7	6.2
Chubba Purdy	31	57	54%	382	2	3	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Heinrich Haarberg	120	477	5	4.0	72
Anthony Grant	104	413	3	4.0	34
Emmett Johnson	90	411	2	4.6	29
Gabe Ervin	38	196	1	5.2	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Billy Kemp (Tr)	35	310	1	8.9	34
Thomas Fidone Jr.	25	260	4	10.4	29
Jaylen Lloyd	6	237	3	39.5	73
Alex Bullock	15	221	1	14.7	34

View Nebraska's Full Roster

NEB's DC Tony White (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaac Gifford	86	7	1	0	8
Javin Wright	51	2	1	0	2
Omar Brown	51	3	0	0	3
John Bullock	50	3	2	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jimari Butler	34	9	6	1	2
Luke Reimer	48	8	5	5	0
Nash Hutmacher	40	8	5	4	2
Cameron Lenhardt	16	5	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Tommi Hill	26	1	0	9
Isaac Gifford	86	7	1	8
Malcolm Hartzog	40	2	0	6

WIS's OC Phil Longo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tanner Mordecai (Tr)	204	314	65%	2065	9	4	6.6
Braedyn Locke (Tr)	76	152	50%	778	5	1	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Braelon Allen	181	984	12	5.4	52
Jackson Acker	72	322	2	4.5	33
Chez Mellusi	51	307	4	6.0	89
Tanner Mordecai (Tr)	90	303	4	3.4	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Will Pauling (Tr)	74	837	6	11.3	53
Bryson Green (Tr)	32	480	2	15.0	54
Chimere Dike	19	328	1	17.3	41
Skyler Bell	38	297	1	7.8	30

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Colin Hitschler (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Hunter Wohler	120	6	1	4	6
Jake Chaney	80	7	3	1	0
Jordan Turner	61	7	3	3	2
Maema Njongmeta	59	9	3	5	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darryl Peterson	47	10	5	4	2
C.J. Goetz	59	11	4	5	2
James Thompson Jr.	29	6	3	1	2
Jordan Turner	61	7	3	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Hunter Wohler	120	6	1	4	6
Ricardo Hallman	34	3	0	0	5
Alexander Smith	27	3	1	0	5