Iowa at Wisconsin - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 14th 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
Wisconsin -8.0 (33.5) (-380) Open: -10.0 | 37.0
Iowa 15 - Wisconsin: 6 (Big Ten)

Hawkeyes (10 - 4) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (189 - 115)
Avg Score : 29 - 16 (30 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 7.4 (#66)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WIS 2nd straight Home Game
IOWA is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Wisconsin -7.5 (SP+ WIS -2)
Projected Score: IOWA: 15 - WIS: 22 (37)
WIS Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
IOWA Travel: 146 miles

Badgers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 13 - 22 (16 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 4.1 (#29)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
IOWA Players
WIS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Iowa's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Iowa vs Utah State	-24.0	43.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/9	Iowa at Iowa State	-3.5	35.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Iowa vs Western Michigan	-28.5	43.5	W 41 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Iowa at Penn State	+14.0	38.5	L 0 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/30	Iowa vs Michigan State	-10.0	36.5	W 26 - 16	O	N
Sat 10/7	Iowa vs Purdue	-2.5	38.5	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Iowa at Wisconsin	+8.0	33.5	W 15 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Iowa vs Minnesota	-3.0	30.5	L 10 - 12	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Iowa vs Northwestern	-4.5	30.5	W 10 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/11	Iowa vs Rutgers	+2.5	27.5	W 22 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Iowa vs Illinois	-2.5	33.5	W 15 - 13	U	N
Fri 11/24	Iowa at Nebraska	+3.0	25.5	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/2	Iowa vs Michigan	+23.5	35.0	L 0 - 26	U	N
Mon 1/1	Iowa vs Tennessee	+4.5	37.0	L 0 - 35	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule

Wisconsin's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Wisconsin vs Buffalo	-29.0	52.5	W 38 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/9	Wisconsin at Washington State	-5.0	58.0	L 22 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/16	Wisconsin vs Georgia Southern	-20.5	65.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Fri 9/22	Wisconsin at Purdue	-5.5	54.0	W 38 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Wisconsin vs Rutgers	-12.5	44.0	W 24 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/14	Wisconsin vs Iowa	-8.0	33.5	L 6 - 15	U	N
Sat 10/21	Wisconsin at Illinois	-3.0	40.5	W 25 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Wisconsin vs Ohio State	+14.5	48.0	L 10 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Wisconsin at Indiana	-9.5	45.0	L 14 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/11	Wisconsin vs Northwestern	-9.5	43.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/18	Wisconsin vs Nebraska	-7.5	36.5	W 24 - 17	O	N
Sat 11/25	Wisconsin at Minnesota	-1.5	42.0	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Wisconsin vs LSU	+9.5	59.5	L 31 - 35	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IOWA		36%	29.3	38%	2.45	95	35%	157	2.76	-.05	34%	16.1	38%	32%	2.75	32.3	1.3	2.2
WIS	.16	42%	12.8	45%	3.07	180	38%	184	4.33	.07	36%	21.6	35%	39%	3.61	57.8	1.4	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IOWA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WIS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IOWA Offense	13	29.3	29.8	35.8%	2.76	1.3	14	252	95	157	2.9	49%	51%	38%	35%	18%
WIS Defense	13	21.6	18.3	36.4%	3.61	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	35%	39%	19%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IOWA Defense	13	16.1	17.2	34.4%	2.75	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	38%	32%	17%	-.05
WIS Offense	13	12.8	15.6	42.2%	4.33	1.4	18	364	180	184	4.7	59%	40%	45%	38%	15%	.16

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Iowa	13	28:16	13.8	28%	33%	4.1	32.3	1.3	2.2	6.1	2.6	4	31.9
Wisconsin	13	31:08	17.9	40%	47%	6.2	57.8	1.4	1.6	6.2	2.5	2	30.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IOWA Offense	13	49%	38%	32.5	94.9	2.9	12	-.05	2.45	63%	13%	0.84
WIS Defense	13	49%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.57	65%	11%	0.86

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IOWA Defense	13	49%	38%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.57	74%	11%	0.76
WIS Offense	13	59%	45%	38.5	179.8	4.7	21	.17	3.07	76%	10%	0.96

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IOWA Offense	13	51%	35%	14.8	26.8	156.7	5.8	10.6	7	7	.06	1.5	36%	22%	.08	5%	2
WIS Defense	13	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.19	1.6	36%	27%	.21	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IOWA Defense	13	49%	32%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	-.01	1.4	34%	22%	-.02	6%	1.6
WIS Offense	13	40%	38%	14.5	25.1	183.8	7.3	12.7	21	11	.18	1.7	30%	27%	.21	6%	2.2

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: -0.08 #61
Iowa's Offense Rating: 3.02 #133
Iowa's Defense Rating: -2.19 #3
2023 Talent Rating: 692.62 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #38
Iowa's 2023 Expected Record: 6.60 - 7.40
Iowa's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.0 #127
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa: -0.08 Wisconsin: 11.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 8.1 Wisconsin: 9.9

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 11.27 #28
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 16.47 #67
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 4.78 #26
2023 Talent Rating: 741.63 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #31
Wisconsin's 2023 Expected Record: 8.90 - 4.10
Wisconsin's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Iowa Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.2

Iowa's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 2 - 12
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Wisconsin 22
Iowa 15

Projected Total Points: 37

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 12.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.6
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Wisconsin's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/11	Wisconsin	0	Iowa	37	Iowa -5.5	Iowa	37.5	Under
2024	11/02	Iowa	42	Wisconsin	10	Iowa -2.5	Iowa	40.0	Over
2023	10/14	Wisconsin	6	Iowa	15	Wisconsin -8.0	Iowa	33.5	Under
2022	11/12	Iowa	24	Wisconsin	10	Iowa -1.0	Iowa	35.5	Under
2021	10/30	Wisconsin	27	Iowa	7	Wisconsin -3	Wisconsin	35.5	Under
2020	12/12	Iowa	28	Wisconsin	7	Wisconsin -1	Iowa	39.0	Under
2019	11/09	Wisconsin	24	Iowa	22	Wisconsin -7.5	Iowa	36.5	Over
2018	09/22	Iowa	17	Wisconsin	28	Wisconsin -3	Wisconsin	43.5	Over
2017	11/11	Wisconsin	38	Iowa	14	Wisconsin -11.5	Wisconsin	45.0	Over
2016	10/22	Iowa	9	Wisconsin	17	Wisconsin -2.5	Wisconsin	43.0	Under
2015	10/03	Wisconsin	6	Iowa	10	Wisconsin -8	Iowa	46.0	Under
2014	11/22	Iowa	24	Wisconsin	26	Wisconsin -8.5	Iowa	0
2013	11/02	Iowa	9	Wisconsin	28	Wisconsin -7	Wisconsin	0
2010	10/23	Iowa	30	Wisconsin	31
2009	10/17	Wisconsin	10	Iowa	20
2008	10/18	Iowa	38	Wisconsin	16
2007	09/22	Wisconsin	17	Iowa	13
2006	11/11	Iowa	21	Wisconsin	24
2005	11/12	Wisconsin	10	Iowa	20
2004	11/20	Iowa	30	Wisconsin	7
2003	11/22	Wisconsin	21	Iowa	27
2002	11/02	Iowa	20	Wisconsin	3
2001	11/03	Wisconsin	34	Iowa	28
2000	10/27	Iowa	7	Wisconsin	13

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wisconsin	12	5	4 Overs
Iowa	12	8	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 13	6 - 7	4 - 3	2 - 4
Road Teams	13 - 11	7 - 6	4 - 2	3 - 4

(#61) IOWA at (#28) WIS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	IOWA	WIS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#61	#28
SP+SP+	#36	#28
Perf GradeGrade	#53	#55
OffenseOff	#134	#72
DefenseDef	#4	#29
Spec TeamsST	#5	#53
TalentTal	#41	#30
Blue ChipsBC%	#38	#31

Iowa Injury Report

Wisconsin Injury Report

Iowa on Offense


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	WIS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#134	#29
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#133	#26
SP+SP+	#127	#6
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Iowa Run Game


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	WIS Def
Run GameRun	#134	#38
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#72	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#22

Iowa Pass Game


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	WIS Def
Pass GamePass	#135	#50
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#98	#59
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Wisconsin on Offense


CategoryCat	WIS Off	IOWA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#72	#4
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#67	#3
SP+SP+	#90	#2
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wisconsin Run Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	IOWA Def
Run GameRun	#97	#1
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#33	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#3

Wisconsin Pass Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	IOWA Def
Pass GamePass	#55	#2
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#24	#42
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WIS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Down to Average P4

IOWA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'23 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
Wisconsin -8.0 (33.5)
Iowa won at Wisconsin this year (15-6)

Previous Matchups
Iowa beat Wisconsin last year (37-0)
Iowa beat Wisconsin in 2024 (42-10)
Iowa beat Wisconsin in 2023 (15-6)

IOWA's OC Brian Ferentz (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Deacon Hill (Tr)	122	251	49%	1152	5	8	4.6
Cade McNamara (Tr)	46	90	51%	505	4	3	5.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Leshon Williams	170	821	1	4.8	82
Kaleb Johnson	117	463	3	4.0	67
Jaziun Patterson	58	206	2	3.6	59
Kamari Moulton	27	93	2	3.4	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Erick All (Tr)	21	299	3	14.2	34
Nico Ragaini	31	255	0	8.2	29
Kaleb Brown	22	215	1	9.8	31
Addison Ostrenga	31	192	2	6.2	19

View Iowa's Full Roster

IOWA's DC Phil Parker (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jay Higgins	171	5	2	3	3
Nick Jackson (Tr)	110	8	4	7	2
Sebastian Castro	67	8	0	1	8
Quinn Schulte	65	3	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joe Evans	46	14	9	10	5
Nick Jackson (Tr)	110	8	4	7	2
Yahya Black	50	5	4	2	4
Logan Lee	55	6	3	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jermari Harris	42	1	0	0	8
Sebastian Castro	67	8	0	1	8
Joe Evans	46	14	9	10	5

WIS's OC Phil Longo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tanner Mordecai (Tr)	204	314	65%	2065	9	4	6.6
Braedyn Locke (Tr)	76	152	50%	778	5	1	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Braelon Allen	181	984	12	5.4	52
Jackson Acker	72	322	2	4.5	33
Chez Mellusi	51	307	4	6.0	89
Tanner Mordecai (Tr)	90	303	4	3.4	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Will Pauling (Tr)	74	837	6	11.3	53
Bryson Green (Tr)	32	480	2	15.0	54
Chimere Dike	19	328	1	17.3	41
Skyler Bell	38	297	1	7.8	30

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Colin Hitschler (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Hunter Wohler	120	6	1	4	6
Jake Chaney	80	7	3	1	0
Jordan Turner	61	7	3	3	2
Maema Njongmeta	59	9	3	5	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darryl Peterson	47	10	5	4	2
C.J. Goetz	59	11	4	5	2
James Thompson Jr.	29	6	3	1	2
Jordan Turner	61	7	3	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Hunter Wohler	120	6	1	4	6
Ricardo Hallman	34	3	0	0	5
Alexander Smith	27	3	1	0	5