Iowa at Wisconsin - 2023 Matchup Preview
Iowa logo Iowa Hawkeyes at Wisconsin BadgersWisconsin logo
Saturday, October 14th 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
Wisconsin -8.0 (33.5) (-380)  Open: -10.0 | 37.0
Iowa 15 - Wisconsin: 6  (Big Ten)

 
Hawkeyes (10 - 4) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (189 - 115)
Avg Score : 28 - 18 (21 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 7.4 (#66)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WIS 2nd straight Home Game
IOWA is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Wisconsin -7.5   (SP+ WIS -2)
Projected Score: IOWA: 16 - WIS: 23 (45)
WIS Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
IOWA Travel: 146 miles
Badgers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (21 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 4.1 (#29)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Iowa's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Iowa vs Utah State-24.043.5W 24 - 14UN
Sat 9/9 Iowa at Iowa State-3.535.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 9/16 Iowa vs Western Michigan-28.543.5W 41 - 10OY
Sat 9/23 Iowa at Penn State+14.038.5L 0 - 31UN
Sat 9/30 Iowa vs Michigan State-10.036.5W 26 - 16ON
Sat 10/7 Iowa vs Purdue-2.538.5W 20 - 14UY
Sat 10/14 Iowa at Wisconsin+8.033.5W 15 - 6UY
Sat 10/21 Iowa vs Minnesota-3.030.5L 10 - 12UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Iowa vs Northwestern-4.530.5W 10 - 7UN
Sat 11/11 Iowa vs Rutgers+2.527.5W 22 - 0UY
Sat 11/18 Iowa vs Illinois-2.533.5W 15 - 13UN
Fri 11/24 Iowa at Nebraska+3.025.5W 13 - 10UY
Sat 12/2 Iowa vs Michigan+23.535.0L 0 - 26UN
Mon 1/1 Iowa vs Tennessee+4.537.0L 0 - 35UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule
Wisconsin's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Wisconsin vs Buffalo-29.052.5W 38 - 17ON
Sat 9/9 Wisconsin at Washington State-5.058.0L 22 - 31UN
Sat 9/16 Wisconsin vs Georgia Southern-20.565.5W 35 - 14UY
Fri 9/22 Wisconsin at Purdue-5.554.0W 38 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Wisconsin vs Rutgers-12.544.0W 24 - 13UN
Sat 10/14 Wisconsin vs Iowa-8.033.5L 6 - 15UN
Sat 10/21 Wisconsin at Illinois-3.040.5W 25 - 21OY
Sat 10/28 Wisconsin vs Ohio State+14.548.0L 10 - 24UY
Sat 11/4 Wisconsin at Indiana-9.545.0L 14 - 20UN
Sat 11/11 Wisconsin vs Northwestern-9.543.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/18 Wisconsin vs Nebraska-7.536.5W 24 - 17ON
Sat 11/25 Wisconsin at Minnesota-1.542.0W 28 - 14UY
Mon 1/1 Wisconsin vs LSU+9.559.5L 31 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IOWA36%27.738%2.459535%1572.76-.0534%17.838%32%2.7532.31.32.2
WIS.1642%22.645%3.0718038%1844.33.0736%23.135%39%3.6157.81.41.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IOWA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WIS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IOWA Offense1327.720.835.8%2.761.314252951572.949%51%38%35%18%
WIS Defense1323.120.436.4%3.611.6 - - - - - 49%49%35%39%19%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IOWA Defense1317.822.834.4%2.752.2 - - - - - 49%49%38%32%17%-.05
WIS Offense1322.621.442.2%4.331.4183641801844.759%40%45%38%15%.16

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Iowa1328:1613.828%33%4.132.31.32.26.12.6431.9
Wisconsin1331:0817.940%47%6.257.81.41.66.22.5230.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IOWA Offense1349%38%32.594.92.912-.052.4563%13%0.84
WIS Defense1349%35% - - - - -.022.5765%11%0.86
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IOWA Defense1349%38% - - - - -.022.5774%11%0.76
WIS Offense1359%45%38.5179.84.721.173.0776%10%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IOWA Offense1351%35%14.826.8156.75.810.677.061.536%22%.085%2
WIS Defense1349%39% - - - - - - 17.191.636%27%.217%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IOWA Defense1349%32% - - - - - - 15-.011.434%22%-.026%1.6
WIS Offense1340%38%14.525.1183.87.312.72111.181.730%27%.216%2.2

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: -0.08 #61
Iowa's Offense Rating: 3.02 #133
Iowa's Defense Rating: -2.19 #3
2023 Talent Rating: 838.00 #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #38
Iowa's 2023 Expected Record: 6.60 - 7.40
Iowa's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.0 #127
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa: -0.08   Wisconsin: 11.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 8.1   Wisconsin: 9.9




Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 11.27 #28
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 16.47 #67
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 4.78 #26
2023 Talent Rating: 804.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #31
Wisconsin's 2023 Expected Record: 8.90 - 4.10
Wisconsin's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Iowa Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 17.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.8

Iowa's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Wisconsin 23
Iowa 16

Projected Total Points: 45
Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.4
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.4

Wisconsin's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Iowa42Wisconsin10IowaIowa -2.5Iowa40.0Over
202310/14Wisconsin6Iowa15IowaWisconsin -8.0Iowa33.5Under
202211/12Iowa24Wisconsin10IowaIowa -1.0Iowa35.5Under
202110/30Wisconsin27Iowa7WisconsinWisconsin -3Wisconsin35.5Under
202012/12Iowa28Wisconsin7IowaWisconsin -1Iowa39.0Under
201911/09Wisconsin24Iowa22WisconsinWisconsin -7.5Iowa36.5Over
201809/22Iowa17Wisconsin28WisconsinWisconsin -3Wisconsin43.5Over
201711/11Wisconsin38Iowa14WisconsinWisconsin -11.5Wisconsin45.0Over
201610/22Iowa9Wisconsin17WisconsinWisconsin -2.5Wisconsin43.0Under
201510/03Wisconsin6Iowa10IowaWisconsin -8Iowa46.0Under
201411/22Iowa24Wisconsin26WisconsinWisconsin -8.5Iowa0
201311/02Iowa9Wisconsin28WisconsinWisconsin -7Wisconsin0
201010/23Iowa30Wisconsin31Wisconsin
200910/17Wisconsin10Iowa20Iowa
200810/18Iowa38Wisconsin16Iowa
200709/22Wisconsin17Iowa13Wisconsin
200611/11Iowa21Wisconsin24Wisconsin
200511/12Wisconsin10Iowa20Iowa
200411/20Iowa30Wisconsin7Iowa
200311/22Wisconsin21Iowa27Iowa
200211/02Iowa20Wisconsin3Iowa
200111/03Wisconsin34Iowa28Wisconsin
200010/27Iowa7Wisconsin13Wisconsin
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wisconsin1254 Overs
Iowa1176 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 126 - 64 - 32 - 3
Road Teams12 - 116 - 63 - 23 - 4

(#61) Iowa Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.08 #61
Offense Rating: 3.02 #133
Defense Rating: -2.19 #3
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.0 #127
Defense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #2
Talent Rating: 838.00 #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #38
Expected Record: 6.60 - 7.40

Team Profile






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Iowa     Ratings Matchup     Wisconsin
Power #61
#28
Off #133
#67
Def #3
#26
Talent #22
#29
SP+ #36
#28
SP+ Off #127
#90
SP+ Def #2
#6

Rematch from Week 7
Wisconsin -8.0 (33.5)
Iowa won at Wisconsin this year (15-6)

Previous Matchups
Iowa beat Wisconsin last year (42-10)
Iowa beat Wisconsin in 2023 (15-6)
Iowa beat Wisconsin in 2022 (24-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 55° - Wind: 10 mph


Team Information
Injuries: IOWA | WIS
Depth Chart: IOWA | WIS
Rosters: IOWA | WIS
(#28) Wisconsin Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.27 #28
Offense Rating: 16.47 #67
Defense Rating: 4.78 #26
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #6
Talent Rating: 804.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #31
Expected Record: 8.90 - 4.10

Team Profile






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Iowa's OC Brian Ferentz
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaleb Johnson2401537216.475
Hayden Large2201.02
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Diante Vines36393210.940
Luke Lachey2823108.328
Kaleb Johnson2218828.572
Hayden Large31806.010

View Iowa's Full Roster
Iowa's DC Phil Parker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jay Higgins1243165
Nick Jackson (Tr)915357
Quinn Schulte620003
Sebastian Castro573011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deontae Craig437361
Nick Jackson (Tr)915357
Jay Higgins1243165
Anterio Thompson342152
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nick Jackson (Tr)915357
Jermari Harris271007
Jay Higgins1243165

Wisconsin's OC Phil Longo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nick Evers (Tr)9718054%918555.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Evers (Tr)8024533.123
Chez Mellusi5623234.121
Keontez Lewis10121112.157
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keontez Lewis49790516.165
Chimere Dike42783218.644
Bryson Green (Tr)17219212.935
Chez Mellusi61702.810

View Wisconsin's Full Roster
Wisconsin's DC Colin Hitschler
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hunter Wohler711006
Jordan Turner6611341
Jake Chaney554120
Nyzier Fourqurean (Tr)512015
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Kirschke4110682
Jordan Turner6611341
Jordan Mayer22200
Jake Chaney554120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hunter Wohler711006
Nyzier Fourqurean (Tr)512015
Gabe Kirschke4110682