Wisconsin at Washington State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Wisconsin Badgers at Washington State Cougars

Saturday, September 9th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Wisconsin -5 (58.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Washington State 31 - Wisconsin: 22

Badgers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 13 - 22 (9 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 4.1 (#29)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Wisconsin -3 (SP+ WIS -5.5)
Projected Score: WIS: 26 - WSU: 23 (49)
WIS Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
WIS Travel: 1374 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Cougars (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (13 - 9)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (27 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#81)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WIS Players
WSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wisconsin's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Wisconsin vs Buffalo	-29.0	52.5	W 38 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/9	Wisconsin at Washington State	-5.0	58.0	L 22 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/16	Wisconsin vs Georgia Southern	-20.5	65.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Fri 9/22	Wisconsin at Purdue	-5.5	54.0	W 38 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Wisconsin vs Rutgers	-12.5	44.0	W 24 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/14	Wisconsin vs Iowa	-8.0	33.5	L 6 - 15	U	N
Sat 10/21	Wisconsin at Illinois	-3.0	40.5	W 25 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Wisconsin vs Ohio State	+14.5	48.0	L 10 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Wisconsin at Indiana	-9.5	45.0	L 14 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/11	Wisconsin vs Northwestern	-9.5	43.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/18	Wisconsin vs Nebraska	-7.5	36.5	W 24 - 17	O	N
Sat 11/25	Wisconsin at Minnesota	-1.5	42.0	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Wisconsin vs LSU	+9.5	59.5	L 31 - 35	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule

Washington State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Washington State at Colorado State	-9.5	54.0	W 50 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Washington State vs Wisconsin	+5.0	58.0	W 31 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Washington State vs Northern Colorado	-48.0	55.0	W 64 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/23	Washington State vs Oregon State	+3.0	58.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Washington State at UCLA	+3.0	60.0	L 17 - 25	U	N
Sat 10/14	Washington State vs Arizona	-7.5	57.5	L 6 - 44	U	N
Sat 10/21	Washington State at Oregon	+19.5	60.5	L 24 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Washington State at Arizona State	-4.5	49.0	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	Washington State vs Stanford	-13.0	59.5	L 7 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/11	Washington State at California	+1.5	58.5	L 39 - 42	O	N
Fri 11/17	Washington State vs Colorado	-4.5	59.5	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Washington State at Washington	+16.0	68.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIS	.16	42%	12.8	45%	3.07	180	38%	184	4.33	.07	36%	21.6	35%	39%	3.61	57.8	1.4	1.6
WSU	.15	42%	22.5	44%	2.96	107	42%	253	4.11	.18	43%	20.2	48%	39%	3.52	45.5	1.3	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIS Offense	13	12.8	9	42.2%	4.33	1.4	18	364	180	184	4.7	59%	40%	45%	38%	15%	.16
WSU Defense	13	20.2	16.7	42.7%	3.52	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	48%	39%	18%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIS Defense	13	21.6	26.2	36.4%	3.61	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	35%	39%	19%	.07
WSU Offense	13	22.5	26.8	42.1%	4.11	1.3	19	360	107	253	3.8	35%	64%	44%	42%	19%	.15

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wisconsin	13	31:08	17.9	40%	47%	6.2	57.8	1.4	1.6	6.2	2.5	2	30.1
Washington State	13	27:40	19.5	37%	45%	5.4	45.5	1.3	2.2	5.8	2.3	2	29.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIS Offense	13	59%	45%	38.5	179.8	4.7	21	.17	3.07	76%	10%	0.96
WSU Defense	13	45%	48%	-	-	-	-	.14	3	74%	12%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIS Defense	13	49%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.57	65%	11%	0.86
WSU Offense	13	35%	44%	28.1	107.3	3.8	17	.17	2.96	70%	13%	1.2

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIS Offense	13	40%	38%	14.5	25.1	183.8	7.3	12.7	21	11	.18	1.7	30%	27%	.21	6%	2.2
WSU Defense	13	54%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.25	1.7	33%	30%	.39	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIS Defense	13	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.19	1.6	36%	27%	.21	7%	2
WSU Offense	13	64%	42%	24.8	38.4	252.8	6.6	10.2	24	9	.17	1.4	33%	34%	.35	6%	2

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 7.64 #28
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 16.47 #67
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 4.78 #26
2023 Talent Rating: 741.63 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 22% #31
Wisconsin's 2023 Expected Record: 8.90 - 4.10
Wisconsin's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 7.64 Washington State: 5.745

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 9.9 Washington State: 4.6

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: 5.745 #51
Washington State's Offense Rating: 17.91 #54
Washington State's Defense Rating: 9.69 #68
2023 Talent Rating: 573.28 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Washington State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.80 - 6.20
Washington State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #47
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #38
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 517.06
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 12.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 9
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

Wisconsin's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Wisconsin 26
Washington State 23

Projected Total Points: 49

Washington State Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.8
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.7

Washington State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/09	Washington State	31	Wisconsin	22	Wisconsin -5	Washington State	58.0	Under
2022	09/10	Wisconsin	14	Washington State	17	Wisconsin -17.5	Washington State	48.5	Under
2007	09/01	Wisconsin	42	Washington State	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Washington State	2	2	0 Overs
Wisconsin	1	0	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0

(#28) WIS at (#51) WSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WIS	WSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#28	#51
SP+SP+	#28	#47
Perf GradeGrade	#55	#86
OffenseOff	#72	#87
DefenseDef	#29	#88
Spec TeamsST	#53	#78
TalentTal	#30	#75
Blue ChipsBC%	#31	#75

Wisconsin Injury Report

Washington State Injury Report

Wisconsin on Offense


CategoryCat	WIS Off	WSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#72	#88
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#67	#68
SP+SP+	#90	#75
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wisconsin Run Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	WSU Def
Run GameRun	#97	#103
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#33	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#117

Wisconsin Pass Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	WSU Def
Pass GamePass	#55	#78
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#24	#59
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Washington State on Offense


CategoryCat	WSU Off	WIS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#87	#29
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#54	#26
SP+SP+	#38	#6
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Washington State Run Game


CategoryCat	WSU Off	WIS Def
Run GameRun	#109	#38
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#117	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#22

Washington State Pass Game


CategoryCat	WSU Off	WIS Def
Pass GamePass	#33	#50
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#75	#59
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

WIS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Martin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Wisconsin 5.0 (58.0)
Washington State won vs Wisconsin this year (31-22)

Previous Matchups
Washington State beat Wisconsin in 2023 (31-22)

WIS's OC Phil Longo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tanner Mordecai (Tr)	204	314	65%	2065	9	4	6.6
Braedyn Locke (Tr)	76	152	50%	778	5	1	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Braelon Allen	181	984	12	5.4	52
Jackson Acker	72	322	2	4.5	33
Chez Mellusi	51	307	4	6.0	89
Tanner Mordecai (Tr)	90	303	4	3.4	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Will Pauling (Tr)	74	837	6	11.3	53
Bryson Green (Tr)	32	480	2	15.0	54
Chimere Dike	19	328	1	17.3	41
Skyler Bell	38	297	1	7.8	30

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Colin Hitschler (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Hunter Wohler	120	6	1	4	6
Jake Chaney	80	7	3	1	0
Jordan Turner	61	7	3	3	2
Maema Njongmeta	59	9	3	5	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darryl Peterson	47	10	5	4	2
C.J. Goetz	59	11	4	5	2
James Thompson Jr.	29	6	3	1	2
Jordan Turner	61	7	3	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Hunter Wohler	120	6	1	4	6
Ricardo Hallman	34	3	0	0	5
Alexander Smith	27	3	1	0	5

WSU's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cameron Ward	324	486	67%	3732	25	7	7.7
John Mateer	13	17	77%	225	2	1	13.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nakia Watson	89	321	4	3.6	17
Dylan Paine	25	160	1	6.4	52
Djouvensky Schlenbaker	33	146	0	4.4	20
Cameron Ward	120	122	8	1.0	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Josh Kelly (Tr)	61	923	8	15.1	51
Lincoln Victor	89	860	5	9.7	50
Kyle Williams (Tr)	61	842	6	13.8	63
Carlos Hernandez	24	258	0	10.8	48

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jeff Schmedding (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Thornton	87	5	1	6	1
Jaden Hicks	76	6	3	1	4
Sam Lockett	73	3	1	1	1
Devin Richardson (Tr)	62	3	1	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brennan Jackson	57	12	8	9	3
Ron Stone Jr.	59	11	5	14	1
Nusi Malani	25	5	3	3	1
Jaden Hicks	76	6	3	1	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cam Lampkin	34	2	0	0	7
Chau Smith-Wade	35	2	0	1	6
Kapena Gushiken	36	2	1	0	5