Wisconsin at Minnesota - 2023 Matchup Preview

Wisconsin Badgers at Minnesota Golden Gophers

Saturday, November 25th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Wisconsin -1.5 (42.0) (-155) Open: -1.5 | 42.0
Wisconsin 28 - Minnesota: 14 (Big Ten)

Badgers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 13 - 22 (9 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 4.1 (#29)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MINN is playing their 6th straight game
WIS is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Wisconsin -9 (SP+ WIS -11)
Projected Score: WIS: 25 - MINN: 16 (41)
WIS Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
WIS Travel: 231 miles

Golden Gophers (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (46 - 28)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (30 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 8.2 (#102)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WIS Players
MINN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wisconsin's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Wisconsin vs Buffalo	-29.0	52.5	W 38 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/9	Wisconsin at Washington State	-5.0	58.0	L 22 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/16	Wisconsin vs Georgia Southern	-20.5	65.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Fri 9/22	Wisconsin at Purdue	-5.5	54.0	W 38 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Wisconsin vs Rutgers	-12.5	44.0	W 24 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/14	Wisconsin vs Iowa	-8.0	33.5	L 6 - 15	U	N
Sat 10/21	Wisconsin at Illinois	-3.0	40.5	W 25 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Wisconsin vs Ohio State	+14.5	48.0	L 10 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Wisconsin at Indiana	-9.5	45.0	L 14 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/11	Wisconsin vs Northwestern	-9.5	43.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/18	Wisconsin vs Nebraska	-7.5	36.5	W 24 - 17	O	N
Sat 11/25	Wisconsin at Minnesota	-1.5	42.0	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Wisconsin vs LSU	+9.5	59.5	L 31 - 35	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule

Minnesota's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Minnesota vs Nebraska	-7.5	43.0	W 13 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/9	Minnesota vs Eastern Michigan	-19.5	48.0	W 25 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/16	Minnesota at North Carolina	+7.0	51.0	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/23	Minnesota at Northwestern	-11.5	39.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/30	Minnesota vs Louisiana	-9.5	49.0	W 35 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Minnesota vs Michigan	+18.5	46.0	L 10 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Minnesota at Iowa	+3.0	30.5	W 12 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Minnesota vs Michigan State	-6.5	41.5	W 27 - 12	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Minnesota vs Illinois	-1.5	43.0	L 26 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/11	Minnesota at Purdue	-1.5	48.5	L 30 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/18	Minnesota at Ohio State	+27.5	51.5	L 3 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/25	Minnesota vs Wisconsin	+1.5	42.0	L 14 - 28	U	N
Tue 12/26	Minnesota vs Bowling Green	-2.5	45.0	W 30 - 24	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIS	.16	42%	12.8	45%	3.07	180	38%	184	4.33	.07	36%	21.6	35%	39%	3.61	57.8	1.4	1.6
MINN	.24	48%	23	49%	3.3	207	48%	182	4.36	.12	37%	22.9	38%	36%	2.84	31.8	1	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MINN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIS Offense	13	12.8	9	42.2%	4.33	1.4	18	364	180	184	4.7	59%	40%	45%	38%	15%	.16
MINN Defense	13	22.9	13	36.7%	2.84	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	38%	36%	13%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIS Defense	13	21.6	26.2	36.4%	3.61	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	35%	39%	19%	.07
MINN Offense	13	23	30.1	47.8%	4.36	1	22	390	207	182	4.6	64%	35%	49%	48%	12%	.24

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wisconsin	13	31:08	17.9	40%	47%	6.2	57.8	1.4	1.6	6.2	2.5	2	30.1
Minnesota	13	34:28	21.5	52%	55%	3.5	31.8	1	1.6	3.3	1.5	1	29.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIS Offense	13	59%	45%	38.5	179.8	4.7	21	.17	3.07	76%	10%	0.96
MINN Defense	13	47%	38%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.99	76%	7%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIS Defense	13	49%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.57	65%	11%	0.86
MINN Offense	13	64%	49%	44.8	207.4	4.6	33	.22	3.3	85%	7%	0.9

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIS Offense	13	40%	38%	14.5	25.1	183.8	7.3	12.7	21	11	.18	1.7	30%	27%	.21	6%	2.2
MINN Defense	13	52%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.17	1.5	37%	25%	.21	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIS Defense	13	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.19	1.6	36%	27%	.21	7%	2
MINN Offense	13	35%	48%	13.2	21.6	182.2	8.4	13.8	12	9	.37	1.5	28%	40%	.45	5%	1.7

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 7.64 #28
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 16.47 #67
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 4.78 #26
2023 Talent Rating: 741.63 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 22% #31
Wisconsin's 2023 Expected Record: 8.90 - 4.10
Wisconsin's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 7.64 Minnesota: -0.24

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 9.9 Minnesota: -1.3

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: -0.24 #88
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 12.36 #108
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 12.35 #99
2023 Talent Rating: 640.46 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Minnesota's 2023 Expected Record: 4.80 - 8.20
Minnesota's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #105
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 12.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 9
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

Wisconsin's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Wisconsin 25
Minnesota 16

Projected Total Points: 41

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.1
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Minnesota's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Minnesota	17	Wisconsin	7	Wisconsin -2.5	Minnesota	38.5	Under
2024	11/29	Wisconsin	7	Minnesota	24	Minnesota -1.5	Minnesota	40.5	Under
2023	11/25	Minnesota	14	Wisconsin	28	Wisconsin -1.5	Wisconsin	42.0	Push
2022	11/26	Wisconsin	16	Minnesota	23	Wisconsin -3	Minnesota	37.0	Over
2021	11/27	Minnesota	23	Wisconsin	13	Wisconsin -7	Minnesota	39.0	Under
2020	12/19	Wisconsin	20	Minnesota	17	Wisconsin -10	Minnesota	47.0	Under
2019	11/30	Minnesota	17	Wisconsin	38	Wisconsin -3	Wisconsin	45.0	Over
2018	11/24	Wisconsin	15	Minnesota	37	Wisconsin -10.5	Minnesota	53.0	Under
2017	11/25	Minnesota	0	Wisconsin	31	Wisconsin -18.5	Wisconsin	43.5	Under
2016	11/26	Wisconsin	31	Minnesota	17	Wisconsin -14	Push	42.5	Over
2015	11/28	Minnesota	21	Wisconsin	31	Wisconsin -2.5	Wisconsin	44.5	Over
2014	11/29	Wisconsin	34	Minnesota	24	Wisconsin -12.5	Minnesota	0
2013	11/23	Minnesota	7	Wisconsin	20	Wisconsin -14.5	Minnesota	0
2012	10/20	Wisconsin	38	Minnesota	13
2011	11/12	Minnesota	13	Wisconsin	42
2010	10/09	Wisconsin	41	Minnesota	23
2009	10/03	Minnesota	28	Wisconsin	31
2008	11/15	Wisconsin	35	Minnesota	32
2007	11/17	Minnesota	34	Wisconsin	41
2006	10/14	Wisconsin	48	Minnesota	12
2005	10/15	Minnesota	34	Wisconsin	38
2004	11/06	Wisconsin	38	Minnesota	14
2003	11/08	Minnesota	37	Wisconsin	34
2001	11/24	Minnesota	42	Wisconsin	31
2000	11/03	Wisconsin	41	Minnesota	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Minnesota	7	8	4 Overs
Wisconsin	18	4	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 12	3 - 9	0 - 4	3 - 5
Road Teams	12 - 13	9 - 3	5 - 3	4 - 0

(#28) WIS at (#88) MINN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WIS	MINN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#28	#88
SP+SP+	#28	#69
Perf GradeGrade	#55	#70
OffenseOff	#72	#61
DefenseDef	#29	#91
Spec TeamsST	#53	#96
TalentTal	#30	#57
Blue ChipsBC%	#31	#43

Wisconsin Injury Report

Minnesota Injury Report

Wisconsin on Offense


CategoryCat	WIS Off	MINN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#72	#91
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#67	#99
SP+SP+	#90	#37
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wisconsin Run Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	MINN Def
Run GameRun	#97	#110
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#33	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#113

Wisconsin Pass Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	MINN Def
Pass GamePass	#55	#85
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#24	#31
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Minnesota on Offense


CategoryCat	MINN Off	WIS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#61	#29
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#108	#26
SP+SP+	#105	#6
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Minnesota Run Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	WIS Def
Run GameRun	#44	#38
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#37	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#22

Minnesota Pass Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	WIS Def
Pass GamePass	#108	#50
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#69	#59
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MINN 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'23 Profile: Down to Top G5

WIS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Wisconsin 1.5 (42.0)
Wisconsin won at Minnesota this year (28-14)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Wisconsin last year (17-7)
Minnesota beat Wisconsin in 2024 (24-7)
Wisconsin beat Minnesota in 2023 (28-14)

WIS's OC Phil Longo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tanner Mordecai (Tr)	204	314	65%	2065	9	4	6.6
Braedyn Locke (Tr)	76	152	50%	778	5	1	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Braelon Allen	181	984	12	5.4	52
Jackson Acker	72	322	2	4.5	33
Chez Mellusi	51	307	4	6.0	89
Tanner Mordecai (Tr)	90	303	4	3.4	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Will Pauling (Tr)	74	837	6	11.3	53
Bryson Green (Tr)	32	480	2	15.0	54
Chimere Dike	19	328	1	17.3	41
Skyler Bell	38	297	1	7.8	30

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Colin Hitschler (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Hunter Wohler	120	6	1	4	6
Jake Chaney	80	7	3	1	0
Jordan Turner	61	7	3	3	2
Maema Njongmeta	59	9	3	5	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darryl Peterson	47	10	5	4	2
C.J. Goetz	59	11	4	5	2
James Thompson Jr.	29	6	3	1	2
Jordan Turner	61	7	3	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Hunter Wohler	120	6	1	4	6
Ricardo Hallman	34	3	0	0	5
Alexander Smith	27	3	1	0	5

MINN's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Athan Kaliakmanis	156	294	53%	1838	14	9	6.3
Cole Kramer	8	17	47%	26	2	2	1.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Darius Taylor	138	799	5	5.8	43
Jordan Nubin	127	559	3	4.4	21
Sean Tyler (Tr)	61	242	0	4.0	19
Zach Evans	52	230	1	4.4	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daniel Jackson	59	831	8	14.1	39
Corey Crooms (Tr)	28	376	0	13.4	32
Brevyn Spann-Ford	25	239	2	9.6	31
Darius Taylor	11	92	0	8.4	25

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC Nick Monroe (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Henderson (Tr)	52	4	0	0	1
Tre'Von Jones	51	4	1	0	6
Tyler Nubin	50	1	1	0	3
Maverick Baranowski	48	4	1	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jah Joyner	18	8	8	2	0
Danny Striggow	42	6	6	2	0
Kyler Baugh	39	5	3	3	3
Jalen Logan-Redding	29	3	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Justin Walley	38	2	0	8
Tre'Von Jones	51	4	1	6
Tyler Nubin	50	1	1	3