Georgia Southern at Wisconsin - 2023 Matchup Preview

Georgia Southern Eagles at Wisconsin Badgers

Saturday, September 16th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Wisconsin -20.5 (65.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Wisconsin 35 - Georgia Southern: 14

Eagles (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Clay Helton (8 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 31 (25 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 7.7 (#92)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Wisconsin -17.5 (SP+ WIS -14)
Projected Score: GASO: 19 - WIS: 37 (56)
WIS Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
GASO Travel: 845 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Badgers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 24 - 20 (21 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 4.1 (#29)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GASO Players
WIS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia Southern's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Georgia Southern vs The Citadel	-34.0	53.5	W 34 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/9	Georgia Southern vs UAB	-7.0	63.0	W 49 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Georgia Southern at Wisconsin	+20.5	65.5	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/23	Georgia Southern at Ball State	-6.0	60.0	W 40 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina	-6.0	67.5	W 38 - 28	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Georgia Southern at James Madison	+5.5	60.0	L 13 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/21	Georgia Southern vs UL Monroe	-16.5	60.5	W 38 - 28	O	N
Thu 10/26	Georgia Southern vs Georgia State	+1.0	63.0	W 44 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Georgia Southern at Texas State	-2.0	69.0	L 24 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/11	Georgia Southern at Marshall	-1.5	56.5	L 33 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/18	Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion	-4.5	61.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/25	Georgia Southern at App State	+7.5	62.5	L 27 - 55	O	N
Sat 12/16	Georgia Southern vs Ohio	-1.5	48.5	L 21 - 41	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule

Wisconsin's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Wisconsin vs Buffalo	-29.0	52.5	W 38 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/9	Wisconsin at Washington State	-5.0	58.0	L 22 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/16	Wisconsin vs Georgia Southern	-20.5	65.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Fri 9/22	Wisconsin at Purdue	-5.5	54.0	W 38 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Wisconsin vs Rutgers	-12.5	44.0	W 24 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/14	Wisconsin vs Iowa	-8.0	33.5	L 6 - 15	U	N
Sat 10/21	Wisconsin at Illinois	-3.0	40.5	W 25 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Wisconsin vs Ohio State	+14.5	48.0	L 10 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Wisconsin at Indiana	-9.5	45.0	L 14 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/11	Wisconsin vs Northwestern	-9.5	43.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/18	Wisconsin vs Nebraska	-7.5	36.5	W 24 - 17	O	N
Sat 11/25	Wisconsin at Minnesota	-1.5	42.0	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Wisconsin vs LSU	+9.5	59.5	L 31 - 35	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GASO	#55 (.21)	45% (32)	30.2	48% (21)	3.13 (64)	117	45% (40)	302	3.64 (88)	#118 (.27)	45% (107)	30.5	45% (94)	45% (115)	4.45 (123)	51.8	2.4	1.6
WIS	#84 (.16)	44% (50)	23.5	50% (15)	3.52 (7)	151	38% (100)	191	4.02 (55)	#17 (.1)	40% (47)	20.2	40% (41)	42% (72)	2.98 (13)	44.2	1.2	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GASO	#68 (.19)	43% (65)		46% (44)	2.84 (101)	128	40% (85)	238	4.57 (17)	#105 (.23)	45% (108)		47% (109)	44% (102)	3.81 (71)	48.3	1.7	1.5
WIS	#97 (.14)	42% (73)		46% (39)	3.16 (46)	154	38% (107)	197	4.02 (57)	#80 (.18)	43% (88)		45% (86)	42% (81)	4.17 (105)	37.5	1.5	1

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GASO Offense	13	30.2	25.2	45.3%	3.64	2.4	23	419	117	302	4	35%	64%	48%	45%	17%	.21
WIS Defense	13	20.2	17.7	40.4%	2.98	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	40%	42%	17%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GASO Defense	13	30.5	36.2	44.9%	4.45	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	45%	45%	22%	.27
WIS Offense	13	23.5	21	43.6%	4.02	1.2	18	342	151	191	4.7	47%	52%	50%	38%	15%	.16

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia Southern	13	31:06	23.1	46%	59%	5.8	51.8	2.4	1.6	7	1.8	4	30.8
Wisconsin	13	26:53	18.3	45%	28%	5.1	44.2	1.2	1.2	5.8	2.2	1	29.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GASO Offense	13	35% (130)	48% (21)	29	117.1	4	16 (89)	.23 (25)	3.13 (64)	78% (35)	10% (63)	1.05 (41)
WIS Defense	13	51% (78)	40% (41)	-	-	-	-	.09 (38)	3.06 (57)	64% (20)	11% (42)	0.96 (44)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GASO Defense	13	49% (55)	45% (94)	-	-	-	-	.25 (122)	3.16 (85)	72% (59)	14% (7)	1.13 (116)
WIS Offense	13	47% (92)	50% (15)	32.3	151.3	4.7	21 (54)	.22 (31)	3.52 (7)	74% (67)	8% (26)	0.89 (116)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GASO Offense	13	64% (4)	45% (40)	28.9	44.4	302.2	6.8	10.5	26 (31)	20 (133)	.26 (74)	1.4 (131)	30% (41)	34% (35)	.41 (42)	8% (114)	2.1 (62)
WIS Defense	13	48% (51)	42% (72)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.19 (21)	1.4 (15)	32% (63)	28% (36)	.27 (43)	6% (61)	2 (51)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GASO Defense	13	50% (81)	45% (115)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.3 (89)	1.5 (32)	31% (96)	35% (120)	.49 (127)	9% (5)	2.1 (81)
WIS Offense	13	52% (41)	38% (100)	19.5	33	191.1	5.8	9.8	11 (117)	5 (6)	.13 (116)	1.4 (132)	30% (34)	34% (42)	.28 (85)	7% (106)	1.7 (132)

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -8.20 #109
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 16.14 #69
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 13.87 #111
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #68
Georgia Southern's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70
Georgia Southern's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #80
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #120

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -8.20 Wisconsin: 11.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -4.4 Wisconsin: 9.9

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 11.27 #28
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 16.47 #67
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 4.78 #26
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #31
Wisconsin's 2023 Expected Record: 8.90 - 4.10
Wisconsin's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.2

Georgia Southern's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Wisconsin 37
Georgia Southern 19

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia Southern 21
Wisconsin 21

Total Points: 43

Based on Entire Season
Wisconsin 28
Georgia Southern 23

Total Points: 51

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Wisconsin's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/16	Wisconsin	35	Georgia Southern	14	Wisconsin -20.5	Wisconsin	65.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wisconsin	1	1	0 Overs
Georgia Southern	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#109) GASO at (#28) WIS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GASO	WIS
Power RatePwr	#109	#28
SP+SP+	#80	#28
Perf GradeGrade	#75	#55
OffenseOff	#76	#72
DefenseDef	#81	#29
Spec TeamsST	#48	#53
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#68	#31

Georgia Southern Injury Report

Wisconsin Injury Report

Georgia Southern on Offense


CategoryCat	GASO Off	WIS Def
Perf GradePerf	#76	#29
SuccessSuc	#32	#47
ExplosiveExp	#95	#19
PPAPPA	#55	#17
PowerPwr	#69	#26
SP+SP+	#40	#6
Pts POPPO	#88	#13
HavocHav	#91	#44

Georgia Southern Run Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	WIS Def
Run GameRun	#64	#38
Run SuccessRSuc	#21	#41
Run ExplRExp	#41	#44
PPAExp	#25	#38
Run BlockR Blk	#106	-
OL YdsOLY	#64	#57
Stuff RateStuff	#106	#54
TackleTak	-	#22

Georgia Southern Pass Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	WIS Def
Pass GamePass	#59	#50
Pass SuccessPSuc	#40	#72
Pass ExplPExl	#131	#15
PPAExp	#74	#21
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#34	#59
F7 HavocF7	#63	#42
DB HavocDB	#114	#61

Wisconsin on Offense


CategoryCat	WIS Off	GASO Def
Perf GradePerf	#72	#81
SuccessSuc	#50	#107
ExplosiveExp	#131	#83
PPAPPA	#84	#118
PowerPwr	#67	#111
SP+SP+	#90	#120
Pts POPPO	#55	#123
HavocHav	#54	#4

Wisconsin Run Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	GASO Def
Run GameRun	#97	#66
Run SuccessRSuc	#15	#94
Run ExplRExp	#116	#116
PPAExp	#31	#122
Run BlockR Blk	#33	-
OL YdsOLY	#7	#85
Stuff RateStuff	#5	#61
TackleTak	-	#48

Wisconsin Pass Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	GASO Def
Pass GamePass	#55	#78
Pass SuccessPSuc	#100	#115
Pass ExplPExl	#132	#32
PPAExp	#116	#89
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#24	#105
F7 HavocF7	#26	#7
DB HavocDB	#106	#5

Program Comparison
WIS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to Average P4

GASO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 69°

Rematch from Week 3
Wisconsin -20.5 (65.5)
Wisconsin won vs Georgia Southern this year (35-14)

Previous Matchups
Wisconsin beat Georgia Southern in 2023 (35-14)

GASO's OC Bryan Ellis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Davis Brin (Tr)	362	552	66%	3781	24	19	6.8
JC French (Tr)	13	16	81%	122	1	1	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen White	160	889	9	5.6	45
OJ Arnold	75	411	4	5.5	39
David Mbadinga	22	112	2	5.1	29
Dalen Cobb	7	51	0	7.3	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Khaleb Hood	101	948	5	9.4	43
Derwin Burgess Jr.	74	813	6	11.0	68
Dalen Cobb	40	601	2	15.0	76
Jjay Mcafee	37	378	4	10.2	32

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

GASO's DC Brandon Bailey (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marques Watson-Trent	116	13	4	2	2
Tyrell Davis	65	5	0	0	3
Khadry Jackson	57	6	1	2	2
Marc Stampley II	56	3	1	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaac Walker	24	9	6	3	7
Elhadj Fall	19	5	4	1	1
Marques Watson-Trent	116	13	4	2	2
Da'Shawn Davis	25	8	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shemar Bartholomew	38	3	0	0	14
Damel Hickman (Tr)	36	2	0	1	7
Isaac Walker	24	9	6	3	7

WIS's OC Phil Longo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tanner Mordecai (Tr)	204	314	65%	2065	9	4	6.6
Braedyn Locke (Tr)	76	152	50%	778	5	1	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Braelon Allen	181	984	12	5.4	52
Jackson Acker	72	322	2	4.5	33
Chez Mellusi	51	307	4	6.0	89
Tanner Mordecai (Tr)	90	303	4	3.4	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Will Pauling (Tr)	74	837	6	11.3	53
Bryson Green (Tr)	32	480	2	15.0	54
Chimere Dike	19	328	1	17.3	41
Skyler Bell	38	297	1	7.8	30

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Colin Hitschler (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Hunter Wohler	120	6	1	4	6
Jake Chaney	80	7	3	1	0
Jordan Turner	61	7	3	3	2
Maema Njongmeta	59	9	3	5	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darryl Peterson	47	10	5	4	2
C.J. Goetz	59	11	4	5	2
James Thompson Jr.	29	6	3	1	2
Jordan Turner	61	7	3	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Hunter Wohler	120	6	1	4	6
Ricardo Hallman	34	3	0	0	5
Alexander Smith	27	3	1	0	5