Wisconsin at Illinois - 2023 Matchup Preview
Wisconsin logo Wisconsin Badgers at Illinois Fighting IlliniIllinois logo
Saturday, October 21st 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Wisconsin -3 (40.5) (-155)  Open: -5.0 | 43.0
Wisconsin 25 - Illinois: 21  (Big Ten)

 
Badgers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (25 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 4.1 (#29)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 25.5 MPH
ILL is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Wisconsin -7.5   (SP+ WIS -12.5)
Projected Score: WIS: 27 - ILL: 19 (48)
WIS Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
WIS Travel: 214 miles
Fighting Illini (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (14 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Wisconsin's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Wisconsin vs Buffalo-29.052.5W 38 - 17ON
Sat 9/9 Wisconsin at Washington State-5.058.0L 22 - 31UN
Sat 9/16 Wisconsin vs Georgia Southern-20.565.5W 35 - 14UY
Fri 9/22 Wisconsin at Purdue-5.554.0W 38 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Wisconsin vs Rutgers-12.544.0W 24 - 13UN
Sat 10/14 Wisconsin vs Iowa-8.033.5L 6 - 15UN
Sat 10/21 Wisconsin at Illinois-3.040.5W 25 - 21OY
Sat 10/28 Wisconsin vs Ohio State+14.548.0L 10 - 24UY
Sat 11/4 Wisconsin at Indiana-9.545.0L 14 - 20UN
Sat 11/11 Wisconsin vs Northwestern-9.543.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/18 Wisconsin vs Nebraska-7.536.5W 24 - 17ON
Sat 11/25 Wisconsin at Minnesota-1.542.0W 28 - 14UY
Mon 1/1 Wisconsin vs LSU+9.559.5L 31 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule
Illinois's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Illinois vs Toledo-7.045.5W 30 - 28ON
Fri 9/8 Illinois at Kansas+3.557.5L 23 - 34UN
Sat 9/16 Illinois vs Penn State+14.047.5L 13 - 30UN
Sat 9/23 Illinois vs Florida Atlantic-16.045.5W 23 - 17UN
Sat 9/30 Illinois at Purdue+1.054.0L 19 - 44ON
Fri 10/6 Illinois vs Nebraska-3.543.0L 7 - 20UN
Sat 10/14 Illinois at Maryland+13.552.0W 27 - 24UY
Sat 10/21 Illinois vs Wisconsin+3.040.5L 21 - 25ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Illinois at Minnesota+1.543.0W 27 - 26OY
Sat 11/11 Illinois vs Indiana-4.543.5W 48 - 45ON
Sat 11/18 Illinois at Iowa+2.533.5L 13 - 15UY
Sat 11/25 Illinois vs Northwestern-5.046.5L 43 - 45ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIS.1642%22.645%3.0718038%1844.33.0736%23.135%39%3.6157.81.41.6
ILL.1544%28.343%3.0716845%2093.37-.0233%21.730%36%2.259.11.22.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIS Offense1322.624.542.2%4.331.4183641801844.759%40%45%38%15%.16
ILL Defense1321.717.632.8%2.22.5 - - - - - 45%53%30%36%22%-.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIS Defense1323.132.836.4%3.611.6 - - - - - 49%49%35%39%19%.07
ILL Offense1328.33243.8%3.371.221377168209454%46%43%45%13%.15

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wisconsin1331:0817.940%47%6.257.81.41.66.22.5230.1
Illinois1332:4121.238%48%6.459.11.22.56.12.1130.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIS Offense1359%45%38.5179.84.721.173.0776%10%0.96
ILL Defense1345%30% - - - - -.032.6450%11%1.1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIS Defense1349%35% - - - - -.022.5765%11%0.86
ILL Offense1354%43%41.9167.7418.083.0772%10%0.85

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIS Offense1340%38%14.525.1183.87.312.72111.181.730%27%.216%2.2
ILL Defense1353%36% - - - - - - 24.071.436%23%.0511%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIS Defense1349%39% - - - - - - 17.191.636%27%.217%2
ILL Offense1346%45%2130.2209.46.910155.251.430%32%.242%1.7

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 7.64 #28
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 16.47 #67
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 4.78 #26
2023 Talent Rating: 804.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 22% #31
Wisconsin's 2023 Expected Record: 8.90 - 4.10
Wisconsin's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 7.64   Illinois: 1.055

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 9.9   Illinois: -2.6




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 1.055 #63
Illinois's Offense Rating: 18.75 #47
Illinois's Defense Rating: 13.25 #104
2023 Talent Rating: 658.00 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Illinois's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Illinois's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #75
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #49

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.5
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Wisconsin's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Wisconsin 27
Illinois 19

Projected Total Points: 48
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6

Illinois's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 7 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/21Illinois21Wisconsin25WisconsinWisconsin -3Wisconsin40.5Over
202210/01Wisconsin10Illinois34IllinoisWisconsin -6.5Illinois43.0Over
202110/09Illinois0Wisconsin24WisconsinWisconsin -12.5Wisconsin42.0Under
202010/23Wisconsin45Illinois7WisconsinWisconsin -20.5Wisconsin51.5Over
201910/19Illinois24Wisconsin23IllinoisWisconsin -28.5Illinois52.0Under
201810/20Wisconsin49Illinois20WisconsinWisconsin -24Wisconsin53.5Over
201710/28Illinois10Wisconsin24WisconsinWisconsin -28.5Illinois51.0Under
201611/12Wisconsin48Illinois3WisconsinWisconsin -26.5Wisconsin42.0Over
201510/24Illinois13Wisconsin24WisconsinWisconsin -7Wisconsin46.5Under
201410/11Wisconsin38Illinois28WisconsinWisconsin -24Illinois0
201310/19Illinois32Wisconsin56WisconsinWisconsin -10Wisconsin0
201210/06Wisconsin31Illinois14Wisconsin
201111/19Illinois17Wisconsin28Wisconsin
200810/25Wisconsin27Illinois17Wisconsin
200710/06Illinois31Wisconsin26Illinois
200610/28Wisconsin30Illinois24Wisconsin
200510/29Illinois24Wisconsin41Wisconsin
200410/02Wisconsin24Illinois7Wisconsin
200309/27Illinois20Wisconsin38Wisconsin
200211/09Wisconsin20Illinois37Illinois
200110/20Illinois42Wisconsin35Illinois
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois545 Overs
Wisconsin1674 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 105 - 63 - 22 - 4
Road Teams10 - 116 - 54 - 22 - 3

(#28) Wisconsin Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.64 #28
Offense Rating: 16.47 #67
Defense Rating: 4.78 #26
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #6
Talent Rating: 804.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 22% #31
Expected Record: 8.90 - 4.10

Team Profile






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Wisconsin     Ratings Matchup     Illinois
Power #28
#63
Off #67
#47
Def #26
#104
Talent #29
#62
SP+ #28
#75
SP+ Off #90
#90
SP+ Def #6
#49

Rematch from Week 8
Wisconsin 3.0 (40.5)
Wisconsin won at Illinois this year (25-21)

Previous Matchups
Wisconsin beat Illinois in 2023 (25-21)
Illinois beat Wisconsin in 2022 (34-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 71° - Wind: 26 mph


Team Information
Injuries: WIS | ILL
Depth Chart: WIS | ILL
Rosters: WIS | ILL
(#63) Illinois Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.055 #63
Offense Rating: 18.75 #47
Defense Rating: 13.25 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #75
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #49
Talent Rating: 658.00 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80

Team Profile






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Wisconsin's OC Phil Longo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nick Evers (Tr)9718054%918555.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Evers (Tr)8024533.123
Chez Mellusi5623234.121
Keontez Lewis10121112.157
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keontez Lewis49790516.165
Chimere Dike42783218.644
Bryson Green (Tr)17219212.935
Chez Mellusi61702.810

View Wisconsin's Full Roster
Wisconsin's DC Colin Hitschler
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hunter Wohler711006
Jordan Turner6611341
Jake Chaney554120
Nyzier Fourqurean (Tr)512015
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Kirschke4110682
Jordan Turner6611341
Jordan Mayer22200
Jake Chaney554120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hunter Wohler711006
Nyzier Fourqurean (Tr)512015
Gabe Kirschke4110682

Illinois's OC Barry Lunney Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Reggie Love III8337224.522
Patrick Bryant51402.87
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Patrick Bryant539781018.564
Eian Pugh53707.414
Reggie Love III72103.06
Owen Anderson21316.511

View Illinois's Full Roster
Illinois's DC Aaron Henry
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Seth Coleman537353
Ryan Meed501011
Te-Rah Edwards385370
Tahveon Nicholson323001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Seth Coleman537353
Te-Rah Edwards385370
Dylan Davis192110
Christian Lorenzo171131
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Seth Coleman537353
Zachary Tobe172003
Ryan Meed501011