Maryland at Nebraska - 2023 Matchup Preview

Maryland Terrapins at Nebraska Cornhuskers

Saturday, November 11th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Maryland -1.5 (41.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Maryland 13 - Nebraska: 10 (Big Ten)

Terrapins (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (24 - 28)
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (26 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.9 - 5.1 (#46)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 18.6 MPH
NEB is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Maryland -4.5 (SP+ MD -9)
Projected Score: MD: 24 - NEB: 19 (43)
MD Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
MD Travel: 1053 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Cornhuskers (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Matt Rhule (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 18 - 18 (20 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#68)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MD Players
NEB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Maryland's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Maryland vs Towson	-38.5	55.5	W 38 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/9	Maryland vs Charlotte	-24.5	50.0	W 38 - 20	O	N
Fri 9/15	Maryland vs Virginia	-16.5	48.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Maryland at Michigan State	-7.0	52.5	W 31 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Maryland vs Indiana	-14.5	50.0	W 44 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Maryland at Ohio State	+17.0	56.5	L 17 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/14	Maryland vs Illinois	-13.5	52.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Maryland at Northwestern	-14.0	48.5	L 27 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/4	Maryland vs Penn State	+8.5	50.5	L 15 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/11	Maryland at Nebraska	-1.5	41.5	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Maryland vs Michigan	+17.5	50.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Maryland at Rutgers	-2.0	45.5	W 42 - 24	O	Y
Sat 12/30	Maryland vs Auburn	+4.0	47.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule

Nebraska's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Nebraska at Minnesota	+7.5	43.0	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Nebraska at Colorado	+2.5	56.5	L 14 - 36	U	N
Sat 9/16	Nebraska vs Northern Illinois	-11.5	42.5	W 35 - 11	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Nebraska vs Louisiana Tech	-20.5	44.5	W 28 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/30	Nebraska vs Michigan	+17.0	39.5	L 7 - 45	O	N
Fri 10/6	Nebraska at Illinois	+3.5	43.0	W 20 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Nebraska vs Northwestern	-10.5	40.0	W 17 - 9	U	N
Sat 10/28	Nebraska vs Purdue	+1.0	39.5	W 31 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Nebraska at Michigan State	-3.0	34.5	L 17 - 20	O	N
Sat 11/11	Nebraska vs Maryland	+1.5	41.5	L 10 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/18	Nebraska at Wisconsin	+7.5	36.5	L 17 - 24	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Nebraska vs Iowa	-3.0	25.5	L 10 - 13	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MD	#43 (.24)	44% (45)	29.7	42% (76)	3.07 (79)	108	45% (30)	279	4.15 (43)	#24 (.11)	41% (53)	22.5	44% (81)	39% (32)	3.62 (53)	56.5	1.6	1.8
NEB	#105 (.13)	38% (111)	18	42% (84)	3.31 (33)	177	34% (125)	136	3.33 (104)	#18 (.1)	38% (22)	18.3	37% (18)	39% (31)	3.09 (16)	42.3	2.6	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MD	#106 (.13)	41% (92)		41% (97)	2.89 (94)	111	41% (74)	276	3.62 (95)	#84 (.19)	43% (86)		42% (65)	44% (107)	4.34 (116)	58.6	1.7	1.4
NEB	#74 (.18)	45% (37)		48% (22)	3.21 (40)	121	43% (55)	210	3.38 (114)	#44 (.13)	40% (50)		39% (24)	42% (82)	3.06 (11)	48.9	1.3	1.2

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MD Offense	13	29.7	26	44%	4.15	1.6	21	387	108	279	3.7	41%	58%	42%	45%	17%	.24
NEB Defense	12	18.3	17	37.6%	3.09	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	37%	39%	20%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MD Defense	13	22.5	22.6	40.7%	3.62	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	44%	39%	14%	.11
NEB Offense	12	18	19.7	38.1%	3.33	2.6	16	313	177	136	4.4	62%	36%	42%	34%	22%	.13

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Maryland	13	27:56	20.8	42%	68%	5.5	56.5	1.6	1.8	4.7	2.4	2	30.9
Nebraska	12	30:53	16.4	38%	50%	5	42.3	2.6	1.2	6.3	2.7	0	29

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MD Offense	13	41% (121)	42% (76)	29.4	108.4	3.7	20 (61)	.17 (54)	3.07 (79)	69% (101)	10% (77)	1.07 (32)
NEB Defense	12	43% (8)	37% (18)	-	-	-	-	.03 (16)	3.15 (81)	73% (70)	12% (22)	0.77 (3)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MD Defense	13	50% (60)	44% (81)	-	-	-	-	.12 (57)	3.17 (87)	73% (72)	8% (116)	0.84 (8)
NEB Offense	12	62% (5)	42% (84)	39.8	176.8	4.4	16 (89)	.12 (84)	3.31 (33)	76% (51)	14% (129)	0.99 (72)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MD Offense	13	58% (11)	45% (30)	23.6	36.7	278.9	7.6	11.8	27 (25)	13 (97)	.31 (56)	1.5 (98)	32% (65)	35% (28)	.32 (73)	6% (75)	2 (94)
NEB Defense	12	56% (126)	39% (31)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.2 (31)	1.5 (35)	35% (25)	26% (20)	.27 (44)	8% (17)	2.1 (83)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MD Defense	13	49% (57)	39% (32)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (3)	.19 (22)	1.5 (31)	29% (118)	30% (58)	.27 (45)	6% (65)	1.8 (12)
NEB Offense	12	36% (129)	34% (125)	11.3	21.8	135.9	6.3	12	10 (120)	16 (121)	.24 (85)	1.9 (7)	34% (100)	25% (118)	.28 (84)	7% (110)	2.4 (5)

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 6.66 #31
Maryland's Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Maryland's Defense Rating: 7.24 #40
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 19% #33
Maryland's 2023 Expected Record: 7.90 - 5.10
Maryland's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.7 #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Maryland: 6.66 Nebraska: 3.355

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Maryland: 9.2 Nebraska: 0.1

Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 3.355 #53
Nebraska's Offense Rating: 10.32 #121
Nebraska's Defense Rating: 5.24 #28
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Nebraska's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50
Nebraska's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #65
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #123
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #8

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Maryland Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 22.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Maryland's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Maryland 24
Nebraska 19

Total Points: 43

Based on Last 4 Games
Nebraska 29
Maryland 17

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
Maryland 23
Nebraska 21

Total Points: 44

Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 18 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 18.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Nebraska's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/11	Maryland	31	Nebraska	34	Nebraska -7	Maryland	47.5	Over
2023	11/11	Nebraska	10	Maryland	13	Maryland -1.5	Maryland	41.5	Under
2019	11/23	Maryland	7	Nebraska	54	Nebraska -7	Nebraska	63.0	Under
2016	11/19	Nebraska	28	Maryland	7	Nebraska -14.5	Nebraska	50.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Nebraska	3	2	1 Overs
Maryland	1	2	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 3	2 - 2	1 - 0	1 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 1	2 - 2	2 - 1	0 - 1

(#31) MD at (#53) NEB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MD	NEB
Power RatePwr	#31	#53
SP+SP+	#33	#65
Perf GradeGrade	#67	#98
OffenseOff	#63	#125
DefenseDef	#57	#40
Spec TeamsST	#64	#9
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#33	#27

Maryland Injury Report

Nebraska Injury Report

Maryland on Offense


CategoryCat	MD Off	NEB Def
Perf GradePerf	#63	#40
SuccessSuc	#45	#22
ExplosiveExp	#38	#17
PPAPPA	#43	#18
PowerPwr	#48	#28
SP+SP+	#50	#8
Pts POPPO	#43	#16
HavocHav	#80	#12

Maryland Run Game


CategoryCat	MD Off	NEB Def
Run GameRun	#70	#51
Run SuccessRSuc	#76	#18
Run ExplRExp	#32	#3
PPAExp	#54	#16
Run BlockR Blk	#73	-
OL YdsOLY	#79	#81
Stuff RateStuff	#45	#122
TackleTak	-	#15

Maryland Pass Game


CategoryCat	MD Off	NEB Def
Pass GamePass	#45	#33
Pass SuccessPSuc	#30	#31
Pass ExplPExl	#98	#35
PPAExp	#56	#31
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#54	#91
F7 HavocF7	#77	#22
DB HavocDB	#75	#17

Nebraska on Offense


CategoryCat	NEB Off	MD Def
Perf GradePerf	#125	#57
SuccessSuc	#111	#53
ExplosiveExp	#70	#8
PPAPPA	#105	#24
PowerPwr	#121	#40
SP+SP+	#123	#20
Pts POPPO	#104	#53
HavocHav	#130	#109

Nebraska Run Game


CategoryCat	NEB Off	MD Def
Run GameRun	#128	#96
Run SuccessRSuc	#84	#81
Run ExplRExp	#72	#8
PPAExp	#84	#57
Run BlockR Blk	#50	-
OL YdsOLY	#33	#87
Stuff RateStuff	#15	#119
TackleTak	-	#32

Nebraska Pass Game


CategoryCat	NEB Off	MD Def
Pass GamePass	#134	#20
Pass SuccessPSuc	#125	#32
Pass ExplPExl	#7	#31
PPAExp	#85	#22
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#76	#77
F7 HavocF7	#129	#116
DB HavocDB	#110	#65

Program Comparison
NEB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

MD 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 52° - Wind: 19 mph

Rematch from Week 11
Maryland 1.5 (41.5)
Maryland won at Nebraska this year (13-10)

Previous Matchups
Maryland beat Nebraska in 2023 (13-10)

MD's OC Josh Gattis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Taulia Tagovailoa	290	437	66%	3377	25	11	7.7
Billy Edwards	10	30	33%	128	1	1	4.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roman Hemby	143	680	4	4.8	40
Colby McDonald	53	306	2	5.8	35
Antwain Littleton II	69	255	2	3.7	32
Billy Edwards	29	91	7	3.1	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jeshaun Jones	56	790	4	14.1	64
Tai Felton	48	723	6	15.1	57
Kaden Prather (Tr)	42	666	5	15.9	57
Corey Dyches	49	491	2	10.0	44

View Maryland's Full Roster

MD's DC Brian Williams (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Beau Brade	75	4	0	6
Ruben Hyppolite II	66	3	1	1
Dante Trader Jr.	53	1	0	7
Tarheeb Still	45	2	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kellan Wyatt	34	7	5	3	1
Caleb Wheatland	41	6	4	2	1
Tre Colbert	27	3	3	0	0
Jaishawn Barham	37	3	3	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jaquan Sheppard	31	3	1	8
Dante Trader Jr.	53	1	0	7
Beau Brade	75	4	0	6

NEB's OC Marcus Satterfield (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Heinrich Haarberg	77	157	49%	967	7	7	6.2
Chubba Purdy	31	57	54%	382	2	3	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Heinrich Haarberg	120	477	5	4.0	72
Anthony Grant	104	413	3	4.0	34
Emmett Johnson	90	411	2	4.6	29
Gabe Ervin	38	196	1	5.2	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Billy Kemp (Tr)	35	310	1	8.9	34
Thomas Fidone Jr.	25	260	4	10.4	29
Jaylen Lloyd	6	237	3	39.5	73
Alex Bullock	15	221	1	14.7	34

View Nebraska's Full Roster

NEB's DC Tony White (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaac Gifford	86	7	1	0	8
Javin Wright	51	2	1	0	2
Omar Brown	51	3	0	0	3
John Bullock	50	3	2	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jimari Butler	34	9	6	1	2
Luke Reimer	48	8	5	5	0
Nash Hutmacher	40	8	5	4	2
Cameron Lenhardt	16	5	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Tommi Hill	26	1	0	9
Isaac Gifford	86	7	1	8
Malcolm Hartzog	40	2	0	6