Illinois at Maryland - 2023 Matchup Preview

Illinois Fighting Illini at Maryland Terrapins

Saturday, October 14th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Maryland -13.5 (52.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Illinois 27 - Maryland: 24 (Big Ten)

Fighting Illini (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (14 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (21 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Rain Predicted
MD is playing their 7th straight game
ILL is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Maryland -12 (SP+ MD -12)
Projected Score: ILL: 20 - MD: 32 (52)
MD Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
ILL Travel: 606 miles, 1 hrs behind

Terrapins (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (24 - 28)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (26 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.9 - 5.1 (#46)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ILL Players
MD Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Illinois's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Illinois vs Toledo	-7.0	45.5	W 30 - 28	O	N
Fri 9/8	Illinois at Kansas	+3.5	57.5	L 23 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/16	Illinois vs Penn State	+14.0	47.5	L 13 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/23	Illinois vs Florida Atlantic	-16.0	45.5	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/30	Illinois at Purdue	+1.0	54.0	L 19 - 44	O	N
Fri 10/6	Illinois vs Nebraska	-3.5	43.0	L 7 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/14	Illinois at Maryland	+13.5	52.0	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Illinois vs Wisconsin	+3.0	40.5	L 21 - 25	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Illinois at Minnesota	+1.5	43.0	W 27 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Illinois vs Indiana	-4.5	43.5	W 48 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/18	Illinois at Iowa	+2.5	33.5	L 13 - 15	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Illinois vs Northwestern	-5.0	46.5	L 43 - 45	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule

Maryland's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Maryland vs Towson	-38.5	55.5	W 38 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/9	Maryland vs Charlotte	-24.5	50.0	W 38 - 20	O	N
Fri 9/15	Maryland vs Virginia	-16.5	48.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Maryland at Michigan State	-7.0	52.5	W 31 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Maryland vs Indiana	-14.5	50.0	W 44 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Maryland at Ohio State	+17.0	56.5	L 17 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/14	Maryland vs Illinois	-13.5	52.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Maryland at Northwestern	-14.0	48.5	L 27 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/4	Maryland vs Penn State	+8.5	50.5	L 15 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/11	Maryland at Nebraska	-1.5	41.5	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Maryland vs Michigan	+17.5	50.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Maryland at Rutgers	-2.0	45.5	W 42 - 24	O	Y
Sat 12/30	Maryland vs Auburn	+4.0	47.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ILL	.15	44%	28.3	43%	3.07	168	45%	209	3.37	-.02	33%	21.7	30%	36%	2.2	59.1	1.2	2.5
MD	.19	41%	23.7	42%	2.95	141	41%	260	4.19	.1	40%	30.4	41%	40%	3.44	71.1	1.2	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ILL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MD		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ILL Offense	13	28.3	21.3	43.8%	3.37	1.2	21	377	168	209	4	54%	46%	43%	45%	13%	.15
MD Defense	13	30.4	25.6	40.2%	3.44	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	41%	40%	15%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ILL Defense	13	21.7	28.5	32.8%	2.2	2.5	-	-	-	-	-	45%	53%	30%	36%	22%	-.02
MD Offense	13	23.7	25.9	41%	4.19	1.2	20	402	141	260	3.9	46%	53%	42%	41%	17%	.19

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Illinois	13	32:41	21.2	38%	48%	6.4	59.1	1.2	2.5	6.1	2.1	1	30.1
Maryland	13	31:06	20.2	42%	61%	7.8	71.1	1.2	1.6	4.8	1.8	0	28.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ILL Offense	13	54%	43%	41.9	167.7	4	18	.08	3.07	72%	10%	0.85
MD Defense	13	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.94	76%	9%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ILL Defense	13	45%	30%	-	-	-	-	-.03	2.64	50%	11%	1.1
MD Offense	13	46%	42%	36.1	141.3	3.9	23	.13	2.95	66%	12%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ILL Offense	13	46%	45%	21	30.2	209.4	6.9	10	15	5	.25	1.4	30%	32%	.24	2%	1.7
MD Defense	13	50%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.16	1.4	32%	28%	.2	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ILL Defense	13	53%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	24	.07	1.4	36%	23%	.05	11%	2
MD Offense	13	53%	41%	22.6	34.3	260.2	7.6	11.5	21	8	.25	1.6	32%	25%	.23	5%	2.2

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: -0.29 #63
Illinois's Offense Rating: 18.75 #47
Illinois's Defense Rating: 13.25 #104
2023 Talent Rating: 658.00 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #63
Illinois's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Illinois's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #75
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #49

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois: -0.29 Maryland: 10.43

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: -2.6 Maryland: 9.2

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 10.43 #31
Maryland's Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Maryland's Defense Rating: 7.24 #40
2023 Talent Rating: 860.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 19 #33
Maryland's 2023 Expected Record: 7.90 - 5.10
Maryland's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.7 #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Illinois Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.3
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.5

Illinois's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Maryland 32
Illinois 20

Projected Total Points: 52

Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.9
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

Maryland's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/14	Maryland	24	Illinois	27	Illinois	Maryland -13.5	Illinois	52.0	Under
2021	09/17	Illinois	17	Maryland	20	Maryland	Maryland -7	Illinois	61.5	Under
2018	10/27	Maryland	63	Illinois	33	Maryland	Maryland -16.5	Maryland	56.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Maryland	2	1	1 Overs
Illinois	1	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	2 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 1	1 - 2	0 - 1	1 - 1

(#63) Illinois Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.29 #63
Offense Rating: 18.75 #47
Defense Rating: 13.25 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #75
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #49
Talent Rating: 658.00 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #63
Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80

Team Profile

,
,

Illinois Ratings Matchup Maryland

Power #63

#31

Off #47

#48

Def #104

#40

Talent #62

#18

SP+ #75

#33

SP+ Off #90

#50

SP+ Def #49

#20

Rematch from Week 7
Maryland -13.5 (52.0)
Illinois won at Maryland this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Maryland in 2023 (27-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Maryland Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 60°Rain: 0.012

Team Information
Injuries: ILL | MD
Depth Chart: ILL | MD
Rosters: ILL | MD

(#31) Maryland Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.43 #31
Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Defense Rating: 7.24 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.7 #20
Talent Rating: 860.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 19 #33
Expected Record: 7.90 - 5.10

Team Profile

,
,

Illinois's OC Barry Lunney Jr.

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Reggie Love III	83	372	2	4.5	22
Patrick Bryant	5	14	0	2.8	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Patrick Bryant	53	978	10	18.5	64
Eian Pugh	5	37	0	7.4	14
Reggie Love III	7	21	0	3.0	6
Owen Anderson	2	13	1	6.5	11

View Illinois's Full Roster

Illinois's DC Aaron Henry

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Seth Coleman	53	7	3	5	3
Ryan Meed	50	1	0	1	1
Te-Rah Edwards	38	5	3	7	0
Tahveon Nicholson	32	3	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Seth Coleman	53	7	3	5	3
Te-Rah Edwards	38	5	3	7	0
Dylan Davis	19	2	1	1	0
Christian Lorenzo	17	1	1	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Seth Coleman	53	7	3	5	3
Zachary Tobe	17	2	0	0	3
Ryan Meed	50	1	0	1	1

Maryland's OC Josh Gattis

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Antwain Littleton II	93	305	1	3.3	37
Colby McDonald	29	150	0	5.2	22
Tai Felton	2	23	0	11.5	19
Kaden Prather (Tr)	1	-1	0	-1.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tai Felton	96	1124	9	11.7	75
Kaden Prather (Tr)	56	624	4	11.1	33
Corey Dyches	17	181	1	10.6	28
Antwain Littleton II	16	134	1	8.4	20

View Maryland's Full Roster

Maryland's DC Brian Williams

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ruben Hyppolite II	66	7	0	1	2
Jaishawn Barham	66	4	1	5	2
Dante Trader Jr.	59	0	0	0	4
Gavin Gibson	52	7	0	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Quashon Fuller	28	4	2	0	1
Taizse Johnson	12	3	2	0	0
Jaishawn Barham	66	4	1	5	2
Tamarcus Cooley	39	3	1	2	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tamarcus Cooley	39	3	1	2	6
Dante Trader Jr.	59	0	0	0	4
Gavin Gibson	52	7	0	1	3