Indiana at Maryland - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 30th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Maryland -14.5 (50.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Maryland 44 - Indiana: 17 (Big Ten)

Hoosiers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tom Allen (31 - 42)
Avg Score : 42 - 12 (38 - 14 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MD is playing their 5th straight game
IND is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Maryland -17.5 (SP+ MD -17)
Projected Score: IND: 17 - MD: 34 (51)
MD Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
IND Travel: 514 miles

Terrapins (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (24 - 28)
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (26 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.9 - 5.1 (#46)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
IND Players
MD Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Indiana's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Indiana vs Ohio State	+30.0	59.0	L 3 - 23	U	Y
Fri 9/8	Indiana vs Indiana State	-31.0	44.0	W 41 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Indiana vs Louisville	+10.0	51.0	L 14 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Indiana vs Akron	-16.5	45.5	W 29 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/30	Indiana at Maryland	+14.5	50.0	L 17 - 44	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Indiana at Michigan	+33.5	45.5	L 7 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/21	Indiana vs Rutgers	+6.0	39.5	L 14 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/28	Indiana at Penn State	+31.0	45.0	L 24 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Indiana vs Wisconsin	+9.5	45.0	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Indiana at Illinois	+4.5	43.5	L 45 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Indiana vs Michigan State	-3.5	47.5	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/25	Indiana at Purdue	+2.5	55.5	L 31 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule

Maryland's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Maryland vs Towson	-38.5	55.5	W 38 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/9	Maryland vs Charlotte	-24.5	50.0	W 38 - 20	O	N
Fri 9/15	Maryland vs Virginia	-16.5	48.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Maryland at Michigan State	-7.0	52.5	W 31 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Maryland vs Indiana	-14.5	50.0	W 44 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Maryland at Ohio State	+17.0	56.5	L 17 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/14	Maryland vs Illinois	-13.5	52.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Maryland at Northwestern	-14.0	48.5	L 27 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/4	Maryland vs Penn State	+8.5	50.5	L 15 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/11	Maryland at Nebraska	-1.5	41.5	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Maryland vs Michigan	+17.5	50.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Maryland at Rutgers	-2.0	45.5	W 42 - 24	O	Y
Sat 12/30	Maryland vs Auburn	+4.0	47.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IND	.08	37%	41.6	40%	2.91	111	35%	217	3.39	.19	44%	11.7	39%	50%	3.94	45.6	1.5	1.2
MD	.19	41%	23.5	42%	2.95	141	41%	260	4.19	.1	40%	26.5	41%	40%	3.44	71.1	1.2	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IND		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MD		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IND Offense	12	41.6	37.6	37%	3.39	1.5	19	328	111	217	3.4	40%	60%	40%	35%	20%	.08
MD Defense	13	26.5	27.3	40.2%	3.44	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	41%	40%	15%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IND Defense	12	11.7	14.4	43.5%	3.94	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	39%	50%	14%	.19
MD Offense	13	23.5	26.3	41%	4.19	1.2	20	402	141	260	3.9	46%	53%	42%	41%	17%	.19

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Indiana	12	25:38	19.2	34%	39%	5	45.6	1.5	1.2	5.3	1.7	2	27.1
Maryland	13	31:06	20.2	42%	61%	7.8	71.1	1.2	1.6	4.8	1.8	0	28.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IND Offense	12	40%	40%	33	110.8	3.4	15	.13	2.91	85%	12%	1.05
MD Defense	13	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.94	76%	9%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IND Defense	12	54%	39%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.93	62%	9%	0.86
MD Offense	13	46%	42%	36.1	141.3	3.9	23	.13	2.95	66%	12%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IND Offense	12	60%	35%	21.7	40.2	217.4	5.4	10	16	13	.07	1.3	35%	21%	.08	8%	2
MD Defense	13	50%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.16	1.4	32%	28%	.2	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IND Defense	12	46%	50%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.41	1.5	29%	34%	.31	5%	2
MD Offense	13	53%	41%	22.6	34.3	260.2	7.6	11.5	21	8	.25	1.6	32%	25%	.23	5%	2.2

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: -6.74 #98
Indiana's Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Indiana's Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
2023 Talent Rating: 677.57 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #41
Indiana's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Indiana's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #103
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Indiana: -6.74 Maryland: 10.43

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Indiana: -7.4 Maryland: 9.2

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 10.43 #31
Maryland's Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Maryland's Defense Rating: 7.24 #40
2023 Talent Rating: 685.75 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 19 #33
Maryland's 2023 Expected Record: 7.90 - 5.10
Maryland's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.7 #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Indiana Scoring
Offense: 41.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 37.6
Defense: 11.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 14.4

Indiana's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Maryland 34
Indiana 17

Projected Total Points: 51

Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.3
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Maryland's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	Maryland	10	Indiana	55	Indiana -21	Indiana	50.5	Over
2024	09/28	Indiana	42	Maryland	28	Indiana -7.5	Indiana	50.0	Over
2023	09/30	Maryland	44	Indiana	17	Maryland -14.5	Maryland	50.0	Over
2022	10/15	Indiana	33	Maryland	38	Maryland -11	Indiana	63.0	Over
2021	10/30	Maryland	38	Indiana	35	Maryland -3.5	Indiana	48.0	Over
2020	11/28	Indiana	27	Maryland	11	Indiana -11.5	Indiana	65.0	Under
2019	10/19	Maryland	28	Indiana	34	Indiana -6.5	Maryland	59.5	Over
2018	11/10	Indiana	34	Maryland	32	Indiana -1	Indiana	55.0	Over
2017	10/28	Maryland	42	Indiana	39	Indiana -6.5	Maryland	51.5	Over
2016	10/29	Indiana	42	Maryland	36	Indiana -5	Indiana	55.5	Over
2015	11/21	Maryland	28	Indiana	47	Indiana -1.5	Indiana	63.0	Over
2014	09/27	Indiana	15	Maryland	37	Indiana -3	Maryland	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Maryland	5	4	10 Overs
Indiana	7	8	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 5	8 - 4	5 - 2	3 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 7	4 - 8	2 - 3	2 - 5

(#98) IND at (#31) MD

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	IND	MD
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#98	#31
SP+SP+	#90	#33
Perf GradeGrade	#101	#67
OffenseOff	#96	#63
DefenseDef	#104	#57
Spec TeamsST	#83	#64
TalentTal	#47	#43
Blue ChipsBC%	#41	#33

Indiana Injury Report

Maryland Injury Report

Indiana on Offense


CategoryCat	IND Off	MD Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#96	#57
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#95	#40
SP+SP+	#103	#20
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Indiana Run Game


CategoryCat	IND Off	MD Def
Run GameRun	#130	#96
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#64	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#32

Indiana Pass Game


CategoryCat	IND Off	MD Def
Pass GamePass	#80	#20
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#104	#77
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Maryland on Offense


CategoryCat	MD Off	IND Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#63	#104
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#48	#114
SP+SP+	#50	#72
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Maryland Run Game


CategoryCat	MD Off	IND Def
Run GameRun	#70	#34
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#73	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#64

Maryland Pass Game


CategoryCat	MD Off	IND Def
Pass GamePass	#45	#118
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#54	#132
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MD 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Up to Average P4

IND 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'23 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Maryland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
Maryland -14.5 (50.0)
Maryland won vs Indiana this year (44-17)

Previous Matchups
Indiana beat Maryland last year (55-10)
Indiana beat Maryland in 2024 (42-28)
Maryland beat Indiana in 2023 (44-17)

IND's OC Walt Bell (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brendan Sorsby	135	236	57%	1582	15	5	6.7
Tayven Jackson (Tr)	78	128	61%	914	2	5	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Trenten Howland	76	354	2	4.7	19
Josh Henderson	81	337	2	4.2	29
Brendan Sorsby	113	291	4	2.6	25
Jaylin Lucas	67	275	2	4.1	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Donaven McCulley	48	644	6	13.4	69
Dequece Carter (Tr)	27	395	3	14.6	90
Cam Camper	17	285	1	16.8	41
E.J. Williams (Tr)	23	276	0	12.0	27

View Indiana's Full Roster

IND's DC Matt Guerrieri (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aaron Casey	108	20	7	1	3
Louis Moore	84	1	0	0	1
Jacob Mangum-Farrar (Tr)	62	4	0	3	4
Phillip Dunnam	53	1	0	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aaron Casey	108	20	7	1	3
Lanell Carr (Tr)	33	9	5	2	2
Andre Carter (Tr)	49	11	2	3	3
Myles Jackson	25	2	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Phillip Dunnam	53	1	0	6
Jacob Mangum-Farrar (Tr)	62	4	3	4
Kobee Minor (Tr)	29	0	0	4

MD's OC Josh Gattis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Taulia Tagovailoa	290	437	66%	3377	25	11	7.7
Billy Edwards	10	30	33%	128	1	1	4.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roman Hemby	143	680	4	4.8	40
Colby McDonald	53	306	2	5.8	35
Antwain Littleton II	69	255	2	3.7	32
Billy Edwards	29	91	7	3.1	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jeshaun Jones	56	790	4	14.1	64
Tai Felton	48	723	6	15.1	57
Kaden Prather (Tr)	42	666	5	15.9	57
Corey Dyches	49	491	2	10.0	44

View Maryland's Full Roster

MD's DC Brian Williams (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Beau Brade	75	4	0	6
Ruben Hyppolite II	66	3	1	1
Dante Trader Jr.	53	1	0	7
Tarheeb Still	45	2	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kellan Wyatt	34	7	5	3	1
Caleb Wheatland	41	6	4	2	1
Tre Colbert	27	3	3	0	0
Jaishawn Barham	37	3	3	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jaquan Sheppard	31	3	1	8
Dante Trader Jr.	53	1	0	7
Beau Brade	75	4	0	6