Maryland at Ohio State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Maryland Terrapins at Ohio State Buckeyes(#1)

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Ohio State -17 (56.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Ohio State 37 - Maryland: 17 (Big Ten)

Terrapins (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (24 - 28)
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (26 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.9 - 5.1 (#46)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 13.7 MPH
OSU coming off BYE
MD is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Ohio State -19.5 (SP+ OSU -18)
Projected Score: MD: 16 - OSU: 36 (52)
OSU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
MD Travel: 331 miles

Buckeyes (11 - 2) (6 - 5 - 2)
Coach Ryan Day (48 - 6)
Avg Score : 31 - 11 (38 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MD Players
OSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Maryland's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Maryland vs Towson	-38.5	55.5	W 38 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/9	Maryland vs Charlotte	-24.5	50.0	W 38 - 20	O	N
Fri 9/15	Maryland vs Virginia	-16.5	48.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Maryland at Michigan State	-7.0	52.5	W 31 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Maryland vs Indiana	-14.5	50.0	W 44 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Maryland at Ohio State	+17.0	56.5	L 17 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/14	Maryland vs Illinois	-13.5	52.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Maryland at Northwestern	-14.0	48.5	L 27 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/4	Maryland vs Penn State	+8.5	50.5	L 15 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/11	Maryland at Nebraska	-1.5	41.5	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Maryland vs Michigan	+17.5	50.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Maryland at Rutgers	-2.0	45.5	W 42 - 24	O	Y
Sat 12/30	Maryland vs Auburn	+4.0	47.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule

Ohio State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Ohio State at Indiana	-30.0	59.0	W 23 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/9	Ohio State vs Youngstown State	-45.5	56.0	W 35 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/16	Ohio State vs Western Kentucky	-29.5	65.0	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Ohio State at Notre Dame	-3.0	55.5	W 17 - 14	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Ohio State vs Maryland	-17.0	56.5	W 37 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Ohio State at Purdue	-17.5	53.0	W 41 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Ohio State vs Penn State	-4.0	47.0	W 20 - 12	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Ohio State at Wisconsin	-14.5	48.0	W 24 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/4	Ohio State at Rutgers	-19.0	42.5	W 35 - 16	O	N
Sat 11/11	Ohio State vs Michigan State	-30.5	48.5	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Ohio State vs Minnesota	-27.5	51.5	W 37 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Ohio State at Michigan	+3.0	47.0	L 24 - 30	O	N
Fri 12/29	Ohio State vs Missouri	-4.0	51.0	L 3 - 14	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MD	#43 (.24)	44% (45)	29.7	42% (76)	3.07 (79)	108	45% (30)	279	4.15 (43)	#24 (.11)	41% (53)	22.5	44% (81)	39% (32)	3.62 (53)	56.5	1.6	1.8
OSU	#14 (.31)	47% (22)	30.5	45% (49)	3.18 (57)	139	49% (12)	269	4.21 (36)	#5 (.03)	36% (11)	11.2	35% (12)	37% (17)	2.69 (5)	44.5	1	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MD	#106 (.13)	41% (92)		41% (97)	2.89 (94)	111	41% (74)	276	3.62 (95)	#84 (.19)	43% (86)		42% (65)	44% (107)	4.34 (116)	58.6	1.7	1.4
OSU	#1 (.43)	52% (3)		48% (19)	3.37 (15)	137	56% (1)	211	4.6 (15)	#2 (-.01)	36% (7)		39% (26)	34% (8)	2.05 (1)	31.6	0.8	1.1

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MD Offense	13	29.7	26	44%	4.15	1.6	21	387	108	279	3.7	41%	58%	42%	45%	17%	.24
OSU Defense	13	11.2	8.7	35.8%	2.69	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	35%	37%	15%	.03

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MD Defense	13	22.5	22.6	40.7%	3.62	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	44%	39%	14%	.11
OSU Offense	13	30.5	38.3	46.6%	4.21	1	21	408	139	269	4.2	48%	51%	45%	49%	14%	.31

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Maryland	13	27:56	20.8	42%	68%	5.5	56.5	1.6	1.8	4.7	2.4	2	30.9
Ohio State	13	29:25	20.9	43%	56%	5.7	44.5	1	0.8	4.8	1.7	3	28.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MD Offense	13	41% (121)	42% (76)	29.4	108.4	3.7	20 (61)	.17 (54)	3.07 (79)	69% (101)	10% (77)	1.07 (32)
OSU Defense	13	51% (85)	35% (12)	-	-	-	-	.04 (18)	3.02 (52)	58% (7)	9% (103)	0.98 (56)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MD Defense	13	50% (60)	44% (81)	-	-	-	-	.12 (57)	3.17 (87)	73% (72)	8% (116)	0.84 (8)
OSU Offense	13	48% (83)	45% (49)	33.2	138.8	4.2	20 (61)	.15 (72)	3.18 (57)	78% (34)	7% (14)	0.84 (126)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MD Offense	13	58% (11)	45% (30)	23.6	36.7	278.9	7.6	11.8	27 (25)	13 (97)	.31 (56)	1.5 (98)	32% (65)	35% (28)	.32 (73)	6% (75)	2 (94)
OSU Defense	13	49% (62)	37% (17)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.04 (1)	1.4 (2)	33% (51)	26% (21)	.15 (6)	7% (47)	1.8 (13)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MD Defense	13	49% (57)	39% (32)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (3)	.19 (22)	1.5 (31)	29% (118)	30% (58)	.27 (45)	6% (65)	1.8 (12)
OSU Offense	13	51% (49)	49% (12)	19.6	30.8	269.1	8.8	13.7	26 (31)	7 (21)	.5 (10)	1.7 (44)	28% (12)	34% (33)	.48 (23)	7% (95)	2 (99)

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 6.66 #31
Maryland's Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Maryland's Defense Rating: 7.24 #40
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 19% #33
Maryland's 2023 Expected Record: 7.90 - 5.10
Maryland's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.7 #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Maryland: 6.66 Ohio State: 27.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Maryland: 9.2 Ohio State: 26.7

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 27.55 #3
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 25.07 #13
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -0.66 #6
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 85 #2
Ohio State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Ohio State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.7 #3
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #25
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.8 #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Maryland Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 22.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Maryland's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio State 36
Maryland 16

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Ohio State 26
Maryland 22

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
Ohio State 29
Maryland 19

Total Points: 48

Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.3
Defense: 11.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.7

Ohio State's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 2
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 2
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/07	Ohio State	37	Maryland	17	Ohio State -17	Ohio State	56.5	Under
2022	11/19	Maryland	30	Ohio State	43	Ohio State -26.5	Maryland	62.5	Over
2021	10/09	Ohio State	66	Maryland	17	Ohio State -22	Ohio State	71.5	Over
2019	11/09	Ohio State	73	Maryland	14	Ohio State -42.5	Ohio State	66.0	Over
2018	11/17	Maryland	51	Ohio State	52	Ohio State -13.5	Maryland	61.5	Over
2017	10/07	Ohio State	62	Maryland	14	Ohio State -30	Ohio State	61.0	Over
2016	11/12	Maryland	3	Ohio State	62	Ohio State -28	Ohio State	58.5	Over
2015	10/10	Ohio State	49	Maryland	28	Ohio State -28.5	Maryland	57.5	Over
2014	10/04	Maryland	24	Ohio State	52	Ohio State -8.5	Ohio State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ohio State	9	6	7 Overs
Maryland	0	3	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 4	6 - 3	4 - 1	2 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 5	3 - 6	2 - 2	1 - 4

(#31) MD at (#3) OSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MD	OSU
Power RatePwr	#31	#3
SP+SP+	#33	#3
Perf GradeGrade	#67	#7
OffenseOff	#63	#19
DefenseDef	#57	#7
Spec TeamsST	#64	#14
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#33	#2

Maryland on Offense


CategoryCat	MD Off	OSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#63	#7
SuccessSuc	#45	#11
ExplosiveExp	#38	#11
PPAPPA	#43	#5
PowerPwr	#48	#6
SP+SP+	#50	#3
Pts POPPO	#43	#5
HavocHav	#80	#85

Maryland Run Game


CategoryCat	MD Off	OSU Def
Run GameRun	#70	#13
Run SuccessRSuc	#76	#12
Run ExplRExp	#32	#56
PPAExp	#54	#18
Run BlockR Blk	#73	-
OL YdsOLY	#79	#52
Stuff RateStuff	#45	#86
TackleTak	-	#6

Maryland Pass Game


CategoryCat	MD Off	OSU Def
Pass GamePass	#45	#6
Pass SuccessPSuc	#30	#17
Pass ExplPExl	#98	#2
PPAExp	#56	#1
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#54	#12
F7 HavocF7	#77	#103
DB HavocDB	#75	#47

Ohio State on Offense


CategoryCat	OSU Off	MD Def
Perf GradePerf	#19	#57
SuccessSuc	#22	#53
ExplosiveExp	#78	#8
PPAPPA	#14	#24
PowerPwr	#13	#40
SP+SP+	#25	#20
Pts POPPO	#36	#53
HavocHav	#29	#109

Ohio State Run Game


CategoryCat	OSU Off	MD Def
Run GameRun	#30	#96
Run SuccessRSuc	#49	#81
Run ExplRExp	#126	#8
PPAExp	#72	#57
Run BlockR Blk	#48	-
OL YdsOLY	#57	#87
Stuff RateStuff	#52	#119
TackleTak	-	#32

Ohio State Pass Game


CategoryCat	OSU Off	MD Def
Pass GamePass	#39	#20
Pass SuccessPSuc	#12	#32
Pass ExplPExl	#44	#31
PPAExp	#10	#22
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#64	#77
F7 HavocF7	#14	#116
DB HavocDB	#95	#65

Program Comparison
OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'25 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

MD 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ohio Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 54° - Wind: 14 mph

Rematch from Week 6
Ohio State -17.0 (56.5)
Ohio State won vs Maryland this year (37-17)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Maryland in 2023 (37-17)
Ohio State beat Maryland in 2022 (43-30)

MD's OC Josh Gattis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Taulia Tagovailoa	290	437	66%	3377	25	11	7.7
Billy Edwards	10	30	33%	128	1	1	4.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roman Hemby	143	680	4	4.8	40
Colby McDonald	53	306	2	5.8	35
Antwain Littleton II	69	255	2	3.7	32
Billy Edwards	29	91	7	3.1	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jeshaun Jones	56	790	4	14.1	64
Tai Felton	48	723	6	15.1	57
Kaden Prather (Tr)	42	666	5	15.9	57
Corey Dyches	49	491	2	10.0	44

View Maryland's Full Roster

MD's DC Brian Williams (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Beau Brade	75	4	0	6
Ruben Hyppolite II	66	3	1	1
Dante Trader Jr.	53	1	0	7
Tarheeb Still	45	2	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kellan Wyatt	34	7	5	3	1
Caleb Wheatland	41	6	4	2	1
Tre Colbert	27	3	3	0	0
Jaishawn Barham	37	3	3	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jaquan Sheppard	31	3	1	8
Dante Trader Jr.	53	1	0	7
Beau Brade	75	4	0	6

OSU's OC Brian Hartline (Int) (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kyle McCord	229	348	66%	3170	24	6	9.1
Devin Brown	16	28	57%	217	2	1	7.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
TreVeyon Henderson	156	926	11	5.9	75
DeaMonte Trayanum	85	373	3	4.4	40
Xavier Johnson	28	190	0	6.8	27
Miyan Williams	49	158	3	3.2	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marvin Harrison Jr.	67	1211	14	18.1	75
Cade Stover	41	576	5	14.0	49
Emeka Egbuka	41	514	4	12.5	28
Julian Fleming	26	271	0	10.4	37

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Jim Knowles (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Steele Chambers	83	2	0	1	1
Tommy Eichenberg	80	3	1	4	0
Davison Igbinosun (Tr)	59	1	0	0	5
Cody Simon	57	2	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Sawyer	48	10	7	3	2
J.T. Tuimoloau	38	7	5	6	2
Tyleik Williams	54	10	3	1	5
Sonny Styles	53	5	2	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Denzel Burke	24	3	0	8
Josh Proctor	47	4	1	8
Davison Igbinosun (Tr)	59	1	0	5