Charlotte at Maryland - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 9th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Maryland -24.5 (50.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Maryland 38 - Charlotte: 20

49ers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Biff Poggi (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 14 - 36 (12 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#127)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MD 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Maryland -28.5 (SP+ MD -31)
Projected Score: CHAR: 11 - MD: 40 (51)
MD Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
CHAR Travel: 329 miles

Terrapins (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (24 - 28)
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (26 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.9 - 5.1 (#46)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CHAR Players
MD Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Charlotte's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Charlotte vs South Carolina State	-24.0	44.5	W 24 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/9	Charlotte at Maryland	+24.5	50.0	L 20 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Charlotte vs Georgia State	+6.5	52.0	L 25 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/23	Charlotte at Florida	+28.0	48.5	L 7 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Charlotte at SMU	+22.5	53.0	L 16 - 34	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Charlotte vs Navy	+3.5	44.0	L 0 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/21	Charlotte at East Carolina	+6.0	39.5	W 10 - 7	U	Y
Fri 10/27	Charlotte vs Florida Atlantic	+3.5	45.5	L 16 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	Charlotte at Tulsa	+4.5	47.5	W 33 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Charlotte vs Memphis	+9.5	51.5	L 38 - 44	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Charlotte vs Rice	-0.5	46.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/25	Charlotte at South Florida	+7.5	56.5	L 14 - 48	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule

Maryland's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Maryland vs Towson	-38.5	55.5	W 38 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/9	Maryland vs Charlotte	-24.5	50.0	W 38 - 20	O	N
Fri 9/15	Maryland vs Virginia	-16.5	48.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Maryland at Michigan State	-7.0	52.5	W 31 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Maryland vs Indiana	-14.5	50.0	W 44 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Maryland at Ohio State	+17.0	56.5	L 17 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/14	Maryland vs Illinois	-13.5	52.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Maryland at Northwestern	-14.0	48.5	L 27 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/4	Maryland vs Penn State	+8.5	50.5	L 15 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/11	Maryland at Nebraska	-1.5	41.5	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Maryland vs Michigan	+17.5	50.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Maryland at Rutgers	-2.0	45.5	W 42 - 24	O	Y
Sat 12/30	Maryland vs Auburn	+4.0	47.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CHAR	.16	47%	14.3	47%	3.19	116	49%	271	4.07	.35	49%	36.3	48%	51%	4.11	58.5	1.8	1.3
MD	.19	41%	23.5	42%	2.95	141	41%	260	4.19	.1	40%	26.5	41%	40%	3.44	71.1	1.2	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CHAR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MD		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CHAR Offense	12	14.3	11.6	47%	4.07	1.8	21	387	116	271	3.7	42%	56%	47%	49%	17%	.16
MD Defense	13	26.5	27.3	40.2%	3.44	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	41%	40%	15%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CHAR Defense	12	36.3	37.6	48.7%	4.11	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	56%	42%	48%	51%	13%	.35
MD Offense	13	23.5	26.3	41%	4.19	1.2	20	402	141	260	3.9	46%	53%	42%	41%	17%	.19

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Charlotte	12	29:32	21.2	40%	35%	6.7	58.5	1.8	1.3	4.9	1.4	0	30.7
Maryland	13	31:06	20.2	42%	61%	7.8	71.1	1.2	1.6	4.8	1.8	0	28.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CHAR Offense	12	42%	47%	30.9	115.8	3.7	13	.09	3.19	66%	10%	0.98
MD Defense	13	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.94	76%	9%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CHAR Defense	12	56%	48%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.29	73%	9%	1.07
MD Offense	13	46%	42%	36.1	141.3	3.9	23	.13	2.95	66%	12%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CHAR Offense	12	56%	49%	21.4	35.8	271.2	7.6	12.7	27	14	.31	1.5	29%	33%	.41	8%	2.2
MD Defense	13	50%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.16	1.4	32%	28%	.2	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CHAR Defense	12	42%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.56	1.7	27%	37%	.74	4%	2.6
MD Offense	13	53%	41%	22.6	34.3	260.2	7.6	11.5	21	8	.25	1.6	32%	25%	.23	5%	2.2

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -13.58 #128
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 6.97 #130
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
2023 Talent Rating: 554.96 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Charlotte's 2023 Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60
Charlotte's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.1 #130
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #128
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #113

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -13.58 Maryland: 10.43

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -22.1 Maryland: 9.2

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 10.43 #31
Maryland's Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Maryland's Defense Rating: 7.24 #40
2023 Talent Rating: 685.75 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 19 #33
Maryland's 2023 Expected Record: 7.90 - 5.10
Maryland's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.7 #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.6
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.6

Charlotte's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Maryland 40
Charlotte 11

Projected Total Points: 51

Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.3
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Maryland's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/09	Maryland	38	Charlotte	20	Maryland -24.5	Charlotte	50.0	Over
2022	09/10	Charlotte	21	Maryland	56	Maryland -28	Maryland	65.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Maryland	2	1	2 Overs
Charlotte	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#128) CHAR at (#31) MD

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CHAR	MD
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#128	#31
SP+SP+	#130	#33
Perf GradeGrade	#120	#67
OffenseOff	#124	#63
DefenseDef	#88	#57
Spec TeamsST	#29	#64
TalentTal	#79	#43
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#33

Charlotte Injury Report

Maryland Injury Report

Charlotte on Offense


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	MD Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#124	#57
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#130	#40
SP+SP+	#128	#20
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Charlotte Run Game


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	MD Def
Run GameRun	#111	#96
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#70	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#32

Charlotte Pass Game


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	MD Def
Pass GamePass	#128	#20
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#120	#77
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Maryland on Offense


CategoryCat	MD Off	CHAR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#63	#88
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#48	#77
SP+SP+	#50	#113
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Maryland Run Game


CategoryCat	MD Off	CHAR Def
Run GameRun	#70	#112
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#73	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#83

Maryland Pass Game


CategoryCat	MD Off	CHAR Def
Pass GamePass	#45	#18
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#54	#86
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MD 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Up to Average P4

CHAR 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Maryland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Maryland -24.5 (50.0)
Maryland won vs Charlotte this year (38-20)

Previous Matchups
Maryland beat Charlotte in 2023 (38-20)

CHAR's OC Mike Miller (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Trexler Ivey	112	203	55%	1263	4	10	6.2
Jalon Jones	67	109	62%	646	2	4	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalon Jones	110	476	4	4.3	58
Terron Kellman	82	328	1	4.0	18
Hahsaun Wilson	54	322	3	6.0	34
Shadrick Byrd	60	211	0	3.5	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jairus Mack	25	453	2	18.1	51
Colin Weber	34	362	0	10.6	45
Jack Hestera	28	349	3	12.5	37
Duane Thomas Jr.	24	244	0	10.2	51

View Charlotte's Full Roster

CHAR's DC Ryan Osborn (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Demetrius Knight II	89	6	2	0	4
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)	71	9	2	0	3
Dontae Balfour (Tr)	54	1	0	0	10
Eyabi Anoma	48	10	6	9	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eyabi Anoma	48	10	6	9	1
Demon Clowney	31	4	3	4	0
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)	71	9	2	0	3
Jaren Handy	27	6	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Dontae Balfour (Tr)	54	1	0	10
Demetrius Knight II	89	6	2	4
Dontez Fagan	21	3	0	4

MD's OC Josh Gattis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Taulia Tagovailoa	290	437	66%	3377	25	11	7.7
Billy Edwards	10	30	33%	128	1	1	4.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roman Hemby	143	680	4	4.8	40
Colby McDonald	53	306	2	5.8	35
Antwain Littleton II	69	255	2	3.7	32
Billy Edwards	29	91	7	3.1	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jeshaun Jones	56	790	4	14.1	64
Tai Felton	48	723	6	15.1	57
Kaden Prather (Tr)	42	666	5	15.9	57
Corey Dyches	49	491	2	10.0	44

View Maryland's Full Roster

MD's DC Brian Williams (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Beau Brade	75	4	0	6
Ruben Hyppolite II	66	3	1	1
Dante Trader Jr.	53	1	0	7
Tarheeb Still	45	2	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kellan Wyatt	34	7	5	3	1
Caleb Wheatland	41	6	4	2	1
Tre Colbert	27	3	3	0	0
Jaishawn Barham	37	3	3	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jaquan Sheppard	31	3	1	8
Dante Trader Jr.	53	1	0	7
Beau Brade	75	4	0	6