Maryland at Rutgers - 2023 Matchup Preview

Maryland Terrapins at Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Saturday, November 25th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Maryland -2 (45.5) (-130) Open: -2.0 | 45.5
Maryland 42 - Rutgers: 24 (Big Ten)

Terrapins (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (24 - 28)
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (26 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.9 - 5.1 (#46)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

RUTG is playing their 4th straight game
MD is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Maryland -4.5 (SP+ MD -7)
Projected Score: MD: 25 - RUTG: 21 (46)
MD Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
MD Travel: 170 miles

Scarlet Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 4 - 2)
Coach Greg Schiano (15 - 22)
Avg Score : 23 - 21 (31 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 7.2 (#81)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MD Players
RUTG Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Maryland's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Maryland vs Towson	-38.5	55.5	W 38 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/9	Maryland vs Charlotte	-24.5	50.0	W 38 - 20	O	N
Fri 9/15	Maryland vs Virginia	-16.5	48.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Maryland at Michigan State	-7.0	52.5	W 31 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Maryland vs Indiana	-14.5	50.0	W 44 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Maryland at Ohio State	+17.0	56.5	L 17 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/14	Maryland vs Illinois	-13.5	52.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Maryland at Northwestern	-14.0	48.5	L 27 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/4	Maryland vs Penn State	+8.5	50.5	L 15 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/11	Maryland at Nebraska	-1.5	41.5	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Maryland vs Michigan	+17.5	50.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Maryland at Rutgers	-2.0	45.5	W 42 - 24	O	Y
Sat 12/30	Maryland vs Auburn	+4.0	47.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule

Rutgers's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	Rutgers vs Northwestern	-5.0	39.0	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Rutgers vs Temple	-7.5	43.5	W 36 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Rutgers vs Virginia Tech	-6.5	37.5	W 35 - 16	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Rutgers at Michigan	+24.0	44.5	L 7 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Rutgers vs Wagner	-46.0	52.5	W 52 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Rutgers at Wisconsin	+12.5	44.0	L 13 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Rutgers vs Michigan State	-4.0	38.5	W 27 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/21	Rutgers at Indiana	-6.0	39.5	W 31 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Rutgers vs Ohio State	+19.0	42.5	L 16 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Rutgers at Iowa	-2.5	27.5	L 0 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/18	Rutgers at Penn State	+19.5	39.5	L 6 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/25	Rutgers vs Maryland	+2.0	45.5	L 24 - 42	O	N
Thu 12/28	Rutgers vs Miami	-3.0	41.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MD	#43 (.24)	44% (45)	29.7	42% (76)	3.07 (79)	108	45% (30)	279	4.15 (43)	#24 (.11)	41% (53)	22.5	44% (81)	39% (32)	3.62 (53)	56.5	1.6	1.8
RUTG	#107 (.12)	40% (91)	23.2	43% (65)	3.03 (84)	169	35% (118)	138	3.95 (62)	#43 (.14)	45% (104)	21.2	48% (123)	42% (69)	3.48 (44)	45.2	1	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MD	#106 (.13)	41% (92)		41% (97)	2.89 (94)	111	41% (74)	276	3.62 (95)	#84 (.19)	43% (86)		42% (65)	44% (107)	4.34 (116)	58.6	1.7	1.4
RUTG	#84 (.16)	43% (67)		44% (69)	2.92 (88)	164	42% (63)	189	4.19 (44)	#106 (.23)	43% (85)		48% (113)	40% (59)	4.03 (92)	33.8	0.6	0.9

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MD Offense	13	29.7	26	44%	4.15	1.6	21	387	108	279	3.7	41%	58%	42%	45%	17%	.24
RUTG Defense	13	21.2	19.1	44.6%	3.48	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	48%	42%	15%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MD Defense	13	22.5	22.6	40.7%	3.62	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	44%	39%	14%	.11
RUTG Offense	13	23.2	30.6	40.1%	3.95	1	17	306	169	138	4.2	62%	38%	43%	35%	12%	.12

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Maryland	13	27:56	20.8	42%	68%	5.5	56.5	1.6	1.8	4.7	2.4	2	30.9
Rutgers	13	31:48	17.5	37%	64%	5.1	45.2	1	1.4	3.8	1.5	1	30

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MD Offense	13	41% (121)	42% (76)	29.4	108.4	3.7	20 (61)	.17 (54)	3.07 (79)	69% (101)	10% (77)	1.07 (32)
RUTG Defense	13	52% (99)	48% (123)	-	-	-	-	.12 (54)	3.2 (91)	71% (53)	8% (122)	0.77 (4)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MD Defense	13	50% (60)	44% (81)	-	-	-	-	.12 (57)	3.17 (87)	73% (72)	8% (116)	0.84 (8)
RUTG Offense	13	62% (7)	43% (65)	39.8	168.8	4.2	24 (41)	.16 (64)	3.03 (84)	77% (38)	7% (11)	0.95 (94)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MD Offense	13	58% (11)	45% (30)	23.6	36.7	278.9	7.6	11.8	27 (25)	13 (97)	.31 (56)	1.5 (98)	32% (65)	35% (28)	.32 (73)	6% (75)	2 (94)
RUTG Defense	13	47% (33)	42% (69)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.22 (40)	1.4 (5)	30% (111)	30% (65)	.17 (8)	6% (55)	1.7 (5)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MD Defense	13	49% (57)	39% (32)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (3)	.19 (22)	1.5 (31)	29% (118)	30% (58)	.27 (45)	6% (65)	1.8 (12)
RUTG Offense	13	38% (126)	35% (118)	10.9	22.6	137.5	6.1	12.6	10 (120)	8 (30)	.07 (126)	1.7 (46)	30% (42)	33% (52)	.34 (64)	5% (19)	1.8 (127)

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 6.66 #31
Maryland's Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Maryland's Defense Rating: 7.24 #40
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 19% #33
Maryland's 2023 Expected Record: 7.90 - 5.10
Maryland's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.7 #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Maryland: 6.66 Rutgers: 3.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Maryland: 9.2 Rutgers: 2.3

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: 3.5 #64
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 13.71 #92
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Rutgers's 2023 Expected Record: 5.80 - 7.20
Rutgers's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #59
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #98
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Maryland Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 22.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Maryland's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Maryland 25
Rutgers 21

Total Points: 46

Based on Last 4 Games
Maryland 25
Rutgers 21

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Rutgers 25
Maryland 24

Total Points: 49

Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.6
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.1

Rutgers's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 2
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 2
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/08	Rutgers	35	Maryland	20	Rutgers -1.5	Rutgers	56.5	Under
2024	11/16	Maryland	17	Rutgers	31	Maryland -4.5	Rutgers	54.5	Under
2023	11/25	Rutgers	24	Maryland	42	Maryland -2	Maryland	45.5	Over
2022	11/26	Maryland	37	Rutgers	0	Maryland -14.5	Maryland	48.5	Under
2021	11/27	Rutgers	16	Maryland	40	Rutgers -2	Maryland	53.0	Over
2020	12/12	Maryland	24	Rutgers	27	Maryland -3	Rutgers	54.0	Under
2019	10/05	Rutgers	7	Maryland	48	Maryland -14	Maryland	55.5	Under
2018	10/13	Maryland	34	Rutgers	7	Maryland -23.5	Maryland	51.0	Under
2017	11/04	Rutgers	31	Maryland	24	Maryland -4.5	Rutgers	50.5	Over
2016	11/26	Maryland	31	Rutgers	13	Maryland -2	Maryland	53.5	Under
2015	11/28	Rutgers	41	Maryland	46	Maryland -2	Maryland	55.5	Over
2014	11/29	Maryland	38	Rutgers	41	Maryland -9	Rutgers	0
2009	09/26	Maryland	13	Rutgers	34
2007	09/29	Rutgers	24	Maryland	34

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Rutgers	6	5	4 Overs
Maryland	8	7	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 9	5 - 7	4 - 4	1 - 3
Road Teams	9 - 5	7 - 5	3 - 1	4 - 4

(#31) MD at (#64) RUTG

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MD	RUTG
Power RatePwr	#31	#64
SP+SP+	#33	#59
Perf GradeGrade	#67	#50
OffenseOff	#63	#61
DefenseDef	#57	#37
Spec TeamsST	#64	#115
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#33	#53

Maryland Injury Report

Rutgers Injury Report

Maryland on Offense


CategoryCat	MD Off	RUTG Def
Perf GradePerf	#63	#37
SuccessSuc	#45	#104
ExplosiveExp	#38	#1
PPAPPA	#43	#43
PowerPwr	#48	#59
SP+SP+	#50	#21
Pts POPPO	#43	#44
HavocHav	#80	#107

Maryland Run Game


CategoryCat	MD Off	RUTG Def
Run GameRun	#70	#65
Run SuccessRSuc	#76	#123
Run ExplRExp	#32	#4
PPAExp	#54	#54
Run BlockR Blk	#73	-
OL YdsOLY	#79	#91
Stuff RateStuff	#45	#120
TackleTak	-	#4

Maryland Pass Game


CategoryCat	MD Off	RUTG Def
Pass GamePass	#45	#29
Pass SuccessPSuc	#30	#69
Pass ExplPExl	#98	#5
PPAExp	#56	#40
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#54	#55
F7 HavocF7	#77	#122
DB HavocDB	#75	#55

Rutgers on Offense


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	MD Def
Perf GradePerf	#61	#57
SuccessSuc	#91	#53
ExplosiveExp	#116	#8
PPAPPA	#107	#24
PowerPwr	#92	#40
SP+SP+	#98	#20
Pts POPPO	#62	#53
HavocHav	#10	#109

Rutgers Run Game


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	MD Def
Run GameRun	#33	#96
Run SuccessRSuc	#65	#81
Run ExplRExp	#94	#8
PPAExp	#64	#57
Run BlockR Blk	#52	-
OL YdsOLY	#84	#87
Stuff RateStuff	#66	#119
TackleTak	-	#32

Rutgers Pass Game


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	MD Def
Pass GamePass	#94	#20
Pass SuccessPSuc	#118	#32
Pass ExplPExl	#46	#31
PPAExp	#126	#22
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#108	#77
F7 HavocF7	#11	#116
DB HavocDB	#19	#65

Program Comparison
RUTG 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

MD 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in SHI Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 39°

Rematch from Week 13
Maryland 2.0 (45.5)
Maryland won at Rutgers this year (42-24)

Previous Matchups
Rutgers beat Maryland last year (31-17)
Maryland beat Rutgers in 2023 (42-24)
Maryland beat Rutgers in 2022 (37-0)

MD's OC Josh Gattis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Taulia Tagovailoa	290	437	66%	3377	25	11	7.7
Billy Edwards	10	30	33%	128	1	1	4.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roman Hemby	143	680	4	4.8	40
Colby McDonald	53	306	2	5.8	35
Antwain Littleton II	69	255	2	3.7	32
Billy Edwards	29	91	7	3.1	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jeshaun Jones	56	790	4	14.1	64
Tai Felton	48	723	6	15.1	57
Kaden Prather (Tr)	42	666	5	15.9	57
Corey Dyches	49	491	2	10.0	44

View Maryland's Full Roster

MD's DC Brian Williams (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Beau Brade	75	4	0	6
Ruben Hyppolite II	66	3	1	1
Dante Trader Jr.	53	1	0	7
Tarheeb Still	45	2	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kellan Wyatt	34	7	5	3	1
Caleb Wheatland	41	6	4	2	1
Tre Colbert	27	3	3	0	0
Jaishawn Barham	37	3	3	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jaquan Sheppard	31	3	1	8
Dante Trader Jr.	53	1	0	7
Beau Brade	75	4	0	6

RUTG's OC Kirk Ciarrocca (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Gavin Wimsatt	138	289	48%	1735	9	8	6.0
Evan Simon	2	3	67%	30	1	0	10.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kyle Monangai	242	1262	8	5.2	55
Gavin Wimsatt	131	497	11	3.8	80
Samuel Brown V	63	217	2	3.4	11
Ja'shon Benjamin	45	172	1	3.8	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Christian Dremel	35	463	3	13.2	69
JaQuae Jackson (Tr)	22	361	1	16.4	61
Isaiah Washington	26	326	1	12.5	42
Ian Strong	16	230	2	14.4	29

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC Joe Harasymiak (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deion Jennings	94	5	0	0	4
Mohamed Toure	92	10	5	4	2
Michael Dixon (Tr)	76	2	0	1	5
Desmond Igbinosun	64	7	1	3	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mohamed Toure	92	10	5	4	2
Wesley Bailey	25	5	4	5	3
Tyreem Powell	52	3	3	2	2
Aaron Lewis	49	5	3	10	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Robert Longerbeam	39	1	1	8
Eric Rogers (Tr)	18	0	0	6
Max Melton	32	4	1	6