Michigan at Oklahoma - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 6th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Oklahoma -3 (47.5) (-148) Open: -3.0 | 47.5
Oklahoma 24 - Michigan: 13

Wolverines (9 - 4) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Sherrone Moore (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (26 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 3.5 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)

OKLA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Oklahoma -7 (SP+ OKLA -6)
Projected Score: MICH: 20 - OKLA: 27 (46)
OKLA Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
MICH Travel: 883 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Sooners (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (22 - 16)
Avg Score : 26 - 16 (26 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 2.5 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 9) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)

Matchup
Schedules
MICH Players
OKLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Michigan's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Michigan vs New Mexico	-36.5	52.5	W 34 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/6	Michigan at Oklahoma	+3.0	47.5	L 13 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/13	Michigan vs Central Michigan	-27.5	42.5	W 63 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Michigan at Nebraska	-1.5	47.5	W 30 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Michigan vs Wisconsin	-17.5	42.5	W 24 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/11	Michigan at USC	+3.0	58.5	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/18	Michigan vs Washington	-4.5	50.5	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/25	Michigan at Michigan State	-13.5	47.5	W 31 - 20	O	N
Sat 11/1	Michigan vs Purdue	-21.0	48.5	W 21 - 16	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Michigan vs Northwestern	-10.0	41.5	W 24 - 22	O	N
Sat 11/22	Michigan at Maryland	-14.0	46.5	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/29	Michigan vs Ohio State	+9.5	43.5	L 9 - 27	U	N
Wed 12/31	Michigan vs Texas	+7.0	50.0	L 27 - 41	O	N

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule

Oklahoma's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Oklahoma vs Illinois State	-39.5	61.0	W 35 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/6	Oklahoma vs Michigan	-3.0	47.5	W 24 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/13	Oklahoma at Temple	-23.5	50.5	W 42 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Oklahoma vs Auburn	-6.5	47.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Oklahoma vs Kent State	-46.5	53.5	W 44 - 0	U	N
Sat 10/11	Oklahoma vs Texas	+2.5	44.5	L 6 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/18	Oklahoma at South Carolina	-4.5	42.5	W 26 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/25	Oklahoma vs Ole Miss	-5.5	52.5	L 26 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/1	Oklahoma at Tennessee	+3.0	55.5	W 33 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Oklahoma at Alabama	+6.5	45.5	W 23 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/22	Oklahoma vs Missouri	-4.5	42.5	W 17 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Oklahoma vs LSU	-11.5	36.5	W 17 - 13	U	N
Fri 12/19	Oklahoma vs Alabama	-1.5	42.0	L 24 - 34	O	N

Total: Elite: 9, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 9, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MICH	#113 (.1)	40% (102)	27.5	41% (101)	3 (80)	149	40% (92)	123	4.18 (45)	#40 (.13)	38% (28)	20.4	38% (18)	39% (42)	3.48 (36)	36.8	1.5	1.2
OKLA	#123 (.06)	39% (113)	26.2	43% (85)	2.99 (81)	144	35% (122)	155	3.39 (112)	#12 (.07)	36% (5)	15.5	33% (2)	39% (55)	3.47 (34)	42	1.5	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MICH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OKLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MICH Offense	13	27.5	26.4	40.1%	4.18	1.5	15	272	149	123	4.5	60%	39%	41%	40%	15%	.1
OKLA Defense	13	15.5	15	35.7%	3.47	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	33%	39%	18%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MICH Defense	13	20.4	24.4	38.3%	3.48	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	38%	39%	19%	.13
OKLA Offense	13	26.2	26.4	39%	3.39	1.5	17	298	144	155	3.9	53%	46%	43%	35%	18%	.06

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Michigan	13	28:57	15.2	43%	71%	3.7	36.8	1.5	1.2	5.6	2.4	2	30
Oklahoma	13	26:40	16.9	35%	52%	4.8	42	1.5	1.6	7.1	2.7	2	29.6

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MICH Offense	13	60% (9)	41% (101)	33.3	148.5	4.5	18 (78)	.1 (86)	3 (80)	84% (7)	10% (73)	0.91 (91)
OKLA Defense	13	53% (100)	33% (2)	-	-	-	-	-.05 (1)	2.56 (11)	69% (43)	13% (12)	0.88 (25)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MICH Defense	13	42% (1)	38% (18)	-	-	-	-	.04 (24)	2.72 (24)	82% (120)	11% (50)	0.85 (11)
OKLA Offense	13	53% (45)	43% (85)	36.8	143.6	3.9	16 (90)	.07 (100)	2.99 (81)	75% (58)	14% (129)	0.98 (63)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MICH Offense	13	39% (126)	40% (92)	13.8	22.5	123.3	5.5	9	11 (122)	12 (85)	.12 (119)	1.4 (131)	33% (90)	30% (92)	.26 (96)	5% (51)	1.7 (133)
OKLA Defense	13	46% (34)	39% (55)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.22 (61)	1.6 (83)	37% (6)	28% (33)	.25 (43)	5% (114)	1.9 (36)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MICH Defense	13	57% (134)	39% (42)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.21 (56)	1.6 (71)	36% (12)	28% (28)	.27 (54)	8% (10)	2.2 (109)
OKLA Offense	13	46% (94)	35% (122)	15.8	25.3	154.7	6.1	9.8	14 (108)	6 (10)	.07 (127)	1.5 (105)	33% (102)	27% (109)	.25 (99)	4% (9)	2.2 (24)

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 15.18 #21
Michigan's Offense Rating: 16.26 #52
Michigan's Defense Rating: 1.08 #13
2025 Talent Rating: 1042.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 50% #16
Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 3.5
Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.4 #25
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #48
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.0 #15

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 15.18 Oklahoma: 20.87

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 12.4 Oklahoma: 18.3

Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 20.87 #11
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 17.21 #44
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: -1.23 #7
2025 Talent Rating: 1034.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51 #15
Oklahoma's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 2.5
Oklahoma's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.3 #14
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #51
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.9 #4

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.4
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Oklahoma 27
Michigan 20

Projected Total Points: 46

Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Oklahoma's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/06	Oklahoma	24	Michigan	13	Oklahoma -3	Oklahoma	47.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma	1	1	0 Overs
Michigan	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#21) MICH at (#11) OKLA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MICH	OKLA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#21	#11
SP+SP+	#25	#14
Perf GradeGrade	#32	#45
OffenseOff	#47	#98
DefenseDef	#31	#15
Spec TeamsST	#3	#48
TalentTal	#8	#10
Blue ChipsBC%	#16	#15

Michigan Notes(12/10) Sherrone Moore fired for cause. Messy situation
(11/18) RB Justice Haynes out regular season (foot inj)
(11/16) Keep eking by B1G bottom feeders. Overrated
(10/18) Dominated UW up front both sides, Def was great
(10/12) Off is terrible, will not score vs Def w/ a pulse
(9/21) Skill positions on outside both Off & Def are bad
(9/20) Huge win at Neb, Run Off great, Run Def better
(9/14) Underwood unleashed, Run Off awful so far
(9/8) Biff Poggi will be acting HC vs CMU/Neb
(9/8) HC Moore a minus for lack of aggressiveness
(9/7) OL is not as good as thought. WR are awful
(8/24) QB1 Fr. Bryce Underwood is starting QB
Michigan Injury Report

Oklahoma Notes(11/16) Def, Turnovers, clutch play. Off isn't good
(10/19) RBs had 159 yds vs SC, better. F7 best in SEC
(10/12) RBs avg 71 yards pg, 127th in CFB, next to last P4
(9/23) QB Mateer had surgery on his thumb, out weeks
(9/21) DL is top 3 in CFB. 10 sacks vs Auburn, wreckers
(9/20) Run Off bad, but Run Def great vs AU. Big win
(9/7) OL help up well vs Mich, Mateer is dynamic
(7/21) DL is loaded at DT & DE, tops in SEC
(5/11) OL has top 10 exp, 70% returning, 30% via portal
(4/30) RBs bad LY. Have talent, Ott (Cal) huge add
(4/14) WR rebuild. Burks + 2 portals. Much improved
(4/4) CB Eli Bowen just outside top 10 CB via PFF
Oklahoma Injury Report

Michigan on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	MICH Off	OKLA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#47	#15
SuccessSuc	#102	#5
ExplosiveExp	#133	#63
PPAPPA	#113	#12
PowerPwr	#52	#7
SP+SP+	#48	#4
Pts POPPO	#45	#34
HavocHav	#58	#43

Michigan Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	MICH Off	OKLA Def
Run GameRun	#16	#10
Run SuccessRSuc	#101	#2
Run ExplRExp	#91	#25
PPAExp	#86	#1
Run BlockR Blk	#29	-
OL YdsOLY	#80	#11
Stuff RateStuff	#27	#25
TackleTak	-	#52

Michigan Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	MICH Off	OKLA Def
Pass GamePass	#92	#32
Pass SuccessPSuc	#92	#55
Pass ExplPExl	#131	#83
PPAExp	#119	#61
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#74	#12
F7 HavocF7	#73	#12
DB HavocDB	#51	#114

Oklahoma on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	OKLA Off	MICH Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#98	#31
SuccessSuc	#113	#28
ExplosiveExp	#112	#73
PPAPPA	#123	#40
PowerPwr	#44	#13
SP+SP+	#51	#15
Pts POPPO	#112	#36
HavocHav	#100	#23

Oklahoma Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	OKLA Off	MICH Def
Run GameRun	#114	#19
Run SuccessRSuc	#85	#18
Run ExplRExp	#63	#11
PPAExp	#100	#24
Run BlockR Blk	#100	-
OL YdsOLY	#81	#24
Stuff RateStuff	#72	#61
TackleTak	-	#32

Oklahoma Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	OKLA Off	MICH Def
Pass GamePass	#97	#66
Pass SuccessPSuc	#122	#42
Pass ExplPExl	#105	#71
PPAExp	#127	#56
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#12	#30
F7 HavocF7	#129	#50
DB HavocDB	#9	#10

Program Comparison
OKLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Oklahoma -3.0 (47.5)
Oklahoma won vs Michigan this year (24-13)

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma beat Michigan last year (24-13)

MICH's OC Chip Lindsey (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bryce Underwood	202	335	60%	2428	11	9	7.2
Jadyn Davis	0	2	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Marshall	150	932	10	6.2	65
Justice Haynes (Tr)	121	857	10	7.1	75
Bryce Underwood	88	392	6	4.5	37
Bryson Kuzdzal	76	326	4	4.3	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Andrew Marsh	45	651	4	14.5	69
Donaven McCulley (Tr)	39	588	3	15.1	44
Marlin Klein	24	248	1	10.3	27
Semaj Morgan	20	223	1	11.2	32

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC Don Martindale (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jimmy Rolder	73	7	2	2	1
Ernest Hausmann	68	6	1	4	1
TJ Metcalf (Tr)	58	3	0	0	4
Brandyn Hillman	49	3	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Derrick Moore	29	10	10	3	3
Jaishawn Barham	32	10	4	5	4
Jimmy Rolder	73	7	2	2	1
Cole Sullivan	44	5	2	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Zeke Berry	33	0	0	10
Jyaire Hill	36	3	1	5
TJ Metcalf (Tr)	58	3	0	4

OKLA's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
John Mateer (Tr)	247	397	62%	2885	14	11	7.3
Michael Hawkins Jr.	15	27	56%	167	3	0	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tory Blaylock	120	482	4	4.0	25
John Mateer (Tr)	149	431	8	2.9	51
Xavier Robinson	83	421	4	5.1	65
Jadyn Ott	21	68	0	3.2	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Isaiah Sategna (Tr)	65	949	8	14.6	87
Deion Burks	57	620	4	10.9	45
Jaren Kanak	44	533	0	12.1	48
Keontez Lewis (Tr)	21	243	2	11.6	28

View Oklahoma's Full Roster

OKLA's DC Zac Alley (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kip Lewis	76	11	4	4	4
Owen Heinecke	74	12	3	2	4
Robert Spears-Jennings	59	2	0	0	2
Kendal Daniels (Tr)	54	10	1	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Taylor Wein	39	15	7	6	1
R Mason Thomas	26	10	7	3	1
Kip Lewis	76	11	4	4	4
Gracen Halton	33	7	4	7	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Courtland Guillory	41	1	0	1	7
Peyton Bowen	46	1	0	1	7
Kip Lewis	76	11	4	4	4