Arizona at Oklahoma - 2023 Matchup Preview

Thursday, December 28th 2023 (9:15 PM EST)
Arizona -2.5 (59.5) (-145) Open: -3.5 | 62.0
Arizona 38 - Oklahoma: 24 (Valero Alamo Bowl)

Wildcats (10 - 3) (11 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (8 - 19)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (29 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Oklahoma -6.5 (SP+ OKLA -4)
Projected Score: ARIZ: 23 - OKLA: 30 (53)
ARIZ Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ARIZ Travel: 765 miles, 1 hrs behind

Sooners (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 26 - 16 (26 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.9 - 2.1 (#5)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
ARIZ Players
OKLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arizona's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Arizona vs Northern Arizona	-28.5	61.0	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Arizona at Mississippi State	+9.0	60.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Arizona vs UTEP	-18.0	57.0	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Arizona at Stanford	-13.0	60.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/30	Arizona vs Washington	+20.0	66.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Arizona at USC	+21.0	69.5	L 41 - 43	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Arizona at Washington State	+7.5	57.5	W 44 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Arizona vs Oregon State	+3.0	57.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Arizona vs UCLA	+2.5	50.0	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Arizona at Colorado	-6.0	55.5	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/18	Arizona vs Utah	-2.5	45.5	W 42 - 18	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Arizona at Arizona State	-12.5	48.5	W 59 - 23	O	Y
Thu 12/28	Arizona vs Oklahoma	-2.5	59.5	W 38 - 24	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule

Oklahoma's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Oklahoma vs Arkansas State	-36.0	57.5	W 73 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Oklahoma vs SMU	-16.5	68.5	W 28 - 11	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Oklahoma at Tulsa	-28.0	58.5	W 66 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Oklahoma at Cincinnati	-13.0	58.0	W 20 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Oklahoma vs Iowa State	-19.5	48.5	W 50 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Oklahoma vs Texas	+4.0	62.0	W 34 - 30	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Oklahoma vs UCF	-17.0	67.5	W 31 - 29	U	N
Sat 10/28	Oklahoma at Kansas	-7.0	66.5	L 33 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	Oklahoma at Oklahoma State	-6.0	61.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/11	Oklahoma vs West Virginia	-13.5	59.5	W 59 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Oklahoma at BYU	-24.5	58.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Fri 11/24	Oklahoma vs TCU	-12.5	66.5	W 69 - 45	O	Y
Thu 12/28	Oklahoma vs Arizona	+2.5	59.5	L 24 - 38	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARIZ	.29	48%	31.5	53%	3.33	144	45%	318	3.89	.36	53%	19.3	57%	51%	4.48	50	1.8	2.3
OKLA	.27	47%	26.2	50%	3.38	220	45%	255	3.95	.23	44%	15.5	44%	44%	4.06	50.2	1.2	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OKLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARIZ Offense	12	31.5	29.4	47.7%	3.89	1.8	24	462	144	318	4.9	41%	57%	53%	45%	16%	.29
OKLA Defense	13	15.5	15	43.5%	4.06	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	44%	44%	18%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARIZ Defense	12	19.3	23.6	53.4%	4.48	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	57%	51%	13%	.36
OKLA Offense	13	26.2	26.4	47.1%	3.95	1.2	24	475	220	255	4.9	53%	46%	50%	45%	14%	.27

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arizona	12	28:03	24.1	42%	43%	5.4	50	1.8	2.3	4.6	1.3	0	27.5
Oklahoma	13	26:19	23.8	41%	41%	5.7	50.2	1.2	1.9	7.8	2.2	0	27.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARIZ Offense	12	41%	53%	29.3	144	4.9	19	.22	3.33	67%	9%	0.96
OKLA Defense	13	47%	44%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.12	68%	11%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARIZ Defense	12	50%	57%	-	-	-	-	.34	3.63	79%	9%	1
OKLA Offense	13	53%	50%	44.6	219.9	4.9	28	.26	3.38	76%	9%	1.04

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARIZ Offense	12	57%	45%	23.6	38.3	318.4	8.3	13.5	26	13	.39	1.8	29%	36%	.49	7%	2.3
OKLA Defense	13	52%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.3	1.6	32%	32%	.35	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARIZ Defense	12	50%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.4	1.4	25%	39%	.56	5%	2
OKLA Offense	13	46%	45%	19.3	31.3	254.6	8.1	13.2	27	8	.31	1.6	30%	31%	.31	5%	2

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 10.35 #20
Arizona's Offense Rating: 26.94 #6
Arizona's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 687.01 #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Arizona's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Arizona's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #20
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #15
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 10.35 Oklahoma: 17.515

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 12.1 Oklahoma: 16.4

Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 17.515 #7
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 26.78 #8
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: 3.74 #19
2023 Talent Rating: 884.97 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #5
Oklahoma's 2023 Expected Record: 10.90 - 2.10
Oklahoma's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.4 #13
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #7
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Arizona Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Arizona's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Oklahoma 30
Arizona 23

Projected Total Points: 53

Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Oklahoma's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/28	Oklahoma	24	Arizona	38	Arizona -2.5	Arizona	59.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma	0	0	1 Overs
Arizona	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

Arizona Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Alamo Bowl	Arizona vs Oklahoma	-2.5	59.5	W 38 - 24
2017	Farms Bowl	Arizona vs Purdue	-3.0	64.5	L 35 - 38

Oklahoma Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Alamo Bowl	Oklahoma vs Arizona	+2.5	59.5	L 24 - 38
2022	It Bowl	Oklahoma vs Florida State	+10.5	67.0	L 32 - 35
2021	Alamo Bowl	Oklahoma vs Oregon	-7.0	64.0	W 47 - 32
2020	Cotton Bowl	Oklahoma vs Florida	+3.0	72.0	W 55 - 20
2019	CFP Semifinal	Oklahoma vs LSU	+13.0	75.0	L 28 - 63
2018	CFP Semifinal	Oklahoma vs Alabama	+14.5	81.5	L 34 - 45
2017	CFP Semifinal	Oklahoma vs Georgia	+2.5	62.5	L 48 - 54

(#20) ARIZ at (#7) OKLA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ARIZ	OKLA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#20	#7
SP+SP+	#20	#13
Perf GradeGrade	#16	#25
OffenseOff	#8	#20
DefenseDef	#56	#40
Spec TeamsST	#63	#21
TalentTal	#42	#9
Blue ChipsBC%	#51	#5

Arizona Injury Report

Oklahoma Injury Report

Arizona on Offense


CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	OKLA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#8	#40
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#6	#19
SP+SP+	#15	#33
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arizona Run Game


CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	OKLA Def
Run GameRun	#8	#30
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#76	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#67

Arizona Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	OKLA Def
Pass GamePass	#14	#70
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#4	#58
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Oklahoma on Offense


CategoryCat	OKLA Off	ARIZ Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#20	#56
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#8	#53
SP+SP+	#7	#41
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oklahoma Run Game


CategoryCat	OKLA Off	ARIZ Def
Run GameRun	#44	#46
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#100	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#51

Oklahoma Pass Game


CategoryCat	OKLA Off	ARIZ Def
Pass GamePass	#7	#59
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#43	#81
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
OKLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'23 Profile: Remains CFP Hopefuls

ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'23 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alamodome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Arizona 2.5 (59.5)
Arizona won at Oklahoma this year (38-24)

Previous Matchups
Arizona beat Oklahoma in 2023 (38-24)

ARIZ's OC Brennan Carroll (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Noah Fifita	241	333	72%	2869	25	6	8.6
Jayden de Laura	89	128	70%	1120	10	5	8.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jonah Coleman	128	871	5	6.8	59
D.J. Williams	85	372	5	4.4	19
Michael Wiley	70	311	3	4.4	24
Rayshon Luke	37	153	1	4.1	40

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tetairoa Mcmillan	90	1402	10	15.6	57
Jacob Cowing	89	839	13	9.4	57
Tanner McLachlan	45	528	4	11.7	36
Michael Wiley	28	306	5	10.9	40

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Johnny Nansen (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Manu	104	10	7	10	2
Dalton Johnson	86	6	2	1	1
Gunner Maldonado	79	1	0	0	1
Ephesians Prysock	64	1	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Taylor Upshaw (Tr)	31	12	9	3	1
Jacob Manu	104	10	7	10	2
Isaiah Ward	30	5	4	7	1
Russell Davis II	17	6	4	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Tacario Davis	25	1	15
Ephesians Prysock	64	1	7
Treydan Stukes	55	4	7

OKLA's OC Jeff Lebby (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dillon Gabriel	266	384	69%	3660	30	6	9.5
Jackson Arnold	44	69	64%	563	4	3	8.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Gavin Sawchuk	120	744	9	6.2	64
Tawee Walker	102	513	7	5.0	30
Dillon Gabriel	93	373	12	4.0	44
Marcus Major	78	308	1	3.9	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Drake Stoops	84	962	10	11.5	60
Nic Anderson	38	798	10	21.0	63
Jalil Farooq	45	694	2	15.4	49
Andrel Anthony Jr.	27	429	1	15.9	55

View Oklahoma's Full Roster

OKLA's DC Todd Bates (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Danny Stutsman	87	14	2	1	3
Billy Bowman	60	3	0	0	3
Jaren Kanak	58	6	2	4	0
Kip Lewis	57	4	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ethan Downs	26	7	5	6	0
Marcus Stripling	6	3	3	1	0
Kendel Dolby	49	5	2	4	4
Danny Stutsman	87	14	2	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Woodi Washington	42	3	0	1	7
Kendel Dolby	49	5	2	4	4
Peyton Bowen	32	1	1	1	4