Arizona at Oklahoma - 2023 Matchup Preview

Thursday, December 28th 2023 (9:15 PM EST)
Arizona -2.5 (59.5) (-145) Open: -3.5 | 62.0
Arizona 38 - Oklahoma: 24 (Valero Alamo Bowl)

Wildcats (10 - 3) (11 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (8 - 19)
Avg Score : 22 - 32 (18 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Oklahoma -6.5 (SP+ OKLA -4)
Projected Score: ARIZ: 24 - OKLA: 31 (50)
ARIZ Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ARIZ Travel: 802 miles, 2 hrs behind

Sooners (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (30 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.9 - 2.1 (#5)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
ARIZ Players
OKLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arizona's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Arizona vs Northern Arizona	-28.5	61.0	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Arizona at Mississippi State	+9.0	60.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Arizona vs UTEP	-18.0	57.0	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Arizona at Stanford	-13.0	60.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/30	Arizona vs Washington	+20.0	66.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Arizona at USC	+21.0	69.5	L 41 - 43	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Arizona at Washington State	+7.5	57.5	W 44 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Arizona vs Oregon State	+3.0	57.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Arizona vs UCLA	+2.5	50.0	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Arizona at Colorado	-6.0	55.5	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/18	Arizona vs Utah	-2.5	45.5	W 42 - 18	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Arizona at Arizona State	-12.5	48.5	W 59 - 23	O	Y
Thu 12/28	Arizona vs Oklahoma	-2.5	59.5	W 38 - 24	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule

Oklahoma's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Oklahoma vs Arkansas State	-36.0	57.5	W 73 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Oklahoma vs SMU	-16.5	68.5	W 28 - 11	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Oklahoma at Tulsa	-28.0	58.5	W 66 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Oklahoma at Cincinnati	-13.0	58.0	W 20 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Oklahoma vs Iowa State	-19.5	48.5	W 50 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Oklahoma vs Texas	+4.0	62.0	W 34 - 30	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Oklahoma vs UCF	-17.0	67.5	W 31 - 29	U	N
Sat 10/28	Oklahoma at Kansas	-7.0	66.5	L 33 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	Oklahoma at Oklahoma State	-6.0	61.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/11	Oklahoma vs West Virginia	-13.5	59.5	W 59 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Oklahoma at BYU	-24.5	58.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Fri 11/24	Oklahoma vs TCU	-12.5	66.5	W 69 - 45	O	Y
Thu 12/28	Oklahoma vs Arizona	+2.5	59.5	L 24 - 38	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARIZ	.29	48%	21.8	53%	3.33	144	45%	318	3.89	.36	53%	31.8	57%	51%	4.48	50	1.8	2.3
OKLA	.27	47%	24	50%	3.38	220	45%	255	3.95	.23	44%	21.5	44%	44%	4.06	50.2	1.2	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OKLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARIZ Offense	12	21.8	17.8	47.7%	3.89	1.8	24	462	144	318	4.9	41%	57%	53%	45%	16%	.29
OKLA Defense	13	21.5	15.9	43.5%	4.06	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	44%	44%	18%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARIZ Defense	12	31.8	37.4	53.4%	4.48	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	57%	51%	13%	.36
OKLA Offense	13	24	29.7	47.1%	3.95	1.2	24	475	220	255	4.9	53%	46%	50%	45%	14%	.27

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arizona	12	28:03	24.1	42%	43%	5.4	50	1.8	2.3	4.6	1.3	0	27.5
Oklahoma	13	26:19	23.8	41%	41%	5.7	50.2	1.2	1.9	7.8	2.2	0	27.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARIZ Offense	12	41%	53%	29.3	144	4.9	19	.22	3.33	67%	9%	0.96
OKLA Defense	13	47%	44%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.12	68%	11%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARIZ Defense	12	50%	57%	-	-	-	-	.34	3.63	79%	9%	1
OKLA Offense	13	53%	50%	44.6	219.9	4.9	28	.26	3.38	76%	9%	1.04

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARIZ Offense	12	57%	45%	23.6	38.3	318.4	8.3	13.5	26	13	.39	1.8	29%	36%	.49	7%	2.3
OKLA Defense	13	52%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.3	1.6	32%	32%	.35	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARIZ Defense	12	50%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.4	1.4	25%	39%	.56	5%	2
OKLA Offense	13	46%	45%	19.3	31.3	254.6	8.1	13.2	27	8	.31	1.6	30%	31%	.31	5%	2

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 10.35 #20
Arizona's Offense Rating: 26.94 #6
Arizona's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 810.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Arizona's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Arizona's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #20
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #15
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 10.35 Oklahoma: 17.515

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 12.1 Oklahoma: 16.4

Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 17.515 #7
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 26.78 #8
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: 3.74 #19
2023 Talent Rating: 1014.00 #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #5
Oklahoma's 2023 Expected Record: 10.90 - 2.10
Oklahoma's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.4 #13
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #7
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Arizona Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

Arizona's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Oklahoma 31
Arizona 24

Projected Total Points: 50

Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 21.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.9

Oklahoma's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/28	Oklahoma	24	Arizona	38	Arizona	Arizona -2.5	Arizona	59.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma	0	0	1 Overs
Arizona	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

Arizona Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Alamo Bowl	Arizona vs Oklahoma	-2.5	59.5	W 38 - 24
2017	Farms Bowl	Arizona vs Purdue	-3.0	64.5	L 35 - 38

Oklahoma Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Alamo Bowl	Oklahoma vs Arizona	+2.5	59.5	L 24 - 38
2022	It Bowl	Oklahoma vs Florida State	+10.5	67.0	L 32 - 35
2021	Alamo Bowl	Oklahoma vs Oregon	-7.0	64.0	W 47 - 32
2020	Cotton Bowl	Oklahoma vs Florida	+3.0	72.0	W 55 - 20
2019	CFP Semifinal	Oklahoma vs LSU	+13.0	75.0	L 28 - 63
2018	CFP Semifinal	Oklahoma vs Alabama	+14.5	81.5	L 34 - 45
2017	CFP Semifinal	Oklahoma vs Georgia	+2.5	62.5	L 48 - 54

(#20) Arizona Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.35 #20
Offense Rating: 26.94 #6
Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #20
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #15
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41
Talent Rating: 810.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90

Team Profile

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Arizona has played in 1 Bowls in the last 5 years (1 - 0)
Arizona has played in 9 Bowls since 2000 (5 - 4)

Arizona Ratings Matchup Oklahoma

Power #20

Off #6

Def #53

#19

Talent #27

#13

SP+ #20

#13

SP+ Off #15

SP+ Def #41

#33

Rematch from Week 1
Arizona 2.5 (59.5)
Arizona won at Oklahoma this year (38-24)

Previous Matchups
Arizona beat Oklahoma in 2023 (38-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alamodome
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 50° - Wind: 7 mph

Team Information
Injuries: ARIZ | OKLA
Depth Chart: ARIZ | OKLA
Rosters: ARIZ | OKLA

(#7) Oklahoma Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 17.515 #7
Offense Rating: 26.78 #8
Defense Rating: 3.74 #19
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.4 #13
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #7
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33
Talent Rating: 1014.00 #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #5
Expected Record: 10.90 - 2.10

Team Profile

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Oklahoma has played in 3 CFP Playoff Games (0 - 3)
Oklahoma has played in 7 Bowls in the last 5 years (2 - 5)
Oklahoma has played in 26 Bowls since 2000 (12 - 14)

Arizona's OC Brennan Carroll

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tetairoa Mcmillan	1	2	50%	14	0	0	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jonah Coleman	193	1053	10	5.5	64
Stevie Rocker	25	128	2	5.1	23
Montana Lemonious-Craig (Tr)	1	5	0	5.0	5
Canyon Moses	1	0	0	0.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tetairoa Mcmillan	84	1319	8	15.7	78
Jonah Coleman	23	177	0	7.7	17
Montana Lemonious-Craig (Tr)	17	172	1	10.1	20
Stevie Rocker	6	82	0	13.7	34

View Arizona's Full Roster

Arizona's DC Johnny Nansen

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ephesians Prysock	45	0	0	0	6
Isaiah Ward	28	6	3	2	2
Marquis Groves-Killebrew	26	1	1	0	4
Daniel Heimuli (Tr)	18	1	0	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Kongaika	10	5	3	1	0
Isaiah Ward	28	6	3	2	2
Russell Davis II	4	3	3	0	0
Marquis Groves-Killebrew	26	1	1	0	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ephesians Prysock	45	0	0	0	6
Marquis Groves-Killebrew	26	1	1	0	4
Isaiah Ward	28	6	3	2	2

Oklahoma's OC Jeff Lebby

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dillon Gabriel	326	447	73%	3857	30	6	8.6
General Booty	29	54	54%	306	2	2	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tawee Walker	190	864	10	4.5	55
Daylan Smothers	89	571	6	6.4	53
Marcus Major	78	352	3	4.5	40
Dillon Gabriel	75	149	7	2.0	54

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
LV Bunkley-Shelton	30	322	0	10.7	34
Daylan Smothers	19	263	2	13.8	72
Marcus Major	20	144	1	7.2	25
Gavin Freeman	6	45	0	7.5	23

View Oklahoma's Full Roster

Oklahoma's DC Todd Bates

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Danny Stutsman	110	8	1	3	0
Billy Bowman	55	3	0	1	3
Shane Whitter	49	2	0	2	3
D.J. Graham	42	3	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ethan Downs	29	9	3	2	2
Trace Ford (Tr)	22	4	2	1	1
Danny Stutsman	110	8	1	3	0
Reggie Grimes	2	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Billy Bowman	55	3	1	3
Shane Whitter	49	2	2	3
D.J. Graham	42	3	0	2