Oklahoma at Texas - 2025 Matchup Preview
Oklahoma logo (#11)Oklahoma Sooners vs Texas Longhorns(#8)Texas logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Cotton Bowl - Dallas, TX  (SEC)

 
Sooners (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (22 - 16)
Avg Score : 34 - 6 (42 - 3 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 3 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Our Line: Oklahoma -2.5   (SP+ OKLA -3)
Projected Score: OKLA: 21 - TEX: 19 (40)
OKLA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
OKLA Travel: 341 miles
Longhorns (2 - 1) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (36 - 16)
Avg Score : 24 - 10 (33 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.2 - 3.8 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Oklahoma's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oklahoma vs Illinois State-39.561.0W 35 - 3UN
Sat 9/6 Oklahoma vs Michigan-3.047.5W 24 - 13UY
Sat 9/13 Oklahoma at Temple-23.550.5W 42 - 3UY
Sat 9/20 Oklahoma vs Auburn-6.548.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Oklahoma vs Kent State-49
Sat 10/11 Oklahoma vs Texas-0
Sat 10/18 Oklahoma at South Carolina-11.5
Sat 10/25 Oklahoma vs Ole Miss-6.5
Sat 11/1 Oklahoma at Tennessee-1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Oklahoma at Alabama+5
Sat 11/22 Oklahoma vs Missouri-5
Sat 11/29 Oklahoma vs LSU-6

Total: Elite: 8, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule
Texas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas at Ohio State+1.546.5L 7 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Texas vs San José State-37.052.5W 38 - 7UN
Sat 9/13 Texas vs UTEP-39.552.5W 27 - 10UN
Sat 9/20 Texas vs Sam Houston-40.551.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas at Florida-4
Sat 10/11 Texas vs Oklahoma+0
Sat 10/18 Texas at Kentucky-12.5
Sat 10/25 Texas at Mississippi State-7
Sat 11/1 Texas vs Vanderbilt-8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Texas at Georgia+5
Sat 11/22 Texas vs Arkansas-11
Sat 11/29 Texas vs Texas A&M-3.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKLA#29 (.34)49% (36)33.751% (37)3.17 (47)15648% (41)3165.36 (19)#15 (-.05)25% (4)6.333% (25)16% (1)1.5 (7)361.70
TEX#130 (-.01)42% (86)2449% (44)3.25 (40)18232% (122)2003.25 (107)#11 (-.09)33% (25)10.335% (38)31% (24)2.58 (38)811.32
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKLA#123 (.06)39% (113)43% (85)2.99 (81)14435% (122)1553.39 (112)#12 (.07)36% (5)33% (2)39% (55)3.47 (34)421.51.6
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)49% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)42% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKLA Offense333.74248.8%5.361.7254731563164.151%48%51%48%14%.34
TEX Defense310.38.533.1%2.582 - - - - - 47%53%35%31%15%-.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKLA Defense36.3325.3%1.50 - - - - - 53%47%33%16%19%-.05
TEX Offense32432.541.6%3.251.3193831822004.458%41%49%32%10%-.01

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oklahoma332:282548%75%4.7361.7082.3021.9
Texas331:391929%42%8.3811.323.31.3035.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKLA Offense351% (65)51% (37)38156.34.18 (26).23 (42)3.17 (47)67% (86)10% (88)0.96 (69)
TEX Defense347% (49)35% (38) - - - - -.19 (8)2.11 (16)45% (17)7% (110)0.44 (2)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKLA Defense353% (95)33% (25) - - - - .09 (80)2.67 (55)60% (34)13% (36)1.22 (116)
TEX Offense358% (23)49% (44)41.7182.34.43 (95).1 (86)3.25 (40)68% (84)6% (16)0.72 (125)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKLA Offense348% (72)48% (41)2436316.38.813.25 (54)3 (92).47 (32)1.7 (37)26% (29)48% (6).88 (4)4% (45)2.2 (32)
TEX Defense353% (90)31% (24) - - - - - - 3 (28)- (21)1.2 (14)31% (88)13% (7)-.13 (7)8% (26)1.2 (1)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKLA Defense347% (45)16% (1) - - - - - - 0-.21 (6)1.8 (119)38% (16)11% (5)-.09 (11)6% (66)2.1 (90)
TEX Offense341% (114)32% (122)16.329.3200.36.812.36 (34)3 (92)-.11 (132)1.5 (78)27% (38)21% (121).13 (111)5% (57)1.8 (100)

Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 32.01 #7
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 26.06 #16
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: -8.00 #6
2025 Talent Rating: 1034.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51% #15
Oklahoma's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
Oklahoma's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.8 #6
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #21
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.6 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma: 32.01   Texas: 24.225

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma: 21.8   Texas: 18.8




Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 24.225 #11
Texas's Offense Rating: 15.74 #50
Texas's Defense Rating: -13.92 #1
2025 Talent Rating: 1074.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #6
Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8
Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.8 #14
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #48
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.9 #1

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 42
Defense: 6.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 3

Oklahoma's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Oklahoma 21
Texas 19


Total Points: 40

Texas Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.5
Defense: 10.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5

Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Oklahoma3Texas34TexasTexas -16.5Texas48.5Under
202310/07Texas30Oklahoma34OklahomaTexas -4Oklahoma62.0Over
202210/08Oklahoma0Texas49TexasTexas -7.5Texas65.0Under
202110/09Texas48Oklahoma55OklahomaOklahoma -4Oklahoma65.5Over
202010/10Oklahoma53Texas45OklahomaOklahoma -3Oklahoma74.5Over
201910/12Texas27Oklahoma34OklahomaOklahoma -11.5Texas77.5Under
201810/06Oklahoma45Texas48TexasOklahoma -7Texas59.0Over
201812/01Oklahoma39Texas27OklahomaOklahoma -9.5Oklahoma79.5Under
201710/14Texas24Oklahoma29OklahomaOklahoma -9Texas62.0Under
201610/08Oklahoma45Texas40OklahomaOklahoma -6.5Texas72.5Over
201510/10Texas24Oklahoma17TexasOklahoma -13.5Texas59.5Under
201410/11Oklahoma31Texas26OklahomaOklahoma -14.5Texas0
201310/12Texas36Oklahoma20TexasOklahoma -13Texas0
201210/13Oklahoma63Texas21Oklahoma
201110/08Texas17Oklahoma55Oklahoma
201010/02Oklahoma28Texas20Oklahoma
200910/17Texas16Oklahoma13Texas
200810/11Oklahoma35Texas45Texas
200710/06Texas21Oklahoma28Oklahoma
200610/07Oklahoma10Texas28Texas
200510/08Texas45Oklahoma12Texas
200410/09Oklahoma12Texas0Oklahoma
200310/11Texas13Oklahoma65Oklahoma
200210/12Oklahoma35Texas24Oklahoma
200110/06Texas3Oklahoma14Oklahoma
200010/06Oklahoma63Texas14Oklahoma
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas995 Overs
Oklahoma1746 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 136 - 72 - 44 - 3
Road Teams13 - 137 - 63 - 44 - 2

(#7) Oklahoma Info
Power Rating: 32.01 #7
Offense Rating: 26.06 #16
Defense Rating: -8.00 #6
Overall SP+ Rating: 21.8 #6
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #21
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.6 #5
Talent Rating: 1034.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51% #15
Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
Good Offense Success Rate of 49%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.36 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Good Pass Success 48%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 25%
Great in Scoring Position 1.5 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Great Pass Def Success 16%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Oklahoma has lost 2 straight
Oklahoma has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Oklahoma Notes
(7/21) DL is loaded at DT & DE, tops in SEC
(5/11) OL has top 10 exp, 70% returning, 30% via portal
(4/30) RBs bad LY. Have talent, Ott (Cal) huge add
(4/14) WR rebuild. Burks + 2 portals. Much improved
(4/4) CB Eli Bowen just outside top 10 CB via PFF
(4/4) DT Gracen Halton a top 10 DT via PFF
(3/24) Portal WR Gibson(Ak PB)/Lewis(S Ill) exciting
(3/20) Word is Mateer a great fit, and a real leader.
(3/18) QB1 Mateer w/ new OC Arbuckle (WSU)
(3/18) OL returns 4/5 but awful LY. Must improve

Oklahoma Highlights
Oklahoma in Undefeated
Oklahoma is Undefeated away from Home
Oklahoma is Undefeated vs Spread away from Home

Oklahoma offense is good in red zone (#19)
Oklahoma offense is good on 3rd downs
Oklahoma has a really good defense (#4)
Oklahoma defense is really good in red zone (#7)
Oklahoma has a good run defense (#25)
Oklahoma has a good pass defense (#1)
Oklahoma defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Oklahoma Deficiencies
Oklahoma has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Oklahoma gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#111)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTEXOKLA
OverallOver#29#25
OffenseOff#66#26
DefenseDef#6#21
Special TeamsST#58#50
PassingPass#56#27
RushingRush#45#25
Run BlockRBLK#59#80
Pass BlockPBLK#54#15
Route RunningWR Rt#74#19
TacklingTkl#24#52
Run DefenseR Def#8#49
Pass Rush DefPRush#5#32
Coverage DefCov#18#13

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Oklahoma last year (34-3)
Oklahoma beat Texas in 2023 (34-30)
Texas beat Oklahoma in 2022 (49-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cotton Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: OKLA | TEX
Depth Chart: OKLA | TEX
Rosters: OKLA | TEX
(#11) Texas Info
Power Rating: 24.225 #11
Offense Rating: 15.74 #50
Defense Rating: -13.92 #1
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.8 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #48
Defense SP+ Rating: 10.9 #1
Talent Rating: 1074.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #6
Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.25 PPO
Good Run Success 49%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Good in Scoring Position 2.58 PPO
Good Run Def Success 35%
Good Pass Def Success 31%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Texas has lost 2 straight
Texas has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Texas Notes
(9/13) Arch awful vs UTEP. Very concerning now
(8/30) Fr CB Graceson Littleton the real deal
(8/30) Arch bad vs OSU, inconsistent. OL dominated
(6/14) Only P4 w/ same HC, OC, DC, S&C for 5+ year
(6/6) WRs lost top 2, lots of talent. Top 10 via PFF?
(5/23) Secondary top 3 in CFB w/ a great CB duo
(5/19) Added QB Caldwell (Troy) post spring
(5/19) DL added 5 via portal, TE Endries (Cal) big add
(5/11) Least exp'd OL in SEC, only 1/5 starters back
(5/2) CB Muhammad, S Taaffe both top 10 via PFF

Texas Highlights
Texas has a really good defense (#25)
Texas defense does not give up big plays (#2)
Texas has a good pass defense (#24)
Texas Defensive Line is very good (#16)
Texas Secondary is very good (#26)
Texas defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Texas Deficiencies
Texas Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Texas offense is not Explosive (#132)
Texas offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#107)
Texas pass game is really bad (#122)
Texas offense is bad on 3rd Downs


  
Oklahoma's OC Ben Arbuckle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
John Mateer (Tr)7110568%944539.0
Michael Hawkins Jr.1333%5001.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tory Blaylock3116835.425
John Mateer (Tr)3316144.951
Jovantae Barnes184512.510
Xavier Robinson134303.315
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaren Kanak14245017.548
Deion Burks17225213.234
Keontez Lewis (Tr)15181212.128
Isaiah Sategna (Tr)11141012.836

View Oklahoma's Full Roster
Oklahoma's DC Brent Venables
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Omosigho143203
Kip Lewis131001
Kobie McKinzie121020
Owen Heinecke112002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Omosigho143203
Taylor Wein83210
Wyatt Gilmore11100
Michael Boganowski41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Omosigho143203
Owen Heinecke112002
Kendal Daniels (Tr)83001

Texas's OC Kyle Flood
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Arch Manning478555%579636.8
Matthew Caldwell (Tr)2367%22007.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Arch Manning2311234.920
CJ Baxter Jr.2411004.618
Jerrick Gibson2510204.114
Tre Wisner168005.013
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Parker Livingstone8198324.883
Jack Endries (Tr)7106215.136
Ryan Wingo997110.828
DeAndre Moore Jr.63606.017

View Texas's Full Roster
Texas's DC Pete Kwiatkowski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Taaffe230000
Liona Lefau202001
Anthony Hill Jr.150000
Ty'Anthony Smith121000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maraad Watson (Tr)92200
Zina Umeozulu31110
Hero Kanu (Tr)72131
Colin Simmons51120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malik Muhammad80002
Xavier Filsaime00001
Liona Lefau202001