Illinois State at Oklahoma - 2025 Matchup Preview
Illinois State logo Illinois State Redbirds at Oklahoma Sooners(#18)Oklahoma logo
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (6:00 PM EDT)
Oklahoma -39.5 (61.0) (0)  Open: -35.5 | 61.5
Oklahoma 35 - Illinois State: 3

 
Redbirds (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 3 - 35 (3 - 35 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Oklahoma -29.5   (SP+ OKLA -22)
OKLA Win prob: 100% | Cover: 45%
Sooners (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (22 - 16)
Avg Score : 34 - 6 (30 - 8 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 3 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
Illinois State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Illinois State at Oklahoma+39.561.0L 3 - 35UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois State's Schedule
Oklahoma's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oklahoma vs Illinois State-39.561.0W 35 - 3UN
Sat 9/6 Oklahoma vs Michigan-3.047.5W 24 - 13UY
Sat 9/13 Oklahoma at Temple-23.550.5W 42 - 3UY
Sat 9/20 Oklahoma vs Auburn-6.548.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Oklahoma vs Kent State-49
Sat 10/11 Oklahoma vs Texas-0
Sat 10/18 Oklahoma at South Carolina-11.5
Sat 10/25 Oklahoma vs Ole Miss-6.5
Sat 11/1 Oklahoma at Tennessee-1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Oklahoma at Alabama+5
Sat 11/22 Oklahoma vs Missouri-5
Sat 11/29 Oklahoma vs LSU-6

Total: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILST0%30%000%000%350%0%0000
OKLA#29 (.34)49% (36)33.751% (37)3.17 (47)15648% (41)3165.36 (19)#15 (-.05)25% (4)6.333% (25)16% (1)1.5 (7)361.70
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OKLA#123 (.06)39% (113)43% (85)2.99 (81)14435% (122)1553.39 (112)#12 (.07)36% (5)33% (2)39% (55)3.47 (34)421.51.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILST Offense1330%00000000%0%0%0%0%
OKLA Defense36.3825.3%1.50 - - - - - 53%47%33%16%19%-.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILST Defense135350%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
OKLA Offense333.729.548.8%5.361.7254731563164.151%48%51%48%14%.34

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Illinois State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Oklahoma332:282548%75%4.7361.7082.3021.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILST Offense10%0%000000%0%0
OKLA Defense353% (95)33% (25) - - - - .09 (80)2.67 (55)60% (34)13% (36)1.22 (116)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILST Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
OKLA Offense351% (65)51% (37)38156.34.18 (26).23 (42)3.17 (47)67% (86)10% (88)0.96 (69)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILST Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
OKLA Defense347% (45)16% (1) - - - - - - 0-.21 (6)1.8 (119)38% (16)11% (5)-.09 (11)6% (66)2.1 (90)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILST Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
OKLA Offense348% (72)48% (41)2436316.38.813.25 (54)3 (92).47 (32)1.7 (37)26% (29)48% (6).88 (4)4% (45)2.2 (32)

Illinois State's Power Ratings
Illinois State's Power Rating: #NR
Illinois State's Offense Rating: #NR
Illinois State's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Illinois State's 2025 Expected Record: -
Illinois State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Illinois State's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Illinois State's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average MVFC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois State:    Oklahoma: 29.405

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois State:    Oklahoma: 21.8




Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 29.405 #7
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 26.06 #16
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: -8.00 #6
2025 Talent Rating: 1034.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51 #15
Oklahoma's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
Oklahoma's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.8 #6
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #21
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.6 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Illinois State Scoring
Offense: 3 PPG
Offense on Road: 3
Defense: 35 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

Illinois State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Oklahoma 40
Illinois State 10

Total Points: 50

Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.5
Defense: 6.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 8

Oklahoma's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Oklahoma35Illinois State3OklahomaOklahoma -39.5Illinois State61.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma100 Overs
Illinois State011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#NR) Illinois State Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Illinois State Highlights
Illinois State is Undefeated vs Spread


Illinois State Deficiencies
Illinois State has a really bad Offense
Illinois State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatOKLAILST
OverallOver#25—
OffenseOff#26—
DefenseDef#21—
Special TeamsST#50—
PassingPass#27—
RushingRush#25—
Run BlockRBLK#80—
Pass BlockPBLK#15—
Route RunningWR Rt#19—
TacklingTkl#52—
Run DefenseR Def#49—
Pass Rush DefPRush#32—
Coverage DefCov#13—

Rematch from Week 1
Oklahoma -39.5 (61.0)
Oklahoma won vs Illinois State this year (35-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ILST | OKLA
Depth Chart: ILST | OKLA
Rosters: ILST | OKLA
(#7) Oklahoma Info
Power Rating: 29.405 #7
Offense Rating: 26.06 #16
Defense Rating: -8.00 #6
Overall SP+ Rating: 21.8 #6
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #21
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.6 #5
Talent Rating: 1034.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51 #15
Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
Good Offense Success Rate of 49%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.36 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Good Pass Success 48%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 25%
Great in Scoring Position 1.5 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Great Pass Def Success 16%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Oklahoma Notes
(7/21) DL is loaded at DT & DE, tops in SEC
(5/11) OL has top 10 exp, 70% returning, 30% via portal
(4/30) RBs bad LY. Have talent, Ott (Cal) huge add
(4/14) WR rebuild. Burks + 2 portals. Much improved
(4/4) CB Eli Bowen just outside top 10 CB via PFF
(4/4) DT Gracen Halton a top 10 DT via PFF
(3/24) Portal WR Gibson(Ak PB)/Lewis(S Ill) exciting
(3/20) Word is Mateer a great fit, and a real leader.
(3/18) QB1 Mateer w/ new OC Arbuckle (WSU)
(3/18) OL returns 4/5 but awful LY. Must improve

Oklahoma Highlights
Oklahoma in Undefeated
Oklahoma is Undefeated at Home

Oklahoma offense is good in red zone (#19)
Oklahoma offense is good on 3rd downs
Oklahoma has a really good defense (#4)
Oklahoma defense is really good in red zone (#7)
Oklahoma has a good run defense (#25)
Oklahoma has a good pass defense (#1)
Oklahoma defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Oklahoma Deficiencies
Oklahoma has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Oklahoma gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#111)


  
Illinois State's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tommy Rittenhouse386162%402516.6
Beckham Pellant81650%73104.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Wenkers Wright3623036.424
Victor Dawson3015105.050
Tommy Rittenhouse117016.423
Seth Glatz114003.613
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke Mailander9180220.046
Daniel Sobkowicz13179313.830
Dylan Lord86107.621
Scotty Presson Jr.338012.730

View Illinois State's Full Roster
Illinois State's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tye Niekamp101000
Patrick Bauer70010
Shadwell Nkuba II61000
Cam Wilson60000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mason Kaplan51100
Tye Niekamp101000
Solomon Oduma30000
Logan Jellison10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tye Niekamp101000
Solomon Oduma30000
Logan Jellison10000

Oklahoma's OC Ben Arbuckle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
John Mateer (Tr)7110568%944539.0
Michael Hawkins Jr.1333%5001.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tory Blaylock3116835.425
John Mateer (Tr)3316144.951
Jovantae Barnes184512.510
Xavier Robinson134303.315
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaren Kanak14245017.548
Deion Burks17225213.234
Keontez Lewis (Tr)15181212.128
Isaiah Sategna (Tr)11141012.836

View Oklahoma's Full Roster
Oklahoma's DC Brent Venables
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Omosigho143203
Kip Lewis131001
Kobie McKinzie121020
Owen Heinecke112002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Omosigho143203
Taylor Wein83210
Wyatt Gilmore11100
Michael Boganowski41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Omosigho143203
Owen Heinecke112002
Kendal Daniels (Tr)83001