Illinois State at Oklahoma - 2025 Matchup Preview
Illinois State logo   Illinois State Redbirds at Oklahoma Sooners  Oklahoma logo
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (6:00 PM EDT)
Oklahoma -39.5 (61.0) (0)  Open: -35.5 | 61.5
Oklahoma 35 - Illinois State: 3

 
Redbirds (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 3 - 35 (3 - 35 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Oklahoma -21  (SP+ OKLA -18)
OKLA Win prob: 100% | Cover: 45%
Sooners (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (22 - 16)
Avg Score : 26 - 16 (26 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 2.5 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Illinois State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Illinois State at Oklahoma+39.561.0L 3 - 35UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois State's Schedule
Oklahoma's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oklahoma vs Illinois State-39.561.0W 35 - 3UN
Sat 9/6 Oklahoma vs Michigan-3.047.5W 24 - 13UY
Sat 9/13 Oklahoma at Temple-23.550.5W 42 - 3UY
Sat 9/20 Oklahoma vs Auburn-6.547.5W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Oklahoma vs Kent State-46.553.5W 44 - 0UN
Sat 10/11 Oklahoma vs Texas+2.544.5L 6 - 23UN
Sat 10/18 Oklahoma at South Carolina-4.542.5W 26 - 7UY
Sat 10/25 Oklahoma vs Ole Miss-5.552.5L 26 - 34ON
Sat 11/1 Oklahoma at Tennessee+3.055.5W 33 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Oklahoma at Alabama+6.545.5W 23 - 21UY
Sat 11/22 Oklahoma vs Missouri-4.542.5W 17 - 6UY
Sat 11/29 Oklahoma vs LSU-11.536.5W 17 - 13UN
Fri 12/19 Oklahoma vs Alabama-1.542.0L 24 - 34ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILST0%30%000%000%350%0%0000
OKLA#123 (.06)39% (113)26.243% (85)2.99 (81)14435% (122)1553.39 (112)#12 (.07)36% (5)15.533% (2)39% (55)3.47 (34)421.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OKLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILST Offense1330%00000000%0%0%0%0%
OKLA Defense1315.51535.7%3.471.6 - - - - - 53%46%33%39%18%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILST Defense135350%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
OKLA Offense1326.226.439%3.391.5172981441553.953%46%43%35%18%.06

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Illinois State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Oklahoma1326:4016.935%52%4.8421.51.67.12.7229.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILST Offense10%0%000000%0%0
OKLA Defense1353% (100)33% (2) - - - - -.05 (1)2.56 (11)69% (43)13% (12)0.88 (25)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILST Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
OKLA Offense1353% (45)43% (85)36.8143.63.916 (90).07 (100)2.99 (81)75% (58)14% (129)0.98 (63)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILST Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
OKLA Defense1346% (34)39% (55) - - - - - - 9 (76).22 (61)1.6 (83)37% (6)28% (33).25 (43)5% (114)1.9 (36)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILST Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
OKLA Offense1346% (94)35% (122)15.825.3154.76.19.814 (108)6 (10).07 (127)1.5 (105)33% (102)27% (109).25 (99)4% (9)2.2 (24)

Illinois State's Power Ratings
Illinois State's Power Rating: NR
Illinois State's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois State's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Illinois State's 2025 Expected Record: -
Illinois State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Illinois State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Illinois State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average MVFC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois State:    Oklahoma: 20.87

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois State:    Oklahoma: 18.3




Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 20.87  #11
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 17.21  #44
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: -1.23  #7
2025 Talent Rating: 1034.00  #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51  #15
Oklahoma's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 2.5
Oklahoma's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.3  #14
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1  #51
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.9  #4

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Illinois State Scoring
Offense: 3 PPG
Offense on Road: 3
Defense: 35 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

Illinois State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Oklahoma 36
Illinois State 15

Projected Total Points: 51
Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Oklahoma's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Oklahoma35Illinois State3Oklahoma -39.5Illinois State61.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma100 Overs
Illinois State011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) ILST at (#11) OKLA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatILSTOKLA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #11
SP+SP+NR #14
Perf GradeGradeNR #45
OffenseOffNR #98
DefenseDefNR #15
Spec TeamsSTNR #48
TalentTalNR #10
Blue ChipsBC%NR #15
Oklahoma Notes
(11/16) Def, Turnovers, clutch play. Off isn't good
(10/19) RBs had 159 yds vs SC, better. F7 best in SEC
(10/12) RBs avg 71 yards pg, 127th in CFB, next to last P4
(9/23) QB Mateer had surgery on his thumb, out weeks
(9/21) DL is top 3 in CFB. 10 sacks vs Auburn, wreckers
(9/20) Run Off bad, but Run Def great vs AU. Big win
(9/7) OL help up well vs Mich, Mateer is dynamic
(7/21) DL is loaded at DT & DE, tops in SEC
(5/11) OL has top 10 exp, 70% returning, 30% via portal
(4/30) RBs bad LY. Have talent, Ott (Cal) huge add
(4/14) WR rebuild. Burks + 2 portals. Much improved
(4/4) CB Eli Bowen just outside top 10 CB via PFF
Oklahoma Injury Report
Illinois State on Offense
CategoryCat
ILST OffOKLA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #15
SuccessSucNR #5
ExplosiveExpNR #63
PPAPPANR #12
PowerPwrNR #7
SP+SP+NR #4
Pts POPPONR #34
HavocHavNR #43
Illinois State Run Game
CategoryCat
ILST OffOKLA Def
Run GameRunNR #10
Run SuccessRSucNR #2
Run ExplRExpNR #25
PPAExpNR #1
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #11
Stuff RateStuffNR #25
TackleTak -  #52
Illinois State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ILST OffOKLA Def
Pass GamePassNR #32
Pass SuccessPSucNR #55
Pass ExplPExlNR #83
PPAExpNR #61
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #12
F7 HavocF7NR #12
DB HavocDBNR #114
Oklahoma on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatOKLA OffILST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #98NR
SuccessSuc #113NR
ExplosiveExp #112NR
PPAPPA #123NR
PowerPwr #44NR
SP+SP+ #51NR
Pts POPPO #112NR
HavocHav #100NR
Oklahoma Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
OKLA OffILST Def
Run GameRun #114NR
Run SuccessRSuc #85NR
Run ExplRExp #63NR
PPAExp #100NR
Run BlockR Blk #100 -
OL YdsOLY #81NR
Stuff RateStuff #72NR
TackleTak - NR
Oklahoma Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatOKLA OffILST Def
Pass GamePass #97NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #122NR
Pass ExplPExl #105NR
PPAExp #127NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #12NR
F7 HavocF7 #129NR
DB HavocDB #9NR
Program Comparison
OKLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

ILST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Oklahoma -39.5 (61.0)
Oklahoma won vs Illinois State this year (35-3)

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma beat Illinois State last year (35-3)

  
ILST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tommy Rittenhouse33451665%356840126.9
Beckham Pellant112250%83113.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Victor Dawson278137755.069
Wenkers Wright12359254.838
Tommy Rittenhouse10742874.036
Seth Glatz7240155.658
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Daniel Sobkowicz8311411913.793
Dylan Lord7473459.947
Luke Mailander44671415.346
Eddie Kasper3632218.937

View Illinois State's Full Roster

ILST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tye Niekamp254203
Patrick Bauer230022
CJ Richard Jr.211021
Mason Kaplan163214
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mason Kaplan163214
Tye Niekamp254203
Garret Steffen101100
Dexter Niekamp122110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mason Kaplan163214
Tye Niekamp254203
Shadwell Nkuba II141003

OKLA's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
John Mateer (Tr)24739762%288514117.3
Michael Hawkins Jr.152756%167306.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tory Blaylock12048244.025
John Mateer (Tr)14943182.951
Xavier Robinson8342145.165
Jadyn Ott216803.212
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Sategna (Tr)65949814.687
Deion Burks57620410.945
Jaren Kanak44533012.148
Keontez Lewis (Tr)21243211.628

View Oklahoma's Full Roster

OKLA's DC Zac Alley (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kip Lewis7611444
Owen Heinecke7412324
Robert Spears-Jennings592002
Kendal Daniels (Tr)5410123
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taylor Wein3915761
R Mason Thomas2610731
Kip Lewis7611444
Gracen Halton337472
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Courtland Guillory411017
Peyton Bowen461017
Kip Lewis7611444