Oklahoma at Navy - 2024 Matchup Preview
Oklahoma logo (#18)Oklahoma Sooners vs Navy MidshipmenNavy logo
Friday, December 27th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Navy -1 (44.0) (-112)  Open: 0.0 | 46.5
Navy 21 - Oklahoma: 20  (Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl)

 
Sooners (6 - 7) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brent Venables (16 - 10)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (20 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Oklahoma -6.5   (SP+ OKLA -6)

Projected Score: OKLA: 28 - NAVY: 21 (49)
NAVY Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
OKLA Travel: 1180 miles, 1 hrs behind
Midshipmen (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Brian Newberry (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (39 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oklahoma's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Oklahoma vs Temple-42.559.5W 51 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 Oklahoma vs Houston-27.548.5W 16 - 12UN
Sat 9/14 Oklahoma vs Tulane-13.548.5W 34 - 19OY
Sat 9/21 Oklahoma vs Tennessee+6.057.0L 15 - 25UN
Sat 9/28 Oklahoma at Auburn+2.043.0W 27 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Oklahoma vs Texas+16.548.5L 3 - 34UN
Sat 10/19 Oklahoma vs South Carolina+1.040.5L 9 - 35ON
Sat 10/26 Oklahoma at Ole Miss+19.050.0L 14 - 26UY
Sat 11/2 Oklahoma vs Maine-37.548.5W 59 - 14OY
Sat 11/9 Oklahoma at Missouri-3.541.5L 23 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Oklahoma vs Alabama+14.047.0W 24 - 3UY
Sat 11/30 Oklahoma at LSU+4.547.5L 17 - 37ON
Fri 12/27 Oklahoma vs Navy+1.044.0L 20 - 21UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule
Navy's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Navy vs Bucknell-31.548.5W 49 - 21ON
Sat 9/7 Navy vs Temple-11.543.5W 38 - 11OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Navy vs Memphis+9.547.0W 56 - 44OY
Sat 9/28 Navy at UAB-4.556.5W 41 - 18OY
Sat 10/5 Navy at Air Force-10.037.0W 34 - 7OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Navy vs Charlotte-16.557.5W 51 - 17OY
Sat 10/26 Navy vs Notre Dame+14.050.5L 14 - 51ON
Sat 11/2 Navy at Rice-12.549.0L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/9 Navy at South Florida-4.559.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 11/16 Navy vs Tulane+7.549.0L 0 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/29 Navy at East Carolina+2.554.0W 34 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/14 Navy vs Army+6.039.5
Fri 12/27 Navy vs Oklahoma-1.044.0W 21 - 20UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKLA#123 (.06)39% (113)2443% (85)2.99 (81)14435% (122)1553.39 (112)#12 (.07)36% (5)21.533% (2)39% (55)3.47 (34)421.51.6
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)31.346% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)22.246% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKLA#123 (.06)39% (113)43% (85)2.99 (81)14435% (122)1553.39 (112)#12 (.07)36% (5)33% (2)39% (55)3.47 (34)421.51.6
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKLA Offense132420.339%3.391.5172981441553.953%46%43%35%18%.06
NAVY Defense1322.225.641.2%3.481.8 - - - - - 51%48%46%37%14%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKLA Defense1321.528.535.7%3.471.6 - - - - - 53%46%33%39%18%.07
NAVY Offense1331.338.844.2%4.391.1163472311175.574%26%46%39%11%.31

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oklahoma1326:4016.935%52%4.8421.51.67.12.7229.6
Navy1327:4716.239%64%4.841.91.11.84.21.8331.6
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKLA Offense1353% (45)43% (85)36.8143.63.916 (90).07 (100)2.99 (81)75% (58)14% (129)0.98 (63)
NAVY Defense1351% (77)46% (95) - - - - .16 (89)3.27 (107)77% (89)9% (101)0.92 (39)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKLA Defense1353% (100)33% (2) - - - - -.05 (1)2.56 (11)69% (43)13% (12)0.88 (25)
NAVY Offense1374% (3)46% (43)42.3230.75.535 (8).29 (10)3.27 (32)82% (15)8% (28)1.2 (7)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKLA Offense1346% (94)35% (122)15.825.3154.76.19.814 (108)6 (10).07 (127)1.5 (105)33% (102)27% (109).25 (99)4% (9)2.2 (24)
NAVY Defense1348% (57)37% (24) - - - - - - 17 (5).07 (8)1.5 (51)31% (85)25% (8).2 (30)5% (89)2.2 (112)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKLA Defense1346% (34)39% (55) - - - - - - 9 (76).22 (61)1.6 (83)37% (6)28% (33).25 (43)5% (114)1.9 (36)
NAVY Offense1326% (132)39% (101)7.112.8116.79.116.515 (98)6 (10).39 (15)2 (3)29% (26)27% (110).4 (37)3% (4)2.5 (2)

Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 9.59 #33
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 12.20 #119
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: 1.17 #6
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #10
Oklahoma's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Oklahoma's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #33
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #75
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma: 9.59   Navy: 2.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma: 9.5   Navy: 3.5




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 2.85 #53
Navy's Offense Rating: 24.12 #27
Navy's Defense Rating: 5.57 #31
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Navy's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Navy's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #57
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #53

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.3
Defense: 21.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.5

Oklahoma's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Oklahoma 28
Navy 21


Total Points: 49

Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

Navy's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202412/27Navy21Oklahoma20NavyNavy -1Push44.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy100 Overs
Oklahoma001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 00 - 00 - 0

Oklahoma Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024Forces Bowl Oklahoma vs Navy+1.044.0L 20 - 21
2023Alamo Bowl Oklahoma vs Arizona+2.559.5L 24 - 38
2022It Bowl Oklahoma vs Florida State+10.567.0L 32 - 35
2021Alamo Bowl Oklahoma vs Oregon-7.064.0W 47 - 32
2020Cotton Bowl Oklahoma vs Florida+3.072.0W 55 - 20
2019CFP Semifinal Oklahoma vs LSU+13.075.0L 28 - 63
2018CFP Semifinal Oklahoma vs Alabama+14.581.5L 34 - 45
Navy Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024Forces Bowl Navy vs Oklahoma-1.044.0W 21 - 20
2019N/A Navy vs Kansas State-2.053.5W 20 - 17
  
(#33) Oklahoma Info
Power Rating: 9.59 #33
Offense Rating: 12.20 #119
Defense Rating: 1.17 #6
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #33
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #75
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #17
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #10
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.39 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 36%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Great Run Def Success 33%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Oklahoma has played in 3 CFP Playoff Games (0 - 3)
Oklahoma has played in 6 Bowls in the last 5 years (2 - 4)
Oklahoma has played in 26 Bowls since 2000 (12 - 14)

Oklahoma Notes
(12/18) QB Arnold left via portal (Auburn)
(12/2) Hired Wazzu OC Arbuckle, top 25 pass off 4 yrs
(12/2) Rgame meh, Arnold bad, Pass D torched in LSU L
(11/24) Huge W vs Bama. Rgame 251, 5.1 ypc. Def great
(11/13) Arnold awful, Rgame bad, Def choked vs Mizzu
(10/28) OL allowed 19 sacks in past 2 gms (SC/Miss)
(10/20) OC Littrell fired, Co-OC Finley taking over
(10/12) Have no answers on Off. Def cannot hold 4ever
(10/10) Top 5 WR are out vs Texas w/ injuries
(10/4) Gutty W @ Aub. OG'd by 200 yds, Hawkins meh

Oklahoma Highlights
Oklahoma Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Oklahoma has a really good defense (#4)
Oklahoma has a good run defense (#25)
Oklahoma Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#85)
Oklahoma Defensive Line is very good (#55)
Oklahoma Front 7 is disruptive (#36)
Oklahoma commits very few Penalties (#38)

Oklahoma Deficiencies
Oklahoma has a really bad Offense Away from Home
Oklahoma Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Oklahoma offense is really bad (#36)
Oklahoma offense is not Explosive (#61)
Oklahoma offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#19)
Oklahoma pass game is really bad (#41)
Oklahoma Defense Gives up a Lot of Points Away from home

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatNAVYOKLA
OverallOver#16#64
OffenseOff#18#109
DefenseDef#23#9
Special TeamsST#3#43
PassingPass#98#101
RushingRush#28#100
Run BlockRBLK#16#85
Pass BlockPBLK#26#94
Route RunningWR Rt#25#106
TacklingTkl#14#40
Run DefenseR Def#29#4
Pass Rush DefPRush#83#9
Coverage DefCov#21#66

Rematch from Week 1
Navy -1.0 (44.0)
Navy won vs Oklahoma this year (21-20)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Oklahoma last year (21-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: OKLA | NAVY
Depth Chart: OKLA | NAVY
Rosters: OKLA | NAVY
(#53) Navy Info
Power Rating: 2.85 #53
Offense Rating: 24.12 #27
Defense Rating: 5.57 #31
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.5 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #53
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Option Offense 74%, Pass: 26%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.39 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Navy has played in 2 Bowls in the last 5 years (2 - 0)
Navy has played in 16 Bowls since 2000 (9 - 7)

Navy Notes
(12/14) Dominated Army, Rgame 275+, Def was perfect
(11/29) Backup QB Woodson torched ECU in finale
(11/29) Run Def great, held ECU to 4-15 on 3rd, 1-3 4th
(11/18) Off abysmal vs Tulane, can't play with quality opps
(11/3) Horvath playing hurt (thumb) not the same
(11/3) Sinking L (Rice), 2 TOs, Rgame was really bad
(10/28) 7.5 ppg via TOs even after the ND game (6 TOs)
(10/22) Def has a stop rate of 73% (#15) into ND game
(10/20) Even w/ Char but forced 5 TOs. Outrushed
(10/18) Run Def is atrocious & schedule gets harder now

Navy Highlights
Navy has Really Good Running Game (#1)
Navy offense is explosive (#102)
Navy offense is good in red zone (#31)
Navy does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#5)

Navy defense does not give up big plays (#92)
Navy has a good pass defense (#89)
Navy commits very few Penalties (#59)
Navy defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Navy Deficiencies
Navy pass game is really bad (#32)
Navy Does Not Stuff Runs (#50)
Navy has a bad defensive line (#37)


  
Oklahoma's OC Joe Jon Finley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jackson Arnold15424663%14211235.8
Michael Hawkins Jr.7612063%783326.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jovantae Barnes12257754.774
Jackson Arnold15044433.047
Taylor Tatum5627835.035
Xavier Robinson4923344.840
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Bauer Sharp (Tr)4232427.743
Javian Hester14315122.590
Deion Burks (Tr)3124537.920
Jacob Jordan2723418.727

View Oklahoma's Full Roster
Oklahoma's DC Zac Alley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Danny Stutsman1108130
Robert Spears-Jennings665301
Kip Lewis634011
Billy Bowman553013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
R Mason Thomas23139111
Gracen Halton306530
Ethan Downs299322
Robert Spears-Jennings665301
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kani Walker242006
Eli Bowen292004
Billy Bowman553013

Navy's OC Drew Cronic
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Blake Horvath8013958%13531349.7
Braxton Woodson183650%243226.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Blake Horvath1761254177.195
Alex Tecza12355684.565
Eli Heidenreich6544436.860
Daba Fofana6026324.449
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Heidenreich39671617.274
Brandon Chatman18257414.346
Alex Tecza12229219.146
Nathan Kent10222222.277

View Navy's Full Roster
Navy's DC P.J. Volker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Ramos1299342
Kyle Jacob1025122
Rayuan Lane701004
Luke Pirris686351
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Reed4911641
Landon Robinson616570
Colin Ramos1299342
Luke Pirris686351
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dashaun Peele454205
Rayuan Lane701004
Andrew Duhart292004