LSU at Oklahoma - 2025 Matchup Preview
LSU logo LSU Tigers at Oklahoma Sooners(#8)Oklahoma logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (3:30 PM EST)
Oklahoma -11.5 (36.5) (-500)  Open: -8.5
Oklahoma 17 - LSU: 13  (SEC)

 
Tigers (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Frank Wilson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (16 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 5.3 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 4) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 23 MPH
OKLA 2nd straight Home Game
LSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Oklahoma -12  (SP+ OKLA -10)

Projected Score: LSU: 13 - OKLA: 25 (38)
OKLA Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
LSU Travel: 492 miles
Sooners (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (22 - 16)
Avg Score : 26 - 16 (26 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 2.5 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
LSU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 LSU at Clemson+3.557.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 9/6 LSU vs Louisiana Tech-36.549.5W 23 - 7UN
Sat 9/13 LSU vs Florida-5.547.5W 20 - 10UY
Sat 9/20 LSU vs SE Louisiana-49.060.0W 56 - 10ON
Sat 9/27 LSU at Ole Miss+2.557.5L 19 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 LSU vs South Carolina-8.544.5W 20 - 10UY
Sat 10/18 LSU at Vanderbilt+1.548.5L 24 - 31ON
Sat 10/25 LSU vs Texas A&M+1.550.5L 25 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 LSU at Alabama+10.549.5L 9 - 20UN
Sat 11/15 LSU vs Arkansas-4.058.5W 23 - 22UN
Sat 11/22 LSU vs Western Kentucky-24.552.0W 13 - 10UN
Sat 11/29 LSU at Oklahoma+11.536.5L 13 - 17UY
Sat 12/27 LSU vs Houston+1.543.5L 35 - 38ON

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 4, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Oklahoma's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oklahoma vs Illinois State-39.561.0W 35 - 3UN
Sat 9/6 Oklahoma vs Michigan-3.047.5W 24 - 13UY
Sat 9/13 Oklahoma at Temple-23.550.5W 42 - 3UY
Sat 9/20 Oklahoma vs Auburn-6.547.5W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Oklahoma vs Kent State-46.553.5W 44 - 0UN
Sat 10/11 Oklahoma vs Texas+2.544.5L 6 - 23UN
Sat 10/18 Oklahoma at South Carolina-4.542.5W 26 - 7UY
Sat 10/25 Oklahoma vs Ole Miss-5.552.5L 26 - 34ON
Sat 11/1 Oklahoma at Tennessee+3.055.5W 33 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Oklahoma at Alabama+6.545.5W 23 - 21UY
Sat 11/22 Oklahoma vs Missouri-4.542.5W 17 - 6UY
Sat 11/29 Oklahoma vs LSU-11.536.5W 17 - 13UN
Fri 12/19 Oklahoma vs Alabama-1.542.0L 24 - 34ON

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU#125 (.04)38% (111)22.837% (122)2.46 (132)9940% (90)2093.2 (115)#20 (.06)38% (23)19.839% (29)37% (31)2.98 (17)5211.6
OKLA#109 (.1)40% (103)26.238% (115)2.71 (112)11941% (72)2363.77 (62)#5 ()32% (3)15.530% (1)34% (10)2.62 (8)61.21.21
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU#30 (.25)45% (38)42% (89)2.92 (90)10847% (24)2913.99 (60)#92 (.21)41% (60)41% (54)41% (73)3.44 (30)45.71.21
OKLA#123 (.06)39% (113)43% (85)2.99 (81)14435% (122)1553.39 (112)#12 (.07)36% (5)33% (2)39% (55)3.47 (34)421.51.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Offense1322.816.438.4%3.2117308992093.743%56%37%40%18%.04
OKLA Defense1315.51532.1%2.621 - - - - - 44%54%30%34%23%
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Defense1319.820.437.7%2.981.6 - - - - - 47%52%39%37%18%.06
OKLA Offense1326.226.439.7%3.771.2193551192363.645%53%38%41%17%.1

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
LSU1328:3617.535%58%6.35211.64.82.1129.6
Oklahoma1329:4418.539%57%6.861.21.219.53.5131.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Offense1343% (118)37% (122)26.898.83.79 (107)- (124)2.46 (132)66% (105)11% (111)0.9 (93)
OKLA Defense1344% (12)30% (1) - - - - -.06 (6)2.03 (2)65% (26)16% (2)1.08 (119)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Defense1347% (33)39% (29) - - - - .01 (21)2.6 (18)64% (23)9% (83)0.92 (48)
OKLA Offense1345% (104)38% (115)33.3118.73.618 (60) (123)2.71 (112)64% (116)10% (77)0.92 (86)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Offense1356% (20)40% (90)21.232.12096.59.917 (50)7 (60).16 (112)1.4 (128)36% (129)30% (79).21 (99)7% (103)1.9 (93)
OKLA Defense1354% (125)34% (10) - - - - - - 9 (100).09 (12)1.5 (46)37% (10)26% (20).22 (38)6% (49)2 (68)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Defense1352% (115)37% (31) - - - - - - 17 (22).14 (26)1.6 (78)35% (23)27% (35).2 (29)9% (6)2 (70)
OKLA Offense1353% (33)41% (72)20.433.2235.87.111.617 (75)11 (88).21 (94)1.5 (85)33% (105)28% (91).25 (93)7% (106)2.2 (10)

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 15.73  #31
LSU's Offense Rating: 6.88  #80
LSU's Defense Rating: -8.85  #7
2025 Talent Rating: 1042.00  #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 71%  #4
LSU's 2025 Expected Record: 7.7 - 5.3
LSU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6  #33
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5  #90
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.0  #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
LSU: 15.73   Oklahoma: 24.795

SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU: 9.6   Oklahoma: 19.3




Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 24.795  #11
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 13.79  #46
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: -11.52  #2
2025 Talent Rating: 1034.00  #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51  #15
Oklahoma's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 2.5
Oklahoma's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.3  #13
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7  #51
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.9  #3

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


LSU Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.4
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.4

LSU's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Oklahoma 25
LSU 13


Total Points: 38

Based on Last 4 Games
Oklahoma 23
LSU 17

Total Points: 40

Based on Entire Season
Oklahoma 23
LSU 17

Total Points: 40
Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Oklahoma's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Oklahoma17LSU13Oklahoma -11.5LSU36.5Under
202411/30LSU37Oklahoma17LSU -4.5LSU47.5Over
201912/28LSU63Oklahoma28LSU -13.0LSU75.0Over
200301/04LSU21Oklahoma14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma102 Overs
LSU331 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 02 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 41 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#31) LSU at (#11) OKLA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLSUOKLA
Power RatePwr #31 #11
SP+SP+ #33 #13
Perf GradeGrade #83 #37
OffenseOff #102 #92
DefenseDef #39 #12
Spec TeamsST #65 #43
TalentTal #8 #10
Blue ChipsBC% #4 #15
LSU Notes
(12/6) DC Blake Baker will stay on under Kiffin
(12/1) Hired Lane Kiffin, Weis will be OC, more to come
(11/26) Nussmeier doubtful vs OU, Van Buren gets 3rd start
(10/27) OC Joe Sloan fired, Alex Atkins (TE/RGC) int.
(10/26) Brian Kelly fired, AHS Frank Wilson interim
(10/25) OTs exposed vs A&M. 2 straight L's, Off sucks
(10/24) Have real issues at LT. May play BU C Chester, woof
(10/22) LB Whit Weeks out for A&M game (ankle)
(10/20) LT Tyree Adams out multiple games (A&M/Bama)
(10/18) Def was bad vs Vandy, Run Off bad, Nuss had no time
(10/18) Kelly now 11-11 on the road after Vandy loss.
(10/12) Cannot score +20 pts vs FBS teams, Def really good
LSU Injury Report
Oklahoma Notes
(11/16) Def, Turnovers, clutch play. Off isn't good
(10/19) RBs had 159 yds vs SC, better. F7 best in SEC
(10/12) RBs avg 71 yards pg, 127th in CFB, next to last P4
(9/23) QB Mateer had surgery on his thumb, out weeks
(9/21) DL is top 3 in CFB. 10 sacks vs Auburn, wreckers
(9/20) Run Off bad, but Run Def great vs AU. Big win
(9/7) OL help up well vs Mich, Mateer is dynamic
(7/21) DL is loaded at DT & DE, tops in SEC
(5/11) OL has top 10 exp, 70% returning, 30% via portal
(4/30) RBs bad LY. Have talent, Ott (Cal) huge add
(4/14) WR rebuild. Burks + 2 portals. Much improved
(4/4) CB Eli Bowen just outside top 10 CB via PFF
Oklahoma Injury Report
LSU on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
LSU OffOKLA Def
Perf GradePerf #102 #12
SuccessSuc #111 #3
ExplosiveExp #114 #109
PPAPPA #125 #5
PowerPwr #80 #2
SP+SP+ #90 #3
Pts POPPO #115 #8
HavocHav #111 #3
LSU Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
LSU OffOKLA Def
Run GameRun #121 #19
Run SuccessRSuc #122 #1
Run ExplRExp #93 #119
PPAExp #124 #6
Run BlockR Blk #134 -
OL YdsOLY #132 #2
Stuff RateStuff #131 #2
TackleTak -  #33
LSU Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
LSU OffOKLA Def
Pass GamePass #39 #25
Pass SuccessPSuc #90 #10
Pass ExplPExl #128 #46
PPAExp #112 #12
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #60 #14
F7 HavocF7 #111 #2
DB HavocDB #103 #49
Oklahoma on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatOKLA OffLSU Def
Perf GradePerf #92 #39
SuccessSuc #103 #23
ExplosiveExp #61 #66
PPAPPA #109 #20
PowerPwr #46 #7
SP+SP+ #51 #9
Pts POPPO #62 #17
HavocHav #95 #26
Oklahoma Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
OKLA OffLSU Def
Run GameRun #91 #64
Run SuccessRSuc #115 #29
Run ExplRExp #86 #48
PPAExp #123 #21
Run BlockR Blk #93 -
OL YdsOLY #112 #18
Stuff RateStuff #117 #10
TackleTak -  #86
Oklahoma Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatOKLA OffLSU Def
Pass GamePass #110 #22
Pass SuccessPSuc #72 #31
Pass ExplPExl #85 #78
PPAExp #94 #26
Pass Block/RushP Blk #23 #96
F7 HavocF7 #77 #83
DB HavocDB #106 #6
Program Comparison
OKLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

LSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 48° - Wind: 23 mph
Rematch from Week 14
Oklahoma -11.5 (36.5)
Oklahoma won vs LSU this year (17-13)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Oklahoma last year (37-17)

  
LSU's OC Alex Atkins (Int) (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Nussmeier19428867%19271256.7
Michael Van Buren Jr. (Tr)9415162%1010826.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caden Durham11150534.551
Harlem Berry10449124.743
Ju'Juan Johnson4115523.856
Michael Van Buren Jr. (Tr)4812912.735
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Barion Brown (Tr)53532110.041
Zavion Thomas41488411.962
Trey'Dez Green33433713.142
Aaron Anderson33398012.139

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Blake Baker (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davhon Keys894162
A.J. Haulcy (Tr)881004
West Weeks768311
Tamarcus Cooley (Tr)702012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Harold Perkins558462
West Weeks768311
DJ Pickett353203
Damien Shanklin22200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mansoor Delane (Tr)4500111
P.J. Woodland382128
Patrick Payton (Tr)335126

OKLA's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
John Mateer (Tr)24739762%288514117.3
Michael Hawkins Jr.152756%167306.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tory Blaylock12048244.025
John Mateer (Tr)14943182.951
Xavier Robinson8342145.165
Jadyn Ott216803.212
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Sategna (Tr)65949814.687
Deion Burks57620410.945
Jaren Kanak44533012.148
Keontez Lewis (Tr)21243211.628

View Oklahoma's Full Roster

OKLA's DC Brent Venables (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kip Lewis7611444
Owen Heinecke7412324
Robert Spears-Jennings592002
Kendal Daniels (Tr)5410123
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taylor Wein3915761
R Mason Thomas2610731
Kip Lewis7611444
Gracen Halton337472
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Courtland Guillory411017
Peyton Bowen461017
Kip Lewis7611444