Oklahoma at Tennessee Game Matchup
Oklahoma logo Oklahoma Sooners at Tennessee VolunteersTennessee logo
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Neyland Stadium - Knoxville, TN  (SEC)

 
Sooners (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (22 - 16)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (20 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 (#48)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 7) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
TENN is playing their 4th straight game
OKLA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Tennessee -1   (SP+ TENN -2)
Projected Score: OKLA: 25 - TENN: 26 (49)
TENN Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
OKLA Travel: 761 miles, 1 hrs behind
Volunteers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (37 - 14)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (43 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#21)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 1) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 3)
 
Oklahoma's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Oklahoma vs Illinois State-42.5
Sat 9/6 Oklahoma vs Michigan-0
Sat 9/13 Oklahoma at Temple-35
Sat 9/20 Oklahoma vs Auburn-4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Oklahoma vs Kent State-47.5
Sat 10/11 Oklahoma vs Texas+12
Sat 10/18 Oklahoma at South Carolina-0.5
Sat 10/25 Oklahoma vs Ole Miss-3.5
Sat 11/1 Oklahoma at Tennessee+1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Oklahoma at Alabama+13.5
Sat 11/22 Oklahoma vs Missouri-8.5
Sat 11/29 Oklahoma vs LSU+4

Total: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule
Tennessee's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Tennessee vs Syracuse-12.555.5
Sat 9/6 Tennessee vs East Tennessee State-41
Sat 9/13 Tennessee vs Georgia+7.5
Sat 9/20 Tennessee vs UAB-34
Sat 9/27 Tennessee at Mississippi State-13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Tennessee vs Arkansas-10.5
Sat 10/18 Tennessee at Alabama+15
Sat 10/25 Tennessee at Kentucky-9.5
Sat 11/1 Tennessee vs Oklahoma-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Tennessee vs New Mexico State-38.5
Sat 11/22 Tennessee at Florida+5
Sat 11/29 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-14.5

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKLA#123 (.06)39% (113)2443% (85)2.99 (81)14435% (122)1553.39 (112)#12 (.07)36% (5)21.533% (2)39% (55)3.47 (34)421.51.6
TENN#46 (.23)47% (18)35.748% (23)3.4 (13)22747% (19)2214.02 (55)#13 (.07)38% (17)16.136% (9)39% (48)3.03 (10)66.81.21.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKLA Offense132420.339%3.391.5172981441553.953%46%43%35%18%.06
TENN Defense1316.19.937.6%3.031.6 - - - - - 48%51%36%39%21%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKLA Defense1321.528.535.7%3.471.6 - - - - - 53%46%33%39%18%.07
TENN Offense1335.743.447.4%4.021.2234482272215.157%43%48%47%12%.23

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oklahoma1326:4016.935%52%4.8421.51.67.12.7229.6
Tennessee1329:3523.347%61%8.166.81.21.67.22.2231.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKLA Offense1353% (45)43% (85)36.8143.63.916 (90).07 (100)2.99 (81)75% (58)14% (129)0.98 (63)
TENN Defense1348% (42)36% (9) - - - - .01 (17)2.61 (17)62% (15)14% (5)0.98 (65)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKLA Defense1353% (100)33% (2) - - - - -.05 (1)2.56 (11)69% (43)13% (12)0.88 (25)
TENN Offense1357% (23)48% (23)44.7226.85.134 (10).18 (39)3.4 (13)86% (2)8% (33)0.87 (115)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKLA Offense1346% (94)35% (122)15.825.3154.76.19.814 (108)6 (10).07 (127)1.5 (105)33% (102)27% (109).25 (99)4% (9)2.2 (24)
TENN Defense1351% (87)39% (48) - - - - - - 12 (39).16 (32)1.5 (38)33% (46)31% (74).33 (80)7% (39)2 (44)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKLA Defense1346% (34)39% (55) - - - - - - 9 (76).22 (61)1.6 (83)37% (6)28% (33).25 (43)5% (114)1.9 (36)
TENN Offense1343% (111)47% (19)18.228.7221.27.712.221 (51)7 (26).29 (51)1.5 (113)29% (25)34% (41).38 (50)4% (13)1.9 (114)

Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 21.44 #13
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 22.18 #22
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: 0.74 #9
2025 Talent Rating: 998.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 49% #9
Oklahoma's 2025 Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8
Oklahoma's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.5 #16
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #24
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #12

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma: 21.44   Tennessee: 19.79

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma: 16.5   Tennessee: 18.4




Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 19.79 #18
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 17.75 #45
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 1.57 #13
2025 Talent Rating: 920.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 42 #16
Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.4 #13
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #34
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.0 #7

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.3
Defense: 21.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.5

Oklahoma's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 26
Oklahoma 25

Projected Total Points: 49
Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.4
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 9.9

Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21Oklahoma15Tennessee25TennesseeTennessee -6Tennessee57.0Under
201509/12Tennessee24Oklahoma31OklahomaOklahoma -3Oklahoma63.5Under
201409/13Oklahoma34Tennessee10OklahomaOklahoma -21Oklahoma0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tennessee110 Overs
Oklahoma222 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 21 - 00 - 2
Road Teams2 - 12 - 12 - 00 - 1

(#13) Oklahoma Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 21.44 #13
Offense Rating: 22.18 #22
Defense Rating: 0.74 #9
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.5 #16
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #24
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #12
Talent Rating: 998.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 49% #9
Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.39 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 36%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Great Run Def Success 33%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Oklahoma Notes
(5/11) OL has top 10 exp, 70% returning, 30% via portal
(4/30) RBs bad LY. Have talent, Ott (Cal) huge add
(4/14) WR rebuild. Burks + 2 portals. Much improved
(4/4) CB Eli Bowen just outside top 10 CB via PFF
(4/4) DT Gracen Halton a top 10 DT via PFF
(3/24) Portal WR Gibson(Ak PB)/Lewis(S Ill) exciting
(3/20) Word is Mateer a great fit, and a real leader.
(3/18) QB1 Mateer w/ new OC Arbuckle (WSU)
(3/18) OL returns 4/5 but awful LY. Must improve
(3/18) Def great LY, but replacements needed.
Oklahoma     Ratings Matchup     Tennessee
Power #13
#18
Off #22
#45
Def #9
#13
Talent #11
#18
SP+ #16
#13
SP+ Off #24
#34
SP+ Def #12
#7

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Oklahoma last year (25-15)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: OKLA | TENN
Depth Chart: OKLA | TENN
Rosters: OKLA | TENN
(#18) Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 19.79 #18
Offense Rating: 17.75 #45
Defense Rating: 1.57 #13
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.4 #13
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #34
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.0 #7
Talent Rating: 920.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 42 #16
Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Great Pass Success 47%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.03 PPO
Great Run Def Success 36%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Tennessee Notes
(5/11) OL exp bottom 20 & 53% comes from portals
(5/6) OT Heard was last in SEC in PFF grading
(5/4) Basically traded Nico for Joey Aguliar (App St QB)
(4/12) QB1 Merklinger (So)? Only 2 on roster, big need
(4/4) CB Jermod McCoy the #2 CB via PFF
(4/4) DE Joshua Josephs just outside top 10 via PFF
(3/22) TE Kitselman a top TE w/ great hands
(3/22) Def v good, returns a lot. DE Josephs v good
(3/20) WR rebuild. Brazzell/Matthews/talent ready?
(3/18) RB rebuild. Thomas (Duke) can help. Talented


  
Oklahoma's OC Ben Arbuckle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
John Mateer (Tr)22434765%31392979.0
Michael Hawkins Jr.7612063%783326.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
John Mateer (Tr)178826154.668
Jovantae Barnes12257754.774
Jadyn Ott11638543.353
Taylor Tatum5627835.035
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
JaVonnie Gibson (Tr)631035616.460
Keontez Lewis (Tr)49790516.165
Isaiah Sategna (Tr)37490113.258
Deion Burks3124537.920

View Oklahoma's Full Roster
Oklahoma's DC Brent Venables
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Robert Spears-Jennings665301
Kendal Daniels (Tr)6411637
Kip Lewis634011
Samuel Omosigho405021
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
R Mason Thomas23139111
Kendal Daniels (Tr)6411637
Gracen Halton306530
Marvin Jones Jr. (Tr)256430
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kendal Daniels (Tr)6411637
Eli Bowen292004
Robert Spears-Jennings665301

Tennessee's OC Joey Halzle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Aguilar (Tr)21839056%300223147.7
Jake Merklinger6967%48005.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Star Thomas (Tr)21387174.144
DeSean Bishop7445536.153
Peyton Lewis6433935.335
Joey Aguilar (Tr)5821723.749
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Brazzell II29333211.553
Miles Kitselman22301413.731
Star Thomas (Tr)2015317.729
Ethan Davis1310027.718

View Tennessee's Full Roster
Tennessee's DC Tim Banks
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Arion Carter687036
Jermod McCoy441007
Jeremiah Telander434111
Joshua Josephs399283
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dominic Bailey254250
Jaxson Moi165201
Tyre West165220
Joshua Josephs399283
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jermod McCoy441007
Arion Carter687036
Colton Hood (Tr)231006