Auburn at Oklahoma - 2025 Matchup Preview
Auburn logo Auburn Tigers at Oklahoma SoonersOklahoma logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Oklahoma -6.5 (47.5) (-245)  Open: -4.5
Oklahoma 24 - Auburn: 17  (SEC)

 
Tigers (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (11 - 14)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (27 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 6) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
OKLA is playing their 4th straight game
AUB is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Oklahoma -6.5  (SP+ OKLA -7)

Projected Score: AUB: 20 - OKLA: 27 (47)
OKLA Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
AUB Travel: 708 miles
Sooners (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (22 - 16)
Avg Score : 26 - 16 (26 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 2.5 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 7) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Auburn's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Auburn at Baylor-1.557.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 9/6 Auburn vs Ball State-43.052.5W 42 - 3UN
Sat 9/13 Auburn vs South Alabama-26.556.5W 31 - 15UN
Sat 9/20 Auburn at Oklahoma+6.547.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/27 Auburn at Texas A&M+6.551.5L 10 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Auburn vs Georgia+4.545.5L 10 - 20UN
Sat 10/18 Auburn vs Missouri+1.543.5L 17 - 23UN
Sat 10/25 Auburn at Arkansas+2.555.5W 33 - 24OY
Sat 11/1 Auburn vs Kentucky-11.544.5L 3 - 10UN
Sat 11/8 Auburn at Vanderbilt+6.046.5L 38 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Auburn vs Mercer-26.551.5W 62 - 17OY
Sat 11/29 Auburn vs Alabama+6.548.5L 20 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Oklahoma's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oklahoma vs Illinois State-39.561.0W 35 - 3UN
Sat 9/6 Oklahoma vs Michigan-3.047.5W 24 - 13UY
Sat 9/13 Oklahoma at Temple-23.550.5W 42 - 3UY
Sat 9/20 Oklahoma vs Auburn-6.547.5W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Oklahoma vs Kent State-46.553.5W 44 - 0UN
Sat 10/11 Oklahoma vs Texas+2.544.5L 6 - 23UN
Sat 10/18 Oklahoma at South Carolina-4.542.5W 26 - 7UY
Sat 10/25 Oklahoma vs Ole Miss-5.552.5L 26 - 34ON
Sat 11/1 Oklahoma at Tennessee+3.055.5W 33 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Oklahoma at Alabama+6.545.5W 23 - 21UY
Sat 11/22 Oklahoma vs Missouri-4.542.5W 17 - 6UY
Sat 11/29 Oklahoma vs LSU-11.536.5W 17 - 13UN
Fri 12/19 Oklahoma vs Alabama-1.542.0L 24 - 34ON

Total: Elite: 8, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)26.848% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)20.738% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1
OKLA#123 (.06)39% (113)26.243% (85)2.99 (81)14435% (122)1553.39 (112)#12 (.07)36% (5)15.533% (2)39% (55)3.47 (34)421.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OKLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Offense1226.827.244.9%3.421.821430166264548%52%48%42%17%.24
OKLA Defense1315.51535.7%3.471.6 - - - - - 53%46%33%39%18%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Defense1220.726.637.8%3.351.1 - - - - - 53%47%38%38%15%.09
OKLA Offense1326.226.439%3.391.5172981441553.953%46%43%35%18%.06

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Auburn1227:1320.941%47%5.849.31.81.15.72.3127.9
Oklahoma1326:4016.935%52%4.8421.51.67.12.7229.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Offense1248% (85)48% (21)33.4165.7513 (105).16 (55)3.32 (23)69% (95)10% (67)0.92 (89)
OKLA Defense1353% (100)33% (2) - - - - -.05 (1)2.56 (11)69% (43)13% (12)0.88 (25)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Defense1253% (98)38% (19) - - - - -.02 (7)2.49 (6)80% (108)10% (81)0.93 (44)
OKLA Offense1353% (45)43% (85)36.8143.63.916 (90).07 (100)2.99 (81)75% (58)14% (129)0.98 (63)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Offense1252% (47)42% (67)19.230.8263.98.613.827 (20)13 (103).31 (45)1.6 (39)31% (55)32% (69).41 (34)7% (113)1.9 (101)
OKLA Defense1346% (34)39% (55) - - - - - - 9 (76).22 (61)1.6 (83)37% (6)28% (33).25 (43)5% (114)1.9 (36)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Defense1247% (42)38% (34) - - - - - - 8 (93).22 (63)1.7 (104)35% (19)28% (34).21 (31)6% (77)2.1 (85)
OKLA Offense1346% (94)35% (122)15.825.3154.76.19.814 (108)6 (10).07 (127)1.5 (105)33% (102)27% (109).25 (99)4% (9)2.2 (24)

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 16.68  #16
Auburn's Offense Rating: 16.79  #48
Auburn's Defense Rating: 0.11  #10
2025 Talent Rating: 988.00  #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 52%  #12
Auburn's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Auburn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.6  #29
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #59
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4  #16

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 16.68   Oklahoma: 20.87

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 11.6   Oklahoma: 18.3




Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 20.87  #11
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 17.21  #44
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: -1.23  #7
2025 Talent Rating: 1034.00  #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51  #15
Oklahoma's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 2.5
Oklahoma's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.3  #14
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1  #51
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.9  #4

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.6

Auburn's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Oklahoma 27
Auburn 20


Projected Total Points: 47
Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Oklahoma's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Oklahoma24Auburn17Oklahoma -6.5Oklahoma47.5Under
202409/28Auburn21Oklahoma27Auburn -2Oklahoma43.0Over
201601/02Oklahoma35Auburn19Oklahoma -5.5Oklahoma67.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma331 Overs
Auburn002 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 12 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 21 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#16) AUB at (#11) OKLA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAUBOKLA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #16 #11
SP+SP+ #29 #14
Perf GradeGrade #81 #45
OffenseOff #95 #98
DefenseDef #48 #15
Spec TeamsST #91 #48
TalentTal #12 #10
Blue ChipsBC% #12 #15
Auburn Notes
(12/2) DC D. J. Durkin will remain on Golesh staff in '26
(11/30) Hired Alex Golesh (S Florida, former Tenn OC).
(11/20) QB1 Fr Deuce Knight will start vs Mercer, Bama
(11/2) HC Hugh Freeze fired after UK loss
(11/1) Home L to UK w/ 241 total yds. Freeze done
(10/31) Ashton Daniels will start vs UK, Arnold benched
(10/25) WR Coleman & Singleton both hurt vs Ark
(10/24) QB1 battle in week 9, Arnold still the starter. Yikes
(10/23) Auburn on a 3-11 run vs P4 teams since '24
(10/22) K A McPherson bad, longest FG is 34 yards
(10/20) Top OL Center Connor Lew out for season (ACL)
(10/13) RB2 Damari Alston left team, will transfer
Auburn Injury Report
Oklahoma Notes
(11/16) Def, Turnovers, clutch play. Off isn't good
(10/19) RBs had 159 yds vs SC, better. F7 best in SEC
(10/12) RBs avg 71 yards pg, 127th in CFB, next to last P4
(9/23) QB Mateer had surgery on his thumb, out weeks
(9/21) DL is top 3 in CFB. 10 sacks vs Auburn, wreckers
(9/20) Run Off bad, but Run Def great vs AU. Big win
(9/7) OL help up well vs Mich, Mateer is dynamic
(7/21) DL is loaded at DT & DE, tops in SEC
(5/11) OL has top 10 exp, 70% returning, 30% via portal
(4/30) RBs bad LY. Have talent, Ott (Cal) huge add
(4/14) WR rebuild. Burks + 2 portals. Much improved
(4/4) CB Eli Bowen just outside top 10 CB via PFF
Oklahoma Injury Report
Auburn on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
AUB OffOKLA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #95 #15
SuccessSuc #40 #5
ExplosiveExp #71 #63
PPAPPA #42 #12
PowerPwr #48 #7
SP+SP+ #59 #4
Pts POPPO #110 #34
HavocHav #94 #43
Auburn Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
AUB OffOKLA Def
Run GameRun #46 #10
Run SuccessRSuc #21 #2
Run ExplRExp #89 #25
PPAExp #55 #1
Run BlockR Blk #55 -
OL YdsOLY #23 #11
Stuff RateStuff #60 #25
TackleTak -  #52
Auburn Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
AUB OffOKLA Def
Pass GamePass #105 #32
Pass SuccessPSuc #67 #55
Pass ExplPExl #39 #83
PPAExp #45 #61
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #74 #12
F7 HavocF7 #67 #12
DB HavocDB #113 #114
Oklahoma on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatOKLA OffAUB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #98 #48
SuccessSuc #113 #20
ExplosiveExp #112 #74
PPAPPA #123 #21
PowerPwr #44 #10
SP+SP+ #51 #16
Pts POPPO #112 #25
HavocHav #100 #79
Oklahoma Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
OKLA OffAUB Def
Run GameRun #114 #11
Run SuccessRSuc #85 #19
Run ExplRExp #63 #44
PPAExp #100 #7
Run BlockR Blk #100 -
OL YdsOLY #81 #6
Stuff RateStuff #72 #20
TackleTak -  #65
Oklahoma Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatOKLA OffAUB Def
Pass GamePass #97 #115
Pass SuccessPSuc #122 #34
Pass ExplPExl #105 #104
PPAExp #127 #63
Pass Block/RushP Blk #12 #46
F7 HavocF7 #129 #81
DB HavocDB #9 #77
Program Comparison
OKLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 86° - Wind: 12 mph
Rematch from Week 4
Oklahoma -6.5 (47.5)
Oklahoma won vs Auburn this year (24-17)

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma beat Auburn last year (24-17)
Oklahoma beat Auburn in 2024 (27-21)

  
AUB's OC Derrick Nix (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jackson Arnold (Tr)13621563%1309626.1
Ashton Daniels (Tr)6811957%797326.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Cobb17596955.546
Jackson Arnold (Tr)11231182.856
Ashton Daniels (Tr)6328024.426
Deuce Knight13178413.775
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Coleman57725512.746
Eric Singleton Jr. (Tr)5853439.248
Malcolm Simmons25457218.391
Perry Thompson1715409.134

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC D. J. Durkin (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Atkins (Tr)8417971
Robert Woodyard Jr.677251
Kaleb Harris502101
Keyron Crawford36105100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Atkins (Tr)8417971
Keyron Crawford36105100
Chris Murray (Tr)154410
Keldric Faulk275264
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kayin Lee310004
Jay Crawford151004
Keldric Faulk275264

OKLA's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
John Mateer (Tr)24739762%288514117.3
Michael Hawkins Jr.152756%167306.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tory Blaylock12048244.025
John Mateer (Tr)14943182.951
Xavier Robinson8342145.165
Jadyn Ott216803.212
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Sategna (Tr)65949814.687
Deion Burks57620410.945
Jaren Kanak44533012.148
Keontez Lewis (Tr)21243211.628

View Oklahoma's Full Roster

OKLA's DC Zac Alley (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kip Lewis7611444
Owen Heinecke7412324
Robert Spears-Jennings592002
Kendal Daniels (Tr)5410123
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taylor Wein3915761
R Mason Thomas2610731
Kip Lewis7611444
Gracen Halton337472
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Courtland Guillory411017
Peyton Bowen461017
Kip Lewis7611444