Liberty vs Oregon Game Matchup

Monday, January 1st 2024 (1:00 PM EST)
Oregon -18.5 (71.5) (-750) Open: -15.0 | 65.5
Oregon 45 - Liberty: 6 (Vrbo Fiesta Bowl)

Flames (13 - 1) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (29 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.7 - 3.3 (#7)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Oregon -16.5 (SP+ ORE -13)
Projected Score: LIB: 23 - ORE: 40 (53)
ORE Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
LIB Travel: 2317 miles, 3 hrs ahead

Ducks (12 - 2) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach Dan Lanning (13 - 3)
Avg Score : 35 - 19 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12.3 - 1.7 (#2)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
LIB Players
ORE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Liberty's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Liberty vs Bowling Green	-8.5	48.5	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Liberty vs New Mexico State	-9.0	54.5	W 33 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Liberty at Buffalo	-2.5	54.0	W 55 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Liberty at Florida International	-10.0	54.0	W 38 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/5	Liberty vs Sam Houston	-21.0	46.5	W 21 - 16	U	N
Tue 10/10	Liberty at Jacksonville State	-7.0	59.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Tue 10/17	Liberty vs Middle Tennessee	-16.0	56.5	W 42 - 35	O	N
Tue 10/24	Liberty at Western Kentucky	-4.0	61.5	W 42 - 29	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Liberty vs Louisiana Tech	-16.5	58.0	W 56 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Liberty vs Old Dominion	-13.5	58.5	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Liberty vs Massachusetts	-26.5	64.5	W 49 - 25	O	N
Sat 11/25	Liberty at UTEP	-18.0	54.5	W 42 - 28	O	N
Fri 12/1	Liberty vs New Mexico State	-10.5	54.0	W 49 - 35	O	Y
Mon 1/1	Liberty vs Oregon	+18.5	71.5	L 6 - 45	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule

Oregon's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Oregon vs Portland State	-48.0	64.5	W 81 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Oregon at Texas Tech	-4.5	70.0	W 38 - 30	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Oregon vs Hawai'i	-38.5	67.5	W 55 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Oregon vs Colorado	-21.0	70.0	W 42 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Oregon at Stanford	-27.0	59.5	W 42 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Oregon at Washington	+3.0	67.0	L 33 - 36	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Oregon vs Washington State	-19.5	60.5	W 38 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/28	Oregon at Utah	-6.5	47.5	W 35 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Oregon vs California	-26.5	61.5	W 63 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Oregon vs USC	-12.5	78.5	W 36 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/18	Oregon at Arizona State	-21.5	52.5	W 49 - 13	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Oregon vs Oregon State	-14.0	61.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Fri 12/1	Oregon vs Washington	-9.0	67.0	L 31 - 34	U	N
Mon 1/1	Oregon vs Liberty	-18.5	71.5	W 45 - 6	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LIB	.15	41%	28.8	46%	3.22	172	38%	217	3.61	.1	36%	23.5	38%	36%	3.57	53.5	2.1	2.2
ORE	.38	56%	34.9	58%	3.59	216	54%	285	4.4	.22	45%	19.4	45%	46%	4.15	57.2	0.9	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LIB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ORE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LIB Offense	13	28.8	28.8	41.4%	3.61	2.1	20	389	172	217	4.6	50%	48%	46%	38%	19%	.15
ORE Defense	13	19.4	19.6	45.3%	4.15	2	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	45%	46%	15%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LIB Defense	13	23.5	24.4	36.2%	3.57	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	38%	36%	20%	.1
ORE Offense	13	34.9	35.7	55.9%	4.4	0.9	26	501	216	285	5.5	53%	47%	58%	54%	11%	.38

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Liberty	13	28:37	20.4	37%	48%	6.2	53.5	2.1	2.2	8.4	3.2	1	31.3
Oregon	13	31:21	26.2	46%	63%	6.8	57.2	0.9	2	3.9	1.3	1	29.5

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LIB Offense	13	50%	46%	37.8	172.4	4.6	24	.17	3.22	68%	13%	1.05
ORE Defense	13	43%	45%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.02	68%	8%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LIB Defense	13	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.59	75%	14%	1.06
ORE Offense	13	53%	58%	39.1	215.7	5.5	34	.37	3.59	83%	6%	0.95

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LIB Offense	13	48%	38%	17.6	30.4	216.5	7.1	12.3	21	15	.22	1.6	31%	26%	.23	6%	2.2
ORE Defense	13	56%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.28	1.4	30%	37%	.48	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LIB Defense	13	47%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.19	1.7	36%	27%	.26	7%	2
ORE Offense	13	47%	54%	23.7	33.2	284.8	8.6	12	30	9	.4	1.4	25%	38%	.48	4%	1.9

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 6.67 #30
Liberty's Offense Rating: 29.14 #3
Liberty's Defense Rating: 7.34 #42
2023 Talent Rating: 398.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Liberty's 2023 Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30
Liberty's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #21
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #9
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 6.67 Oregon: 25.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 11.8 Oregon: 25.0

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 25.65 #2
Oregon's Offense Rating: 34.84 #2
Oregon's Defense Rating: 3.60 #18
2023 Talent Rating: 1080.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 63 #12
Oregon's 2023 Expected Record: 12.30 - 1.70
Oregon's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #5
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 45.0 #1
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #19

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Liberty Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Liberty's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon 40
Liberty 23

Projected Total Points: 53

Oregon Scoring
Offense: 34.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.7
Defense: 19.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Oregon's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	01/01	Oregon	45	Liberty	6	Oregon	Oregon -18.5	Oregon	71.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon	1	1	0 Overs
Liberty	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

Liberty Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Fiesta Bowl	Liberty vs Oregon	+18.5	71.5	L 6 - 45
2022	Raton Bowl	Liberty vs Toledo	+4.0	51.5	L 19 - 21
2021	Lendingtree Bowl	Liberty vs Eastern Michigan	-9.5	58.5	W 56 - 20
2020	Cure Bowl	Liberty vs Coastal Carolina	+6.5	60.0	W 37 - 34
2019	Cure Bowl	Liberty vs Georgia Southern	+5.0	59.0	W 23 - 16

Oregon Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Fiesta Bowl	Oregon vs Liberty	-18.5	71.5	W 45 - 6
2022	Holiday Bowl	Oregon vs North Carolina	-13.0	76.0	W 28 - 27
2021	Alamo Bowl	Oregon vs Oklahoma	+7.0	64.0	L 32 - 47
2020	Fiesta Bowl	Oregon vs Iowa State	+4.5	57.5	L 17 - 34
2019	Rose Bowl	Oregon vs Wisconsin	+3.0	53.0	W 28 - 27
2018	N/A	Oregon vs Michigan State	+1.0	47.0	W 7 - 6
2017	Vegas Bowl	Oregon vs Boise State	-7.0	63.0	L 28 - 38

(#30) Liberty Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.67 #30
Offense Rating: 29.14 #3
Defense Rating: 7.34 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #21
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51
Talent Rating: 398.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30

Team Profile

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Liberty has played in 6 Bowls in the last 5 years (3 - 3)
Liberty has played in 6 Bowls since 2000 (3 - 3)

Liberty Ratings Matchup Oregon

Power #30

Off #3

Def #42

#18

Talent #114

SP+ #21

SP+ Off #9

SP+ Def #51

#19

Rematch from Week 1
Oregon -18.5 (71.5)
Oregon won vs Liberty this year (45-6)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Liberty in 2023 (45-6)

Weather Forecast
Playing in State Farm Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 55°

Team Information
Injuries: LIB | ORE
Depth Chart: LIB | ORE
Rosters: LIB | ORE

(#2) Oregon Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 25.65 #2
Offense Rating: 34.84 #2
Defense Rating: 3.60 #18
Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #5
Offense SP+ Rating: 45.0 #1
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #19
Talent Rating: 1080.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 63 #12
Expected Record: 12.30 - 1.70

Team Profile

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Oregon has played in 2 CFP Playoff Games (0 - 2)
Oregon has played in 7 Bowls in the last 5 years (4 - 3)
Oregon has played in 24 Bowls since 2000 (12 - 12)

Liberty's OC Newland Isaac

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nate Hampton	2	9	22%	40	1	1	4.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quinton Cooley (Tr)	205	1254	13	6.1	44
Billy Lucas	123	720	5	5.9	55
Nate Hampton	1	7	0	7.0	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Treon Sibley	28	510	2	18.2	70
C.J. Daniels	42	480	0	11.4	34
Bentley Hanshaw	10	92	1	9.2	21
Billy Lucas	5	51	0	10.2	18

View Liberty's Full Roster

Liberty's DC Jack Curtis

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jerome Jolly Jr.	55	5	1	1	1
Kendy Charles	50	7	2	1	1
Jaylon Jimmerson	49	5	1	0	4
Aakil Washington	41	1	1	4	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryan Whitehead II	24	11	4	15	0
Kendy Charles	50	7	2	1	1
Quinton Reese	40	5	2	1	0
Jerome Jolly Jr.	55	5	1	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Preston Hodge	32	1	0	0	6
Jaylon Jimmerson	49	5	1	0	4
Aakil Washington	41	1	1	4	3

Oregon's OC Will Stein

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tez Johnson (Tr)	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan James	233	1267	15	5.4	41
Dante Dowdell	143	614	12	4.3	38
Jordan Burch (Tr)	1	36	0	36.0	36
Kris Hutson	4	28	1	7.0	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tez Johnson (Tr)	83	898	10	10.8	52
Traeshon Holden (Tr)	45	718	5	16.0	59
Kris Hutson	55	691	2	12.6	59
Terrance Ferguson	43	591	3	13.7	62

View Oregon's Full Roster

Oregon's DC Tosh Lupoi

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trikweze Bridges	68	1	0	0	5
Tysheem Johnson (Tr)	58	3	0	0	0
Jeffrey Bassa	51	3	2	2	2
Bryan Addison	43	1	0	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Burch (Tr)	29	11	9	4	5
Jake Shipley	24	3	2	4	0
Jeffrey Bassa	51	3	2	2	2
Jestin Jacobs (Tr)	27	4	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Dontae Manning	18	1	6
Trikweze Bridges	68	1	5
Bryan Addison	43	1	5