Ohio State at Oregon - 2024 Matchup Preview
Ohio State logo (#1)Ohio State Buckeyes vs Oregon Ducks(#5)Oregon logo
Wednesday, January 1st 2025 (5:00 PM EST)
Ohio State -2.5 (55.5) (0)  Open: -2.0 | 54.5
Ohio State 41 - Oregon: 21  (CFP Quarterfinal at the Rose Bowl Presented by Prudential)

 
Buckeyes (14 - 2) (10 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ryan Day (56 - 8)
Avg Score : 36 - 13 (30 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 14 - 2 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Ohio State -6  (SP+ OSU -5)

Projected Score: OSU: 30 - ORE: 24 (54)
OSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
OSU Travel: 2054 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Ducks (13 - 1) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (22 - 5)
Avg Score : 35 - 19 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 13 - 1 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ohio State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Ohio State vs Akron-50.558.5W 52 - 6UN
Sat 9/7 Ohio State vs Western Michigan-37.554.5W 56 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Ohio State vs Marshall-40.057.0W 49 - 14ON
Sat 9/28 Ohio State at Michigan State-23.548.5W 38 - 7UY
Sat 10/5 Ohio State vs Iowa-17.046.0W 35 - 7UY
Sat 10/12 Ohio State at Oregon-3.554.5L 31 - 32ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Ohio State vs Nebraska-25.048.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 11/2 Ohio State at Penn State-3.047.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 11/9 Ohio State vs Purdue-37.555.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 11/16 Ohio State vs Northwestern-28.043.5W 31 - 7UN
Sat 11/23 Ohio State vs Indiana-10.552.5W 38 - 15OY
Sat 11/30 Ohio State vs Michigan-20.541.5L 10 - 13UN
Sat 12/21 Ohio State vs Tennessee-7.547.0W 42 - 17OY
Wed 1/1 Ohio State vs Oregon-2.555.5W 41 - 21OY
Fri 1/10 Ohio State vs Texas-6.551.5W 28 - 14UY
Mon 1/20 Ohio State vs Notre Dame-8.545.5W 34 - 23OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule
Oregon's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Oregon vs Idaho-36.5
Sat 9/7 Oregon vs Boise State-17.560.5W 37 - 34ON
Sat 9/14 Oregon at Oregon State-16.050.0W 49 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Oregon at UCLA-23.554.5W 34 - 13UN
Fri 10/4 Oregon vs Michigan State-22.553.0W 31 - 10UN
Sat 10/12 Oregon vs Ohio State+3.554.5W 32 - 31OY
Fri 10/18 Oregon at Purdue-30.061.0W 35 - 0UY
Sat 10/26 Oregon vs Illinois-22.554.0W 38 - 9UY
Sat 11/2 Oregon at Michigan-14.545.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 11/9 Oregon vs Maryland-24.058.0W 39 - 18UN
Sat 11/16 Oregon at Wisconsin-13.549.5W 16 - 13UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30 Oregon vs Washington-17.550.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 12/7 Oregon vs Penn State-3.551.5W 45 - 37OY
Wed 1/1 Oregon vs Ohio State+2.555.5L 21 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU#1 (.43)52% (3)35.748% (19)3.37 (15)13756% (1)2114.6 (15)#2 (-.01)36% (7)12.939% (26)34% (8)2.05 (1)31.60.81.1
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)34.951% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)19.442% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU#1 (.43)52% (3)48% (19)3.37 (15)13756% (1)2114.6 (15)#2 (-.01)36% (7)39% (26)34% (8)2.05 (1)31.60.81.1
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)51% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)42% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Offense1635.729.751.8%4.60.817347137211549%50%48%56%12%.43
ORE Defense1419.419.637.7%3.681.2 - - - - - 48%51%42%34%20%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Defense1612.917.336.3%2.051.1 - - - - - 53%46%39%34%19%-.01
ORE Offense1434.935.750.8%4.680.8224181602584.851%49%51%50%9%.33

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio State1624:2716.942%70%3.431.60.81.15.12.4228.8
Oregon1428:3822.149%65%5.140.50.81.25.62.7129.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Offense1649% (77)48% (19)27.3136.8528 (25).31 (8)3.37 (15)76% (48)7% (7)1.11 (16)
ORE Defense1448% (39)42% (64) - - - - .15 (83)3.14 (89)85% (127)12% (23)0.97 (63)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Defense1653% (90)39% (26) - - - - .01 (15)2.9 (48)67% (33)13% (16)0.87 (20)
ORE Offense1451% (69)51% (11)33.4159.94.829 (18).24 (17)3.5 (8)81% (19)6% (4)0.89 (108)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Offense1650% (60)56% (1)16.723.4210.6912.631 (6)9 (48).58 (1)1.6 (70)27% (7)37% (12).55 (6)5% (42)2.1 (41)
ORE Defense1451% (94)34% (2) - - - - - - 12 (39).09 (12)1.5 (50)37% (8)26% (15).17 (15)8% (5)1.9 (34)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Defense1646% (35)34% (8) - - - - - - 9 (76).02 (2)1.5 (28)32% (74)30% (66).16 (13)6% (61)1.7 (6)
ORE Offense1449% (66)50% (6)21.929.9258.18.711.828 (15)6 (10).44 (7)1.5 (83)27% (9)40% (2).59 (3)3% (3)2.1 (32)

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 32.14  #1
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 29.14  #5
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -3.55  #1
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 75%  #2
Ohio State's 2024 Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0
Ohio State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.2  #1
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5  #3
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.2  #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 32.14   Oregon: 25.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 31.2   Oregon: 26.0




Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 25.7  #2
Oregon's Offense Rating: 29.52  #4
Oregon's Defense Rating: 4.01  #19
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 54  #8
Oregon's 2024 Expected Record: 13.0 - 1.0
Oregon's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0  #3
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.8  #2
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.3  #14

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.7
Defense: 12.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.3

Ohio State's 2024 Record
Record: 14 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 9
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio State 30
Oregon 24


Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Oregon 27
Ohio State 25

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Ohio State 26
Oregon 25

Total Points: 51
Oregon Scoring
Offense: 34.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.7
Defense: 19.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Oregon's 2024 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Oregon32Ohio State31Ohio State -3.5Oregon54.5Over
202401/01Oregon21Ohio State41Ohio State -2.5Ohio State55.5Over
202109/11Ohio State28Oregon35Ohio State -14.5Oregon65.0Under
201401/12Ohio State42Oregon20Oregon -5.5Ohio State72.0Under
200901/01Oregon17Ohio State26
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon222 Overs
Ohio State322 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 32 - 20 - 12 - 1
Road Teams3 - 22 - 21 - 21 - 0

Ohio State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024CFP Nat'l Title Ohio State vs Notre Dame-8.545.5W 34 - 23
2024CFP Semifinal Ohio State vs Texas-6.551.5W 28 - 14
2024CFP Quarterfinal Ohio State vs Oregon-2.555.5W 41 - 21
2024CFP 1st Round Ohio State vs Tennessee-7.547.0W 42 - 17
2023Cotton Bowl Ohio State vs Missouri-4.051.0L 3 - 14
2022CFP Semifinal Ohio State vs Georgia+5.562.0L 41 - 42
2021Rose Bowl Ohio State vs Utah-4.564.5W 48 - 45
2020CFP Nat'l Title Ohio State vs Alabama+9.575.0L 24 - 52
2020CFP Semifinal Ohio State vs Clemson+7.566.5W 49 - 28
2019CFP Semifinal Ohio State vs Clemson+3.063.5L 23 - 29
2018Rose Bowl Ohio State vs Washington-5.555.5W 28 - 23
Oregon Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024CFP Quarterfinal Oregon vs Ohio State+2.555.5L 21 - 41
2023Fiesta Bowl Oregon vs Liberty-18.571.5W 45 - 6
2022Holiday Bowl Oregon vs North Carolina-13.076.0W 28 - 27
2021Alamo Bowl Oregon vs Oklahoma+7.064.0L 32 - 47
2020Fiesta Bowl Oregon vs Iowa State+4.557.5L 17 - 34
2019Rose Bowl Oregon vs Wisconsin+3.053.0W 28 - 27
2018N/A Oregon vs Michigan State+1.047.0W 7 - 6
  
(#1) OSU at (#2) ORE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOSUORE
Power RatePwr #1 #2
SP+SP+ #1 #3
Perf GradeGrade #2 #4
OffenseOff #5 #9
DefenseDef #2 #4
Spec TeamsST #11 #26
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #2 #8
Ohio State Notes
(12/17) QB's Noland (Fr) & Brown (Jr) left via portal
(12/1) Off awful, Rgame abysmal, Howard 2 Int in UM L
(12/1) 20 mil roster, still can't beat U. Coaching fail
(11/24) Mauled IU, D held to 153 yds. Off was OK
(11/19) Starting C McLaughlin out for season (ACL)
(11/18) Flat start vs NW, Howard OK, Rgame just OK
(11/3) OL was great considering injuries. Rgame beat PSU
(11/2) Def owned Penn St. Howard tough, Rgame alive
(10/26) Backup LT went down in Nebraska game
(10/22) Starting LT Simmons out for season
(10/12) Def torched by Oregon. Judkins/Downs vanished
(10/6) B2B drubbings (MSU/Iowa). Top #s, Rzone esp
Ohio State Injury Report
Oregon Notes
(11/18) Rgame bad vs Wisc, Gabriel OK, missed WR Tez
(11/4) Tez Johnson inj (Mich), out weeks, not year
(10/27) Rgame mauled Illinois, 229 yds, 5.9 ypc in blowout
(10/19) Rgame bad vs Purdue, Run Def bad, still shutout
(10/12) Off torched Ohio St. Gabriel/Rgame great
(9/14) Dominanted Beavs. 240 yds rushing, Gabriel good
(9/9) OL & DL are a big issue, outgained by Boise but won
(9/1) Run game a big ? after 2.9 YPC vs Idaho.
(8/4) Gabriel perfect for Off, can lines play B1G ball?
(8/4) Lots of travel weeks 7-11, 3 MW/cold trips
(7/30) Portal QBs Gabriel(UCF)/Moore(UCLA), WR Stewart
(7/30) DL & DB's both PFF top 10, but 4/5 DBs are portals.
Oregon Injury Report
Ohio State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
OSU OffORE Def
Perf GradePerf #5 #4
SuccessSuc #3 #18
ExplosiveExp #17 #43
PPAPPA #1 #33
PowerPwr #5 #19
SP+SP+ #3 #14
Pts POPPO #15 #59
HavocHav #14 #9
Ohio State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
OSU OffORE Def
Run GameRun #19 #33
Run SuccessRSuc #19 #64
Run ExplRExp #16 #63
PPAExp #8 #83
Run BlockR Blk #29 -
OL YdsOLY #15 #89
Stuff RateStuff #48 #117
TackleTak -  #8
Ohio State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
OSU OffORE Def
Pass GamePass #18 #4
Pass SuccessPSuc #1 #2
Pass ExplPExl #70 #50
PPAExp #1 #12
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #97 #7
F7 HavocF7 #7 #23
DB HavocDB #42 #5
Oregon on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatORE OffOSU Def
Perf GradePerf #9 #2
SuccessSuc #5 #7
ExplosiveExp #107 #15
PPAPPA #7 #2
PowerPwr #4 #1
SP+SP+ #2 #1
Pts POPPO #10 #1
HavocHav #2 #22
Oregon Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ORE OffOSU Def
Run GameRun #11 #3
Run SuccessRSuc #11 #26
Run ExplRExp #108 #20
PPAExp #17 #15
Run BlockR Blk #26 -
OL YdsOLY #8 #48
Stuff RateStuff #10 #97
TackleTak -  #12
Oregon Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatORE OffOSU Def
Pass GamePass #10 #7
Pass SuccessPSuc #6 #8
Pass ExplPExl #83 #28
PPAExp #7 #2
Pass Block/RushP Blk #21 #18
F7 HavocF7 #4 #16
DB HavocDB #3 #61
Program Comparison
ORE 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'25 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rose Bowl
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 68° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Ohio State 2.5 (55.5)
Ohio State won at Oregon this year (41-21)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Oregon last year (41-21)

  
OSU's OC Chip Kelly (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Howard (Tr)30942373%401035109.5
Devin Brown112055%114105.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinshon Judkins (Tr)1941060145.586
TreVeyon Henderson1441016107.166
Will Howard (Tr)10522672.219
James Peoples4919724.018
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Smith7613151517.370
Emeka Egbuka8110111012.568
Carnell Tate52733414.140
TreVeyon Henderson27284110.575

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Jim Knowles (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cody Simon11213707
Sonny Styles10011605
Caleb Downs (Tr)818116
Lathan Ransom759112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J.T. Tuimoloau61221353
Jack Sawyer599986
Cody Simon11213707
Sonny Styles10011605
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davison Igbinosun452009
Jordan Hancock482118
Cody Simon11213707

ORE's OC Will Stein (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dillon Gabriel (Tr)32644773%38573068.6
Dante Moore (Tr)7888%49006.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan James2331267155.441
Noah Whittington11854064.628
Dillon Gabriel (Tr)7514972.054
Da'Jaun Riggs118217.524
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tez Johnson838981010.852
Traeshon Holden45718516.059
Evan Stewart (Tr)48613512.869
Terrance Ferguson43591313.762

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC Tosh Lupoi (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Boettcher877204
Tysheem Johnson583000
Kobe Savage (Tr)573001
Teitum Tuioti538631
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matayo Uiagalelei3711961
Jordan Burch2911945
Teitum Tuioti538631
Derrick Harmon (Tr)43115102
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)3810010
Dontae Manning181006
Jordan Burch2911945