Oklahoma State at Oregon - 2025 Matchup Preview
Oklahoma State logo Oklahoma State Cowboys at Oregon DucksOregon logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Autzen Stadium - Eugene, OR

 
Cowboys (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (169 - 88)
Avg Score : 27 - 36 (24 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#100)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 2)
ORE 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Oregon -30.5   (SP+ ORE -24)

Projected Score: OKST: 14 - ORE: 44 (58)
ORE Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
OKST Travel: 1472 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Ducks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (35 - 5)
Avg Score : 35 - 19 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.7 - 1.3 (#2)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
 
Oklahoma State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Oklahoma State vs UT Martin-22
Sat 9/6 Oklahoma State at Oregon+30.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Oklahoma State vs Tulsa-19
Sat 9/27 Oklahoma State vs Baylor+8.5
Sat 10/4 Oklahoma State at Arizona+1.5
Sat 10/11 Oklahoma State vs Houston-0.5
Sat 10/18 Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati+3
Sat 10/25 Oklahoma State at Texas Tech+16
Sat 11/1 Oklahoma State at Kansas+7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Oklahoma State vs Kansas State+14
Sat 11/22 Oklahoma State at UCF+2.5
Sat 11/29 Oklahoma State vs Iowa State+10

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule
Oregon's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oregon vs Montana State-50
Sat 9/6 Oregon vs Oklahoma State-30.5
Sat 9/13 Oregon vs Northwestern-26
Sat 9/20 Oregon vs Oregon State-32.5
Sat 9/27 Oregon at Penn State+5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Oregon vs Indiana-16.5
Sat 10/18 Oregon at Rutgers-17.5
Sat 10/25 Oregon vs Wisconsin-21.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Oregon at Iowa-12.5
Sat 11/15 Oregon vs Minnesota-19.5
Sat 11/22 Oregon vs USC-18
Sat 11/29 Oregon at Washington-16

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKST#52 (.21)43% (63)27.243% (86)2.79 (107)11444% (47)2654.22 (42)#131 (.34)46% (109)35.647% (107)44% (108)3.93 (82)43.21.81.3
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)34.951% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)19.442% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ORE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKST Offense1227.223.543.1%4.221.8203791142653.942%58%43%44%15%.21
ORE Defense1419.419.637.7%3.681.2 - - - - - 48%51%42%34%20%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKST Defense1235.636.345.6%3.931.3 - - - - - 50%50%47%44%15%.34
ORE Offense1434.935.750.8%4.680.8224181602584.851%49%51%50%9%.33

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oklahoma State1227:0320.435%65%543.21.81.35.52.1127.1
Oregon1428:3822.149%65%5.140.50.81.25.62.7129.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKST Offense1242% (117)43% (86)29.4114.23.918 (78).04 (109)2.79 (107)74% (61)7% (19)0.87 (119)
ORE Defense1448% (39)42% (64) - - - - .15 (83)3.14 (89)85% (127)12% (23)0.97 (63)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKST Defense1250% (65)47% (107) - - - - .31 (133)3.43 (126)73% (68)8% (112)1.25 (133)
ORE Offense1451% (69)51% (11)33.4159.94.829 (18).24 (17)3.5 (8)81% (19)6% (4)0.89 (108)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKST Offense1258% (17)44% (47)22.337.5264.77.111.922 (46)17 (127).34 (30)1.6 (67)31% (66)31% (82).32 (77)7% (109)1.9 (99)
ORE Defense1451% (94)34% (2) - - - - - - 12 (39).09 (12)1.5 (50)37% (8)26% (15).17 (15)8% (5)1.9 (34)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKST Defense1250% (73)44% (108) - - - - - - 12 (39).37 (123)1.8 (124)32% (56)36% (119).46 (120)6% (53)2.1 (88)
ORE Offense1449% (66)50% (6)21.929.9258.18.711.828 (15)6 (10).44 (7)1.5 (83)27% (9)40% (2).59 (3)3% (3)2.1 (32)

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: -3.60 #76
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 13.89 #68
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 17.49 #83
2025 Talent Rating: 814.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #70
Oklahoma State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Oklahoma State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #58
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #39
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #84

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 769.5
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: -3.60   Oregon: 29.13

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: 0.9   Oregon: 24.7




Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 29.13 #6
Oregon's Offense Rating: 29.62 #5
Oregon's Defense Rating: 1.06 #11
2025 Talent Rating: 1124.00 #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 60 #5
Oregon's 2025 Expected Record: 10.7 - 1.3
Oregon's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.7 #7
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #4
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 886.56
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74


Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.5
Defense: 35.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.3

Oklahoma State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 44
Oklahoma State 14


Projected Total Points: 58
Oregon Scoring
Offense: 34.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.7
Defense: 19.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Oregon's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
200812/30Oregon42Oklahoma State31Oregon
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon100 Overs
Oklahoma State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#76) Oklahoma State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.60 #76
Offense Rating: 13.89 #68
Defense Rating: 17.49 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #39
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #84
Talent Rating: 814.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #70
Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 46%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Oklahoma State Notes
(5/23) Def added 18 portals, 9 DL, 3 LB, 6 DB. Improve?
(5/23) Need to see Off because it looks bad on paper
(5/23) RB bad LY. Can Brock (Ga St)/Hicks (OU) help?
(5/23) WR rebuild. Took 5 portals. Some talent
(5/23) OL rebuild 0/5 back. 7 not so great portals
(5/11) OL exp ranked #60 & 94% of that is from portals
(3/22) QBs Hejny (TCU)? came w/ OC Meacham
(3/19) 3rd & Grantham comes to Stillwater
(3/19) Not sure Gundy survives this roster
Oklahoma State     Ratings Matchup     Oregon
Power #76
#6
Off #68
#5
Def #83
#11
Talent #43
#2
SP+ #58
#7
SP+ Off #39
#4
SP+ Def #84
#11

Weather Forecast
Playing in Autzen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: OKST | ORE
Depth Chart: OKST | ORE
Rosters: OKST | ORE
(#6) Oregon Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 29.13 #6
Offense Rating: 29.62 #5
Defense Rating: 1.06 #11
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.7 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #4
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #11
Talent Rating: 1124.00 #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 60 #5
Expected Record: 10.7 - 1.3

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.68 PPO
Great Run Success 51%
Great Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Oregon Notes
(6/6) Def needs replacements, DL still near top 10 unit
(6/5) WR Evan Stewart tore knee, out for '25 season
(6/5) WR rebuild w/o Stewart. Benson (FSU) must hit
(5/23) Safeties Thieneman & Lopa a top duo in CFB
(5/11) 64% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/7) Still great, but step back. CFP team, not natty
(4/7) Iapani Laloulu (C)/TE Sadiq top 10 via PFF
(3/28) Fr WR Moore a weapon that will play early
(3/28) S Thieneman (Pur) a huge sign, NFL talent
(3/22) TE Sadiq (SO) a weapon, ascends to #1 TY


  
Oklahoma State's OC Doug Meacham
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Shamar Rigby (Tr)11100%8008.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Freddie Brock (Tr)15181985.457
Trenten Howland4123015.623
Sesi Vailahi429922.411
Rodney Fields Jr.219914.722
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylen Lloyd (Tr)13255019.659
Talyn Shettron12245120.478
Oscar Hammond (Tr)19238112.538
Freddie Brock (Tr)2116617.931

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster
Oklahoma State's DC Todd Grantham
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan McCoy (Tr)1203032
Darius Thomas (Tr)547430
Parker Robertson492001
Kyran Duhon (Tr)437702
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyran Duhon (Tr)437702
Darius Thomas (Tr)547430
Taje Mccoy (Tr)244420
Iman Oates253211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cam Smith341007
Kale Smith310005
Mordecai McDaniel (Tr)422113

Oregon's OC Will Stein
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dante Moore7888%49006.1
Austin Novosad22100%7003.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Makhi Hughes (Tr)2431306155.451
Noah Whittington11854064.628
Da'Jaun Riggs118217.524
Jayden Limar257102.811
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Evan Stewart48613512.869
Malik Benson (Tr)25311112.467
Kenyon Sadiq24308212.839
Justius Lowe2120319.734

View Oregon's Full Roster
Oregon's DC Tosh Lupoi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dillon Thieneman (Tr)1045106
Bryce Boettcher877204
Kobe Savage573001
Teitum Tuioti538631
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matayo Uiagalelei3711961
Teitum Tuioti538631
Bryce Boettcher877204
Devon Jackson403212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jadon Canady (Tr)3830011
Theran Johnson (Tr)5340010
Dillon Thieneman (Tr)1045106