Wisconsin at Oregon - 2025 Matchup Preview
Wisconsin logo   Wisconsin Badgers at Oregon Ducks  Oregon logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Oregon -31.5 (44.5) (0)  Open: -33.5
Oregon 21 - Wisconsin: 7  (Big Ten)

 
Badgers (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (13 - 13)
Avg Score : 13 - 22 (9 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Rain Shower Predicted
Wind: 12.4 MPH
WIS is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Oregon -30.5  (SP+ ORE -30)

Projected Score: WIS: 7 - ORE: 38 (45)
ORE Win prob: 97% | Cover: 39%
WIS Travel: 1675 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Ducks (13 - 2) (9 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (35 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (43 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.9 - 1.1 (#7)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
Wisconsin's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Wisconsin vs Miami (OH)-17.540.5W 17 - 0UN
Sat 9/6 Wisconsin vs Middle Tennessee-28.545.5W 42 - 10OY
Sat 9/13 Wisconsin at Alabama+17.545.5L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/20 Wisconsin vs Maryland-10.544.5L 10 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Wisconsin at Michigan+17.542.5L 10 - 24UY
Sat 10/11 Wisconsin vs Iowa+5.537.5L 0 - 37UN
Sat 10/18 Wisconsin vs Ohio State+24.541.5L 0 - 34UN
Sat 10/25 Wisconsin at Oregon+31.544.5L 7 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Wisconsin vs Washington+10.544.5W 13 - 10UY
Sat 11/15 Wisconsin at Indiana+28.543.5L 7 - 31UY
Sat 11/22 Wisconsin vs Illinois+8.542.5W 27 - 10UY
Sat 11/29 Wisconsin at Minnesota-2.538.5L 7 - 17UN

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule
Oregon's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oregon vs Montana State-28.056.5W 59 - 13OY
Sat 9/6 Oregon vs Oklahoma State-28.555.5W 69 - 3OY
Sat 9/13 Oregon at Northwestern-25.550.5W 34 - 14UN
Sat 9/20 Oregon vs Oregon State-33.558.5W 41 - 7UY
Sat 9/27 Oregon at Penn State+4.552.5W 30 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Oregon vs Indiana-7.051.5L 20 - 30UN
Sat 10/18 Oregon at Rutgers-17.562.5W 56 - 10OY
Sat 10/25 Oregon vs Wisconsin-31.544.5W 21 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Oregon at Iowa-4.541.5W 18 - 16UN
Fri 11/14 Oregon vs Minnesota-26.545.5W 42 - 13OY
Sat 11/22 Oregon vs USC-10.559.5W 42 - 27OY
Sat 11/29 Oregon at Washington-6.551.5W 26 - 14UY
Sat 12/20 Oregon vs James Madison-22.547.5W 51 - 34ON
Thu 1/1 Oregon vs Texas Tech+1.550.5W 23 - 0UY
Fri 1/9 Oregon vs Indiana+3.050.5L 22 - 56ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIS#97 (.14)42% (73)12.846% (39)3.16 (46)15438% (107)1974.02 (57)#80 (.18)43% (88)21.645% (86)42% (81)4.17 (105)37.51.51
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)36.951% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)17.942% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ORE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIS Offense1212.8942.2%4.021.5193511541974.451%49%46%38%17%.14
ORE Defense1417.916.837.7%3.681.2 - - - - - 48%51%42%34%20%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIS Defense1221.626.243.4%4.171 - - - - - 54%45%45%42%12%.18
ORE Offense1436.943.150.8%4.680.8224181602584.851%49%51%50%9%.33

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wisconsin1229:2118.836%60%5.337.51.513.51.4027.7
Oregon1428:3822.149%65%5.140.50.81.25.62.7129.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIS Offense1251% (70)46% (39)34.9154.14.419 (73).12 (75)3.16 (46)75% (58)8% (37)0.8 (129)
ORE Defense1448% (39)42% (64) - - - - .15 (83)3.14 (89)85% (127)12% (23)0.97 (63)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIS Defense1254% (110)45% (86) - - - - .15 (81)3.27 (105)68% (36)7% (130)0.97 (60)
ORE Offense1451% (69)51% (11)33.4159.94.829 (18).24 (17)3.5 (8)81% (19)6% (4)0.89 (108)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIS Offense1249% (65)38% (107)17.330.4196.76.511.414 (108)10 (63).16 (102)1.5 (100)30% (34)27% (111).15 (128)9% (132)1.8 (122)
ORE Defense1451% (94)34% (2) - - - - - - 12 (39).09 (12)1.5 (50)37% (8)26% (15).17 (15)8% (5)1.9 (34)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIS Defense1245% (22)42% (81) - - - - - - 4 (125).25 (76)1.3 (5)28% (123)28% (32).24 (42)5% (92)1.8 (19)
ORE Offense1449% (66)50% (6)21.929.9258.18.711.828 (15)6 (10).44 (7)1.5 (83)27% (9)40% (2).59 (3)3% (3)2.1 (32)

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 2.89  #55
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 10.00  #87
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 7.11  #31
2025 Talent Rating: 866.00  #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 24%  #24
Wisconsin's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wisconsin's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4  #85
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.4  #122
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9  #34

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 2.89   Oregon: 29.77

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: -4.4   Oregon: 25.9




Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 29.77  #4
Oregon's Offense Rating: 26.92  #4
Oregon's Defense Rating: -1.84  #4
2025 Talent Rating: 1128.00  #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 67  #5
Oregon's 2025 Expected Record: 11.9 - 1.1
Oregon's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.9  #4
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.7  #10
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.5  #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 12.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 9
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

Wisconsin's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 38
Wisconsin 7


Projected Total Points: 45
Oregon Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.1
Defense: 17.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

Oregon's 2025 Record
Record: 13 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Oregon21Wisconsin7Oregon -31.5Wisconsin44.5Under
202411/16Wisconsin13Oregon16Oregon -13.5Wisconsin49.5Under
201901/01Wisconsin27Oregon28Wisconsin -3Oregon53.0Over
201101/02Oregon45Wisconsin38
200109/01Oregon31Wisconsin28
200009/08Wisconsin27Oregon23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon511 Overs
Wisconsin122 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 21 - 20 - 21 - 0
Road Teams2 - 42 - 10 - 12 - 0

(#55) WIS at (#4) ORE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWISORE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #55 #4
SP+SP+ #85 #4
Perf GradeGrade #101 #4
OffenseOff #125 #4
DefenseDef #43 #7
Spec TeamsST #22 #14
TalentTal #35 #3
Blue ChipsBC% #24 #5
Wisconsin Notes
(11/10) Fr LB Mason Posa was unreal vs Wash. Big future
(11/6) Fickell will return in '26. NIL $ coming
(10/12) Tire fire. Off has scored 34 pts vs four P4 teams
(10/8) QB O'Neil 3rd string now? Edwards (inj), Simmons #2
(10/4) QB1 is now Hunter Simmons, looks better than others
(9/20) Run Off pitiful, Pass Def bad vs MD. Bad loss
(9/18) QB1 Edwards game time decision for MD
(8/30) Run game bad vs M-OH, QBs bad, Def great
(5/17) DL was portal focus, 7 adds, DE big need
(5/15) LT Heywood out for season (ACL), big loss
(5/15) DB looks light on bodies, CB could be 2 portals?
(4/18) RBs Dupree & rFr Jones decent combo, depth?
Wisconsin Injury Report
Oregon Notes
(12/1) OC Will Stein hired as HC of Kentucky
(11/27) Bullied USC, not as bad as it looks. Pass Def torched
(11/27) Ducks dealing w/ a lot of injuries at OL & WR
(10/11) Bullied by IU, just 267 yds, 3-14 on 3rd, 2 TOs
(9/30) RB Dierre Hill looks like the best one, great depth
(9/23) OL playing great, QB Moore looks like a big hit
(9/23) Stats off charts vs cupcakes, real season starts
(6/6) OL rebuild 1/5, 3 big portals, a top 10 OL
(6/6) Def needs replacements, DL still near top 10 unit
(6/5) WR Evan Stewart tore knee, out for '25 season
(6/5) WR rebuild w/o Stewart. Benson (FSU) must hit
(5/23) Safeties Thieneman & Lopa a top duo in CFB
Oregon Injury Report
Wisconsin on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
WIS OffORE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #125 #7
SuccessSuc #73 #18
ExplosiveExp #130 #43
PPAPPA #97 #33
PowerPwr #87 #4
SP+SP+ #122 #5
Pts POPPO #57 #59
HavocHav #90 #9
Wisconsin Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
WIS OffORE Def
Run GameRun #122 #29
Run SuccessRSuc #39 #64
Run ExplRExp #129 #63
PPAExp #75 #83
Run BlockR Blk #100 -
OL YdsOLY #46 #89
Stuff RateStuff #43 #117
TackleTak -  #7
Wisconsin Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
WIS OffORE Def
Pass GamePass #135 #5
Pass SuccessPSuc #107 #2
Pass ExplPExl #100 #50
PPAExp #102 #12
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #84 #10
F7 HavocF7 #37 #23
DB HavocDB #132 #5
Oregon on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatORE OffWIS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #4 #43
SuccessSuc #5 #88
ExplosiveExp #107 #11
PPAPPA #7 #80
PowerPwr #4 #31
SP+SP+ #10 #34
Pts POPPO #10 #105
HavocHav #2 #124
Oregon Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ORE OffWIS Def
Run GameRun #2 #38
Run SuccessRSuc #11 #86
Run ExplRExp #108 #60
PPAExp #17 #81
Run BlockR Blk #23 -
OL YdsOLY #8 #105
Stuff RateStuff #10 #86
TackleTak -  #66
Oregon Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatORE OffWIS Def
Pass GamePass #2 #100
Pass SuccessPSuc #6 #81
Pass ExplPExl #83 #5
PPAExp #7 #76
Pass Block/RushP Blk #2 #36
F7 HavocF7 #4 #130
DB HavocDB #3 #92
Program Comparison
ORE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

WIS 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Autzen Stadium
Conditions: Rain Shower
Temp: 51° - Wind: 12 mph
Rematch from Week 9
Oregon -31.5 (44.5)
Oregon won vs Wisconsin this year (21-7)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Wisconsin last year (21-7)
Oregon beat Wisconsin in 2024 (16-13)

  
WIS's OC Jeff Grimes (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hunter Simmons6211853%664275.6
Danny O'Neil (Tr)619068%635557.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darrion Dupree8336324.484
Dilin Jones7630023.916
Gideon Ituka6025504.318
Trech Kekahuna1412919.261
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lance Mason (Tr)30398413.345
Vinny Anthony31391112.667
Trech Kekahuna2621108.145
Jayden Ballard (Tr)7150221.458

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Mike Tressel (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mason Posa574424
Cooper Catalano565111
Matthew Jung491000
Christian Alliegro488401
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darryl Peterson3312733
Mason Reiger (Tr)326541
Mason Posa574424
Christian Alliegro488401
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ricardo Hallman271005
Mason Posa574424
Austin Brown410003

ORE's OC Will Stein (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dante Moore29641272%356530108.7
Brock Thomas121675%130108.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Noah Whittington12982966.468
Jordon Davison112667156.067
Dierre Hill Jr.7565658.771
Jayden Limar4626235.753
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malik Benson (Tr)43719616.764
Kenyon Sadiq51560811.030
Jeremiah McClellan38557314.751
Jamari Johnson (Tr)32510315.956

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC Tosh Lupoi (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Boettcher1326155
Dillon Thieneman (Tr)924115
Aaron Flowers691013
Teitum Tuioti68161075
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Teitum Tuioti68161075
Matayo Uiagalelei3410673
Nasir Wyatt114310
Blake Purchase325251
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Finney Jr.423107
Jerry Mixon574147
A'Mauri Washington335257