Oregon State at Oregon - 2025 Matchup Preview
Oregon State logo Oregon State Beavers at Oregon DucksOregon logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Autzen Stadium - Eugene, OR

 
Beavers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Trent Bray (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (17 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 (#48)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
ORST 2nd straight Road Game
ORE is playing their 4th straight game
ORST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Oregon -32.5   (SP+ ORE -27)
Projected Score: ORST: 10 - ORE: 42 (54)
ORE Win prob: 97% | Cover: 46%
ORST Travel: 36 miles
Ducks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (35 - 5)
Avg Score : 35 - 19 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.7 - 1.3 (#2)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
 
Oregon State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oregon State vs California-3.051.5
Sat 9/6 Oregon State vs Fresno State-6
Sat 9/13 Oregon State at Texas Tech+18
Sat 9/20 Oregon State at Oregon+32.5
Sat 9/27 Oregon State vs Houston+1.5
Sat 10/4 Oregon State at App State-8
Sat 10/11 Oregon State vs Wake Forest-6
Sat 10/18 Oregon State vs Lafayette-20
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Oregon State vs Washington State-9.5
Sat 11/8 Oregon State vs Sam Houston-17
Sat 11/15 Oregon State at Tulsa-12
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Oregon State at Washington State-4.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
Oregon's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oregon vs Montana State-50
Sat 9/6 Oregon vs Oklahoma State-30.5
Sat 9/13 Oregon vs Northwestern-26
Sat 9/20 Oregon vs Oregon State-32.5
Sat 9/27 Oregon at Penn State+5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Oregon vs Indiana-16.5
Sat 10/18 Oregon at Rutgers-17.5
Sat 10/25 Oregon vs Wisconsin-21.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Oregon at Iowa-12.5
Sat 11/15 Oregon vs Minnesota-19.5
Sat 11/22 Oregon vs USC-18
Sat 11/29 Oregon at Washington-16

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST#87 (.16)44% (59)24.347% (25)3.34 (20)18939% (100)2013.87 (75)#117 (.27)48% (125)29.950% (126)45% (112)4.35 (117)45.71.31
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)34.951% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)19.442% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ORE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Offense1224.316.643.6%3.871.3223911892014.755%45%47%39%15%.16
ORE Defense1419.419.637.7%3.681.2 - - - - - 48%51%42%34%20%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Defense1229.929.648%4.351 - - - - - 56%44%50%45%13%.27
ORE Offense1434.935.750.8%4.680.8224181602584.851%49%51%50%9%.33

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon State1233:0922.344%52%5.145.71.313.80.6124.9
Oregon1428:3822.149%65%5.140.50.81.25.62.7129.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Offense1255% (33)47% (25)40.3189.24.729 (18).22 (25)3.34 (20)76% (46)9% (50)0.97 (65)
ORE Defense1448% (39)42% (64) - - - - .15 (83)3.14 (89)85% (127)12% (23)0.97 (63)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Defense1256% (125)50% (126) - - - - .23 (120)3.39 (123)81% (114)8% (122)0.96 (55)
ORE Offense1451% (69)51% (11)33.4159.94.829 (18).24 (17)3.5 (8)81% (19)6% (4)0.89 (108)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Offense1245% (101)39% (100)1830201.46.711.27 (130)11 (72).09 (125)1.4 (123)28% (20)31% (78).16 (123)6% (84)1.8 (124)
ORE Defense1451% (94)34% (2) - - - - - - 12 (39).09 (12)1.5 (50)37% (8)26% (15).17 (15)8% (5)1.9 (34)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Defense1244% (13)45% (112) - - - - - - 5 (117).31 (104)1.5 (41)27% (126)33% (102).46 (121)6% (75)2.1 (70)
ORE Offense1449% (66)50% (6)21.929.9258.18.711.828 (15)6 (10).44 (7)1.5 (83)27% (9)40% (2).59 (3)3% (3)2.1 (32)

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -4.25 #79
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 13.86 #69
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 18.11 #88
2025 Talent Rating: 758.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #70
Oregon State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8
Oregon State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.4 #73
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #56
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #85

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 669
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -4.25   Oregon: 29.13

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -2.4   Oregon: 24.7




Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 29.13 #6
Oregon's Offense Rating: 29.62 #5
Oregon's Defense Rating: 1.06 #11
2025 Talent Rating: 1124.00 #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 60 #5
Oregon's 2025 Expected Record: 10.7 - 1.3
Oregon's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.7 #7
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #4
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 886.56
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74


Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.6
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.6

Oregon State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 42
Oregon State 10

Projected Total Points: 54
Oregon Scoring
Offense: 34.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.7
Defense: 19.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Oregon's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14Oregon State14Oregon49OregonOregon -16Oregon50.0Over
202311/24Oregon31Oregon State7OregonOregon -14Oregon61.5Under
202211/26Oregon State38Oregon34Oregon StateOregon State -1Oregon State57.0Over
202111/27Oregon38Oregon State29OregonOregon -7.5Oregon61.5Over
202011/27Oregon State41Oregon38Oregon StateOregon -13Oregon State64.5Over
201911/30Oregon24Oregon State10OregonOregon -20.5Oregon State65.5Under
201811/23Oregon State15Oregon55OregonOregon -18Oregon71.0Under
201711/25Oregon69Oregon State10OregonOregon -25.5Oregon63.0Over
201611/26Oregon State34Oregon24Oregon StateOregon -3Oregon State69.0Under
201511/27Oregon52Oregon State42OregonOregon -30Oregon State71.5Over
201411/29Oregon State19Oregon47OregonOregon -17.5Oregon0
201311/29Oregon36Oregon State35OregonOregon -21Oregon State0
201211/24Oregon State24Oregon48Oregon
201111/26Oregon49Oregon State21Oregon
201012/04Oregon State20Oregon37Oregon
200912/03Oregon37Oregon State33Oregon
200811/29Oregon State38Oregon65Oregon
200712/01Oregon31Oregon State38Oregon State
200611/24Oregon State30Oregon28Oregon State
200511/19Oregon56Oregon State14Oregon
200411/20Oregon State50Oregon21Oregon State
200311/22Oregon34Oregon State20Oregon
200112/01Oregon17Oregon State14Oregon
200011/17Oregon State23Oregon13Oregon State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon1766 Overs
Oregon State764 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams17 - 76 - 64 - 32 - 3
Road Teams7 - 176 - 63 - 23 - 4

(#79) Oregon State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.25 #79
Offense Rating: 13.86 #69
Defense Rating: 18.11 #88
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.4 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #56
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #85
Talent Rating: 758.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #70
Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.35 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Oregon State Notes
(5/10) QB G Johnson is fast and will get packages
(5/10) OL is a big concern. Depth, Spring injuries
(5/10) Big TEs, but looking for deep ball w/ WR core
(5/10) DC Heyward left for Cal DBs? Bray will DC TY
(5/10) Schedule really front loaded, rough start
(5/10) OC Gunderson 1st time calling plays
(3/22) RB Hankerson (1k LY) back, Allah has exp
(3/22) WR returns most, Walker + TE Terry.
(3/22) Def bad LY, returns a lot. Needs DE/CB
(3/22) Bray 1st yr finished 1-6. Team looks better TY
Oregon State     Ratings Matchup     Oregon
Power #79
#6
Off #69
#5
Def #88
#11
Talent #58
#2
SP+ #73
#7
SP+ Off #56
#4
SP+ Def #85
#11

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Oregon State last year (49-14)
Oregon beat Oregon State in 2023 (31-7)
Oregon State beat Oregon in 2022 (38-34)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Autzen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ORST | ORE
Depth Chart: ORST | ORE
Rosters: ORST | ORE
(#6) Oregon Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 29.13 #6
Offense Rating: 29.62 #5
Defense Rating: 1.06 #11
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.7 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #4
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #11
Talent Rating: 1124.00 #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 60 #5
Expected Record: 10.7 - 1.3

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.68 PPO
Great Run Success 51%
Great Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Oregon Notes
(6/6) Def needs replacements, DL still near top 10 unit
(6/5) WR Evan Stewart tore knee, out for '25 season
(6/5) WR rebuild w/o Stewart. Benson (FSU) must hit
(5/23) Safeties Thieneman & Lopa a top duo in CFB
(5/11) 64% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/7) Still great, but step back. CFP team, not natty
(4/7) Iapani Laloulu (C)/TE Sadiq top 10 via PFF
(3/28) Fr WR Moore a weapon that will play early
(3/28) S Thieneman (Pur) a huge sign, NFL talent
(3/22) TE Sadiq (SO) a weapon, ascends to #1 TY


  
Oregon State's OC Ryan Gunderson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maalik Murphy (Tr)25442160%293226127.0
Gabarri Johnson152952%174016.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Hankerson2321082154.783
Salahadin Allah5525814.721
Marquis Crosby (Tr)5722413.931
Gabarri Johnson2610614.123
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trent Walker81901211.143
Jermaine Terry II23375116.343
Darrius Clemons25292211.744
Tastean Reddicks17222013.129

View Oregon State's Full Roster
Oregon State's DC Trent Bray
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Skyler Thomas810009
Nikko Taylor468373
Dexter Foster432120
Tyrice Ivy Jr.351001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nikko Taylor468373
Oluwaseyi Omotosho141160
Dexter Foster432120
Semisi Saluni345132
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Skyler Thomas810009
Sailasa Vadrawale301004
Nikko Taylor468373

Oregon's OC Will Stein
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dante Moore7888%49006.1
Austin Novosad22100%7003.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Makhi Hughes (Tr)2431306155.451
Noah Whittington11854064.628
Da'Jaun Riggs118217.524
Jayden Limar257102.811
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Evan Stewart48613512.869
Malik Benson (Tr)25311112.467
Kenyon Sadiq24308212.839
Justius Lowe2120319.734

View Oregon's Full Roster
Oregon's DC Tosh Lupoi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dillon Thieneman (Tr)1045106
Bryce Boettcher877204
Kobe Savage573001
Teitum Tuioti538631
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matayo Uiagalelei3711961
Teitum Tuioti538631
Bryce Boettcher877204
Devon Jackson403212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jadon Canady (Tr)3830011
Theran Johnson (Tr)5340010
Dillon Thieneman (Tr)1045106