Oregon State Beavers at Oregon Ducks(#6)
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (3:00 PM EDT)
Oregon -35.5 (55.5) (0) Open: -26.5
Autzen Stadium - Eugene, OR
Beavers (0 - 3) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Trent Bray (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 16 - 38 (7 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
Coach Trent Bray (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 16 - 38 (7 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
ORST 2nd straight Road Game
ORE is playing their 4th straight game
ORST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Oregon -35.5 (SP+ ORE -38)
Projected Score: ORST: 11 - ORE: 47 (58)
ORE Win prob: 98% | Cover: 46%
ORST Travel: 36 miles
ORE is playing their 4th straight game
ORST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Oregon -35.5 (SP+ ORE -38)
Projected Score: ORST: 11 - ORE: 47 (58)
ORE Win prob: 98% | Cover: 46%
ORST Travel: 36 miles
Ducks (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (35 - 5)
Avg Score : 54 - 10 (64 - 8 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 1.5 (#5)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 5) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Dan Lanning (35 - 5)
Avg Score : 54 - 10 (64 - 8 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 1.5 (#5)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 5) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
| Oregon State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Oregon State vs California | -3.0 | 51.5 | L 15 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Oregon State vs Fresno State | -1.0 | 45.5 | L 27 - 36 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Oregon State at Texas Tech | +24.5 | 61.5 | L 7 - 45 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Oregon State at Oregon | +35.5 | 55.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Oregon State vs Houston | +5.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Oregon State at App State | -4.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Oregon State vs Wake Forest | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Oregon State vs Lafayette | -20.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Oregon State vs Washington State | -7.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Oregon State vs Sam Houston | -18.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Oregon State at Tulsa | -6 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/29 | Oregon State at Washington State | -2.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
| Oregon's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Oregon vs Montana State | -28.0 | 56.5 | W 59 - 13 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Oregon vs Oklahoma State | -28.5 | 55.5 | W 69 - 3 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Oregon at Northwestern | -25.5 | 50.5 | W 34 - 14 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Oregon vs Oregon State | -35.5 | 55.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Oregon at Penn State | +3 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/11 | Oregon vs Indiana | -12 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Oregon at Rutgers | -17.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Oregon vs Wisconsin | -23.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/8 | Oregon at Iowa | -13.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Oregon vs Minnesota | -19.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Oregon vs USC | -7 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Oregon at Washington | -11 | |||||
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORST | #55 (.24) | 48% (40) | 16.3 | 44% (68) | 2.25 (123) | 76 | 50% (32) | 296 | 4.23 (55) | #89 (.18) | 37% (54) | 38.3 | 34% (34) | 41% (73) | 4 (89) | 37.7 | 2 | 1 |
| ORE | #1 (.78) | 64% (1) | 54 | 66% (2) | 4.12 (1) | 247 | 62% (4) | 256 | 6.27 (3) | #23 (-.02) | 30% (12) | 10 | 33% (25) | 26% (9) | 2.29 (25) | 21.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORST | #87 (.16) | 44% (59) | 47% (25) | 3.34 (20) | 189 | 39% (100) | 201 | 3.87 (75) | #117 (.27) | 48% (125) | 50% (126) | 45% (112) | 4.35 (117) | 45.7 | 1.3 | 1 | ||
| ORE | #7 (.33) | 51% (5) | 51% (11) | 3.5 (8) | 160 | 50% (6) | 258 | 4.68 (10) | #33 (.11) | 38% (18) | 42% (64) | 34% (2) | 3.68 (59) | 40.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORST Offense | 3 | 16.3 | 7 | 47.9% | 4.23 | 2 | 22 | 372 | 76 | 296 | 2.8 | 42% | 57% | 44% | 50% | 18% | .24 |
| ORE Defense | 3 | 10 | 8 | 30% | 2.29 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 55% | 45% | 33% | 26% | 20% | -.02 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORST Defense | 3 | 38.3 | 45 | 36.9% | 4 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 55% | 44% | 34% | 41% | 16% | .18 |
| ORE Offense | 3 | 54 | 64 | 64% | 6.27 | 0.3 | 25 | 503 | 247 | 256 | 7 | 55% | 45% | 66% | 62% | 3% | .78 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon State | 3 | 32:58 | 21.7 | 45% | 60% | 5.7 | 37.7 | 2 | 1 | 5.7 | 0.3 | 0 | 29.7 |
| Oregon | 3 | 28:50 | 24.7 | 64% | 75% | 3 | 21.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 2.3 | 2 | 36.4 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORST Offense | 3 | 42% (115) | 44% (68) | 27.3 | 76 | 2.8 | 2 (109) | -.02 (111) | 2.25 (123) | 90% (14) | 10% (86) | 0.68 (127) |
| ORE Defense | 3 | 55% (105) | 33% (25) | - | - | - | - | -.08 (27) | 2.74 (65) | 43% (10) | 10% (67) | 0.73 (21) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORST Defense | 3 | 55% (104) | 34% (34) | - | - | - | - | .02 (54) | 2.17 (18) | 67% (53) | 9% (85) | 1.14 (102) |
| ORE Offense | 3 | 55% (46) | 66% (2) | 35.3 | 247 | 7 | 13 (2) | .82 (1) | 4.12 (1) | 100% (1) | 3% (1) | 1.39 (11) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORST Offense | 3 | 57% (26) | 50% (32) | 25.7 | 42 | 295.7 | 7 | 11.5 | 5 (54) | 5 (129) | .39 (47) | 1.4 (102) | 31% (72) | 33% (54) | .23 (94) | 8% (121) | 1.7 (112) |
| ORE Defense | 3 | 45% (35) | 26% (9) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (12) | .06 (29) | 1.5 (72) | 35% (46) | 14% (10) | .07 (28) | 10% (7) | 2.1 (79) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORST Defense | 3 | 44% (31) | 41% (73) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .38 (114) | 1.9 (121) | 29% (111) | 28% (65) | .55 (119) | 7% (41) | 2.9 (134) |
| ORE Offense | 3 | 45% (88) | 62% (4) | 18.7 | 25.3 | 256.3 | 10.1 | 13.7 | 7 (23) | 1 (23) | .73 (6) | 1.4 (96) | 20% (6) | 40% (27) | .38 (57) | 0% (1) | 1 (134) |
Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: 4.95 #68
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 13.01 #67
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 8.06 #72
2025 Talent Rating: 772.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Oregon State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Oregon State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #112
Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 748
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Oregon State's Power Rating: 4.95 #68
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 13.01 #67
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 8.06 #72
2025 Talent Rating: 772.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Oregon State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Oregon State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #112
Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 748
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: 4.95 Oregon: 32.63
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -10.5 Oregon: 27.1
Oregon State: 4.95 Oregon: 32.63
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -10.5 Oregon: 27.1
Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 32.63 #1
Oregon's Offense Rating: 34.47 #1
Oregon's Defense Rating: -10.68 #3
2025 Talent Rating: 1128.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 67 #5
Oregon's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5
Oregon's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.1 #2
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.4 #2
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Oregon's Power Rating: 32.63 #1
Oregon's Offense Rating: 34.47 #1
Oregon's Defense Rating: -10.68 #3
2025 Talent Rating: 1128.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 67 #5
Oregon's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5
Oregon's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.1 #2
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.4 #2
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 16.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 45
Oregon State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 16.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 45
Oregon State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 47
Oregon State 11
Total Points: 58
Oregon 47
Oregon State 11
Total Points: 58
Oregon Scoring
Offense: 54 PPG
Offense at Home: 64
Defense: 10 PPG
Defense at Home: 8
Oregon's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Offense: 54 PPG
Offense at Home: 64
Defense: 10 PPG
Defense at Home: 8
Oregon's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 09/14 | Oregon State | 14 | Oregon | 49 | Oregon | Oregon -16 | Oregon | 50.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/24 | Oregon | 31 | Oregon State | 7 | Oregon | Oregon -14 | Oregon | 61.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/26 | Oregon State | 38 | Oregon | 34 | Oregon State | Oregon State -1 | Oregon State | 57.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 11/27 | Oregon | 38 | Oregon State | 29 | Oregon | Oregon -7.5 | Oregon | 61.5 | Over |
| 2020 | 11/27 | Oregon State | 41 | Oregon | 38 | Oregon State | Oregon -13 | Oregon State | 64.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 11/30 | Oregon | 24 | Oregon State | 10 | Oregon | Oregon -20.5 | Oregon State | 65.5 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/23 | Oregon State | 15 | Oregon | 55 | Oregon | Oregon -18 | Oregon | 71.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/25 | Oregon | 69 | Oregon State | 10 | Oregon | Oregon -25.5 | Oregon | 63.0 | Over |
| 2016 | 11/26 | Oregon State | 34 | Oregon | 24 | Oregon State | Oregon -3 | Oregon State | 69.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/27 | Oregon | 52 | Oregon State | 42 | Oregon | Oregon -30 | Oregon State | 71.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/29 | Oregon State | 19 | Oregon | 47 | Oregon | Oregon -17.5 | Oregon | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/29 | Oregon | 36 | Oregon State | 35 | Oregon | Oregon -21 | Oregon State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/24 | Oregon State | 24 | Oregon | 48 | Oregon | ||||
| 2011 | 11/26 | Oregon | 49 | Oregon State | 21 | Oregon | ||||
| 2010 | 12/04 | Oregon State | 20 | Oregon | 37 | Oregon | ||||
| 2009 | 12/03 | Oregon | 37 | Oregon State | 33 | Oregon | ||||
| 2008 | 11/29 | Oregon State | 38 | Oregon | 65 | Oregon | ||||
| 2007 | 12/01 | Oregon | 31 | Oregon State | 38 | Oregon State | ||||
| 2006 | 11/24 | Oregon State | 30 | Oregon | 28 | Oregon State | ||||
| 2005 | 11/19 | Oregon | 56 | Oregon State | 14 | Oregon | ||||
| 2004 | 11/20 | Oregon State | 50 | Oregon | 21 | Oregon State | ||||
| 2003 | 11/22 | Oregon | 34 | Oregon State | 20 | Oregon | ||||
| 2001 | 12/01 | Oregon | 17 | Oregon State | 14 | Oregon | ||||
| 2000 | 11/17 | Oregon State | 23 | Oregon | 13 | Oregon State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon | 17 | 6 | 6 Overs |
| Oregon State | 7 | 6 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 17 - 7 | 6 - 6 | 4 - 3 | 2 - 3 |
| Road Teams | 7 - 17 | 6 - 6 | 3 - 2 | 3 - 4 |
(#68) Oregon State Info
Power Rating: 4.95 #68
Offense Rating: 13.01 #67
Defense Rating: 8.06 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #112
Talent Rating: 772.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Good Offense Success Rate of 48%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 50%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Oregon State has lost 3 straight
Oregon State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Oregon State Notes
(7/31) RB Hankerson a great back, have depth
(7/31) Bray 1st yr finished 1-6. Will DC this year
(7/31) Schedule front loaded but lots of rebuild opps
(7/31) OC Gunderson great QB coach, 1st time OC
(7/31) DL lacks exp, will struggle up front both lines
(6/14) OL returns 1/5. 4 portals, only 2 clear starters
(5/10) QB G Johnson is fast and will get packages
(5/10) OL is a big concern. Depth, Spring injuries
(5/10) Big TEs, but looking for deep ball w/ WR core
(3/22) WR returns most, Walker + TE Terry.
Oregon State Highlights
Oregon State offense is good on 3rd downs
Oregon State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#26)
Oregon State Defensive Line is very good (#18)
Oregon State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Oregon State Deficiencies
Oregon State has a really bad Offense
Oregon State has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Oregon State Can Not Run the Ball (#128)
Oregon State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Oregon State offense is not Explosive (#100)
Oregon State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#107)
Oregon State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Oregon State does not Sack the QB (#130)
Oregon State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#118)
Power Rating: 4.95 #68
Offense Rating: 13.01 #67
Defense Rating: 8.06 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #112
Talent Rating: 772.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Good Offense Success Rate of 48%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 50%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Oregon State has lost 3 straight
Oregon State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Oregon State Notes
(7/31) RB Hankerson a great back, have depth
(7/31) Bray 1st yr finished 1-6. Will DC this year
(7/31) Schedule front loaded but lots of rebuild opps
(7/31) OC Gunderson great QB coach, 1st time OC
(7/31) DL lacks exp, will struggle up front both lines
(6/14) OL returns 1/5. 4 portals, only 2 clear starters
(5/10) QB G Johnson is fast and will get packages
(5/10) OL is a big concern. Depth, Spring injuries
(5/10) Big TEs, but looking for deep ball w/ WR core
(3/22) WR returns most, Walker + TE Terry.
Oregon State Highlights
Oregon State offense is good on 3rd downs
Oregon State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#26)
Oregon State Defensive Line is very good (#18)
Oregon State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Oregon State Deficiencies
Oregon State has a really bad Offense
Oregon State has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Oregon State Can Not Run the Ball (#128)
Oregon State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Oregon State offense is not Explosive (#100)
Oregon State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#107)
Oregon State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Oregon State does not Sack the QB (#130)
Oregon State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#118)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | ORE | ORST |
| OverallOver | #12 | #79 |
| OffenseOff | #10 | #68 |
| DefenseDef | #33 | #86 |
| Special TeamsST | #15 | #113 |
| PassingPass | #25 | #51 |
| RushingRush | #3 | #94 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #50 | #68 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #2 | #70 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #17 | #41 |
| TacklingTkl | #6 | #108 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #68 | #79 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #58 | #103 |
| Coverage DefCov | #9 | #89 |
(#1) Oregon Info
Power Rating: 32.63 #1
Offense Rating: 34.47 #1
Defense Rating: -10.68 #3
Overall SP+ Rating: 27.1 #2
Offense SP+ Rating: 41.4 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8
Talent Rating: 1128.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 67 #5
Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Great Offense Success Rate of 64%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 6.27 PPO
Great Run Success 66%
Great Pass Success 62%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 30%
Good in Scoring Position 2.29 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Great Pass Def Success 26%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Oregon has won 3 straight
Oregon has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Oregon Notes
(6/6) Def needs replacements, DL still near top 10 unit
(6/5) WR Evan Stewart tore knee, out for '25 season
(6/5) WR rebuild w/o Stewart. Benson (FSU) must hit
(5/23) Safeties Thieneman & Lopa a top duo in CFB
(5/11) 64% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/7) Still great, but step back. CFP team, not natty
(4/7) Iapani Laloulu (C)/TE Sadiq top 10 via PFF
(3/28) Fr WR Moore a weapon that will play early
(3/28) S Thieneman (Pur) a huge sign, NFL talent
(3/22) TE Sadiq (SO) a weapon, ascends to #1 TY
Oregon Highlights
Oregon in Undefeated
Oregon is Undefeated at Home
Oregon is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Oregon has Really Good Running Game (#6)
Oregon offense is efficent (#1)
Oregon offense is explosive (#24)
Oregon has a top Offensive Line (#1)
Oregon offense is good in red zone (#3)
Oregon offense is good on 3rd downs
Oregon does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#2)
Oregon has a really good defense (#12)
Oregon defense does not give up big plays (#17)
Oregon defense is really good in red zone (#25)
Oregon has a good run defense (#25)
Oregon has a good pass defense (#9)
Oregon Secondary is very good (#7)
Oregon has a great TO Margin (#11)
Oregon commits very few Penalties (#6)
Oregon defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Oregon Deficiencies
Power Rating: 32.63 #1
Offense Rating: 34.47 #1
Defense Rating: -10.68 #3
Overall SP+ Rating: 27.1 #2
Offense SP+ Rating: 41.4 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8
Talent Rating: 1128.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 67 #5
Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Great Offense Success Rate of 64%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 6.27 PPO
Great Run Success 66%
Great Pass Success 62%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 30%
Good in Scoring Position 2.29 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Great Pass Def Success 26%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Oregon has won 3 straight
Oregon has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Oregon Notes
(6/6) Def needs replacements, DL still near top 10 unit
(6/5) WR Evan Stewart tore knee, out for '25 season
(6/5) WR rebuild w/o Stewart. Benson (FSU) must hit
(5/23) Safeties Thieneman & Lopa a top duo in CFB
(5/11) 64% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/7) Still great, but step back. CFP team, not natty
(4/7) Iapani Laloulu (C)/TE Sadiq top 10 via PFF
(3/28) Fr WR Moore a weapon that will play early
(3/28) S Thieneman (Pur) a huge sign, NFL talent
(3/22) TE Sadiq (SO) a weapon, ascends to #1 TY
Oregon Highlights
Oregon in Undefeated
Oregon is Undefeated at Home
Oregon is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Oregon has Really Good Running Game (#6)
Oregon offense is efficent (#1)
Oregon offense is explosive (#24)
Oregon has a top Offensive Line (#1)
Oregon offense is good in red zone (#3)
Oregon offense is good on 3rd downs
Oregon does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#2)
Oregon has a really good defense (#12)
Oregon defense does not give up big plays (#17)
Oregon defense is really good in red zone (#25)
Oregon has a good run defense (#25)
Oregon has a good pass defense (#9)
Oregon Secondary is very good (#7)
Oregon has a great TO Margin (#11)
Oregon commits very few Penalties (#6)
Oregon defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Oregon Deficiencies
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maalik Murphy (Tr) | 76 | 124 | 61% | 893 | 6 | 5 | 7.2 |
| Gabarri Johnson | 2 | 4 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Hankerson | 51 | 190 | 1 | 3.7 | 26 |
| Salahadin Allah | 8 | 36 | 0 | 4.5 | 16 |
| Gabarri Johnson | 5 | 15 | 0 | 3.0 | 7 |
| Cornell Hatcher Jr. | 1 | 10 | 0 | 10.0 | 10 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Walker | 23 | 302 | 0 | 13.1 | 31 |
| Tastean Reddicks | 15 | 213 | 0 | 14.2 | 37 |
| David Wells Jr. | 10 | 151 | 1 | 15.1 | 56 |
| Bryce Caufield | 12 | 67 | 1 | 5.6 | 10 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dexter Foster | 25 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Skyler Thomas | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jaheim Patterson | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sailasa Vadrawale | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahjae Mullix (Tr) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Thomas Collins | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Shamar Meikle | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Dexter Foster | 25 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skyler Thomas | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jalil Tucker | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Trey Glasper | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante Moore | 50 | 64 | 78% | 657 | 7 | 1 | 10.3 |
| Luke Moga | 3 | 5 | 60% | 58 | 0 | 0 | 11.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dierre Hill Jr. | 11 | 161 | 2 | 14.6 | 66 |
| Noah Whittington | 14 | 159 | 2 | 11.4 | 59 |
| Jayden Limar | 20 | 145 | 3 | 7.3 | 53 |
| Jay Harris | 11 | 50 | 0 | 4.5 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Benson (Tr) | 11 | 161 | 2 | 14.6 | 42 |
| Dakorien Moore | 9 | 144 | 1 | 16.0 | 65 |
| Jeremiah McClellan | 5 | 98 | 0 | 19.6 | 51 |
| Kenyon Sadiq | 5 | 95 | 2 | 19.0 | 26 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Boettcher | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Teitum Tuioti | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Peyton Woodyard | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bear Alexander (Tr) | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matayo Uiagalelei | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Teitum Tuioti | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Nasir Wyatt | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Will Straton | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ify Obidegwu | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Daylen Austin | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Bryce Boettcher | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |