Oregon at Northwestern - 2025 Matchup Preview
Oregon logo (#4)Oregon Ducks at Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Oregon -25.5 (50.5) (-3200)  Open: 0.0
Oregon 34 - Northwestern: 14  (Big Ten)

 
Ducks (13 - 1) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (35 - 5)
Avg Score : 38 - 15 (33 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.9 - 1.1 (#7)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
NW 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Oregon -23.5  (SP+ ORE -25.5)

Projected Score: ORE: 35 - NW: 12 (47)
ORE Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
ORE Travel: 1777 miles, 2 hrs behind
Wildcats (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach David Braun (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (27 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#71)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
Oregon's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oregon vs Montana State-28.056.5W 59 - 13OY
Sat 9/6 Oregon vs Oklahoma State-28.555.5W 69 - 3OY
Sat 9/13 Oregon at Northwestern-25.550.5W 34 - 14UN
Sat 9/20 Oregon vs Oregon State-33.558.5W 41 - 7UY
Sat 9/27 Oregon at Penn State+4.552.5W 30 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Oregon vs Indiana-7.051.5L 20 - 30UN
Sat 10/18 Oregon at Rutgers-17.562.5W 56 - 10OY
Sat 10/25 Oregon vs Wisconsin-31.544.5W 21 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Oregon at Iowa-4.541.5W 18 - 16UN
Fri 11/14 Oregon vs Minnesota-26.545.5W 42 - 13OY
Sat 11/22 Oregon vs USC-10.559.5W 42 - 27OY
Sat 11/29 Oregon at Washington-6.551.5W 26 - 14UY
Sat 12/20 Oregon vs James Madison-22.547.5W 51 - 34ON
Thu 1/1 Oregon vs Texas Tech+1.550.5W 23 - 0UY
Fri 1/9 Oregon vs Indiana+4.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
Northwestern's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Northwestern at Tulane+6.547.5L 3 - 23UN
Fri 9/5 Northwestern vs Western Illinois-30.548.5W 42 - 7OY
Sat 9/13 Northwestern vs Oregon+25.550.5L 14 - 34UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Northwestern vs UCLA-6.045.5W 17 - 14UN
Sat 10/4 Northwestern vs UL Monroe-12.543.5W 42 - 7OY
Sat 10/11 Northwestern at Penn State+20.546.5W 22 - 21UY
Sat 10/18 Northwestern vs Purdue-3.047.5W 19 - 0UY
Sat 10/25 Northwestern at Nebraska+7.544.5L 21 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/7 Northwestern at USC+14.554.5L 17 - 38ON
Sat 11/15 Northwestern vs Michigan+10.041.5L 22 - 24OY
Sat 11/22 Northwestern vs Minnesota-4.041.0W 38 - 35ON
Sat 11/29 Northwestern at Illinois+7.044.5L 13 - 20UY
Fri 12/26 Northwestern vs Central Michigan-13.543.5W 34 - 7UY

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE#2 (.39)51% (5)3853% (2)3.37 (10)18750% (11)2124.4 (24)#14 (.04)37% (17)15.140% (48)34% (12)3.86 (90)43.40.61.2
NW#83 (.15)43% (59)23.446% (48)2.97 (65)15542% (68)1683.21 (114)#73 (.17)45% (117)19.847% (121)44% (100)3.37 (43)32.31.51.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)51% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)42% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)39% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)44% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Offense143832.851%4.40.6193991872125.852%46%53%50%9%.39
NW Defense1319.812.445.3%3.371.2 - - - - - 52%46%47%44%15%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Defense1415.115.636.8%3.861.2 - - - - - 49%49%40%34%18%.04
NW Offense1323.426.843.1%3.211.5183231551684.851%47%46%42%17%.15

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon1426:3119.449%64%4.543.40.61.24.11.6430.6
Northwestern1330:1218.344%63%4.132.31.51.23.61.4028.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Offense1452% (47)53% (2)32.2187.25.830 (16).34 (3)3.37 (10)80% (15)6% (5)1.06 (32)
NW Defense1352% (93)47% (121) - - - - .18 (109)3.16 (113)71% (62)9% (94)0.99 (86)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Defense1449% (55)40% (48) - - - - .06 (49)2.73 (37)75% (99)9% (83)0.94 (59)
NW Offense1351% (59)46% (48)32.51554.815 (99).14 (57)2.97 (65)76% (41)8% (34)0.91 (91)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Offense1446% (93)50% (11)17.424211.58.812.225 (6)6 (34).48 (7)1.6 (47)25% (7)31% (58).39 (36)3% (4)2.1 (57)
NW Defense1346% (37)44% (100) - - - - - - 8 (75).24 (62)1.4 (7)28% (121)34% (120).32 (82)6% (64)1.8 (19)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Defense1449% (83)34% (12) - - - - - - 13 (22).1 (18)1.6 (95)36% (15)27% (27).17 (23)9% (3)2 (49)
NW Offense1347% (81)42% (68)15.726.4167.86.410.714 (75)12 (108).21 (88)1.5 (96)30% (49)33% (37).31 (68)9% (131)1.8 (128)

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 28.05  #3
Oregon's Offense Rating: 26.91  #8
Oregon's Defense Rating: -10.88  #4
2025 Talent Rating: 1128.00  #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 67%  #5
Oregon's 2025 Expected Record: 11.9 - 1.1
Oregon's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.1  #4
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.1  #13
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.4  #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 28.05   Northwestern: 3.99

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 27.1   Northwestern: 1.8




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: 3.99  #66
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 8.13  #73
Northwestern's Defense Rating: 6.95  #60
2025 Talent Rating: 840.00  #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Northwestern's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 6.3
Northwestern's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8  #63
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.4  #97
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.3  #39

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Oregon Scoring
Offense: 38 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.8
Defense: 15.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.6

Oregon's 2025 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 35
Northwestern 12


Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Northwestern 20
Oregon 19

Total Points: 39

Based on Entire Season
Oregon 26
Northwestern 20

Total Points: 46
Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.8
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.4

Northwestern's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Northwestern14Oregon34Oregon -25.5Northwestern50.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern010 Overs
Oregon101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#3) ORE at (#66) NW
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatORENW
Power RatePwr #3 #66
SP+SP+ #4 #63
Perf GradeGrade #6 #51
OffenseOff #4 #35
DefenseDef #11 #86
Spec TeamsST #17 #108
TalentTal #3 #41
Blue ChipsBC% #5 #65
Oregon Notes
(12/1) OC Will Stein hired as HC of Kentucky
(11/27) Bullied USC, not as bad as it looks. Pass Def torched
(11/27) Ducks dealing w/ a lot of injuries at OL & WR
(10/11) Bullied by IU, just 267 yds, 3-14 on 3rd, 2 TOs
(9/30) RB Dierre Hill looks like the best one, great depth
(9/23) OL playing great, QB Moore looks like a big hit
(9/23) Stats off charts vs cupcakes, real season starts
(6/6) OL rebuild 1/5, 3 big portals, a top 10 OL
(6/6) Def needs replacements, DL still near top 10 unit
(6/5) WR Evan Stewart tore knee, out for '25 season
(6/5) WR rebuild w/o Stewart. Benson (FSU) must hit
(5/23) Safeties Thieneman & Lopa a top duo in CFB
Oregon Injury Report
Northwestern Notes
(11/22) Braun gets NW back to bowl. Great job & rebound
(11/16) Lost 3 straight but competitive in most. Improving
(10/19) Have now won 4 straight, 3 in B1G play. Improving
(10/19) Def shut out Purdue, Run Off great, Run Def good
(10/19) QB Stone has been JAG- though, must game control
(9/14) Good fight w/ Ducks but Off has zero expl
(9/9) Top RB Cam Porter out for the season, ouch
(8/30) Stone 4 Int vs Tulane, Run Off & Run Def awful
(7/23) QB is Stone (SMU), no depth, Lausch retired
(5/21) Can WR Wilde (FCS SDSU) bring hope?
(5/21) DL is light, but has exp and some pass rush
(5/21) CBs exp'd but avg, Safeties are good though
Northwestern Injury Report
Oregon on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ORE OffNW Def
Perf GradePerf #4 #86
SuccessSuc #5 #117
ExplosiveExp #35 #12
PPAPPA #2 #73
PowerPwr #8 #60
SP+SP+ #13 #39
Pts POPPO #24 #43
HavocHav #3 #82
Oregon Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ORE OffNW Def
Run GameRun #1 #91
Run SuccessRSuc #2 #121
Run ExplRExp #32 #86
PPAExp #3 #109
Run BlockR Blk #30 -
OL YdsOLY #10 #113
Stuff RateStuff #16 #118
TackleTak -  #99
Oregon Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ORE OffNW Def
Pass GamePass #5 #88
Pass SuccessPSuc #11 #100
Pass ExplPExl #47 #7
PPAExp #7 #62
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #1 #55
F7 HavocF7 #5 #94
DB HavocDB #4 #64
Northwestern on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatNW OffORE Def
Perf GradePerf #35 #11
SuccessSuc #59 #17
ExplosiveExp #109 #65
PPAPPA #83 #14
PowerPwr #73 #4
SP+SP+ #97 #5
Pts POPPO #114 #90
HavocHav #95 #23
Northwestern Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
NW OffORE Def
Run GameRun #46 #37
Run SuccessRSuc #48 #48
Run ExplRExp #91 #59
PPAExp #57 #49
Run BlockR Blk #20 -
OL YdsOLY #65 #37
Stuff RateStuff #49 #100
TackleTak -  #7
Northwestern Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatNW OffORE Def
Pass GamePass #82 #11
Pass SuccessPSuc #68 #12
Pass ExplPExl #96 #95
PPAExp #88 #18
Pass Block/RushP Blk #7 #46
F7 HavocF7 #34 #83
DB HavocDB #131 #3
Program Comparison
NW 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

ORE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in L&S Martin Stadium (Temp)
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Oregon 25.5 (50.5)
Oregon won at Northwestern this year (34-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ORE's OC Will Stein (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dante Moore24634072%30462889.0
Brock Thomas121675%130108.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Noah Whittington11679866.968
Jordon Davison97625136.467
Dierre Hill Jr.6555758.666
Jayden Limar4325936.053
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malik Benson (Tr)36645617.964
Kenyon Sadiq42509812.130
Jeremiah McClellan31480315.551
Dakorien Moore29448315.465

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC Tosh Lupoi (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Boettcher1095154
Dillon Thieneman (Tr)713115
Teitum Tuioti6014875
Aaron Flowers601012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Teitum Tuioti6014875
Matayo Uiagalelei309573
Nasir Wyatt92210
A'Mauri Washington315256
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Finney Jr.343107
Ify Obidegwu221006
A'Mauri Washington315256

NW's OC Zach Lujan (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Preston Stone (Tr)22237060%240017126.5
Ryan Boe2729%17012.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Komolafe190941115.056
Joseph Himon II9948614.937
Dashun Reeder22222110.179
Robby Preckel4214903.514
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Griffin Wilde (Tr)71880812.449
Hayden Eligon Ii37521314.138
Hunter Welcing28296210.636
Ricky Ahumaraeze10200020.035

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC Tim McGarigle (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Robert Fitzgerald1066014
Mac Uihlein894000
Braydon Brus815344
Braden Turner522012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aidan Hubbard2610850
Michael Kilbane428481
Anto Saka134320
Carmine Bastone244341
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Fussell291009
Fred Davis II (Tr)221006
Ore Adeyi201005