Oregon at Northwestern - 2025 Matchup Preview
Oregon logo (#4)Oregon Ducks at Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Oregon -25.5 (50.5) (-3200)  Open: 0.0
Oregon 34 - Northwestern: 14  (Big Ten)

 
Ducks (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (35 - 5)
Avg Score : 54 - 10 (34 - 14 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 1.5 (#5)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
NW 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Oregon -28   (SP+ ORE -31.5)

Projected Score: ORE: 39 - NW: 11 (51)
ORE Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
ORE Travel: 1777 miles, 2 hrs behind
Wildcats (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach David Braun (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 20 - 21 (28 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.6 - 8.4 (#122)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
Oregon's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oregon vs Montana State-28.056.5W 59 - 13OY
Sat 9/6 Oregon vs Oklahoma State-28.555.5W 69 - 3OY
Sat 9/13 Oregon at Northwestern-25.550.5W 34 - 14UN
Sat 9/20 Oregon vs Oregon State-35.555.5
Sat 9/27 Oregon at Penn State+3
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Oregon vs Indiana-12
Sat 10/18 Oregon at Rutgers-17.5
Sat 10/25 Oregon vs Wisconsin-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Oregon at Iowa-13.5
Sat 11/15 Oregon vs Minnesota-19.5
Sat 11/22 Oregon vs USC-7
Sat 11/29 Oregon at Washington-11

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
Northwestern's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Northwestern at Tulane+6.547.5L 3 - 23UN
Fri 9/5 Northwestern vs Western Illinois-30.548.5W 42 - 7OY
Sat 9/13 Northwestern vs Oregon+25.550.5L 14 - 34UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Northwestern vs UCLA-8.5
Sat 10/4 Northwestern vs UL Monroe-22.5
Sat 10/11 Northwestern at Penn State+33
Sat 10/18 Northwestern vs Purdue-6.5
Sat 10/25 Northwestern at Nebraska+20.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Northwestern at USC+28.5
Sat 11/15 Northwestern vs Michigan+20.5
Sat 11/22 Northwestern vs Minnesota+11
Sat 11/29 Northwestern at Illinois+23.5

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE#1 (.78)64% (1)5466% (2)4.12 (1)24762% (4)2566.27 (3)#23 (-.02)30% (12)1033% (25)26% (9)2.29 (25)21.30.31.3
NW#124 (.03)44% (69)19.747% (53)2.79 (88)17844% (70)1800.3 (135)#53 (.08)38% (55)21.347% (103)28% (15)2 (15)33.32.70.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)51% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)42% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)39% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)44% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Offense3543464%6.270.325503247256755%45%66%62%3%.78
NW Defense321.320.537.5%20.7 - - - - - 52%47%47%28%15%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Defense3101430%2.291.3 - - - - - 55%45%33%26%20%-.02
NW Offense319.72843.7%0.32.7193591781805.143%54%47%44%19%.03

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon328:5024.764%75%321.30.31.352.3236.4
Northwestern331:3719.341%43%4.733.32.70.73.31026.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Offense355% (46)66% (2)35.3247713 (2).82 (1)4.12 (1)100% (1)3% (1)1.39 (11)
NW Defense352% (89)47% (103) - - - - .28 (123)3.6 (133)75% (80)5% (131)1.1 (99)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Defense355% (105)33% (25) - - - - -.08 (27)2.74 (65)43% (10)10% (67)0.73 (21)
NW Offense343% (109)47% (53)35178.35.14 (79).06 (92)2.79 (88)71% (67)10% (88)0.87 (93)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Offense345% (88)62% (4)18.725.3256.310.113.77 (23)1 (23).73 (6)1.4 (96)20% (6)40% (27).38 (57)0% (1)1 (134)
NW Defense347% (46)28% (15) - - - - - - 2 (56)-.03 (18)1.4 (42)33% (66)32% (91).33 (85)11% (6)1.9 (61)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Defense345% (35)26% (9) - - - - - - 4 (12).06 (29)1.5 (72)35% (46)14% (10).07 (28)10% (7)2.1 (79)
NW Offense354% (41)44% (70)1729180.36.210.63 (90)6 (132).14 (104)1.2 (120)25% (26)20% (124).12 (113)9% (131)1.6 (116)

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 33.16 #1
Oregon's Offense Rating: 34.47 #1
Oregon's Defense Rating: -10.68 #3
2025 Talent Rating: 1128.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 67% #5
Oregon's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5
Oregon's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.1 #2
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.4 #2
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 33.16   Northwestern: 2.23

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 27.1   Northwestern: -4.3




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: 2.23 #69
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 2.81 #116
Northwestern's Defense Rating: -0.96 #25
2025 Talent Rating: 840.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Northwestern's 2025 Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4
Northwestern's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #83
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #124
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #41

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Oregon Scoring
Offense: 54 PPG
Offense on Road: 34
Defense: 10 PPG
Defense on Road: 14

Oregon's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 39
Northwestern 11


Total Points: 51

Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 19.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 28
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.5

Northwestern's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Northwestern14Oregon34OregonOregon -25.5Northwestern50.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern010 Overs
Oregon101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#1) Oregon Info
Power Rating: 33.16 #1
Offense Rating: 34.47 #1
Defense Rating: -10.68 #3
Overall SP+ Rating: 27.1 #2
Offense SP+ Rating: 41.4 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8
Talent Rating: 1128.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 67% #5
Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Great Offense Success Rate of 64%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 6.27 PPO
Great Run Success 66%
Great Pass Success 62%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 30%
Good in Scoring Position 2.29 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Great Pass Def Success 26%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Oregon has won 2 straight
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Oregon Notes
(6/6) Def needs replacements, DL still near top 10 unit
(6/5) WR Evan Stewart tore knee, out for '25 season
(6/5) WR rebuild w/o Stewart. Benson (FSU) must hit
(5/23) Safeties Thieneman & Lopa a top duo in CFB
(5/11) 64% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/7) Still great, but step back. CFP team, not natty
(4/7) Iapani Laloulu (C)/TE Sadiq top 10 via PFF
(3/28) Fr WR Moore a weapon that will play early
(3/28) S Thieneman (Pur) a huge sign, NFL talent
(3/22) TE Sadiq (SO) a weapon, ascends to #1 TY

Oregon Highlights
Oregon in Undefeated

Oregon has Really Good Running Game (#6)
Oregon offense is efficent (#1)
Oregon offense is explosive (#24)
Oregon has a top Offensive Line (#1)
Oregon offense is good in red zone (#3)
Oregon offense is good on 3rd downs
Oregon does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#2)

Oregon has a really good defense (#12)
Oregon defense does not give up big plays (#17)
Oregon defense is really good in red zone (#25)
Oregon has a good run defense (#25)
Oregon has a good pass defense (#9)
Oregon Secondary is very good (#7)
Oregon has a great TO Margin (#11)
Oregon commits very few Penalties (#6)
Oregon defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Oregon Deficiencies

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatNWORE
OverallOver#72#12
OffenseOff#45#10
DefenseDef#97#33
Special TeamsST#98#15
PassingPass#111#25
RushingRush#29#3
Run BlockRBLK#2#50
Pass BlockPBLK#62#2
Route RunningWR Rt#84#17
TacklingTkl#115#6
Run DefenseR Def#101#68
Pass Rush DefPRush#56#58
Coverage DefCov#82#9

Rematch from Week 3
Oregon 25.5 (50.5)
Oregon won at Northwestern this year (34-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in L&S Martin Stadium (Temp)
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ORE | NW
Depth Chart: ORE | NW
Rosters: ORE | NW
(#69) Northwestern Info
Power Rating: 2.23 #69
Offense Rating: 2.81 #116
Defense Rating: -0.96 #25
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #83
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #124
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #41
Talent Rating: 840.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 44%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 0.3 PPO
Avg Run Success 47%
Bad Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 2 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Great Pass Def Success 28%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Northwestern has won 1 straight
Northwestern has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Northwestern Notes
(9/9) Top RB Cam Porter out for the season, ouch
(8/30) Stone 4 Int vs Tulane, Run Off & Run Def awful
(7/23) QB is Stone (SMU), no depth, Lausch retired
(5/21) Can WR Wilde (FCS SDSU) bring hope?
(5/21) DL is light, but has exp and some pass rush
(5/21) CBs exp'd but avg, Safeties are good though
(5/21) WR complete rebuild. Depth looks meh, huge ?
(5/21) OL 3/5 back, awful LY. 3 portals, OT Tiernan great
(4/4) RB Porter back, some depth. Run game awful LY
(4/4) Def good LY, returns a lot. 3 portal adds

Northwestern Highlights
Northwestern is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Northwestern is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

Northwestern defense is really good in red zone (#15)
Northwestern has a good pass defense (#15)
Northwestern Secondary is very good (#6)

Northwestern Deficiencies
Northwestern has a really bad Offense
Northwestern has a bad TO Margin (#131)
Northwestern throws a Lot of Interceptions (#132)
Northwestern offense is not Explosive (#115)
Northwestern offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#135)
Northwestern does not Sack the QB (#112)
Northwestern Does Not Stuff Runs (#130)
Northwestern has a bad defensive line (#133)


  
Oregon's OC Will Stein
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dante Moore506478%6577110.3
Luke Moga3560%580011.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dierre Hill Jr.11161214.666
Noah Whittington14159211.459
Jayden Limar2014537.353
Jay Harris115004.516
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malik Benson (Tr)11161214.642
Dakorien Moore9144116.065
Jeremiah McClellan598019.651
Kenyon Sadiq595219.026

View Oregon's Full Roster
Oregon's DC Tosh Lupoi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Boettcher171001
Teitum Tuioti153200
Peyton Woodyard131000
Bear Alexander (Tr)121100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matayo Uiagalelei63321
Teitum Tuioti153200
Nasir Wyatt21100
Will Straton71100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ify Obidegwu70002
Daylen Austin41002
Bryce Boettcher171001

Northwestern's OC Zach Lujan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Preston Stone (Tr)518659%541366.3
Frank Covey IV010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Komolafe3615014.224
Joseph Himon II2813704.916
Cam Porter1813717.643
Dashun Reeder492123.079
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Griffin Wilde (Tr)15213014.246
Ricky Ahumaraeze473018.321
Joseph Himon II75908.414
Hunter Welcing555111.028

View Northwestern's Full Roster
Northwestern's DC Tim McGarigle
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Robert Fitzgerald271000
Mac Uihlein212000
Braydon Brus120002
Garner Wallace90001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Carmine Bastone92201
Aidan Hubbard92120
Michael Kilbane72110
Robert Fitzgerald271000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Fussell40004
Fred Davis II (Tr)60003
Braydon Brus120002