Oregon at Rutgers - 2025 Matchup Preview
Oregon logo   Oregon Ducks at Rutgers Scarlet Knights  Rutgers logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (6:30 PM EDT)
Oregon -17.5 (62.5) (-1000)  Open: -16.5
Oregon 56 - Rutgers: 10  (Big Ten)

 
Ducks (13 - 2) (9 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (35 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (33 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.9 - 1.1 (#7)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Our Line: Oregon -20  (SP+ ORE -25)
Projected Score: ORE: 40 - RUTG: 20 (60)
ORE Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
ORE Travel: 6491 miles, 3 hrs behind
Scarlet Knights (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Greg Schiano (26 - 33)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (35 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Oregon's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oregon vs Montana State-28.056.5W 59 - 13OY
Sat 9/6 Oregon vs Oklahoma State-28.555.5W 69 - 3OY
Sat 9/13 Oregon at Northwestern-25.550.5W 34 - 14UN
Sat 9/20 Oregon vs Oregon State-33.558.5W 41 - 7UY
Sat 9/27 Oregon at Penn State+4.552.5W 30 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Oregon vs Indiana-7.051.5L 20 - 30UN
Sat 10/18 Oregon at Rutgers-17.562.5W 56 - 10OY
Sat 10/25 Oregon vs Wisconsin-31.544.5W 21 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Oregon at Iowa-4.541.5W 18 - 16UN
Fri 11/14 Oregon vs Minnesota-26.545.5W 42 - 13OY
Sat 11/22 Oregon vs USC-10.559.5W 42 - 27OY
Sat 11/29 Oregon at Washington-6.551.5W 26 - 14UY
Sat 12/20 Oregon vs James Madison-22.547.5W 51 - 34ON
Thu 1/1 Oregon vs Texas Tech+1.550.5W 23 - 0UY
Fri 1/9 Oregon vs Indiana+3.050.5L 22 - 56ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
Rutgers's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Rutgers vs Ohio-11.546.5W 34 - 31ON
Sat 9/6 Rutgers vs Miami (OH)-15.545.5W 45 - 17OY
Sat 9/13 Rutgers vs Norfolk State-44.556.5W 60 - 10OY
Fri 9/19 Rutgers vs Iowa+2.546.5L 28 - 38ON
Sat 9/27 Rutgers at Minnesota+3.551.5L 28 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/10 Rutgers at Washington+9.562.5L 19 - 38UN
Sat 10/18 Rutgers vs Oregon+17.562.5L 10 - 56ON
Sat 10/25 Rutgers at Purdue+2.560.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 11/1 Rutgers at Illinois+13.563.5L 13 - 35UN
Sat 11/8 Rutgers vs Maryland-1.556.5W 35 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Rutgers at Ohio State+29.054.0L 9 - 42UN
Sat 11/29 Rutgers vs Penn State+14.555.5L 36 - 40OY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)36.951% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)17.942% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2
RUTG#84 (.16)43% (67)28.744% (69)2.92 (88)16442% (63)1894.19 (44)#106 (.23)43% (85)31.848% (113)40% (59)4.03 (92)33.80.60.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
RUTG0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Offense1436.932.850.8%4.680.8224181602584.851%49%51%50%9%.33
RUTG Defense1331.830.343.3%4.030.9 - - - - - 46%54%48%40%15%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Defense1417.915.637.7%3.681.2 - - - - - 48%51%42%34%20%.11
RUTG Offense1328.735.442.9%4.190.6213531641894.553%47%44%42%14%.16

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon1428:3822.149%65%5.140.50.81.25.62.7129.3
Rutgers1329:302143%48%3.933.80.60.93.71.5129.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Offense1451% (69)51% (11)33.4159.94.829 (18).24 (17)3.5 (8)81% (19)6% (4)0.89 (108)
RUTG Defense1346% (18)48% (113) - - - - .26 (126)3.2 (99)82% (123)8% (115)1.07 (104)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Defense1448% (39)42% (64) - - - - .15 (83)3.14 (89)85% (127)12% (23)0.97 (63)
RUTG Offense1353% (51)44% (69)36.8163.84.524 (45).1 (87)2.92 (88)76% (52)7% (11)0.91 (97)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Offense1449% (66)50% (6)21.929.9258.18.711.828 (15)6 (10).44 (7)1.5 (83)27% (9)40% (2).59 (3)3% (3)2.1 (32)
RUTG Defense1354% (117)40% (59) - - - - - - 7 (104).23 (69)1.6 (82)33% (50)31% (75).32 (76)7% (49)2.2 (101)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Defense1451% (94)34% (2) - - - - - - 12 (39).09 (12)1.5 (50)37% (8)26% (15).17 (15)8% (5)1.9 (34)
RUTG Offense1347% (88)42% (63)15.327.9189.26.812.417 (79)6 (10).25 (75)1.6 (63)30% (42)34% (37).42 (32)7% (108)2 (69)

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 28.64  #4
Oregon's Offense Rating: 26.92  #4
Oregon's Defense Rating: -1.84  #4
2025 Talent Rating: 1128.00  #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 67%  #5
Oregon's 2025 Expected Record: 11.9 - 1.1
Oregon's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.9  #4
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.7  #10
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.5  #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 28.64   Rutgers: 7.465

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 25.9   Rutgers: 1.0




Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: 7.465  #44
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 25.92  #9
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 16.99  #94
2025 Talent Rating: 836.00  #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Rutgers's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Rutgers's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0  #72
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #39
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7  #95

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Oregon Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.8
Defense: 17.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.6

Oregon's 2025 Record
Record: 13 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 7
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 40
Rutgers 20


Projected Total Points: 60
Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.4
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Rutgers's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Rutgers10Oregon56Oregon -17.5Oregon62.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Rutgers001 Overs
Oregon110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#4) ORE at (#44) RUTG
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatORERUTG
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #4 #44
SP+SP+ #4 #72
Perf GradeGrade #4 #47
OffenseOff #4 #6
DefenseDef #7 #133
Spec TeamsST #14 #111
TalentTal #3 #45
Blue ChipsBC% #5 #65
Oregon Notes
(12/1) OC Will Stein hired as HC of Kentucky
(11/27) Bullied USC, not as bad as it looks. Pass Def torched
(11/27) Ducks dealing w/ a lot of injuries at OL & WR
(10/11) Bullied by IU, just 267 yds, 3-14 on 3rd, 2 TOs
(9/30) RB Dierre Hill looks like the best one, great depth
(9/23) OL playing great, QB Moore looks like a big hit
(9/23) Stats off charts vs cupcakes, real season starts
(6/6) OL rebuild 1/5, 3 big portals, a top 10 OL
(6/6) Def needs replacements, DL still near top 10 unit
(6/5) WR Evan Stewart tore knee, out for '25 season
(6/5) WR rebuild w/o Stewart. Benson (FSU) must hit
(5/23) Safeties Thieneman & Lopa a top duo in CFB
Oregon Injury Report
Rutgers Notes
(12/5) Fired DC Robb Smith after 1 season, also Co-DC out
(9/23) Kaliakmanis leads CFB in big time throws vs TWP
(9/19) Pass Off & Kaliakmanis good but inconsistent
(9/19) WR have 3 solid weapons, RB Raymond good
(9/19) Defense torn to shreds by Iowa. Yes, Iowa
(8/29) Run Def alarmingly bad vs Ohio, lucky to win
(8/21) OT R Langsdale out for season, big loss
(6/10) OL 4/5 back. 5 portal adds, looks pretty good
(6/10) Def not great LY, returns a lot. 9 portal adds
(6/10) OL has top 10 exp, 87% of which returning
(5/15) DL added 5 portals, JMU's best DE & DT
(5/13) Def portals very productive, esp on the DL
Rutgers Injury Report
Oregon on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ORE OffRUTG Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #4 #133
SuccessSuc #5 #85
ExplosiveExp #107 #105
PPAPPA #7 #106
PowerPwr #4 #94
SP+SP+ #10 #95
Pts POPPO #10 #92
HavocHav #2 #85
Oregon Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ORE OffRUTG Def
Run GameRun #2 #133
Run SuccessRSuc #11 #113
Run ExplRExp #108 #104
PPAExp #17 #126
Run BlockR Blk #23 -
OL YdsOLY #8 #99
Stuff RateStuff #10 #78
TackleTak -  #73
Oregon Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ORE OffRUTG Def
Pass GamePass #2 #117
Pass SuccessPSuc #6 #59
Pass ExplPExl #83 #82
PPAExp #7 #69
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #2 #105
F7 HavocF7 #4 #115
DB HavocDB #3 #49
Rutgers on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatRUTG OffORE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #6 #7
SuccessSuc #67 #18
ExplosiveExp #103 #43
PPAPPA #84 #33
PowerPwr #9 #4
SP+SP+ #39 #5
Pts POPPO #44 #59
HavocHav #38 #9
Rutgers Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
RUTG OffORE Def
Run GameRun #49 #29
Run SuccessRSuc #69 #64
Run ExplRExp #97 #63
PPAExp #87 #83
Run BlockR Blk #6 -
OL YdsOLY #88 #89
Stuff RateStuff #70 #117
TackleTak -  #7
Rutgers Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatRUTG OffORE Def
Pass GamePass #7 #5
Pass SuccessPSuc #63 #2
Pass ExplPExl #63 #50
PPAExp #75 #12
Pass Block/RushP Blk #71 #10
F7 HavocF7 #11 #23
DB HavocDB #108 #5
Program Comparison
RUTG 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

ORE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in SHI Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Oregon 17.5 (62.5)
Oregon won at Rutgers this year (56-10)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Rutgers last year (56-10)

  
ORE's OC Will Stein (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dante Moore29641272%356530108.7
Brock Thomas121675%130108.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Noah Whittington12982966.468
Jordon Davison112667156.067
Dierre Hill Jr.7565658.771
Jayden Limar4626235.753
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malik Benson (Tr)43719616.764
Kenyon Sadiq51560811.030
Jeremiah McClellan38557314.751
Jamari Johnson (Tr)32510315.956

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC Tosh Lupoi (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Boettcher1326155
Dillon Thieneman (Tr)924115
Aaron Flowers691013
Teitum Tuioti68161075
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Teitum Tuioti68161075
Matayo Uiagalelei3410673
Nasir Wyatt114310
Blake Purchase325251
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Finney Jr.423107
Jerry Mixon574147
A'Mauri Washington335257

RUTG's OC Kirk Ciarrocca (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Athan Kaliakmanis22936862%31242078.5
AJ Surace4944%58206.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Antwan Raymond2441241135.151
Ja'shon Benjamin6832824.819
CJ Campbell2211905.422
Samuel Brown V163802.49
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
KJ Duff601084718.172
Ian Strong52762514.745
DT Sheffield (Tr)44577513.154
Kenny Fletcher2623609.139

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC Robb Smith (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jett Elad (Tr)773011
Dariel Djabome676220
Kaj Sanders640001
Abram Wright531012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bradley Weaver (Tr)287331
Eric O'Neill (Tr)37103101
Dariel Djabome676220
Cam Miller (Tr)432105
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cam Miller (Tr)432105
Bo Mascoe482004
Jacobie Henderson (Tr)393003