Oregon at Rutgers - 2025 Matchup Preview
Oregon logo (#8)Oregon Ducks at Rutgers Scarlet KnightsRutgers logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (6:30 PM EDT)
Oregon -17.5 (62.5) (-1000)  Open: -16.5
Oregon 56 - Rutgers: 10  (Big Ten)

 
Ducks (13 - 1) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (35 - 5)
Avg Score : 38 - 15 (33 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.9 - 1.1 (#7)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Our Line: Oregon -24  (SP+ ORE -27)
Projected Score: ORE: 42 - RUTG: 18 (60)
ORE Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
ORE Travel: 2460 miles, 3 hrs behind
Scarlet Knights (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Greg Schiano (26 - 33)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (35 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Oregon's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oregon vs Montana State-28.056.5W 59 - 13OY
Sat 9/6 Oregon vs Oklahoma State-28.555.5W 69 - 3OY
Sat 9/13 Oregon at Northwestern-25.550.5W 34 - 14UN
Sat 9/20 Oregon vs Oregon State-33.558.5W 41 - 7UY
Sat 9/27 Oregon at Penn State+4.552.5W 30 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Oregon vs Indiana-7.051.5L 20 - 30UN
Sat 10/18 Oregon at Rutgers-17.562.5W 56 - 10OY
Sat 10/25 Oregon vs Wisconsin-31.544.5W 21 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Oregon at Iowa-4.541.5W 18 - 16UN
Fri 11/14 Oregon vs Minnesota-26.545.5W 42 - 13OY
Sat 11/22 Oregon vs USC-10.559.5W 42 - 27OY
Sat 11/29 Oregon at Washington-6.551.5W 26 - 14UY
Sat 12/20 Oregon vs James Madison-22.547.5W 51 - 34ON
Thu 1/1 Oregon vs Texas Tech+1.550.5W 23 - 0UY
Fri 1/9 Oregon vs Indiana+4.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
Rutgers's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Rutgers vs Ohio-11.546.5W 34 - 31ON
Sat 9/6 Rutgers vs Miami (OH)-15.545.5W 45 - 17OY
Sat 9/13 Rutgers vs Norfolk State-44.556.5W 60 - 10OY
Fri 9/19 Rutgers vs Iowa+2.546.5L 28 - 38ON
Sat 9/27 Rutgers at Minnesota+3.551.5L 28 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/10 Rutgers at Washington+9.562.5L 19 - 38UN
Sat 10/18 Rutgers vs Oregon+17.562.5L 10 - 56ON
Sat 10/25 Rutgers at Purdue+2.560.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 11/1 Rutgers at Illinois+13.563.5L 13 - 35UN
Sat 11/8 Rutgers vs Maryland-1.556.5W 35 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Rutgers at Ohio State+29.054.0L 9 - 42UN
Sat 11/29 Rutgers vs Penn State+14.555.5L 36 - 40OY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE#2 (.39)51% (5)3853% (2)3.37 (10)18750% (11)2124.4 (24)#14 (.04)37% (17)15.140% (48)34% (12)3.86 (90)43.40.61.2
RUTG#38 (.21)47% (23)28.746% (41)3.03 (54)14247% (18)2663.38 (102)#134 (.31)47% (128)31.847% (116)49% (132)4.45 (131)32.60.91
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)51% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)42% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2
RUTG#84 (.16)43% (67)44% (69)2.92 (88)16442% (63)1894.19 (44)#106 (.23)43% (85)48% (113)40% (59)4.03 (92)33.80.60.9



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Offense143832.851%4.40.6193991872125.852%46%53%50%9%.39
RUTG Defense1231.830.347.4%4.451 - - - - - 50%49%47%49%12%.31
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Defense1415.115.636.8%3.861.2 - - - - - 49%49%40%34%18%.04
RUTG Offense1228.735.446.8%3.380.9234081422663.749%50%46%47%16%.21

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon1426:3119.449%64%4.543.40.61.24.11.6430.6
Rutgers1232:3123.343%62%4.132.60.913.90.9328.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Offense1452% (47)53% (2)32.2187.25.830 (16).34 (3)3.37 (10)80% (15)6% (5)1.06 (32)
RUTG Defense1250% (65)47% (116) - - - - .26 (134)3.15 (110)66% (29)9% (106)1.13 (129)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Defense1449% (55)40% (48) - - - - .06 (49)2.73 (37)75% (99)9% (83)0.94 (59)
RUTG Offense1249% (73)46% (41)38.8141.53.719 (49).09 (80)3.03 (54)75% (48)9% (46)0.86 (117)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Offense1446% (93)50% (11)17.424211.58.812.225 (6)6 (34).48 (7)1.6 (47)25% (7)31% (58).39 (36)3% (4)2.1 (57)
RUTG Defense1249% (74)49% (132) - - - - - - 5 (100).44 (134)1.6 (66)30% (95)34% (118).36 (100)4% (133)2.1 (93)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Defense1449% (83)34% (12) - - - - - - 13 (22).1 (18)1.6 (95)36% (15)27% (27).17 (23)9% (3)2 (49)
RUTG Offense1250% (61)47% (18)19.531.5266.18.513.722 (42)7 (60).34 (38)1.5 (88)29% (36)36% (19).33 (58)7% (110)1.8 (129)

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 28.05  #3
Oregon's Offense Rating: 26.91  #8
Oregon's Defense Rating: -10.88  #4
2025 Talent Rating: 1128.00  #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 67%  #5
Oregon's 2025 Expected Record: 11.9 - 1.1
Oregon's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.1  #4
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.1  #13
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.4  #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 28.05   Rutgers: 3.695

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 27.1   Rutgers: 0.0




Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: 3.695  #59
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 20.13  #18
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 17.74  #123
2025 Talent Rating: 836.00  #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Rutgers's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Rutgers's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.0  #73
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.8  #43
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8  #98

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Oregon Scoring
Offense: 38 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.8
Defense: 15.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.6

Oregon's 2025 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 42
Rutgers 18


Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Oregon 29
Rutgers 29

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Oregon 33
Rutgers 24

Total Points: 57
Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.4
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Rutgers's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Rutgers10Oregon56Oregon -17.5Oregon62.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Rutgers001 Overs
Oregon110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#3) ORE at (#59) RUTG
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatORERUTG
Power RatePwr #3 #59
SP+SP+ #4 #73
Perf GradeGrade #6 #53
OffenseOff #4 #7
DefenseDef #11 #134
Spec TeamsST #17 #106
TalentTal #3 #45
Blue ChipsBC% #5 #65
Oregon Notes
(12/1) OC Will Stein hired as HC of Kentucky
(11/27) Bullied USC, not as bad as it looks. Pass Def torched
(11/27) Ducks dealing w/ a lot of injuries at OL & WR
(10/11) Bullied by IU, just 267 yds, 3-14 on 3rd, 2 TOs
(9/30) RB Dierre Hill looks like the best one, great depth
(9/23) OL playing great, QB Moore looks like a big hit
(9/23) Stats off charts vs cupcakes, real season starts
(6/6) OL rebuild 1/5, 3 big portals, a top 10 OL
(6/6) Def needs replacements, DL still near top 10 unit
(6/5) WR Evan Stewart tore knee, out for '25 season
(6/5) WR rebuild w/o Stewart. Benson (FSU) must hit
(5/23) Safeties Thieneman & Lopa a top duo in CFB
Oregon Injury Report
Rutgers Notes
(12/5) Fired DC Robb Smith after 1 season, also Co-DC out
(9/23) Kaliakmanis leads CFB in big time throws vs TWP
(9/19) Pass Off & Kaliakmanis good but inconsistent
(9/19) WR have 3 solid weapons, RB Raymond good
(9/19) Defense torn to shreds by Iowa. Yes, Iowa
(8/29) Run Def alarmingly bad vs Ohio, lucky to win
(8/21) OT R Langsdale out for season, big loss
(6/10) OL 4/5 back. 5 portal adds, looks pretty good
(6/10) Def not great LY, returns a lot. 9 portal adds
(6/10) OL has top 10 exp, 87% of which returning
(5/15) DL added 5 portals, JMU's best DE & DT
(5/13) Def portals very productive, esp on the DL
Rutgers Injury Report
Oregon on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ORE OffRUTG Def
Perf GradePerf #4 #134
SuccessSuc #5 #128
ExplosiveExp #35 #114
PPAPPA #2 #134
PowerPwr #8 #123
SP+SP+ #13 #98
Pts POPPO #24 #131
HavocHav #3 #126
Oregon Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ORE OffRUTG Def
Run GameRun #1 #133
Run SuccessRSuc #2 #116
Run ExplRExp #32 #129
PPAExp #3 #134
Run BlockR Blk #30 -
OL YdsOLY #10 #110
Stuff RateStuff #16 #62
TackleTak -  #70
Oregon Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ORE OffRUTG Def
Pass GamePass #5 #119
Pass SuccessPSuc #11 #132
Pass ExplPExl #47 #66
PPAExp #7 #134
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #1 #120
F7 HavocF7 #5 #106
DB HavocDB #4 #133
Rutgers on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatRUTG OffORE Def
Perf GradePerf #7 #11
SuccessSuc #23 #17
ExplosiveExp #90 #65
PPAPPA #38 #14
PowerPwr #18 #4
SP+SP+ #43 #5
Pts POPPO #102 #90
HavocHav #76 #23
Rutgers Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
RUTG OffORE Def
Run GameRun #39 #37
Run SuccessRSuc #41 #48
Run ExplRExp #117 #59
PPAExp #80 #49
Run BlockR Blk #3 -
OL YdsOLY #54 #37
Stuff RateStuff #21 #100
TackleTak -  #7
Rutgers Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatRUTG OffORE Def
Pass GamePass #12 #11
Pass SuccessPSuc #18 #12
Pass ExplPExl #88 #95
PPAExp #38 #18
Pass Block/RushP Blk #73 #46
F7 HavocF7 #46 #83
DB HavocDB #110 #3
Program Comparison
RUTG 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

ORE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in SHI Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 57° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 8
Oregon 17.5 (62.5)
Oregon won at Rutgers this year (56-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ORE's OC Will Stein (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dante Moore24634072%30462889.0
Brock Thomas121675%130108.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Noah Whittington11679866.968
Jordon Davison97625136.467
Dierre Hill Jr.6555758.666
Jayden Limar4325936.053
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malik Benson (Tr)36645617.964
Kenyon Sadiq42509812.130
Jeremiah McClellan31480315.551
Dakorien Moore29448315.465

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC Tosh Lupoi (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Boettcher1095154
Dillon Thieneman (Tr)713115
Teitum Tuioti6014875
Aaron Flowers601012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Teitum Tuioti6014875
Matayo Uiagalelei309573
Nasir Wyatt92210
A'Mauri Washington315256
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Finney Jr.343107
Ify Obidegwu221006
A'Mauri Washington315256

RUTG's OC Kirk Ciarrocca (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Athan Kaliakmanis22936862%31242078.5
AJ Surace4944%58206.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Antwan Raymond2441241135.151
Ja'shon Benjamin6832824.819
CJ Campbell2211905.422
Samuel Brown V163802.49
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
KJ Duff601084718.172
Ian Strong52762514.745
DT Sheffield (Tr)44577513.154
Kenny Fletcher2623609.139

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC Robb Smith (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jett Elad (Tr)773011
Dariel Djabome676220
Kaj Sanders640001
Abram Wright531012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bradley Weaver (Tr)287331
Eric O'Neill (Tr)37103101
Dariel Djabome676220
Cam Miller (Tr)432105
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cam Miller (Tr)432105
Bo Mascoe482004
Jacobie Henderson (Tr)393003