Minnesota at Oregon - 2025 Matchup Preview
Minnesota logo Minnesota Golden Gophers at Oregon Ducks(#6)Oregon logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Autzen Stadium - Eugene, OR  (Big Ten)

 
Golden Gophers (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (57 - 39)
Avg Score : 34 - 12 (14 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
MINN coming off BYE
Our Line: Oregon -19.5   (SP+ ORE -19)

Projected Score: MINN: 18 - ORE: 38 (56)
ORE Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
MINN Travel: 1463 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Ducks (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (35 - 5)
Avg Score : 54 - 10 (64 - 8 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 1.5 (#5)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 5) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Minnesota's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Minnesota vs Buffalo-16.545.5W 23 - 10UN
Sat 9/6 Minnesota vs Northwestern State-43.050.5W 66 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Minnesota at California-3.041.5L 14 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Minnesota vs Rutgers-6
Sat 10/4 Minnesota at Ohio State+19
Sat 10/11 Minnesota vs Purdue-20
Sat 10/18 Minnesota vs Nebraska+2
Sat 10/25 Minnesota at Iowa+3
Sat 11/1 Minnesota vs Michigan State-7
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Minnesota at Oregon+19.5
Sat 11/22 Minnesota vs Northwestern-11
Sat 11/29 Minnesota vs Wisconsin-6.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 6, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Oregon's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oregon vs Montana State-28.056.5W 59 - 13OY
Sat 9/6 Oregon vs Oklahoma State-28.555.5W 69 - 3OY
Sat 9/13 Oregon at Northwestern-25.550.5W 34 - 14UN
Sat 9/20 Oregon vs Oregon State-35.555.5
Sat 9/27 Oregon at Penn State+3
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Oregon vs Indiana-12
Sat 10/18 Oregon at Rutgers-17.5
Sat 10/25 Oregon vs Wisconsin-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Oregon at Iowa-13.5
Sat 11/15 Oregon vs Minnesota-19.5
Sat 11/22 Oregon vs USC-7
Sat 11/29 Oregon at Washington-11

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN#57 (.23)46% (50)34.342% (84)3.24 (44)18051% (31)2403.57 (93)#26 (-)33% (28)12.324% (6)39% (65)3.78 (77)46.71.31.7
ORE#1 (.78)64% (1)5466% (2)4.12 (1)24762% (4)2566.27 (3)#23 (-.02)30% (12)1033% (25)26% (9)2.29 (25)21.30.31.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN#64 (.2)45% (39)44% (65)2.7 (119)10346% (29)2044.38 (27)#16 (.08)39% (35)36% (8)42% (80)3.32 (23)35.60.81.5
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)51% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)42% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Offense334.31446.2%3.571.3244211802404.352%48%42%51%12%.23
ORE Defense310830%2.291.3 - - - - - 55%45%33%26%20%-.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Defense312.32733.3%3.781.7 - - - - - 40%60%24%39%21%0
ORE Offense3546464%6.270.325503247256755%45%66%62%3%.78

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Minnesota335:1223.749%33%4.746.71.31.76.32.3135.3
Oregon328:5024.764%75%321.30.31.352.3236.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Offense352% (60)42% (84)42.3180.34.36 (49).06 (94)3.24 (44)80% (36)6% (16)0.78 (115)
ORE Defense355% (105)33% (25) - - - - -.08 (27)2.74 (65)43% (10)10% (67)0.73 (21)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Defense340% (11)24% (6) - - - - -.17 (11)1.94 (9)80% (107)16% (10)0.81 (37)
ORE Offense355% (46)66% (2)35.3247713 (2).82 (1)4.12 (1)100% (1)3% (1)1.39 (11)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Offense348% (73)51% (31)1728240.38.614.15 (54)3 (92).42 (41)1.7 (35)31% (75)35% (44).34 (65)7% (104)1.8 (96)
ORE Defense345% (35)26% (9) - - - - - - 4 (12).06 (29)1.5 (72)35% (46)14% (10).07 (28)10% (7)2.1 (79)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Defense360% (130)39% (65) - - - - - - 2 (56).11 (38)1.5 (61)37% (25)24% (38).24 (61)6% (76)2.2 (97)
ORE Offense345% (88)62% (4)18.725.3256.310.113.77 (23)1 (23).73 (6)1.4 (96)20% (6)40% (27).38 (57)0% (1)1 (134)

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 18.04 #35
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 15.99 #46
Minnesota's Defense Rating: -2.05 #22
2025 Talent Rating: 928.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #44
Minnesota's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Minnesota's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #47
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 18.04   Oregon: 32.63

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 8.4   Oregon: 27.1




Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 32.63 #1
Oregon's Offense Rating: 34.47 #1
Oregon's Defense Rating: -10.68 #3
2025 Talent Rating: 1128.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 67 #5
Oregon's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5
Oregon's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.1 #2
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.4 #2
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 34.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 12.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27

Minnesota's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 38
Minnesota 18


Total Points: 56

Oregon Scoring
Offense: 54 PPG
Offense at Home: 64
Defense: 10 PPG
Defense at Home: 8

Oregon's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
200312/31Minnesota31Oregon30Minnesota
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon000 Overs
Minnesota100 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#35) Minnesota Info
Power Rating: 18.04 #35
Offense Rating: 15.99 #46
Defense Rating: -2.05 #22
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #47
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11
Talent Rating: 928.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #44
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.57 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Good Pass Success 51%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Great Run Def Success 24%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Minnesota has lost 7 straight
Minnesota has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Minnesota Notes
(9/13) RB1 D Taylor doubtful for Cal (leg inj)
(8/29) QB Lindsey, RB Taylor as good as advertised
(5/26) Portal DE J Howard (LSU) a pot. gamewrecker
(5/23) Safeties Perich & Brown a top duo in CFB
(5/2) S Koi Perch #2 via PFF, only a Soph, 5 Ints
(4/17) QB RFr Drake Lindsey starter? Pryon in portal
(4/7) OL 2/5 back, bad LY. 3 exp'd P4 portals added
(3/31) RB Taylor back, add Turner (Marsh). Looks great
(3/19) WR rebuild. 3 portal adds. Improved, how much?
(3/19) Def v good and return a lot. New DE/CB needs

Minnesota Highlights
Minnesota offense is good on 3rd downs
Minnesota does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#18)

Minnesota has a really good defense (#28)
Minnesota has a good run defense (#6)
Minnesota Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#24)
Minnesota Defensive Line is very good (#9)
Minnesota Front 7 is disruptive (#10)

Minnesota Deficiencies

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatOREMINN
OverallOver#12#8
OffenseOff#10#8
DefenseDef#33#17
Special TeamsST#15#4
PassingPass#25#13
RushingRush#3#13
Run BlockRBLK#50#11
Pass BlockPBLK#2#44
Route RunningWR Rt#17#35
TacklingTkl#6#25
Run DefenseR Def#68#34
Pass Rush DefPRush#58#63
Coverage DefCov#9#10

Weather Forecast
Playing in Autzen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MINN | ORE
Depth Chart: MINN | ORE
Rosters: MINN | ORE
(#1) Oregon Info
Power Rating: 32.63 #1
Offense Rating: 34.47 #1
Defense Rating: -10.68 #3
Overall SP+ Rating: 27.1 #2
Offense SP+ Rating: 41.4 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8
Talent Rating: 1128.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 67 #5
Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Great Offense Success Rate of 64%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 6.27 PPO
Great Run Success 66%
Great Pass Success 62%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 30%
Good in Scoring Position 2.29 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Great Pass Def Success 26%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Oregon has lost 6 straight
Oregon has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Oregon Notes
(6/6) Def needs replacements, DL still near top 10 unit
(6/5) WR Evan Stewart tore knee, out for '25 season
(6/5) WR rebuild w/o Stewart. Benson (FSU) must hit
(5/23) Safeties Thieneman & Lopa a top duo in CFB
(5/11) 64% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/7) Still great, but step back. CFP team, not natty
(4/7) Iapani Laloulu (C)/TE Sadiq top 10 via PFF
(3/28) Fr WR Moore a weapon that will play early
(3/28) S Thieneman (Pur) a huge sign, NFL talent
(3/22) TE Sadiq (SO) a weapon, ascends to #1 TY

Oregon Highlights
Oregon in Undefeated
Oregon is Undefeated at Home
Oregon is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Oregon has Really Good Running Game (#6)
Oregon offense is efficent (#1)
Oregon offense is explosive (#24)
Oregon has a top Offensive Line (#1)
Oregon offense is good in red zone (#3)
Oregon offense is good on 3rd downs
Oregon does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#2)

Oregon has a really good defense (#12)
Oregon defense does not give up big plays (#17)
Oregon defense is really good in red zone (#25)
Oregon has a good run defense (#25)
Oregon has a good pass defense (#9)
Oregon Secondary is very good (#7)
Oregon has a great TO Margin (#11)
Oregon commits very few Penalties (#6)
Oregon defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Oregon Deficiencies


  
Minnesota's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drake Lindsey467661%634428.3
Max Shikenjanski4580%801016.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darius Taylor3316104.918
Fame Ijeboi2313605.927
Grant Washington2012606.316
Cameron Davis (Tr)216923.314
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javon Tracy (Tr)6150125.045
Lemeke Brockington10136013.623
Jalen Smith276138.060
Kenric Lanier II259029.552

View Minnesota's Full Roster
Minnesota's DC Danny Collins
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maverick Baranowski182000
Devon Williams182201
Koi Perich101000
Aidan Gousby80000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Smith74301
Devon Williams182201
Emmanuel Karmo51111
Jalen Logan-Redding41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Nestor (Tr)61002
Devon Williams182201
Anthony Smith74301

Oregon's OC Will Stein
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dante Moore506478%6577110.3
Luke Moga3560%580011.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dierre Hill Jr.11161214.666
Noah Whittington14159211.459
Jayden Limar2014537.353
Jay Harris115004.516
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malik Benson (Tr)11161214.642
Dakorien Moore9144116.065
Jeremiah McClellan598019.651
Kenyon Sadiq595219.026

View Oregon's Full Roster
Oregon's DC Tosh Lupoi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Boettcher171001
Teitum Tuioti153200
Peyton Woodyard131000
Bear Alexander (Tr)121100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matayo Uiagalelei63321
Teitum Tuioti153200
Nasir Wyatt21100
Will Straton71100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ify Obidegwu70002
Daylen Austin41002
Bryce Boettcher171001