Minnesota at Oregon - 2025 Matchup Preview
Minnesota logo   Minnesota Golden Gophers at Oregon Ducks  Oregon logo
Friday, November 14th 2025 (9:00 PM EST)
Oregon -26.5 (45.5) (-6000)  Open: -21.5 | 44.5
Oregon 42 - Minnesota: 13  (Big Ten)

 
Golden Gophers (8 - 5) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (57 - 39)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (8 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 5.5 (#61)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
MINN coming off BYE
Our Line: Oregon -28.5  (SP+ ORE -24)

Projected Score: MINN: 10 - ORE: 39 (49)
ORE Win prob: 97% | Cover: 51%
MINN Travel: 1463 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Ducks (13 - 2) (9 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (35 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (43 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.9 - 1.1 (#7)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
 
Minnesota's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Minnesota vs Buffalo-16.545.5W 23 - 10UN
Sat 9/6 Minnesota vs Northwestern State-43.050.5W 66 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Minnesota at California-3.041.5L 14 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Minnesota vs Rutgers-3.551.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 10/4 Minnesota at Ohio State+23.542.5L 3 - 42ON
Sat 10/11 Minnesota vs Purdue-7.549.5W 27 - 20UN
Fri 10/17 Minnesota vs Nebraska+7.047.5W 24 - 6UY
Sat 10/25 Minnesota at Iowa+7.539.5L 3 - 41ON
Sat 11/1 Minnesota vs Michigan State-4.544.5W 23 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/14 Minnesota at Oregon+26.545.5L 13 - 42ON
Sat 11/22 Minnesota vs Northwestern+4.041.0L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/29 Minnesota vs Wisconsin+2.538.5W 17 - 7UY
Fri 12/26 Minnesota vs New Mexico-1.544.5W 20 - 17UY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Oregon's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oregon vs Montana State-28.056.5W 59 - 13OY
Sat 9/6 Oregon vs Oklahoma State-28.555.5W 69 - 3OY
Sat 9/13 Oregon at Northwestern-25.550.5W 34 - 14UN
Sat 9/20 Oregon vs Oregon State-33.558.5W 41 - 7UY
Sat 9/27 Oregon at Penn State+4.552.5W 30 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Oregon vs Indiana-7.051.5L 20 - 30UN
Sat 10/18 Oregon at Rutgers-17.562.5W 56 - 10OY
Sat 10/25 Oregon vs Wisconsin-31.544.5W 21 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Oregon at Iowa-4.541.5W 18 - 16UN
Fri 11/14 Oregon vs Minnesota-26.545.5W 42 - 13OY
Sat 11/22 Oregon vs USC-10.559.5W 42 - 27OY
Sat 11/29 Oregon at Washington-6.551.5W 26 - 14UY
Sat 12/20 Oregon vs James Madison-22.547.5W 51 - 34ON
Thu 1/1 Oregon vs Texas Tech+1.550.5W 23 - 0UY
Fri 1/9 Oregon vs Indiana+3.050.5L 22 - 56ON

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN#64 (.2)45% (39)2344% (65)2.7 (119)10346% (29)2044.38 (27)#16 (.08)39% (35)22.936% (8)42% (80)3.32 (23)35.60.81.5
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)36.951% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)17.942% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ORE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Offense13238.344.9%4.380.8193071032043.744%56%44%46%16%.2
ORE Defense1417.916.837.7%3.681.2 - - - - - 48%51%42%34%20%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Defense1322.93838.9%3.321.5 - - - - - 50%50%36%42%19%.08
ORE Offense1436.943.150.8%4.680.8224181602584.851%49%51%50%9%.33

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Minnesota1329:1318.545%90%4.535.60.81.54.41.8228.6
Oregon1428:3822.149%65%5.140.50.81.25.62.7129.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Offense1344% (111)44% (65)28.2102.93.717 (84).11 (80)2.7 (119)73% (69)10% (80)0.88 (113)
ORE Defense1448% (39)42% (64) - - - - .15 (83)3.14 (89)85% (127)12% (23)0.97 (63)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Defense1350% (63)36% (8) - - - - .02 (19)2.71 (22)74% (69)9% (90)0.95 (50)
ORE Offense1451% (69)51% (11)33.4159.94.829 (18).24 (17)3.5 (8)81% (19)6% (4)0.89 (108)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Offense1356% (25)46% (29)19.529.2204.1710.518 (68)5 (6).27 (58)1.4 (129)30% (46)31% (80).32 (76)6% (70)2 (75)
ORE Defense1451% (94)34% (2) - - - - - - 12 (39).09 (12)1.5 (50)37% (8)26% (15).17 (15)8% (5)1.9 (34)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Defense1350% (71)42% (80) - - - - - - 16 (10).15 (27)1.3 (6)33% (43)26% (16).15 (10)10% (1)1.8 (20)
ORE Offense1449% (66)50% (6)21.929.9258.18.711.828 (15)6 (10).44 (7)1.5 (83)27% (9)40% (2).59 (3)3% (3)2.1 (32)

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 0.96  #65
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 14.08  #62
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 13.12  #64
2025 Talent Rating: 928.00  #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8%  #44
Minnesota's 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 5.5
Minnesota's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.5  #70
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8  #94
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.8  #33

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 0.96   Oregon: 29.77

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 1.5   Oregon: 25.9




Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 29.77  #4
Oregon's Offense Rating: 26.92  #4
Oregon's Defense Rating: -1.84  #4
2025 Talent Rating: 1128.00  #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 67  #5
Oregon's 2025 Expected Record: 11.9 - 1.1
Oregon's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.9  #4
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.7  #10
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.5  #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 8.3
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Minnesota's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 39
Minnesota 10


Projected Total Points: 49
Oregon Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.1
Defense: 17.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

Oregon's 2025 Record
Record: 13 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/14Oregon42Minnesota13Oregon -26.5Oregon45.5Over
200312/31Minnesota31Oregon30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon111 Overs
Minnesota100 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#65) MINN at (#4) ORE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMINNORE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #65 #4
SP+SP+ #70 #4
Perf GradeGrade #60 #4
OffenseOff #53 #4
DefenseDef #89 #7
Spec TeamsST #1 #14
TalentTal #19 #3
Blue ChipsBC% #44 #5
Minnesota Notes
(11/30) CB J Nestor was incredible vs Iowa, Does he return?
(11/22) This program is awful on road. Study why
(11/16) Gophers historically bad road season, L2 at home
(11/2) Outgained & outplayed by Mich St, Def torched
(10/27) Off horrific vs Iowa, 133 yds, 24 rushing, 3 TOs.
(10/18) Def dominated Neb w/ 9 sacks, held to 213 yds
(10/18) RB D Taylor breakout game, 148 yds, 6.2 ypc
(9/14) Rush Off disappointing, Red Zone issues hurt
(9/13) RB1 D Taylor doubtful for Cal (leg inj)
(8/29) QB Lindsey, RB Taylor as good as advertised
(5/26) Portal DE J Howard (LSU) a pot. gamewrecker
(5/23) Safeties Perich & Brown a top duo in CFB
Minnesota Injury Report
Oregon Notes
(12/1) OC Will Stein hired as HC of Kentucky
(11/27) Bullied USC, not as bad as it looks. Pass Def torched
(11/27) Ducks dealing w/ a lot of injuries at OL & WR
(10/11) Bullied by IU, just 267 yds, 3-14 on 3rd, 2 TOs
(9/30) RB Dierre Hill looks like the best one, great depth
(9/23) OL playing great, QB Moore looks like a big hit
(9/23) Stats off charts vs cupcakes, real season starts
(6/6) OL rebuild 1/5, 3 big portals, a top 10 OL
(6/6) Def needs replacements, DL still near top 10 unit
(6/5) WR Evan Stewart tore knee, out for '25 season
(6/5) WR rebuild w/o Stewart. Benson (FSU) must hit
(5/23) Safeties Thieneman & Lopa a top duo in CFB
Oregon Injury Report
Minnesota on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat
MINN OffORE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #53 #7
SuccessSuc #39 #18
ExplosiveExp #122 #43
PPAPPA #64 #33
PowerPwr #62 #4
SP+SP+ #94 #5
Pts POPPO #27 #59
HavocHav #71 #9
Minnesota Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat
MINN OffORE Def
Run GameRun #66 #29
Run SuccessRSuc #65 #64
Run ExplRExp #113 #63
PPAExp #80 #83
Run BlockR Blk #41 -
OL YdsOLY #119 #89
Stuff RateStuff #91 #117
TackleTak -  #7
Minnesota Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat
MINN OffORE Def
Pass GamePass #57 #5
Pass SuccessPSuc #29 #2
Pass ExplPExl #129 #50
PPAExp #58 #12
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #54 #10
F7 HavocF7 #80 #23
DB HavocDB #70 #5
Oregon on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatORE OffMINN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #4 #89
SuccessSuc #5 #35
ExplosiveExp #107 #19
PPAPPA #7 #16
PowerPwr #4 #64
SP+SP+ #10 #33
Pts POPPO #10 #23
HavocHav #2 #18
Oregon Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ORE OffMINN Def
Run GameRun #2 #82
Run SuccessRSuc #11 #8
Run ExplRExp #108 #50
PPAExp #17 #19
Run BlockR Blk #23 -
OL YdsOLY #8 #22
Stuff RateStuff #10 #73
TackleTak -  #86
Oregon Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatORE OffMINN Def
Pass GamePass #2 #95
Pass SuccessPSuc #6 #80
Pass ExplPExl #83 #6
PPAExp #7 #27
Pass Block/RushP Blk #2 #93
F7 HavocF7 #4 #90
DB HavocDB #3 #1
Program Comparison
ORE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

MINN 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Autzen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Oregon -26.5 (45.5)
Oregon won vs Minnesota this year (42-13)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Minnesota last year (42-13)

  
MINN's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr. (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drake Lindsey24638963%23821866.1
Max Shikenjanski4580%801016.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darius Taylor14367044.771
Fame Ijeboi9744124.549
Grant Washington2113206.316
Cameron Davis (Tr)3511123.214
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lemeke Brockington46484410.524
Javon Tracy (Tr)37454612.345
Jalen Smith28419415.078
Darius Taylor3424507.240

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC Danny Collins (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maverick Baranowski1029331
Devon Williams899311
Koi Perich823102
Kerry Brown564003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Smith38181373
Karter Menz329742
Jaxon Howard296410
Maverick Baranowski1029331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Nestor (Tr)506006
Kerry Brown564003
Anthony Smith38181373

ORE's OC Will Stein (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dante Moore29641272%356530108.7
Brock Thomas121675%130108.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Noah Whittington12982966.468
Jordon Davison112667156.067
Dierre Hill Jr.7565658.771
Jayden Limar4626235.753
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malik Benson (Tr)43719616.764
Kenyon Sadiq51560811.030
Jeremiah McClellan38557314.751
Jamari Johnson (Tr)32510315.956

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC Tosh Lupoi (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Boettcher1326155
Dillon Thieneman (Tr)924115
Aaron Flowers691013
Teitum Tuioti68161075
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Teitum Tuioti68161075
Matayo Uiagalelei3410673
Nasir Wyatt114310
Blake Purchase325251
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Finney Jr.423107
Jerry Mixon574147
A'Mauri Washington335257