Oregon at Iowa - 2025 Matchup Preview
Oregon logo (#6)Oregon Ducks at Iowa HawkeyesIowa logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Kinnick Stadium - Iowa City, IA  (Big Ten)

 
Ducks (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (35 - 5)
Avg Score : 54 - 10 (34 - 14 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 1.5 (#5)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 5) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
ORE coming off BYE
IOWA coming off BYE
Our Line: Oregon -13.5   (SP+ ORE -16)

Projected Score: ORE: 32 - IOWA: 18 (50)
ORE Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
ORE Travel: 1595 miles, 2 hrs behind
Hawkeyes (2 - 1) (1 - 1 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (204 - 123)
Avg Score : 31 - 10 (41 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#84)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Oregon's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oregon vs Montana State-28.056.5W 59 - 13OY
Sat 9/6 Oregon vs Oklahoma State-28.555.5W 69 - 3OY
Sat 9/13 Oregon at Northwestern-25.550.5W 34 - 14UN
Sat 9/20 Oregon vs Oregon State-35.555.5
Sat 9/27 Oregon at Penn State+3
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Oregon vs Indiana-12
Sat 10/18 Oregon at Rutgers-17.5
Sat 10/25 Oregon vs Wisconsin-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Oregon at Iowa-13.5
Sat 11/15 Oregon vs Minnesota-19.5
Sat 11/22 Oregon vs USC-7
Sat 11/29 Oregon at Washington-11

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
Iowa's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Iowa vs UAlbany-39.548.5W 34 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Iowa at Iowa State+3.043.0L 13 - 16UY
Sat 9/13 Iowa vs Massachusetts-35.544.5W 47 - 7OY
Fri 9/19 Iowa at Rutgers-2.545.5
Sat 9/27 Iowa vs Indiana+4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Iowa at Wisconsin-2.5
Sat 10/18 Iowa vs Penn State+14
Sat 10/25 Iowa vs Minnesota-3
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Iowa vs Oregon+13.5
Sat 11/15 Iowa at USC+14.5
Sat 11/22 Iowa vs Michigan State-8
Fri 11/28 Iowa at Nebraska+6.5

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE#1 (.78)64% (1)5466% (2)4.12 (1)24762% (4)2566.27 (3)#23 (-.02)30% (12)1033% (25)26% (9)2.29 (25)21.30.31.3
IOWA#61 (.22)47% (45)31.354% (23)3.82 (8)21434% (114)1224.89 (35)#34 (.03)34% (30)1034% (31)34% (40)3.75 (76)210.70.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)51% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)42% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2
IOWA#100 (.14)42% (72)44% (63)2.92 (89)18540% (94)1213.77 (84)#30 (.11)42% (72)46% (97)39% (51)3.37 (27)26.30.81.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Offense3543464%6.270.325503247256755%45%66%62%3%.78
IOWA Defense310734.1%3.750.3 - - - - - 47%53%34%34%18%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Defense3101430%2.291.3 - - - - - 55%45%33%26%20%-.02
IOWA Offense331.340.546.7%4.890.7193362141224.961%39%54%34%10%.22

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon328:5024.764%75%321.30.31.352.3236.4
Iowa333:1619.354%67%2.3210.70.36.32.3133.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Offense355% (46)66% (2)35.3247713 (2).82 (1)4.12 (1)100% (1)3% (1)1.39 (11)
IOWA Defense347% (46)34% (31) - - - - (48)2.81 (74)100% (127)14% (26)0.82 (42)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Defense355% (105)33% (25) - - - - -.08 (27)2.74 (65)43% (10)10% (67)0.73 (21)
IOWA Offense361% (15)54% (23)442144.96 (49).26 (37)3.82 (8)85% (27)7% (46)0.79 (114)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Offense345% (88)62% (4)18.725.3256.310.113.77 (23)1 (23).73 (6)1.4 (96)20% (6)40% (27).38 (57)0% (1)1 (134)
IOWA Defense353% (93)34% (40) - - - - - - 0.05 (28)1 (5)37% (36)15% (13)-.02 (19)5% (99)1.2 (2)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Defense345% (35)26% (9) - - - - - - 4 (12).06 (29)1.5 (72)35% (46)14% (10).07 (28)10% (7)2.1 (79)
IOWA Offense339% (121)34% (114)14.323.7121.75.18.54 (72)1 (23).17 (98)1.5 (88)21% (9)21% (122).03 (122)3% (14)1 (135)

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 33.16 #1
Oregon's Offense Rating: 34.47 #1
Oregon's Defense Rating: -10.68 #3
2025 Talent Rating: 1128.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 67% #5
Oregon's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5
Oregon's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.1 #2
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.4 #2
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 33.16   Iowa: 16.465

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 27.1   Iowa: 11.0




Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 16.465 #37
Iowa's Offense Rating: 13.80 #63
Iowa's Defense Rating: -3.13 #14
2025 Talent Rating: 840.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Iowa's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Iowa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #34
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #78
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5 #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Oregon Scoring
Offense: 54 PPG
Offense on Road: 34
Defense: 10 PPG
Defense on Road: 14

Oregon's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 32
Iowa 18


Total Points: 50

Iowa Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.5
Defense: 10 PPG
Defense at Home: 7

Iowa's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa000 Overs
Oregon000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#1) Oregon Info
Power Rating: 33.16 #1
Offense Rating: 34.47 #1
Defense Rating: -10.68 #3
Overall SP+ Rating: 27.1 #2
Offense SP+ Rating: 41.4 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8
Talent Rating: 1128.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 67% #5
Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Great Offense Success Rate of 64%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 6.27 PPO
Great Run Success 66%
Great Pass Success 62%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 30%
Good in Scoring Position 2.29 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Great Pass Def Success 26%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Oregon has lost 5 straight
Oregon has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Oregon Notes
(6/6) Def needs replacements, DL still near top 10 unit
(6/5) WR Evan Stewart tore knee, out for '25 season
(6/5) WR rebuild w/o Stewart. Benson (FSU) must hit
(5/23) Safeties Thieneman & Lopa a top duo in CFB
(5/11) 64% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/7) Still great, but step back. CFP team, not natty
(4/7) Iapani Laloulu (C)/TE Sadiq top 10 via PFF
(3/28) Fr WR Moore a weapon that will play early
(3/28) S Thieneman (Pur) a huge sign, NFL talent
(3/22) TE Sadiq (SO) a weapon, ascends to #1 TY

Oregon Highlights
Oregon in Undefeated

Oregon has Really Good Running Game (#6)
Oregon offense is efficent (#1)
Oregon offense is explosive (#24)
Oregon has a top Offensive Line (#1)
Oregon offense is good in red zone (#3)
Oregon offense is good on 3rd downs
Oregon does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#2)

Oregon has a really good defense (#12)
Oregon defense does not give up big plays (#17)
Oregon defense is really good in red zone (#25)
Oregon has a good run defense (#25)
Oregon has a good pass defense (#9)
Oregon Secondary is very good (#7)
Oregon has a great TO Margin (#11)
Oregon commits very few Penalties (#6)
Oregon defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Oregon Deficiencies

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatIOWAORE
OverallOver#16#12
OffenseOff#24#10
DefenseDef#13#33
Special TeamsST#77#15
PassingPass#73#25
RushingRush#46#3
Run BlockRBLK#1#50
Pass BlockPBLK#28#2
Route RunningWR Rt#91#17
TacklingTkl#37#6
Run DefenseR Def#30#68
Pass Rush DefPRush#4#58
Coverage DefCov#46#9

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kinnick Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ORE | IOWA
Depth Chart: ORE | IOWA
Rosters: ORE | IOWA
(#37) Iowa Info
Power Rating: 16.465 #37
Offense Rating: 13.80 #63
Defense Rating: -3.13 #14
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #34
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5 #12
Talent Rating: 840.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 47%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.89 PPO
Good Run Success 54%
Awful Pass Success 34%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 34%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Iowa has lost 5 straight
Iowa has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Iowa Notes
(9/6) QB Gronowski is shockingly awful. WR are trash
(9/1) Gronowski really bad (44 yds), hiding vs FCS?
(8/28) WR Vaner Zee out about a month (foot)
(6/6) OL 3/5 back. Have options, PFF top 10 OL
(5/27) Warren Ruggiero (Wake OC) is Sr Off Analyst
(5/21) WRs bad LY, only 1 portal add (FCS)? No obv TE
(5/21) LB a big ? this year. Not one has 100 snaps
(5/2) DT Graves/ S Nwankpa both top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OL G L Jones/T G Dunker top 10 via PFF
(3/31) QB Gronowski (SDSU) big add. Surgery ?'s

Iowa Highlights
Iowa is Undefeated at Home

Iowa has Really Good Running Game (#24)
Iowa has a top Offensive Line (#8)
Iowa offense is good on 3rd downs
Iowa does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#1)

Iowa has a really good defense (#30)
Iowa defense does not give up big plays (#5)
Iowa Front 7 is disruptive (#26)
Iowa has a great TO Margin (#28)
Iowa commits very few Penalties (#1)
Iowa defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Iowa Deficiencies
Iowa offense is not Explosive (#130)
Iowa pass game is really bad (#114)


  
Oregon's OC Will Stein
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dante Moore506478%6577110.3
Luke Moga3560%580011.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dierre Hill Jr.11161214.666
Noah Whittington14159211.459
Jayden Limar2014537.353
Jay Harris115004.516
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malik Benson (Tr)11161214.642
Dakorien Moore9144116.065
Jeremiah McClellan598019.651
Kenyon Sadiq595219.026

View Oregon's Full Roster
Oregon's DC Tosh Lupoi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Boettcher171001
Teitum Tuioti153200
Peyton Woodyard131000
Bear Alexander (Tr)121100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matayo Uiagalelei63321
Teitum Tuioti153200
Nasir Wyatt21100
Will Straton71100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ify Obidegwu70002
Daylen Austin41002
Bryce Boettcher171001

Iowa's OC Tim Lester
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mark Gronowski (Tr)376359%306314.9
Hank Brown (Tr)6875%59107.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Williams2618617.243
Jaziun Patterson2816105.817
Terrell Washington Jr.239504.113
Mark Gronowski (Tr)338832.713
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Phillips (Tr)490022.545
Jacob Gill780011.422
Seth Anderson64026.720
Nathan Mcneil132032.032

View Iowa's Full Roster
Iowa's DC Phil Parker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Harrell191110
Karson Sharar162000
Zach Lutmer152101
Xavier Nwankpa110000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Max Llewellyn64300
Jaden Harrell191110
Zach Lutmer152101
Aaron Graves83120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Hall80003
Luke Gaffney00001
Deshaun Lee90001