Oregon at Iowa - 2025 Matchup Preview
Oregon logo   Oregon Ducks at Iowa Hawkeyes  Iowa logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (3:30 PM EST)
Oregon -4.5 (41.5) (-198)  Open: -7.5
Oregon 18 - Iowa: 16  (Big Ten)

 
Ducks (13 - 2) (9 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (35 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (33 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.9 - 1.1 (#7)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
ORE coming off BYE
IOWA coming off BYE
Our Line: Oregon -7.5  (SP+ ORE -6)

Projected Score: ORE: 26 - IOWA: 19 (45)
ORE Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
ORE Travel: 1595 miles, 2 hrs behind
Hawkeyes (9 - 4) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (204 - 123)
Avg Score : 29 - 16 (28 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#50)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
 
Oregon's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oregon vs Montana State-28.056.5W 59 - 13OY
Sat 9/6 Oregon vs Oklahoma State-28.555.5W 69 - 3OY
Sat 9/13 Oregon at Northwestern-25.550.5W 34 - 14UN
Sat 9/20 Oregon vs Oregon State-33.558.5W 41 - 7UY
Sat 9/27 Oregon at Penn State+4.552.5W 30 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Oregon vs Indiana-7.051.5L 20 - 30UN
Sat 10/18 Oregon at Rutgers-17.562.5W 56 - 10OY
Sat 10/25 Oregon vs Wisconsin-31.544.5W 21 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Oregon at Iowa-4.541.5W 18 - 16UN
Fri 11/14 Oregon vs Minnesota-26.545.5W 42 - 13OY
Sat 11/22 Oregon vs USC-10.559.5W 42 - 27OY
Sat 11/29 Oregon at Washington-6.551.5W 26 - 14UY
Sat 12/20 Oregon vs James Madison-22.547.5W 51 - 34ON
Thu 1/1 Oregon vs Texas Tech+1.550.5W 23 - 0UY
Fri 1/9 Oregon vs Indiana+3.050.5L 22 - 56ON

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
Iowa's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Iowa vs UAlbany-39.548.5W 34 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Iowa at Iowa State+3.043.0L 13 - 16UY
Sat 9/13 Iowa vs Massachusetts-35.544.5W 47 - 7OY
Fri 9/19 Iowa at Rutgers-2.546.5W 38 - 28OY
Sat 9/27 Iowa vs Indiana+9.547.5L 15 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Iowa at Wisconsin-5.537.5W 37 - 0UY
Sat 10/18 Iowa vs Penn State-3.541.5W 25 - 24ON
Sat 10/25 Iowa vs Minnesota-7.539.5W 41 - 3OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Iowa vs Oregon+4.541.5L 16 - 18UY
Sat 11/15 Iowa at USC+6.548.5L 21 - 26UY
Sat 11/22 Iowa vs Michigan State-17.543.0W 20 - 17UN
Fri 11/28 Iowa at Nebraska-5.538.5W 40 - 16OY
Wed 12/31 Iowa vs Vanderbilt+3.047.5W 34 - 27OY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)36.951% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)17.942% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2
IOWA#100 (.14)42% (72)29.344% (63)2.92 (89)18540% (94)1213.77 (84)#30 (.11)42% (72)16.146% (97)39% (51)3.37 (27)26.30.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
IOWA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Offense1436.932.850.8%4.680.8224181602584.851%49%51%50%9%.33
IOWA Defense1316.113.742%3.371.8 - - - - - 46%54%46%39%17%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Defense1417.915.637.7%3.681.2 - - - - - 48%51%42%34%20%.11
IOWA Offense1329.328.342.3%3.770.8153061851215.262%37%44%40%13%.14

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon1428:3822.149%65%5.140.50.81.25.62.7129.3
Iowa1327:0515.441%50%2.826.30.81.84.52.1233.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Offense1451% (69)51% (11)33.4159.94.829 (18).24 (17)3.5 (8)81% (19)6% (4)0.89 (108)
IOWA Defense1346% (17)46% (97) - - - - .07 (38)3.07 (84)84% (126)10% (68)0.68 (1)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Defense1448% (39)42% (64) - - - - .15 (83)3.14 (89)85% (127)12% (23)0.97 (63)
IOWA Offense1362% (7)44% (63)35.51855.229 (18).13 (71)2.92 (89)62% (120)10% (76)1.02 (47)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Offense1449% (66)50% (6)21.929.9258.18.711.828 (15)6 (10).44 (7)1.5 (83)27% (9)40% (2).59 (3)3% (3)2.1 (32)
IOWA Defense1354% (118)39% (51) - - - - - - 16 (10).18 (39)1.5 (36)32% (76)28% (36).24 (39)7% (27)1.8 (7)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Defense1451% (94)34% (2) - - - - - - 12 (39).09 (12)1.5 (50)37% (8)26% (15).17 (15)8% (5)1.9 (34)
IOWA Offense1337% (129)40% (94)11.518.6121.56.510.69 (128)7 (26).21 (93)1.5 (93)26% (4)28% (99).2 (108)3% (7)2 (72)

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 28.64  #4
Oregon's Offense Rating: 26.92  #4
Oregon's Defense Rating: -1.84  #4
2025 Talent Rating: 1128.00  #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 67%  #5
Oregon's 2025 Expected Record: 11.9 - 1.1
Oregon's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.9  #4
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.7  #10
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.5  #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 28.64   Iowa: 19.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 25.9   Iowa: 19.7




Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 19.9  #22
Iowa's Offense Rating: 19.71  #29
Iowa's Defense Rating: 4.61  #23
2025 Talent Rating: 840.00  #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 14  #33
Iowa's 2025 Expected Record: 8.4 - 4.6
Iowa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.7  #12
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.1  #37
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.2  #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Oregon Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.8
Defense: 17.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.6

Oregon's 2025 Record
Record: 13 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 7
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 26
Iowa 19


Projected Total Points: 45
Iowa Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Iowa's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Iowa16Oregon18Oregon -4.5Iowa41.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa010 Overs
Oregon101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#4) ORE at (#22) IOWA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOREIOWA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #4 #22
SP+SP+ #4 #12
Perf GradeGrade #4 #8
OffenseOff #4 #9
DefenseDef #7 #21
Spec TeamsST #14 #8
TalentTal #3 #41
Blue ChipsBC% #5 #33
Oregon Notes
(12/1) OC Will Stein hired as HC of Kentucky
(11/27) Bullied USC, not as bad as it looks. Pass Def torched
(11/27) Ducks dealing w/ a lot of injuries at OL & WR
(10/11) Bullied by IU, just 267 yds, 3-14 on 3rd, 2 TOs
(9/30) RB Dierre Hill looks like the best one, great depth
(9/23) OL playing great, QB Moore looks like a big hit
(9/23) Stats off charts vs cupcakes, real season starts
(6/6) OL rebuild 1/5, 3 big portals, a top 10 OL
(6/6) Def needs replacements, DL still near top 10 unit
(6/5) WR Evan Stewart tore knee, out for '25 season
(6/5) WR rebuild w/o Stewart. Benson (FSU) must hit
(5/23) Safeties Thieneman & Lopa a top duo in CFB
Oregon Injury Report
Iowa Notes
(11/28) Killed Neb to finish 8-4, 6-3 in B1G. Good season
(11/22) Stop L streak with comeback vs MSU. Found a way
(11/16) 2 hard L's to Ducks/USC. 6-4 feels crossroad-ish
(10/27) 41 pts on < 300 yds vs Minn. Def was incredible
(10/22) Least penalized team in CFB, both for & against
(10/19) Tired Off, beat PSU by 1 w/ backup QB. Def good
(10/8) QB Gronowski trending towards playing vs Wisc
(9/29) Off awful vs IU, sub 300 yds. Run Def great, Off bad
(9/29) Lost 11 straight vs ranked opps thru IU game
(9/19) QB Gronowski limited but improving. WR suck
(9/19) If refs call Def holding these CB's are cooked
(9/10) Starting TE Ostrenga out for the season
Iowa Injury Report
Oregon on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ORE OffIOWA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #4 #21
SuccessSuc #5 #72
ExplosiveExp #107 #4
PPAPPA #7 #30
PowerPwr #4 #23
SP+SP+ #10 #6
Pts POPPO #10 #27
HavocHav #2 #51
Oregon Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ORE OffIOWA Def
Run GameRun #2 #63
Run SuccessRSuc #11 #97
Run ExplRExp #108 #1
PPAExp #17 #38
Run BlockR Blk #23 -
OL YdsOLY #8 #84
Stuff RateStuff #10 #115
TackleTak -  #84
Oregon Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
ORE OffIOWA Def
Pass GamePass #2 #30
Pass SuccessPSuc #6 #51
Pass ExplPExl #83 #36
PPAExp #7 #39
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #2 #5
F7 HavocF7 #4 #68
DB HavocDB #3 #27
Iowa on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCatIOWA OffORE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #9 #7
SuccessSuc #72 #18
ExplosiveExp #110 #43
PPAPPA #100 #33
PowerPwr #29 #4
SP+SP+ #37 #5
Pts POPPO #84 #59
HavocHav #31 #9
Iowa Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCat
IOWA OffORE Def
Run GameRun #26 #29
Run SuccessRSuc #63 #64
Run ExplRExp #47 #63
PPAExp #71 #83
Run BlockR Blk #2 -
OL YdsOLY #89 #89
Stuff RateStuff #110 #117
TackleTak -  #7
Iowa Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCatIOWA OffORE Def
Pass GamePass #44 #5
Pass SuccessPSuc #94 #2
Pass ExplPExl #93 #50
PPAExp #93 #12
Pass Block/RushP Blk #3 #10
F7 HavocF7 #76 #23
DB HavocDB #7 #5
Program Comparison
IOWA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

ORE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kinnick Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
Oregon 4.5 (41.5)
Oregon won at Iowa this year (18-16)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Iowa last year (18-16)

  
ORE's OC Will Stein (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dante Moore29641272%356530108.7
Brock Thomas121675%130108.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Noah Whittington12982966.468
Jordon Davison112667156.067
Dierre Hill Jr.7565658.771
Jayden Limar4626235.753
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malik Benson (Tr)43719616.764
Kenyon Sadiq51560811.030
Jeremiah McClellan38557314.751
Jamari Johnson (Tr)32510315.956

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC Tosh Lupoi (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Boettcher1326155
Dillon Thieneman (Tr)924115
Aaron Flowers691013
Teitum Tuioti68161075
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Teitum Tuioti68161075
Matayo Uiagalelei3410673
Nasir Wyatt114310
Blake Purchase325251
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Finney Jr.423107
Jerry Mixon574147
A'Mauri Washington335257

IOWA's OC Tim Lester (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mark Gronowski (Tr)16626263%17411076.6
Hank Brown (Tr)112152%107115.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kamari Moulton17087855.234
Mark Gronowski (Tr)130545164.267
Jaziun Patterson6029604.917
Xavier Williams4928535.843
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
DJ Vonnahme29434315.051
Jacob Gill24278111.644
Sam Phillips (Tr)16261016.345
Reece Vander Zee15219214.629

View Iowa's Full Roster

IOWA's DC Phil Parker (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Karson Sharar8312461
Xavier Nwankpa761010
Koen Entringer734013
Zach Lutmer716107
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Hurkett3510820
Max Llewellyn259685
Aaron Graves377531
Karson Sharar8312461
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Hall4700010
Zach Lutmer716107
Deshaun Lee341006