USC at Oregon Game Matchup
USC logo USC Trojans at Oregon DucksOregon logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Autzen Stadium - Eugene, OR  (Big Ten)

 
Trojans (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (22 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 4.9 (#50)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
ORE 2nd straight Home Game
USC is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Oregon -18.5   (SP+ ORE -14)
Projected Score: USC: 17 - ORE: 36 (55)
ORE Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
USC Travel: 740 miles
Ducks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (35 - 5)
Avg Score : 35 - 19 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.7 - 1.3 (#2)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
 
USC's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 USC vs Missouri State-32.50.0
Sat 9/6 USC vs Georgia Southern-17
Sat 9/13 USC at Purdue-21
Sat 9/20 USC vs Michigan State-10.5
Sat 9/27 USC at Illinois+5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 USC vs Michigan+8
Sat 10/18 USC at Notre Dame+17.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 USC at Nebraska+3.5
Sat 11/8 USC vs Northwestern-15.5
Sat 11/15 USC vs Iowa-2
Sat 11/22 USC at Oregon+18.5
Sat 11/29 USC vs UCLA-10.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Oregon's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Oregon vs Montana State-50.5
Sat 9/6 Oregon vs Oklahoma State-30.5
Sat 9/13 Oregon vs Northwestern-26.5
Sat 9/20 Oregon vs Oregon State-32.5
Sat 9/27 Oregon at Penn State+4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Oregon vs Indiana-17
Sat 10/18 Oregon at Rutgers-18
Sat 10/25 Oregon vs Wisconsin-22
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Oregon at Iowa-13
Sat 11/15 Oregon vs Minnesota-20
Sat 11/22 Oregon vs USC-18.5
Sat 11/29 Oregon at Washington-16.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC#41 (.24)48% (11)30.252% (10)3.49 (9)13846% (26)2693.76 (85)#78 (.18)44% (94)24.144% (78)44% (103)3.64 (49)461.41.2
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)34.951% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)19.442% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ORE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Offense1330.221.848.4%3.761.4214081382695.540%60%52%46%18%.24
ORE Defense1419.419.637.7%3.681.2 - - - - - 48%51%42%34%20%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Defense1324.123.843.8%3.641.2 - - - - - 46%53%44%44%14%.18
ORE Offense1434.935.750.8%4.680.8224181602584.851%49%51%50%9%.33

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
USC1328:1221.345%47%5.3461.41.23.91.5133.7
Oregon1428:3822.149%65%5.140.50.81.25.62.7129.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Offense1340% (126)52% (10)25.2138.45.519 (73).23 (21)3.49 (9)85% (6)8% (24)0.89 (106)
ORE Defense1448% (39)42% (64) - - - - .15 (83)3.14 (89)85% (127)12% (23)0.97 (63)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Defense1346% (22)44% (78) - - - - .18 (96)3.17 (92)76% (81)7% (127)1 (77)
ORE Offense1451% (69)51% (11)33.4159.94.829 (18).24 (17)3.5 (8)81% (19)6% (4)0.89 (108)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Offense1360% (9)46% (26)24.138269.27.111.225 (31)12 (85).25 (74)1.5 (108)29% (24)36% (18).4 (36)10% (134)2 (74)
ORE Defense1451% (94)34% (2) - - - - - - 12 (39).09 (12)1.5 (50)37% (8)26% (15).17 (15)8% (5)1.9 (34)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Defense1353% (113)44% (103) - - - - - - 10 (66).2 (49)1.3 (4)28% (122)27% (27).14 (6)7% (42)1.8 (8)
ORE Offense1449% (66)50% (6)21.929.9258.18.711.828 (15)6 (10).44 (7)1.5 (83)27% (9)40% (2).59 (3)3% (3)2.1 (32)

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 10.84 #34
USC's Offense Rating: 19.36 #39
USC's Defense Rating: 8.52 #30
2025 Talent Rating: 882.00 #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 37% #18
USC's 2025 Expected Record: 7.1 - 4.9
USC's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #30
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #13
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #47

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
USC: 10.84   Oregon: 29.63

SP+ Ratings Matchup
USC: 11.0   Oregon: 24.7




Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 29.63 #5
Oregon's Offense Rating: 30.62 #4
Oregon's Defense Rating: 1.06 #11
2025 Talent Rating: 1124.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 60 #5
Oregon's 2025 Expected Record: 10.7 - 1.3
Oregon's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.7 #7
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #4
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


USC Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

USC's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 36
USC 17

Projected Total Points: 55
Oregon Scoring
Offense: 34.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.7
Defense: 19.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Oregon's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11Oregon36USC27OregonOregon -12.5USC78.5Under
202012/18USC24Oregon31OregonUSC -3Oregon65.5Under
201911/02USC24Oregon56OregonOregon -3.5Oregon59.5Over
201611/05USC45Oregon20USCUSC -14USC76.5Under
201511/21Oregon48USC28OregonOregon -2.5Oregon72.0Over
201211/03USC51Oregon62Oregon
201111/19Oregon35USC38USC
201010/30USC32Oregon53Oregon
200910/31Oregon47USC20Oregon
200810/04USC44Oregon10USC
200710/27Oregon24USC17Oregon
200611/11USC35Oregon10USC
200509/24Oregon13USC45USC
200210/26Oregon33USC44USC
200109/22Oregon24USC22Oregon
200010/13USC17Oregon28Oregon
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon1032 Overs
USC623 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 82 - 32 - 20 - 1
Road Teams8 - 83 - 21 - 02 - 2

(#34) USC Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.84 #34
Offense Rating: 19.36 #39
Defense Rating: 8.52 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #30
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #13
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #47
Talent Rating: 882.00 #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 37% #18
Expected Record: 7.1 - 4.9

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.76 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Good Pass Success 46%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


USC Notes
(5/23) Safeties Ramsey & Fitzgerald a strong duo
(5/13) Caden Chittenden (UNLV) top kicker portal add
(4/4) JUCO RB Waymond Jordan looks great early
(3/22) Riley was 1-4 in road games LY. Yikes.
(3/20) QB Maiava good down the stretch LY
(3/20) RB rebuild, Sanders (NM), some talent
(3/20) WR Lemon/Lane a top combo. #3/depth?
(3/20) OL 2/5 back. Took 2 portals. Not clear
(3/20) Def better LY, but lacked sacks/picks/havoc
(3/20) Def lost a lot. Portal adds - 3 DB, 2 DL.
USC     Ratings Matchup     Oregon
Power #34
#5
Off #39
#4
Def #30
#11
Talent #22
#3
SP+ #30
#7
SP+ Off #13
#4
SP+ Def #47
#11

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat USC in 2023 (36-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Autzen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: USC | ORE
Depth Chart: USC | ORE
Rosters: USC | ORE
(#5) Oregon Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 29.63 #5
Offense Rating: 30.62 #4
Defense Rating: 1.06 #11
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.7 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #4
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #11
Talent Rating: 1124.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 60 #5
Expected Record: 10.7 - 1.3

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.68 PPO
Great Run Success 51%
Great Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Oregon Notes
(5/23) OL rebuild 1/5, 3 big portals makes it top 15 unit
(5/11) 64% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/7) Still great, but step back. CFP team, not natty
(4/7) Iapani Laloulu (C)/TE Sadiq top 10 via PFF
(3/28) Fr WR Moore a weapon that will play early
(3/28) S Thieneman (Pur) a huge sign, NFL talent
(3/22) TE Sadiq (SO) a weapon, ascends to #1 TY
(3/19) QB1 Moore, or is Novosad a factor?
(3/19) RB Hughes top portal add, good depth
(3/19) WR rebuild but Stewart/Benson + lots of talent


  
USC's OC Luke Huard
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jayden Maiava10116960%12011167.1
Makai Lemon11100%390039.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Sanders (Tr)147106497.275
Bryan Jackson3618815.223
Jayden Maiava204542.313
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Makai Lemon52764314.770
Ja'Kobi Lane435251212.233
Prince Strachan (Tr)25304112.237
Lake McRee24245010.234

View USC's Full Roster
USC's DC D'Anton Lynn
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamari Ramsey606215
D.J. Harvey (Tr)587206
Bishop Fitzgerald (Tr)557028
Eric Gentry337201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braylan Shelby285321
Kamari Ramsey606215
Eric Gentry337201
D.J. Harvey (Tr)587206
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bishop Fitzgerald (Tr)557028
D.J. Harvey (Tr)587206
Kamari Ramsey606215

Oregon's OC Will Stein
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dante Moore7888%49006.1
Austin Novosad22100%7003.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Makhi Hughes (Tr)2431306155.451
Noah Whittington11854064.628
Da'Jaun Riggs118217.524
Jayden Limar257102.811
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Evan Stewart48613512.869
Malik Benson (Tr)25311112.467
Kenyon Sadiq24308212.839
Justius Lowe2120319.734

View Oregon's Full Roster
Oregon's DC Tosh Lupoi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dillon Thieneman (Tr)1045106
Bryce Boettcher877204
Kobe Savage573001
Teitum Tuioti538631
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matayo Uiagalelei3711961
Teitum Tuioti538631
Bryce Boettcher877204
Devon Jackson403212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jadon Canady (Tr)3830011
Theran Johnson (Tr)5340010
Dillon Thieneman (Tr)1045106