East Carolina Pirates vs NC State Wolfpack
Saturday, December 28th 2024 (5:45 PM EST)
NC State -7.5 (61.5) (-298) Open: 0.0
East Carolina 26 - NC State: 21 (Go Bowling Military Bowl)
Pirates (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (5 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (29 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (5 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (29 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: NC State -2.5 (SP+ NCST -5)
Projected Score: ECU: 29 - NCST: 31 (60)
NCST Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ECU Travel: 77 miles
Our Line: NC State -2.5 (SP+ NCST -5)
Projected Score: ECU: 29 - NCST: 31 (60)
NCST Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ECU Travel: 77 miles
Wolfpack (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dave Doeren (81 - 58)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (81 - 58)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| East Carolina's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | East Carolina vs Norfolk State | -31.5 | 51.5 | W 42 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | East Carolina at Old Dominion | +1.5 | 53.5 | W 20 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | East Carolina vs App State | -0.5 | 56.5 | L 19 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | East Carolina at Liberty | +7.5 | 55.0 | L 24 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | East Carolina vs UTSA | -2.0 | 53.5 | W 30 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | East Carolina at Charlotte | -9.5 | 47.5 | L 24 - 55 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | East Carolina at Army | +17.5 | 54.0 | L 28 - 45 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | East Carolina vs Temple | -8.5 | 48.5 | W 56 - 34 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 11/7 | East Carolina vs Florida Atlantic | -5.5 | 58.5 | W 49 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Thu 11/14 | East Carolina at Tulsa | -16.0 | 63.5 | W 38 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | East Carolina at North Texas | +2.5 | 73.5 | W 40 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Fri 11/29 | East Carolina vs Navy | -2.5 | 54.0 | L 20 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 12/28 | East Carolina vs NC State | +7.5 | 61.5 | W 26 - 21 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| NC State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | NC State vs Western Carolina | -32.5 | 60.5 | W 38 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | NC State vs Tennessee | +10.0 | 60.5 | L 10 - 51 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | NC State vs Louisiana Tech | -20.5 | 47.5 | W 30 - 20 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | NC State at Clemson | +17.0 | 44.0 | L 35 - 59 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | NC State vs Northern Illinois | -7.0 | 46.0 | W 24 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | NC State vs Wake Forest | -4.0 | 52.5 | L 30 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | NC State vs Syracuse | +1.0 | 51.5 | L 17 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | NC State at California | +9.5 | 46.0 | W 24 - 23 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/2 | NC State vs Stanford | -10.0 | 46.5 | W 59 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | NC State vs Duke | -3.5 | 51.5 | L 19 - 29 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 11/21 | NC State at Georgia Tech | +7.5 | 51.5 | L 29 - 30 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | NC State at North Carolina | +2.5 | 54.5 | W 35 - 30 | O | Y | |
| Sat 12/28 | NC State vs East Carolina | -7.5 | 61.5 | L 21 - 26 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECU | #49 (.22) | 43% (62) | 32 | 44% (71) | 3.07 (57) | 147 | 43% (54) | 253 | 3.79 (83) | #64 (.16) | 40% (40) | 27.3 | 37% (11) | 43% (86) | 3.85 (76) | 61 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| NCST | #26 (.25) | 45% (36) | 28.5 | 44% (68) | 3.24 (36) | 130 | 47% (20) | 215 | 3.97 (61) | #86 (.19) | 41% (59) | 30.2 | 39% (31) | 43% (87) | 3.78 (67) | 45 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECU | #49 (.22) | 43% (62) | 44% (71) | 3.07 (57) | 147 | 43% (54) | 253 | 3.79 (83) | #64 (.16) | 40% (40) | 37% (11) | 43% (86) | 3.85 (76) | 61 | 2.2 | 1.6 | ||
| NCST | #26 (.25) | 45% (36) | 44% (68) | 3.24 (36) | 130 | 47% (20) | 215 | 3.97 (61) | #86 (.19) | 41% (59) | 39% (31) | 43% (87) | 3.78 (67) | 45 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECU Offense | 13 | 32 | 29 | 43.3% | 3.79 | 2.2 | 20 | 400 | 147 | 253 | 4.4 | 52% | 48% | 44% | 43% | 15% | .22 |
| NCST Defense | 13 | 30.2 | 24.7 | 40.9% | 3.78 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 53% | 39% | 43% | 20% | .19 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECU Defense | 13 | 27.3 | 34.7 | 39.5% | 3.85 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 46% | 37% | 43% | 16% | .16 |
| NCST Offense | 13 | 28.5 | 31 | 45.1% | 3.97 | 1.7 | 19 | 345 | 130 | 215 | 4.4 | 47% | 52% | 44% | 47% | 19% | .25 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina | 13 | 23:08 | 20.1 | 42% | 53% | 7.3 | 61 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 6.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 30.4 |
| NC State | 13 | 29:10 | 18.6 | 37% | 56% | 4.8 | 45 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 6.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 28.9 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECU Offense | 13 | 52% (63) | 44% (71) | 33.2 | 147.3 | 4.4 | 20 (67) | .17 (47) | 3.07 (57) | 79% (27) | 8% (42) | 1.02 (48) |
| NCST Defense | 13 | 47% (33) | 39% (31) | - | - | - | - | .2 (111) | 3.07 (83) | 76% (86) | 12% (24) | 1.28 (134) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECU Defense | 13 | 54% (109) | 37% (11) | - | - | - | - | .03 (22) | 2.57 (14) | 57% (3) | 11% (48) | 1.02 (84) |
| NCST Offense | 13 | 47% (89) | 44% (68) | 29.6 | 130.3 | 4.4 | 21 (59) | .15 (56) | 3.24 (36) | 69% (92) | 13% (127) | 0.98 (59) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECU Offense | 13 | 48% (72) | 43% (54) | 18.5 | 30.7 | 252.7 | 8.2 | 13.7 | 26 (26) | 21 (134) | .28 (54) | 1.7 (24) | 30% (37) | 34% (33) | .51 (8) | 7% (92) | 2.3 (7) |
| NCST Defense | 13 | 53% (106) | 43% (87) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 (93) | .19 (47) | 1.5 (22) | 33% (49) | 30% (65) | .33 (83) | 8% (16) | 2.3 (120) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECU Defense | 13 | 46% (28) | 43% (86) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (31) | .32 (105) | 1.7 (98) | 33% (51) | 35% (117) | .46 (122) | 5% (104) | 2.1 (78) |
| NCST Offense | 13 | 52% (48) | 47% (20) | 18.2 | 28.1 | 214.8 | 7.7 | 11.8 | 18 (68) | 12 (85) | .36 (24) | 1.6 (45) | 30% (35) | 36% (24) | .57 (5) | 6% (83) | 2.2 (19) |
East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -0.23 #65
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
East Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
East Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
East Carolina's Power Rating: -0.23 #65
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
East Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
East Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -0.23 NC State: 1.7
SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -1.0 NC State: 3.9
East Carolina: -0.23 NC State: 1.7
SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: -1.0 NC State: 3.9
NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 1.7 #66
NC State's Offense Rating: 22.82 #43
NC State's Defense Rating: 12.12 #89
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
NC State's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
NC State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #56
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
NC State's Power Rating: 1.7 #66
NC State's Offense Rating: 22.82 #43
NC State's Defense Rating: 12.12 #89
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
NC State's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
NC State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #56
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7
East Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7
East Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
NC State 31
East Carolina 29
Total Points: 60
NC State 31
East Carolina 29
Total Points: 60
NC State Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7
NC State's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7
NC State's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 08/28 | NC State | 24 | East Carolina | 17 | NC State | NC State -12.5 | East Carolina | 58.5 | Under |
| 2024 | 12/28 | NC State | 21 | East Carolina | 26 | East Carolina | NC State -7.5 | East Carolina | 61.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 09/03 | East Carolina | 20 | NC State | 21 | NC State | NC State -12.5 | East Carolina | 52.0 | Under |
| 2019 | 08/31 | NC State | 34 | East Carolina | 6 | NC State | NC State -17.5 | NC State | 52.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 12/01 | NC State | 58 | East Carolina | 3 | NC State | NC State -24.5 | NC State | 59.5 | Over |
| 2016 | 09/10 | East Carolina | 33 | NC State | 30 | East Carolina | NC State -3.5 | East Carolina | 59.0 | Over |
| 2013 | 11/23 | NC State | 28 | East Carolina | 42 | East Carolina | East Carolina -6 | East Carolina | 0 | |
| 2010 | 10/16 | East Carolina | 33 | NC State | 27 | East Carolina | ||||
| 2008 | 09/20 | NC State | 30 | East Carolina | 24 | NC State | ||||
| 2007 | 10/20 | East Carolina | 20 | NC State | 34 | NC State | ||||
| 2006 | 11/25 | NC State | 16 | East Carolina | 21 | East Carolina | ||||
| 2004 | 11/27 | NC State | 52 | East Carolina | 14 | NC State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| NC State | 7 | 2 | 2 Overs |
| East Carolina | 5 | 5 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 7 - 5 | 4 - 3 | 2 - 2 | 2 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 5 - 7 | 3 - 4 | 1 - 2 | 2 - 2 |
| East Carolina Recent Bowl History | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Bowl | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result |
| 2024 | Go Bowl | East Carolina vs NC State | +7.5 | 61.5 | W 26 - 21 |
| 2022 | Birmingham Bowl | East Carolina vs Coastal Carolina | -7.0 | 67.5 | W 53 - 29 |
| NC State Recent Bowl History | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Bowl | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result |
| 2024 | Go Bowl | NC State vs East Carolina | -7.5 | 61.5 | L 21 - 26 |
| 2023 | Tarts Bowl | NC State vs Kansas State | +3.0 | 48.5 | L 19 - 28 |
| 2022 | Mayo Bowl | NC State vs Maryland | -2.5 | 45.0 | L 12 - 16 |
| 2020 | Gator Bowl | NC State vs Kentucky | +3.0 | 50.5 | L 21 - 23 |
| 2018 | N/A | NC State vs Texas A&M | +7.5 | 58.5 | L 13 - 52 |
(#65) East Carolina Info
Power Rating: -0.23 #65
Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
East Carolina has played in 2 Bowls in the last 5 years (2 - 0)
East Carolina has played in 12 Bowls since 2000 (5 - 7)
East Carolina Notes
(11/26) Interim HC Blake Harrell hired after 5-0 run
(11/25) 4 str W's under Harrell, Off mauled N. Texas
(11/8) Off rolling, 575+ yds, 343 pass/238 rush vs FAU
(10/27) Off had 56 pts in 3 Q's game after Houston fired
(10/20) Run D torched for 295 (5.3 ypc) vs Army
(10/20) HC Houston Fired after Army gm, DC Harrell Int
(10/8) Run D torched for 300+ (6 ypc) vs Char?
(10/8) Slipping after awful '23. Staff done? Quit watch
(9/28) Rgame awful but Garcia good in W over UTSA
(9/23) Have 14 TOs in 4 games (last), Garcia 9 Int
East Carolina Highlights
East Carolina offense is explosive (#31)
East Carolina has a good run defense (#44)
East Carolina Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#5)
East Carolina Defensive Line is very good (#15)
East Carolina Deficiencies
East Carolina has a bad TO Margin (#11)
East Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#127)
East Carolina throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
East Carolina does not Sack the QB (#31)
East Carolina gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#91)
Power Rating: -0.23 #65
Offense Rating: 20.65 #59
Defense Rating: 8.33 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
East Carolina has played in 2 Bowls in the last 5 years (2 - 0)
East Carolina has played in 12 Bowls since 2000 (5 - 7)
East Carolina Notes
(11/26) Interim HC Blake Harrell hired after 5-0 run
(11/25) 4 str W's under Harrell, Off mauled N. Texas
(11/8) Off rolling, 575+ yds, 343 pass/238 rush vs FAU
(10/27) Off had 56 pts in 3 Q's game after Houston fired
(10/20) Run D torched for 295 (5.3 ypc) vs Army
(10/20) HC Houston Fired after Army gm, DC Harrell Int
(10/8) Run D torched for 300+ (6 ypc) vs Char?
(10/8) Slipping after awful '23. Staff done? Quit watch
(9/28) Rgame awful but Garcia good in W over UTSA
(9/23) Have 14 TOs in 4 games (last), Garcia 9 Int
East Carolina Highlights
East Carolina offense is explosive (#31)
East Carolina has a good run defense (#44)
East Carolina Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#5)
East Carolina Defensive Line is very good (#15)
East Carolina Deficiencies
East Carolina has a bad TO Margin (#11)
East Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#127)
East Carolina throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
East Carolina does not Sack the QB (#31)
East Carolina gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#91)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NCST | ECU |
| OverallOver | #37 | #42 |
| OffenseOff | #49 | #41 |
| DefenseDef | #36 | #33 |
| Special TeamsST | #79 | #105 |
| PassingPass | #33 | #47 |
| RushingRush | #79 | #43 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #20 | #34 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #10 | #57 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #65 | #32 |
| TacklingTkl | #37 | #66 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #43 | #16 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #51 | #66 |
| Coverage DefCov | #43 | #60 |
Rematch from Week 1
NC State -7.5 (61.5)
East Carolina won at NC State this year (26-21)
Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat NC State last year (26-21)
NC State beat East Carolina in 2022 (21-20)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: ECU | NCST
Depth Chart: ECU | NCST
Rosters: ECU | NCST
(#66) NC State Info
Power Rating: 1.7 #66
Offense Rating: 22.82 #43
Defense Rating: 12.12 #89
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #56
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Great Pass Success 47%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
NC State has played in 4 Bowls in the last 5 years (0 - 4)
NC State has played in 18 Bowls since 2000 (9 - 9)
NC State Notes
(11/13) Off abysmal (< 3 ypc) vs Duke, Pass D torched
(10/23) McCall carted off in WF game. Retired
(10/13) Pass D torched by Cuse. QB Bailey much better
(10/6) Team melted late vs Wake (L). Def is awful
(9/28) Off awful (171 yds) vs N Ill. Forced 4 TOs to W
(9/21) 110 pts allowed to Tenn/Clem. Shockingly bad
(9/18) OL disappointing, portals not as good, injuries
(9/17) McCall hurt, Fr CJ Bailey start at QB vs Clemson
(9/15) Off really bad esp Red Zone. McCall hurt vs LT
(9/8) Off disaster, Run D horrific. Did not belong w/ Tenn
NC State Highlights
NC State Front 7 is disruptive (#94)
NC State Secondary is very good (#80)
NC State commits very few Penalties (#75)
NC State Deficiencies
NC State has a bad TO Margin (#11)
NC State Fumbles a Lot (#1)
NC State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#127)
NC State Does Not Stuff Runs (#42)
Power Rating: 1.7 #66
Offense Rating: 22.82 #43
Defense Rating: 12.12 #89
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #56
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Great Pass Success 47%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
NC State has played in 4 Bowls in the last 5 years (0 - 4)
NC State has played in 18 Bowls since 2000 (9 - 9)
NC State Notes
(11/13) Off abysmal (< 3 ypc) vs Duke, Pass D torched
(10/23) McCall carted off in WF game. Retired
(10/13) Pass D torched by Cuse. QB Bailey much better
(10/6) Team melted late vs Wake (L). Def is awful
(9/28) Off awful (171 yds) vs N Ill. Forced 4 TOs to W
(9/21) 110 pts allowed to Tenn/Clem. Shockingly bad
(9/18) OL disappointing, portals not as good, injuries
(9/17) McCall hurt, Fr CJ Bailey start at QB vs Clemson
(9/15) Off really bad esp Red Zone. McCall hurt vs LT
(9/8) Off disaster, Run D horrific. Did not belong w/ Tenn
NC State Highlights
NC State Front 7 is disruptive (#94)
NC State Secondary is very good (#80)
NC State commits very few Penalties (#75)
NC State Deficiencies
NC State has a bad TO Margin (#11)
NC State Fumbles a Lot (#1)
NC State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#127)
NC State Does Not Stuff Runs (#42)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katin Houser (Tr) | 149 | 245 | 61% | 2006 | 18 | 11 | 8.2 |
| Jake Garcia (Tr) | 109 | 181 | 60% | 1426 | 8 | 12 | 7.9 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rahjai Harris | 206 | 1166 | 11 | 5.7 | 86 |
| London Montgomery (Tr) | 71 | 359 | 2 | 5.1 | 48 |
| Marlon Gunn | 61 | 224 | 3 | 3.7 | 20 |
| Katin Houser (Tr) | 49 | 170 | 4 | 3.5 | 35 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Smith (Tr) | 41 | 799 | 6 | 19.5 | 64 |
| Chase Sowell | 34 | 678 | 3 | 19.9 | 56 |
| Winston Wright | 54 | 556 | 8 | 10.3 | 65 |
| Yannick Smith | 25 | 434 | 3 | 17.4 | 52 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar Rogers | 105 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Zakye Barker | 81 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Michael Edwards III | 75 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Ja'Marley Riddle | 63 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Morris | 31 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Samuel Dankah | 34 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| J.D. Lampley | 25 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| Ryheem Craig (Tr) | 49 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Brown-Murray | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Michael Edwards III | 75 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Ja'Marley Riddle | 63 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Bailey | 196 | 302 | 65% | 2412 | 17 | 10 | 8.0 |
| Grayson McCall (Tr) | 53 | 80 | 66% | 518 | 3 | 2 | 6.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daylan Smothers | 89 | 571 | 6 | 6.4 | 53 |
| Jordan Waters (Tr) | 95 | 470 | 4 | 4.9 | 94 |
| Kendrick Raphael | 78 | 425 | 3 | 5.4 | 40 |
| CJ Bailey | 99 | 279 | 5 | 2.8 | 31 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Joly (Tr) | 43 | 661 | 4 | 15.4 | 40 |
| Noah Rogers (Tr) | 35 | 478 | 1 | 13.7 | 75 |
| Kevin Concepcion | 53 | 459 | 6 | 8.7 | 42 |
| Wesley Grimes (Tr) | 24 | 319 | 1 | 13.3 | 30 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Brown | 95 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
| Donovan Kaufman (Tr) | 74 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 4 |
| Devon Betty | 61 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| Aydan White | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davin Vann | 41 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 |
| Travali Price | 37 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Sean Brown | 95 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
| Devon Betty | 61 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop Fitzgerald | 55 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 8 |
| Devon Marshall (Tr) | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Tamarcus Cooley (Tr) | 39 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 |