Syracuse at NC State - 2024 Matchup Preview

Syracuse Orange at NC State Wolfpack

Saturday, October 12th 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Syracuse -1 (51.5) (-110) Open: -3.5
Syracuse 24 - NC State: 17 (ACC)

Orange (10 - 3) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Fran Brown (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 20 - 35 (17 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SYR 2nd straight Road Game
NCST 3rd straight Home Game
NCST is playing their 7th straight game
SYR is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Syracuse -3 (SP+ SYR -1.5)
Projected Score: SYR: 29 - NCST: 26 (54)
SYR Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
SYR Travel: 519 miles

Wolfpack (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dave Doeren (81 - 58)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (35 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SYR Players
NCST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Syracuse's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Syracuse vs Ohio	-17.5	47.5	W 38 - 22	O	N
Sat 9/7	Syracuse vs Georgia Tech	+2.5	60.5	W 31 - 28	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/20	Syracuse vs Stanford	-9.5	56.5	L 24 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/28	Syracuse vs Holy Cross	-31.5	59.5	W 42 - 14	U	N
Fri 10/4	Syracuse at UNLV	+5.5	55.5	W 44 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Syracuse at NC State	-1.0	51.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/24	Syracuse at Pittsburgh	+5.0	62.5	L 13 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/2	Syracuse vs Virginia Tech	+3.5	54.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Syracuse at Boston College	+5.5	51.5	L 31 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/16	Syracuse at California	+10.5	58.0	W 33 - 25	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Syracuse vs UConn	-10.0	53.0	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/30	Syracuse vs Miami	+12.5	65.5	W 42 - 38	O	Y
Fri 12/27	Syracuse vs Washington State	-19.0	58.5	W 52 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule

NC State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	NC State vs Western Carolina	-32.5	60.5	W 38 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/7	NC State vs Tennessee	+10.0	60.5	L 10 - 51	O	N
Sat 9/14	NC State vs Louisiana Tech	-20.5	47.5	W 30 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/21	NC State at Clemson	+17.0	44.0	L 35 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/28	NC State vs Northern Illinois	-7.0	46.0	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/5	NC State vs Wake Forest	-4.0	52.5	L 30 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/12	NC State vs Syracuse	+1.0	51.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/19	NC State at California	+9.5	46.0	W 24 - 23	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	NC State vs Stanford	-10.0	46.5	W 59 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/9	NC State vs Duke	-3.5	51.5	L 19 - 29	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/21	NC State at Georgia Tech	+7.5	51.5	L 29 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/30	NC State at North Carolina	+2.5	54.5	W 35 - 30	O	Y
Sat 12/28	NC State vs East Carolina	-7.5	61.5	L 21 - 26	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SYR	#100 (.13)	40% (98)	20.2	41% (94)	2.98 (93)	172	39% (95)	172	3.38 (103)	#67 (.18)	44% (93)	34.9	47% (113)	41% (55)	3.33 (22)	61.6	1.8	1.7
NCST	#89 (.15)	40% (100)	30.2	40% (96)	3.11 (68)	157	39% (96)	194	4.11 (47)	#16 (.1)	39% (34)	27.2	39% (34)	40% (40)	3.77 (66)	46.3	1.2	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SYR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NCST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SYR Offense	13	20.2	17	39.6%	3.38	1.8	18	344	172	172	4.2	61%	38%	41%	39%	18%	.13
NCST Defense	13	27.2	21	38.8%	3.77	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	44%	54%	39%	40%	19%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SYR Defense	13	34.9	40.2	43.8%	3.33	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	47%	41%	18%	.18
NCST Offense	13	30.2	35.3	39.5%	4.11	1.2	19	350	157	194	4.3	52%	48%	40%	39%	18%	.15

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Syracuse	13	28:16	17.8	39%	50%	7.3	61.6	1.8	1.7	6	2.2	3	29.6
NC State	13	32:27	18.5	40%	60%	5.8	46.3	1.2	1.9	5.5	2.5	3	30.1

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SYR Offense	13	61% (10)	41% (94)	40.8	171.5	4.2	20 (61)	.12 (87)	2.98 (93)	71% (94)	12% (116)	1.04 (47)
NCST Defense	13	44% (11)	39% (34)	-	-	-	-	.12 (55)	2.88 (31)	66% (27)	11% (32)	1.07 (103)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SYR Defense	13	50% (63)	47% (113)	-	-	-	-	.13 (60)	3.13 (75)	79% (105)	12% (16)	0.8 (6)
NCST Offense	13	52% (52)	40% (96)	36.8	156.6	4.3	19 (69)	.13 (83)	3.11 (68)	80% (20)	12% (106)	0.93 (100)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SYR Offense	13	38% (124)	39% (95)	14.7	24.2	172.1	7.1	11.7	17 (85)	15 (116)	.22 (88)	1.5 (93)	31% (48)	27% (102)	.23 (101)	6% (83)	2.1 (64)
NCST Defense	13	54% (122)	40% (40)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (3)	.14 (15)	1.5 (28)	36% (17)	29% (50)	.2 (19)	7% (25)	1.9 (16)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SYR Defense	13	50% (76)	41% (55)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.25 (55)	1.6 (68)	31% (85)	30% (64)	.25 (37)	6% (78)	1.8 (6)
NCST Offense	13	48% (80)	39% (96)	17.2	29.2	193.8	6.7	11.3	19 (78)	12 (85)	.2 (95)	1.6 (67)	34% (102)	27% (101)	.27 (90)	6% (72)	2 (92)

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: 8.66 #35
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 26.38 #12
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 11.10 #80
2024 Talent Rating: 318.00 #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #44
Syracuse's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Syracuse's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #14
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #83

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: 8.66 NC State: 4.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: 5.5 NC State: 3.9

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 4.2 #66
NC State's Offense Rating: 22.82 #43
NC State's Defense Rating: 12.12 #89
2024 Talent Rating: 393.00 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
NC State's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
NC State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #56
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 34.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.2

Syracuse's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Syracuse 29
NC State 26

Projected Total Points: 54

NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

NC State's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	NC State	17	Syracuse	24	Syracuse -1	Syracuse	51.5	Under
2022	10/15	Syracuse	24	NC State	9	Syracuse -3	Syracuse	42.5	Under
2021	11/20	NC State	41	Syracuse	17	NC State -11	NC State	49.5	Over
2020	11/28	Syracuse	29	NC State	36	NC State -17.5	Syracuse	50.5	Over
2019	10/10	NC State	16	Syracuse	10	NC State -4.5	NC State	56.0	Under
2018	10/27	Syracuse	51	NC State	41	NC State -2	Syracuse	65.0	Over
2017	09/30	NC State	33	Syracuse	25	NC State -14	Syracuse	62.0	Under
2016	11/12	Syracuse	20	NC State	35	NC State -7	NC State	62.0	Under
2015	11/21	NC State	42	Syracuse	29	NC State -17	Syracuse	55.0	Over
2014	11/01	Syracuse	17	NC State	24	Syracuse -5	NC State	0
2013	10/12	NC State	10	Syracuse	24	NC State -4.5	Syracuse	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
NC State	7	4	4 Overs
Syracuse	4	7	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 5	5 - 6	3 - 4	2 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 6	6 - 5	2 - 2	4 - 3

(#35) SYR at (#66) NCST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SYR	NCST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#35	#66
SP+SP+	#45	#56
Perf GradeGrade	#46	#51
OffenseOff	#13	#58
DefenseDef	#102	#49
Spec TeamsST	#113	#94
TalentTal	#68	#36
Blue ChipsBC%	#44	#33

Syracuse Notes(12/1) McCord torched Miami. Def torched but 28-17 4th Q
(12/1) Great season, sched bad but 9 W is great stuff
(11/25) Rgame awful, McCord torched UConn, Def v bad
(11/18) Rgame better, McCod good, Def meh in Cal W
(11/13) Bad BC L, Zero Rgame Off, Def horrific (300+ yds)
(11/2) Huge W vs VT. Still 11 flags, 2 TOs but came back
(10/24) McCord 5 Ints in brutal outing, killed by Pitt
(10/13) McCord torched NC St, Rgame bad, Run D better
(10/2) WR & TE are real weapons. Meeks/Pena v good
(9/20) Rgame simply awful, Run D bad. Off/McCord good
(9/8) McCord torched GT in big W, Run D played great
(9/1) OL meh, DL awful vs Ohio (255 yds rush, 6.5 ypc)
Syracuse Injury Report

NC State Notes(11/25) Rgame mauled GT, but 3 Bailey INTs, bad Def
(11/13) Off abysmal (< 3 ypc) vs Duke, Pass D torched
(10/23) McCall carted off in WF game. Retired
(10/13) Pass D torched by Cuse. QB Bailey much better
(10/6) Team melted late vs Wake (L). Def is awful
(9/28) Off awful (171 yds) vs N Ill. Forced 4 TOs to W
(9/21) 110 pts allowed to Tenn/Clem. Shockingly bad
(9/18) OL disappointing, portals not as good, injuries
(9/17) McCall hurt, Fr CJ Bailey start at QB vs Clemson
(9/15) Off really bad esp Red Zone. McCall hurt vs LT
(9/8) Off disaster, Run D horrific. Did not belong w/ Tenn
(9/1) Close w/ W Car, gave up 9 TFLs, McCall good
NC State Injury Report

Syracuse on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	SYR Off	NCST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#13	#49
SuccessSuc	#98	#34
ExplosiveExp	#101	#72
PPAPPA	#100	#16
PowerPwr	#12	#89
SP+SP+	#14	#68
Pts POPPO	#103	#66
HavocHav	#108	#22

Syracuse Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	SYR Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	#96	#53
Run SuccessRSuc	#94	#34
Run ExplRExp	#47	#103
PPAExp	#87	#55
Run BlockR Blk	#64	-
OL YdsOLY	#93	#31
Stuff RateStuff	#104	#23
TackleTak	-	#41

Syracuse Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	SYR Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	#8	#54
Pass SuccessPSuc	#95	#40
Pass ExplPExl	#93	#28
PPAExp	#88	#15
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#43	#57
F7 HavocF7	#116	#32
DB HavocDB	#83	#25

NC State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	NCST Off	SYR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#58	#102
SuccessSuc	#100	#93
ExplosiveExp	#97	#13
PPAPPA	#89	#67
PowerPwr	#43	#80
SP+SP+	#47	#83
Pts POPPO	#47	#22
HavocHav	#97	#30

NC State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	NCST Off	SYR Def
Run GameRun	#110	#93
Run SuccessRSuc	#96	#113
Run ExplRExp	#100	#6
PPAExp	#83	#60
Run BlockR Blk	#24	-
OL YdsOLY	#68	#75
Stuff RateStuff	#65	#70
TackleTak	-	#108

NC State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	NCST Off	SYR Def
Pass GamePass	#40	#101
Pass SuccessPSuc	#96	#55
Pass ExplPExl	#67	#68
PPAExp	#95	#55
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#10	#68
F7 HavocF7	#106	#16
DB HavocDB	#72	#78

Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

SYR 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
Syracuse 1.0 (51.5)
Syracuse won at NC State this year (24-17)

Previous Matchups
Syracuse beat NC State in 2024 (24-17)

SYR's OC Mike Johnson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kyle McCord (Tr)	391	592	66%	4779	34	12	8.1
Michael Johnson Jr. (Tr)	2	3	67%	31	0	0	10.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lequint Allen	228	1021	16	4.5	30
Yasin Willis	36	130	1	3.6	26
Will Nixon (Tr)	19	76	0	4.0	12
Trebor Pena	12	72	1	6.0	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jackson Meeks (Tr)	78	1021	7	13.1	41
Trebor Pena	84	941	9	11.2	50
Oronde Gadsden II	72	922	7	12.8	39
Darrell Gill Jr.	31	562	2	18.1	53

View Syracuse's Full Roster

SYR's DC Elijah Robinson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Justin Barron	85	10	2	4	3
Darian Chestnut	60	4	1	1	5
Alijah Clark	59	4	0	1	4
Devin Grant (Tr)	51	8	2	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Fadil Diggs (Tr)	42	13	7	3	1
Marlowe Wax	42	7	5	1	0
KingJoseph Edwards	7	3	3	1	0
Denis Jaquez Jr.	22	3	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Clarence Lewis (Tr)	36	1	0	0	12
Jayden Bellamy	34	1	0	0	6
Darian Chestnut	60	4	1	1	5

NCST's OC Robert Anae (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
CJ Bailey	196	302	65%	2412	17	10	8.0
Grayson McCall (Tr)	53	80	66%	518	3	2	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daylan Smothers	89	571	6	6.4	53
Jordan Waters (Tr)	95	470	4	4.9	94
Kendrick Raphael	78	425	3	5.4	40
CJ Bailey	99	279	5	2.8	31

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Justin Joly (Tr)	43	661	4	15.4	40
Noah Rogers (Tr)	35	478	1	13.7	75
Kevin Concepcion	53	459	6	8.7	42
Wesley Grimes (Tr)	24	319	1	13.3	30

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC Tony Gibson (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sean Brown	95	9	3	13	1
Donovan Kaufman (Tr)	74	4	1	6	4
Devon Betty	61	9	2	6	2
Aydan White	59	0	0	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davin Vann	41	14	7	2	2
Travali Price	37	9	4	3	0
Sean Brown	95	9	3	13	1
Devon Betty	61	9	2	6	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bishop Fitzgerald	55	7	0	2	8
Devon Marshall (Tr)	33	1	0	0	7
Tamarcus Cooley (Tr)	39	3	1	2	6