Louisiana Tech at NC State - 2024 Matchup Preview

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at NC State Wolfpack

Saturday, September 14th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
NC State -20.5 (47.5) (-1200) Open: -22.0 | 51.5
NC State 30 - Louisiana Tech: 20

Bulldogs (5 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (6 - 18)
Avg Score : 21 - 21 (16 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 8 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 13.7 MPH
NCST 3rd straight Home Game
LT coming off BYE
Our Line: NC State -19 (SP+ NCST -16)
Projected Score: LT: 16 - NCST: 35 (51)
NCST Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
LT Travel: 827 miles, 1 hrs behind

Wolfpack (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach Dave Doeren (81 - 58)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LT Players
NCST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisiana Tech's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Louisiana Tech vs Nicholls	-17.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14	Louisiana Tech at NC State	+20.5	47.5	L 20 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Louisiana Tech vs Tulsa	-3.0	56.5	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/28	Louisiana Tech vs Florida International	-2.0	49.0	L 10 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/10	Louisiana Tech vs Middle Tennessee	-5.0	48.0	W 48 - 21	O	Y
Tue 10/15	Louisiana Tech at New Mexico State	-12.5	49.0	L 30 - 33	O	N
Tue 10/22	Louisiana Tech vs UTEP	-6.5	49.0	W 14 - 10	U	N
Tue 10/29	Louisiana Tech at Sam Houston	+10.5	45.5	L 3 - 9	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Louisiana Tech vs Jacksonville State	+10.0	55.5	L 37 - 44	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Louisiana Tech at Western Kentucky	+11.5	52.5	W 12 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Louisiana Tech at Arkansas	+23.5	48.5	L 14 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Louisiana Tech vs Kennesaw State	-13.5	41.5	W 33 - 0	U	Y
Sat 12/28	Louisiana Tech vs Army	+15.0	44.5	L 6 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule

NC State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	NC State vs Western Carolina	-32.5	60.5	W 38 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/7	NC State vs Tennessee	+10.0	60.5	L 10 - 51	O	N
Sat 9/14	NC State vs Louisiana Tech	-20.5	47.5	W 30 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/21	NC State at Clemson	+17.0	44.0	L 35 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/28	NC State vs Northern Illinois	-7.0	46.0	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/5	NC State vs Wake Forest	-4.0	52.5	L 30 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/12	NC State vs Syracuse	+1.0	51.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/19	NC State at California	+9.5	46.0	W 24 - 23	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	NC State vs Stanford	-10.0	46.5	W 59 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/9	NC State vs Duke	-3.5	51.5	L 19 - 29	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/21	NC State at Georgia Tech	+7.5	51.5	L 29 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/30	NC State at North Carolina	+2.5	54.5	W 35 - 30	O	Y
Sat 12/28	NC State vs East Carolina	-7.5	61.5	L 21 - 26	U	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LT	#130 (.02)	37% (119)	20.9	37% (122)	2.62 (125)	109	38% (111)	211	3.09 (124)	#26 (.1)	37% (13)	21	39% (36)	35% (11)	3.72 (61)	46.7	1.5	1.2
NCST	#26 (.25)	45% (36)	28.5	44% (68)	3.24 (36)	130	47% (20)	215	3.97 (61)	#86 (.19)	41% (59)	30.2	39% (31)	43% (87)	3.78 (67)	45	1.7	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LT	#130 (.02)	37% (119)		37% (122)	2.62 (125)	109	38% (111)	211	3.09 (124)	#26 (.1)	37% (13)		39% (36)	35% (11)	3.72 (61)	46.7	1.5	1.2
NCST	#26 (.25)	45% (36)		44% (68)	3.24 (36)	130	47% (20)	215	3.97 (61)	#86 (.19)	41% (59)		39% (31)	43% (87)	3.78 (67)	45	1.7	1.4

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LT Offense	13	20.9	15.8	37.5%	3.09	1.5	17	319	109	211	3.1	49%	51%	37%	38%	17%	.02
NCST Defense	13	30.2	24.7	40.9%	3.78	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	39%	43%	20%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LT Defense	13	21	22.8	37.2%	3.72	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	39%	35%	15%	.1
NCST Offense	13	28.5	31	45.1%	3.97	1.7	19	345	130	215	4.4	47%	52%	44%	47%	19%	.25

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisiana Tech	13	29:34	17.2	40%	35%	4.9	46.7	1.5	1.2	5.2	1.6	0	33.2
NC State	13	29:10	18.6	37%	56%	4.8	45	1.7	1.4	6.2	1.8	2	28.9

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LT Offense	13	49% (78)	37% (122)	35.2	108.5	3.1	14 (98)	-.09 (134)	2.62 (125)	66% (114)	12% (116)	0.69 (134)
NCST Defense	13	47% (33)	39% (31)	-	-	-	-	.2 (111)	3.07 (83)	76% (86)	12% (24)	1.28 (134)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LT Defense	13	56% (121)	39% (36)	-	-	-	-	.09 (54)	2.9 (50)	70% (48)	11% (52)	1.01 (82)
NCST Offense	13	47% (89)	44% (68)	29.6	130.3	4.4	21 (59)	.15 (56)	3.24 (36)	69% (92)	13% (127)	0.98 (59)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LT Offense	13	51% (56)	38% (111)	18.8	29.8	210.9	7.1	11.2	18 (68)	7 (26)	.13 (115)	1.7 (35)	33% (103)	26% (117)	.15 (127)	5% (22)	2.1 (27)
NCST Defense	13	53% (106)	43% (87)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.19 (47)	1.5 (22)	33% (49)	30% (65)	.33 (83)	8% (16)	2.3 (120)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LT Defense	13	43% (9)	35% (11)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.15 (26)	1.6 (72)	35% (20)	29% (46)	.28 (56)	5% (112)	1.9 (30)
NCST Offense	13	52% (48)	47% (20)	18.2	28.1	214.8	7.7	11.8	18 (68)	12 (85)	.36 (24)	1.6 (45)	30% (35)	36% (24)	.57 (5)	6% (83)	2.2 (19)

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -18.16 #119
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 7.48 #133
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 7.55 #49
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Louisiana Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 8.0
Louisiana Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.6 #110
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.9 #128
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -18.16 NC State: 4.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -11.6 NC State: 3.9

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 4.2 #66
NC State's Offense Rating: 22.82 #43
NC State's Defense Rating: 12.12 #89
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
NC State's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
NC State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #56
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #47
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.8

Louisiana Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
NC State 35
Louisiana Tech 16

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 39
Louisiana Tech 21

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
NC State 26
Louisiana Tech 23

Total Points: 49

NC State Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

NC State's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/14	NC State	30	Louisiana Tech	20	NC State -20.5	Louisiana Tech	47.5	Over
2021	10/02	NC State	34	Louisiana Tech	27	NC State -18.5	Louisiana Tech	56.0	Over
2013	08/31	NC State	40	Louisiana Tech	14	NC State -10.5	NC State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
NC State	3	1	2 Overs
Louisiana Tech	0	2	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 0	1 - 2	1 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 3	2 - 1	0 - 0	2 - 1

(#119) LT at (#66) NCST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LT	NCST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#119	#66
SP+SP+	#110	#56
Perf GradeGrade	#113	#51
OffenseOff	#113	#58
DefenseDef	#94	#49
Spec TeamsST	#93	#94
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#82	#33

Louisiana Tech Notes(11/18) Upset WKU, Rgame 200+, Run Def great.
(10/23) Lucky W (UTEP), Rgame abysmal, QB Bullock OK
(10/16) Horrible loss @ NMSU. Rgame awful, QB bad TW
(10/10) Cumbie taking over playcalling duties (10/10)
(10/10) QB Bullock/Run game better-Cumbie playcalling
(10/4) Bottom 10 Off both Pass/Run. Def shockingly good
(10/4) Avg nearly 3 TO's per game, & can't move the ball
(9/25) Even w/ Tulsa, but 3 TOs cost them in OT loss
(9/15) Played w/ NC St. Off succ #130, near worst
(9/1) Dog fight W over Nicholls? Rgame awful, QBs meh
(8/17) Cumbie-reporter incident LY says all about him
(8/3) This is a roster that gets coaches fired
Louisiana Tech Injury Report

NC State Notes(11/25) Rgame mauled GT, but 3 Bailey INTs, bad Def
(11/13) Off abysmal (< 3 ypc) vs Duke, Pass D torched
(10/23) McCall carted off in WF game. Retired
(10/13) Pass D torched by Cuse. QB Bailey much better
(10/6) Team melted late vs Wake (L). Def is awful
(9/28) Off awful (171 yds) vs N Ill. Forced 4 TOs to W
(9/21) 110 pts allowed to Tenn/Clem. Shockingly bad
(9/18) OL disappointing, portals not as good, injuries
(9/17) McCall hurt, Fr CJ Bailey start at QB vs Clemson
(9/15) Off really bad esp Red Zone. McCall hurt vs LT
(9/8) Off disaster, Run D horrific. Did not belong w/ Tenn
(9/1) Close w/ W Car, gave up 9 TFLs, McCall good
NC State Injury Report

Louisiana Tech on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	LT Off	NCST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#113	#49
SuccessSuc	#119	#59
ExplosiveExp	#113	#113
PPAPPA	#130	#86
PowerPwr	#133	#89
SP+SP+	#128	#68
Pts POPPO	#124	#67
HavocHav	#83	#16

Louisiana Tech Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	LT Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	#107	#53
Run SuccessRSuc	#122	#31
Run ExplRExp	#134	#134
PPAExp	#134	#111
Run BlockR Blk	#129	-
OL YdsOLY	#125	#83
Stuff RateStuff	#119	#105
TackleTak	-	#41

Louisiana Tech Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	LT Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	#91	#54
Pass SuccessPSuc	#111	#87
Pass ExplPExl	#35	#22
PPAExp	#115	#47
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#53	#57
F7 HavocF7	#116	#24
DB HavocDB	#22	#16

NC State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	NCST Off	LT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#58	#94
SuccessSuc	#36	#13
ExplosiveExp	#32	#57
PPAPPA	#26	#26
PowerPwr	#43	#49
SP+SP+	#47	#64
Pts POPPO	#61	#61
HavocHav	#122	#76

NC State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	NCST Off	LT Def
Run GameRun	#110	#56
Run SuccessRSuc	#68	#36
Run ExplRExp	#59	#82
PPAExp	#56	#54
Run BlockR Blk	#24	-
OL YdsOLY	#36	#50
Stuff RateStuff	#37	#41
TackleTak	-	#96

NC State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	NCST Off	LT Def
Pass GamePass	#40	#97
Pass SuccessPSuc	#20	#11
Pass ExplPExl	#45	#72
PPAExp	#24	#26
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#10	#118
F7 HavocF7	#127	#52
DB HavocDB	#83	#112

Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

LT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 83° - Wind: 14 mph

Rematch from Week 3
NC State -20.5 (47.5)
NC State won vs Louisiana Tech this year (30-20)

Previous Matchups
NC State beat Louisiana Tech last year (30-20)

LT's OC Scott Parr (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Evan Bullock	199	302	66%	2107	14	3	7.0
Jack Turner	40	76	53%	471	2	2	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omiri Wiggins	111	527	4	4.7	35
Amani Givens	75	319	2	4.3	20
Marquis Crosby	57	224	1	3.9	31
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)	48	182	4	3.8	29

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tru Edwards	85	989	6	11.6	86
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)	39	476	2	12.2	32
Eli Finley	25	314	2	12.6	53
Jay Wilkerson	13	262	2	20.2	55

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

LT's DC Jeremiah Johnson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zach Zimos	84	6	1	5	1
Kolbe Fields	71	9	2	3	1
Blake Thompson (Tr)	60	3	0	0	3
Jacob Fields	54	6	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
David Blay	45	10	6	2	0
Sifa Leota (Tr)	42	6	4	1	1
Jessie Evans	40	6	3	4	0
J'Dan Burnett	21	3	3	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Cedric Woods	30	0	5
Demarcus Griffin-Taylor	53	2	5
Jacob Fields	54	6	4

NCST's OC Robert Anae (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
CJ Bailey	196	302	65%	2412	17	10	8.0
Grayson McCall (Tr)	53	80	66%	518	3	2	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daylan Smothers	89	571	6	6.4	53
Jordan Waters (Tr)	95	470	4	4.9	94
Kendrick Raphael	78	425	3	5.4	40
CJ Bailey	99	279	5	2.8	31

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Justin Joly (Tr)	43	661	4	15.4	40
Noah Rogers (Tr)	35	478	1	13.7	75
Kevin Concepcion	53	459	6	8.7	42
Wesley Grimes (Tr)	24	319	1	13.3	30

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC Tony Gibson (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sean Brown	95	9	3	13	1
Donovan Kaufman (Tr)	74	4	1	6	4
Devon Betty	61	9	2	6	2
Aydan White	59	0	0	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davin Vann	41	14	7	2	2
Travali Price	37	9	4	3	0
Sean Brown	95	9	3	13	1
Devon Betty	61	9	2	6	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bishop Fitzgerald	55	7	0	2	8
Devon Marshall (Tr)	33	1	0	0	7
Tamarcus Cooley (Tr)	39	3	1	2	6